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OhioChessFan
Member since Apr-09-05 · Last seen Nov-07-25
______________ Moves Prediction Contest

<Main Focus>: Predicting how many moves in a game for each pairing.

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<Format>:

[player]-[player] [result] [# of MOVES]

==4 Different Scoring Methods==

Standard Moves Ranker (1st place-Over[3pts], 1st place-Under [7pts], Exact [10pts])

Bonus Ranker (3rd place-Over[1pts],2nd place-Over[2pts],3rd place-Under [5pts], 2nd place-Under [6pts]

Standard Moves/Bonus Ranker [Add all to together]

1st place Ranker [how many 1st place you have in Standard Moves Ranker]

For example:

<Note: Participants 3, 4, and 5 are predicated on nobody scoring an exact as Participant 2 did. If someone hits an exact, the closest score under and over will score the points for second place.>

Actual Game: [player]-[player] 0-1 45

Participant 1: [player]-[player] 1/2 45
Participant 2: [player]-[player] 0-1 45
Participant 3: [player]-[player] 0-1 44
Participant 4: [player]-[player] 0-1 43
Participant 5: [player]-[player] 0-1 46

Participant 1: No points even though 45 is correct. Results must be correct. If Result is wrong and moves # is correct...you get no points whatsoever

Participant 2: 10 pts rewarded for correct Result/moves #

Participant 3: 7 pts rewarded for closest under (1st-Under) to 45 moves

Participant 4: 6 pts rewarded for the 2nd closest under (2nd-Under) to 45 moves.

Participant 5: 3 pts rewarded closest OVER(1st-OVER) to 45 moves.

Again, the description of Participant 3, 4, and 5 are based on there being no exact prediction as made by Participant 2.

<IF> there is an exact or an under closest, the highest scoring over participant will be 2nd over. The second closest over will be 3rd over. The <ONLY> time there will be a first over is if there is no exact or under winner.

Things To Look At:
1. Game Collection: 1975 World Junior chess championship
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3. Bio Adolf Zytogorski
4. Complete the Olympiad
5. Bio Lorenz Maximilian Drabke

7. Baden-Baden (1870)

11. Karl Mayet
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Pi Day
rreusser/computing-with-the-bailey-borwein-plouffe-formula">https://observablehq.com/(at)rreusser/...

Pun Index Game Collection: Game of the Day & Puzzle of the Day Collections

>> Click here to see OhioChessFan's game collections.

Chessgames.com Full Member
   Current net-worth: 792 chessbucks
[what is this?]

   OhioChessFan has kibitzed 49340 times to chessgames   [more...]
   Nov-07-25 Chessgames - Politics (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: <Rdb: Northwest Career College reports that poverty significantly increases the risk of criminal behavior, with economic hardship often driving individuals toward crime out of necessity or frustration> <dice: Do trillions in Affordible Housing, Welfare, Snap Benefits, ...
 
   Nov-07-25 Fusilli chessforum (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: Yes. A couple trivial lines. 1. Rb7+ Ka8 2. Ra7+ Kb8 is clearly a repetition. If Black underpromotes, the White Rook draws.
 
   Nov-07-25 C Wells vs J Rush, 1963
 
OhioChessFan: "Fly-By Knight"
 
   Nov-07-25 K Hanache vs P Crocker, 2024
 
OhioChessFan: "Not Two Knights, I Have a Hanache"
 
   Nov-05-25 Niemann vs L Lodici, 2025 (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: White has three Pawns for a poorly placed Knight. I'd rather have the Knight, but as of move 29, I don't see any particular plans for
 
   Nov-04-25 Chessgames - Sports (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: Mike Royko was fantastic. Slats Grobnik was guaranteed to make me laugh myself silly.
 
   Nov-04-25 D Gukesh vs K Nogerbek, 2025
 
OhioChessFan: Those crazy chess players, playing down to bare Kings....
 
   Nov-04-25 B Men vs Ftacnik, 1993
 
OhioChessFan: "Mad Men"
 
   Nov-04-25 A J Fink vs Alekhine, 1932 (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: All you Block people stick together!
 
   Nov-04-25 R Balinas vs C Blocker, 1979
 
OhioChessFan: I never met him although he is a huge name in Ohio chess. I don't know how long he kept playing the King's Island Open but I might see if a few friends ever played him there.
 
(replies) indicates a reply to the comment.

Moves Prediction Contest

Kibitzer's Corner
< Earlier Kibitzing  · PAGE 468 OF 849 ·  Later Kibitzing>
Jan-20-15  moulicules: Round 10:
Van Wely - Hou 1/2 43
Jobava - Caruana 0-1 37
Radjabov - Aronian 1/2 36
Ivanchuk - Carlsen 1/2 41
Vachier-Lagrave - Wojtaszek 1/2 41
Ding - So 1/2 41
Saric - Giri 0-1 45
Jan-20-15  Karposian: Round 10:

Van Wely - Hou 1/2 34
Jobava - Caruana 1/2 30
Radjabov - Aronian 1/2 38
Ivanchuk - Carlsen 1/2 46
Vachier-Lagrave - Wojtaszek 1/2 38
Ding - So 1/2 31
Saric - Giri 1/2 49

Jan-20-15  chessmoron: ♔ Tata 2015: <Round 10> Result ♔

<Aronian-Jobava, 1-0 in 24 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['SwitchingQuylthulg', '1-0', '6']]

2nd Under, 6 points: []
3rd Under, 5 points: []
Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: [['twinlark', '1-0', '32']]
3rd Over, 1 point1: [['Golden Executive', '1-0', '34']]

===

<Carlsen-Radjabov, 1-0 in 40 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: [['Golden Executive', '1-0', '40']]

Under, 7 points: []
2nd Under, 6 points: [['juan31', '1-0', '39']]
3rd Under, 5 points: [['kellmano', '1-0', '35']]
Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: [['chessmoron', '1-0', '41'], ['Penguincw', '1-0', '41']]

3rd Over, 1 point1: [['WinKing', '1-0', '43']]

===

<Caruana-Hou, 1/2-1/2 in 49 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['SwitchingQuylthulg', '1/2-1/2', '5']]

2nd Under, 6 points: []
3rd Under, 5 points: []
Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: [['kellmano', '1/2-1/2', '54']]
3rd Over, 1 point1: []

===

<Giri-Ding, 1-0 in 75 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['Karposian', '1-0', '50']]
2nd Under, 6 points: [['lostemperor', '1-0', '43']]
3rd Under, 5 points: [['juan31', '1-0', '42']]
Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: []
3rd Over, 1 point1: []

===

<Saric-Van Wely, 1/2-1/2 in 40 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: [['moulicules', '1/2-1/2', '40']]
Under, 7 points: []
2nd Under, 6 points: [['wordfunph', '1/2-1/2', '38']]

3rd Under, 5 points: [['Karposian', '1/2-1/2', '37']]

Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: [['SwitchingQuylthulg', '1/2-1/2', '41'], ['Penguincw', '1/2-1/2', '41']]

3rd Over, 1 point1: [['twinlark', '1/2-1/2', '44']]

===

<So-Vachier Lagrave, 1/2-1/2 in 43 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['Robin01', '1/2-1/2', '42']]
2nd Under, 6 points: [['moulicules', '1/2-1/2', '40']]

3rd Under, 5 points: [['juan31', '1/2-1/2', '39'], ['chessmoron', '1/2-1/2', '39']]

Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: [['kellmano', '1/2-1/2', '44'], ['Golden Executive', '1/2-1/2', '44']]

3rd Over, 1 point1: [['Karposian', '1/2-1/2', '45']]

===

<Wojtaszek-Ivanchuk, 1/2-1/2 in 36 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['chessmoron', '1/2-1/2', '35'], ['Penguincw', '1/2-1/2', '35']]

2nd Under, 6 points: [['wordfunph', '1/2-1/2', '34']]

3rd Under, 5 points: []
Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: [['juan31', '1/2-1/2', '38'], ['OhioChessFan', '1/2-1/2', '38']]

3rd Over, 1 point1: [['WinKing', '1/2-1/2', '40']]

Jan-20-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: Wait, did Saric-van Wely end in 40 moves?
Jan-20-15  WinKing: Saric-Van Wely ended in a 1/2 in 92 moves <chessmoron>.
Jan-20-15  chessmoron: corrected:

<Saric-Van Wely, 1/2-1/2 in 92 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['twinlark', '1/2-1/2', '44']]
2nd Under, 6 points: [['SwitchingQuylthulg', '1/2-1/2', '41'], ['Penguincw', '1/2-1/2', '41']]

3rd Under, 5 points: [['moulicules', '1/2-1/2', '40']]

Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: []
3rd Over, 1 point1: []

Jan-20-15  chessmoron: Round 9 Summary:

Perfect # moves predictions for this round goes to:

<Golden Executive>

Highest scores in the Bonus Ranker: 18 points: <juan31>

Results:

Moves Ranker - Through <Round 9>

Score, UserID, Over, Under, Exact

55, Penguincw, 1, 6, 1
47, kellmano, 3, 4, 1
45, SwitchingQuylthulg, 0, 5, 1
38, WinKing, 0, 4, 1
37, Robin01, 1, 2, 2
35, Karposian, 0, 5, 0
34, Golden Executive, 0, 2, 2
34, wordfunph, 1, 3, 1
30, OhioChessFan, 1, 1, 2
28, lostemperor, 0, 4, 0
28, twinlark, 0, 4, 0
24, juan31, 0, 2, 1
23, bubuli55, 2, 1, 1
14, chessmoron, 0, 2, 0
10, john barleycorn, 1, 1, 0
10, moulicules, 0, 0, 1

===

Bonus Ranker - Through <Round 9>

Score, UserID, 3-Over, 2-Over, 3-Under, 2-Under

61, moulicules, 1, 3, 6, 4
54, SwitchingQuylthulg, 1, 1, 3, 6
52, chessmoron, 4, 5, 4, 3
50, lostemperor, 1, 3, 5, 3
47, kellmano, 4, 6, 5, 1
44, john barleycorn, 2, 4, 2, 4
41, Golden Executive, 3, 5, 2, 3
41, WinKing, 3, 2, 2, 4
37, Robin01, 1, 4, 2, 3
36, OhioChessFan, 2, 3, 2, 3
34, juan31, 2, 3, 4, 1
30, wordfunph, 2, 2, 0, 4
29, Karposian, 3, 2, 2, 2
26, Penguincw, 2, 3, 0, 3
15, bubuli55, 1, 1, 0, 2
7, twinlark, 0, 1, 1, 0

===

Moves+Bonus Ranker - Through <Round 9>

Score, UserID

99, SwitchingQuylthulg
94, kellmano
81, Penguincw
79, WinKing
78, lostemperor
75, Golden Executive
74, Robin01
71, moulicules
66, chessmoron
66, OhioChessFan
64, Karposian
64, wordfunph
58, juan31
54, john barleycorn
38, bubuli55
35, twinlark

===

Moves Ranker (# of 1st place UNDER/OVER) - Through <Round 9>

Score,UserID

8, kellmano
8, Penguincw
6, SwitchingQuylthulg
5, Karposian
5, Robin01
5, WinKing
5, wordfunph
4, bubuli55
4, Golden Executive
4, lostemperor
4, OhioChessFan
4, twinlark
3, juan31
2, chessmoron
2, john barleycorn
1, moulicules

Jan-20-15  chessmoron: Van Wely - Hou: 1/2 38
Jobava - Caruana: 0-1 37
Radjabov - Aronian: 1/2 41
Ivanchuk - Carlsen: 1/2 43
Vachier-Lagrave - Wojtaszek: 1-0 40
Ding - So: 1/2 38
Saric - Giri: 1/2 41
Jan-20-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: Van Wely - Hou: 1/2 36
Jobava - Caruana: 0-1 35
Radjabov - Aronian: 1/2 38
Ivanchuk - Carlsen: 1/2 44
Vachier-Lagrave - Wojtaszek: 1/2 40
Ding - So: 1/2 37
Saric - Giri: 1/2 41
Jan-21-15  Golden Executive: Round 10

Van Wely - Hou 1/2 43
Jobava - Caruana 0-1 37
Radjabov - Aronian 1/2 34
Ivanchuk - Carlsen 0-1 36
Vachier-Lagrave - Wojtaszek 1-0 42
Ding - So 1/2 28
Saric - Giri 0-1 29

Jan-21-15  kellmano: Round 10

Van Wely - Hou 1/2 45
Jobava - Caruana 0-1 27
Radjabov - Aronian 0-1 32
Ivanchuk - Carlsen 0-1 32
Vachier-Lagrave - Wojtaszek 1/2 63
Ding - So 1/2 64
Saric - Giri 1/2 69

Jan-21-15  twinlark: Round 10

Van Wely - Hou 0-1 37
Jobava - Caruana 0-1 36
Radjabov - Aronian 1/2 50
Ivanchuk - Carlsen 0-1 49
Vachier-Lagrave - Wojtaszek 1/2 34
Ding - So 1/2 80
Saric - Giri 0-1 40

Jan-21-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Round 10
Van Wely - Hou 1-0 40
Jobava - Caruana 1/2 40
Radjabov - Aronian 1/2 38
Ivanchuk - Carlsen 1/2 45
Vachier-Lagrave - Wojtaszek 1-0 42
Ding - So 0-1 40
Saric - Giri 1-0 40
Jan-21-15  wordfunph: Round 10:

van Wely - Hou 1/2 45
Jobava - Caruana 1-0 50
Radjabov - Aronian 1/2 35
Ivanchuk - Carlsen 1/2 46
Vachier-Lagrave - Wojtaszek 1-0 50
Ding - So 1/2 55
Saric - Giri 1/2 52

Jan-21-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  SwitchingQuylthulg: Round 10:

van Wely - Hou 1/2 46
Jobava - Caruana 0-1 38
Radjabov - Aronian 1/2 2
Ivanchuk - Carlsen 0-1 37
Vachier-Lagrave - Wojtaszek 1/2 38
Ding - So 1-0 2
Saric - Giri 1/2 5

Jan-21-15  WinKing: Round 10

Van Wely - Hou 1/2 43
Jobava - Caruana 1/2 35
Radjabov - Aronian 1/2 43
Ivanchuk - Carlsen 1/2 48
Vachier-Lagrave - Wojtaszek 1/2 41
Ding - So 1/2 42
Saric - Giri 1/2 43

Jan-21-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: Round ten games have started.
Jan-21-15  john barleycorn: Holy cow, I was so intrigued by the subtle posts of Abdel McChatterbox on the Rogoff page that I left out my predictions for round 10.

I hope all of you will understand the particular circumstances and allow to post them one by one. I have a feeling they will be pretty good.

Round 10 predictions:
Ivanchuk-Carlsen 1/2 18

Jan-21-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  chancho: <JB> lmao...
Jan-21-15  john barleycorn: <chancho> lmao?
that is serious business. After a serious look in my glassbowl and some complex and lengthy calculations I had Ding-So 1/2 in 24 yesterday night. I think I'll stick to it.
Jan-21-15  WinKing: ***Unofficial*** leaderboard for Round 10 posted in my forum.
Jan-21-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: I am having one of those tournaments where most every round my hardest pick I'm missing. I was torn on Saric-Giri, and had even posted an 0-1 before I changed my mind.
Jan-21-15  Robin01: == Round 11 - Friday the 23rd
Giri - Van Wely 1-0 44
So - Saric 1-0 37
Wojtaszek - Ding 0-1 62
Carlsen - Vachier-Lagrave 1/2 35
Aronian - Ivanchuk 1-0 48
Caruana - Radjabov 1/2 33
Hou - Jobava 1/2 34

== Round 12 - Saturday the 24th
Van Wely - Jobava 1/2 32
Radjabov - Hou 0-1 43
Ivanchuk - Caruana 1/2 31
Vachier-Lagrave - Aronian 1/2 34
Ding - Carlsen 1/2 41
Saric - Wojtaszek 0-1 53
Giri - So 1/2 35

==Round 13 - Sunday the 25th
So - Van Wely 1-0 39
Wojtaszek - Giri 1/2 32
Carlsen - Saric 1-0 37
Aronian - Ding 1/2 48
Caruana - Vachier-Lagrave 1/2 43
Hou - Ivanchuk 0-1 43
Jobava - Radjabov 1/2 32

Jan-21-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: Giri - Van Wely 1/2 40
So - Saric 1-0 40
Wojtaszek - Ding 1/2 35
Carlsen - Vachier-Lagrave 1/2 49
Aronian - Ivanchuk 1/2 38
Caruana - Radjabov 1/2 39
Hou - Jobava 1/2 22
Jan-21-15  john barleycorn: Round 11:

Giri - van Wely 1-0 40
So - Saric 1/2 35
Wojtaszek - Ding 0-1 50
Carlsen - Vachier-Lagrave 1/2 45
Aronian - Ivanchuk 1/2 41
Caruana - Radjabov 1/2 50
Hou - Jobava 1/2 30

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