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OhioChessFan
Member since Apr-09-05 · Last seen Nov-08-25
______________ Moves Prediction Contest

<Main Focus>: Predicting how many moves in a game for each pairing.

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***Hall of Fame***
chessmoron chessforum

<Format>:

[player]-[player] [result] [# of MOVES]

==4 Different Scoring Methods==

Standard Moves Ranker (1st place-Over[3pts], 1st place-Under [7pts], Exact [10pts])

Bonus Ranker (3rd place-Over[1pts],2nd place-Over[2pts],3rd place-Under [5pts], 2nd place-Under [6pts]

Standard Moves/Bonus Ranker [Add all to together]

1st place Ranker [how many 1st place you have in Standard Moves Ranker]

For example:

<Note: Participants 3, 4, and 5 are predicated on nobody scoring an exact as Participant 2 did. If someone hits an exact, the closest score under and over will score the points for second place.>

Actual Game: [player]-[player] 0-1 45

Participant 1: [player]-[player] 1/2 45
Participant 2: [player]-[player] 0-1 45
Participant 3: [player]-[player] 0-1 44
Participant 4: [player]-[player] 0-1 43
Participant 5: [player]-[player] 0-1 46

Participant 1: No points even though 45 is correct. Results must be correct. If Result is wrong and moves # is correct...you get no points whatsoever

Participant 2: 10 pts rewarded for correct Result/moves #

Participant 3: 7 pts rewarded for closest under (1st-Under) to 45 moves

Participant 4: 6 pts rewarded for the 2nd closest under (2nd-Under) to 45 moves.

Participant 5: 3 pts rewarded closest OVER(1st-OVER) to 45 moves.

Again, the description of Participant 3, 4, and 5 are based on there being no exact prediction as made by Participant 2.

<IF> there is an exact or an under closest, the highest scoring over participant will be 2nd over. The second closest over will be 3rd over. The <ONLY> time there will be a first over is if there is no exact or under winner.

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rreusser/computing-with-the-bailey-borwein-plouffe-formula">https://observablehq.com/(at)rreusser/...

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   Current net-worth: 792 chessbucks
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   OhioChessFan has kibitzed 49342 times to chessgames   [more...]
   Nov-08-25 B Hague vs Plaskett, 2004 (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: Morra, Hague Convention, I like it.
 
   Nov-07-25 Chessgames - Politics (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: <BREAKING: British veteran breaks down live on TV over state of the country: "Rows and rows of white tombs for what? A country of today? No, I'm sorry. The sacrifice wasn't worth the result. I fought for freedom, and it's darn-sight worse now than when I fought."> Poor ...
 
   Nov-07-25 Fusilli chessforum (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: Yes. A couple trivial lines. 1. Rb7+ Ka8 2. Ra7+ Kb8 is clearly a repetition. If Black underpromotes, the White Rook draws.
 
   Nov-07-25 C Wells vs J Rush, 1963
 
OhioChessFan: "Fly-By Knight"
 
   Nov-07-25 K Hanache vs P Crocker, 2024
 
OhioChessFan: "Not Two Knights, I Have a Hanache"
 
   Nov-05-25 Niemann vs L Lodici, 2025 (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: White has three Pawns for a poorly placed Knight. I'd rather have the Knight, but as of move 29, I don't see any particular plans for
 
   Nov-04-25 Chessgames - Sports (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: Mike Royko was fantastic. Slats Grobnik was guaranteed to make me laugh myself silly.
 
   Nov-04-25 D Gukesh vs K Nogerbek, 2025
 
OhioChessFan: Those crazy chess players, playing down to bare Kings....
 
   Nov-04-25 B Men vs Ftacnik, 1993
 
OhioChessFan: "Mad Men"
 
   Nov-04-25 A J Fink vs Alekhine, 1932 (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: All you Block people stick together!
 
(replies) indicates a reply to the comment.

Moves Prediction Contest

Kibitzer's Corner
< Earlier Kibitzing  · PAGE 478 OF 849 ·  Later Kibitzing>
Apr-24-15  WinKing: Games have started.
Apr-24-15  chessmoron: ♔ Gashimov Memorial 2015: <Round 6> Result ♔

<Anand-Adams, 1-0 in 51 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['lostemperor', '1-0', '42']]
2nd Under, 6 points: [['juan31', '1-0', '41']]
3rd Under, 5 points: []
Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: []
3rd Over, 1 point1: []

===

<Carlsen-Kramnik, 1-0 in 49 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['juan31', '1-0', '48']]
2nd Under, 6 points: [['chessmoron', '1-0', '43']]
3rd Under, 5 points: []
Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: [['OhioChessFan', '1-0', '50']]
3rd Over, 1 point1: []

===

<Caruana-So, 1-0 in 51 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['PinnedPiece', '1-0', '46']]
2nd Under, 6 points: [['lostemperor', '1-0', '42']]

3rd Under, 5 points: [['OhioChessFan', '1-0', '40']]

Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: []
3rd Over, 1 point1: []

===

<Mamedyarov-Mamedov, 1/2-1/2 in 33 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: []
2nd Under, 6 points: []
3rd Under, 5 points: []
Over, 3 points: [['PinnedPiece', '1/2-1/2', '36']]

2nd Over, 2 points: [['OhioChessFan', '1/2-1/2', '37']]

3rd Over, 1 point1: [['Penguincw', '1/2-1/2', '39'], ['juan31', '1/2-1/2', '39']]

===

<MVL-Giri, 1/2-1/2 in 46 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['lostemperor', '1/2-1/2', '42']]
2nd Under, 6 points: [['WinKing', '1/2-1/2', '40'], ['juan31', '1/2-1/2', '40']]

3rd Under, 5 points: [['chessmoron', '1/2-1/2', '39'], ['Penguincw', '1/2-1/2', '39'], ['Golden Executive', '1/2-1/2', '39']]

Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: []
3rd Over, 1 point1: []

Apr-24-15  chessmoron: Round 6 Summary:

Perfect # moves predictions for this round goes to:

None

Highest score in the Bonus Ranker: 13 points: <juan31>

Results:

Moves Ranker - Through <Round 7>

Score, UserID, Over, Under, Exact

41, chessmoron, 0, 3, 2
41, WinKing, 0, 3, 2
37, Karposian, 1, 2, 2
34, juan31, 0, 2, 2
34, lostemperor, 1, 3, 1
34, PinnedPiece, 2, 4, 0
21, wordfunph, 0, 3, 0
17, OhioChessFan, 0, 1, 1
14, SwitchingQuylthulg, 0, 2, 0
3, bubuli55, 1, 0, 0
0, Golden Executive, 0, 0, 0
0, Penguincw, 0, 0, 0
0, Robin01, 0, 0, 0

===

Bonus Ranker - Through <Round 7>

Score, UserID, 3-Over, 2-Over, 3-Under, 2-Under

63, Golden Executive, 2, 3, 5, 5
57, WinKing, 3, 3, 0, 8
48, SwitchingQuylthulg, 3, 2, 1, 6
47, chessmoron, 1, 4, 4, 3
39, Penguincw, 3, 0, 6, 1
38, OhioChessFan, 1, 5, 3, 2
33, lostemperor, 3, 3, 0, 4
32, juan31, 2, 1, 2, 3
32, PinnedPiece, 0, 0, 4, 2
22, Robin01, 1, 2, 1, 2
13, bubuli55, 0, 1, 1, 1
12, Karposian, 0, 3, 0, 1
9, wordfunph, 2, 1, 1, 0

===

Moves+Bonus Ranker - Through <Round 7>

Score, UserID

98, WinKing
88, chessmoron
67, lostemperor
66, juan31
66, PinnedPiece
63, Golden Executive
62, SwitchingQuylthulg
55, OhioChessFan
49, Karposian
39, Penguincw
30, wordfunph
22, Robin01
16, bubuli55

===

Moves Ranker (# of 1st place UNDER/OVER) - Through <Round 7>

Score,UserID

6, PinnedPiece
5, chessmoron
5, Karposian
5, lostemperor
5, WinKing
4, juan31
3, wordfunph
2, OhioChessFan
2, SwitchingQuylthulg
1, bubili55
0, Golden Executive
0, Penguincw
0, Robin01

Apr-24-15  chessmoron: Adams - Giri 1/2 35
Kramnik - Vachier-Lagrave 1-0 40
So Wesley - Carlsen 1/2 37
Mamedov - Caruana 1/2 41
Anand - Mamedyarov 1/2 43
Apr-24-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: Round 8:

Adams - Giri 1/2-1/2 35
Kramnik - Vachier-Lagrave 1/2-1/2 28
So - Carlsen 1/2-1/2 25
Mamedov - Caruana 1/2-1/2 36
Anand - Mamedyarov 1/2-1/2 44

Apr-24-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: ** Round 7 Recap **

<OhioChessFan> is about to jump off a bridge after one more guess only one move over an exact. He has about 25 of them this contest. In less important news, he got away with mentioning "5" people leading last round when anyone half paying attention would have known there were "4". People falling asleep after one line of the recaps is the rumored explanation. In even less important news than that, <PinnedPiece> has moved to the top of the #1 Ranker, <WinKing> still leads in 2 categories, and <chessmaroon> and <GE> lead one each. Only 2 rounds to go.

Apr-24-15  Karposian: Round 8:

Adams - Giri 1/2 37
Kramnik - Vachier-Lagrave 1/2 42
So - Carlsen 1/2 44
Mamedov - Caruana 1/2 44
Anand - Mamedyarov 1/2 45

Apr-24-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: Adams - Giri 0-1 34
Kramnik - Vachier-Lagrave 1/2 55
So - Carlsen 1/2 48
Mamedov - Caruana 0-1 30
Anand - Mamedyarov 1/2 25
Apr-24-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  juan31: Round 8

Adams - Giri 1/2. 38
Kramnik - Vachier-Lagrave 1-0 43
So - Carlsen 1/2. 40
Mamedov - Caruana 1/2. 39
Anand - Mamedyarov 1/2. 39

Apr-24-15  PinnedPiece: == Round 8 - Sat Apr 25
Adams - Giri 1/2 44
Kramnik - Vachier-Lagrave 1/2 34
So Wesley - Carlsen 1/2 44
Mamedov - Caruana 0-1 44
Anand - Mamedyarov 0-1 54

== Round 9 - Sun Apr 26
Mamedyarov - Adams 1/2 26
Caruana - Anand 1/2 26
Carlsen - Mamedov 1-0 46
Vachier-Lagrave - So Wesley 1/2 26
Giri - Kramnik 1/2 26

Apr-24-15  PinnedPiece: btw who is this <chessmaroon> chap?
Apr-25-15  wordfunph: Round 8

Adams - Giri 1/2 36
Kramnik - Vachier-Lagrave 1-0 50
So Wesley - Carlsen 1-0 55
Mamedov - Caruana 0-1 45
Anand - Mamedyarov 1-0 46

Apr-25-15  Golden Executive: Round 8:

Adams - Giri 1/2 30
Kramnik - Vachier-Lagrave 1-0 40
So - Carlsen 1/2 40
Mamedov - Caruana 1/2 40
Anand - Mamedyarov 1/2 30

Apr-25-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: == Round 8 - Sat Apr 25
Adams - Giri 1-0 43
Kramnik - Vachier-Lagrave 1/2 42
So Wesley - Carlsen 1/2 40
Mamedov - Caruana 0-1 40
Anand - Mamedyarov 1/2 40

== Round 9 - Sun Apr 26
Mamedyarov - Adams 1/2 38
Caruana - Anand 1/2 42
Carlsen - Mamedov 1-0 42
Vachier-Lagrave - So Wesley 1/2 44
Giri - Kramnik 1/2 41

Apr-25-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  SwitchingQuylthulg: Round 8:

Adams - Giri 1/2 37
Kramnik - Vachier-Lagrave 1/2 35
So - Carlsen 1/2 4
Mamedov - Caruana 1/2 42
Anand - Mamedyarov 1/2 31

Apr-25-15  WinKing: Round 8

Adams - Giri 1/2 40
Kramnik - Vachier-Lagrave 1/2 40
So - Carlsen 1/2 40
Mamedov - Caruana 1/2 40
Anand - Mamedyarov 1/2 40

Apr-25-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  SwitchingQuylthulg: Games have started.
Apr-25-15  chessmoron: ♔ Gashimov Memorial 2015: <Round 7> Result ♔

<Adams-Giri, 1-0 in 33 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: []
2nd Under, 6 points: []
3rd Under, 5 points: []
Over, 3 points: [['lostemperor', '1-0', '43']]
2nd Over, 2 points: []
3rd Over, 1 point1: []

===

<Anand-Mamedyarov, 1-0 in 43 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: []
2nd Under, 6 points: []
3rd Under, 5 points: []
Over, 3 points: [['wordfunph', '1-0', '46']]
2nd Over, 2 points: []
3rd Over, 1 point1: []

===

<Kramnik-MVL, 1-0 in 38 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: []
2nd Under, 6 points: []
3rd Under, 5 points: []
Over, 3 points: [['Golden Executive', '1-0', '40'], ['chessmoron', '1-0', '40']]

2nd Over, 2 points: [['juan31', '1-0', '43']]
3rd Over, 1 point1: [['wordfunph', '1-0', '50']]

===

<Mamedov-Caruana, 1/2-1/2 in 36 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: [['Penguincw', '1/2-1/2', '36']]
Under, 7 points: []
2nd Under, 6 points: []
3rd Under, 5 points: []
Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: [['juan31', '1/2-1/2', '39']]
3rd Over, 1 point1: [['Golden Executive', '1/2-1/2', '40'], ['WinKing', '1/2-1/2', '40']]

===

<So-Carlsen, 1/2-1/2 in 41 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['juan31', '1/2-1/2', '40'], ['Golden Executive', '1/2-1/2', '40'], ['lostemperor', '1/2-1/2', '40'], ['WinKing', '1/2-1/2', '40']]

2nd Under, 6 points: [['Robin01', '1/2-1/2', '38']]
3rd Under, 5 points: [['chessmoron', '1/2-1/2', '37']]

Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: [['Kaprosian', '1/2-1/2', '44'], ['PinnedPiece', '1/2-1/2', '44']]

3rd Over, 1 point1: [['OhioChessFan', '1/2-1/2', '48']]

Apr-25-15  chessmoron: Round 8 Summary:

Perfect # moves predictions for this round goes to:

<Penguincw>

Highest score in the Bonus Ranker: 6 points: <Robin01>

Results:

Moves Ranker - Through <Round 8>

Score, UserID, Over, Under, Exact

48, WinKing, 0, 4, 2
44, chessmoron, 1, 3, 2
44, lostemperor, 2, 4, 1
41, juan31, 0, 3, 2
37, Karposian, 1, 2, 2
34, PinnedPiece, 2, 4, 0
24, wordfunph, 1, 3, 0
17, OhioChessFan, 0, 1, 1
14, SwitchingQuylthulg, 0, 2, 0
10, Golden Executive, 1, 1, 0
10, Penguincw, 0, 0, 1
3, bubuli55, 1, 0, 0
0, Robin01, 0, 0, 0

===

Bonus Ranker - Through <Round 8>

Score, UserID, 3-Over, 2-Over, 3-Under, 2-Under

64, Golden Executive, 3, 3, 5, 5
58, WinKing, 4, 3, 0, 8
52, chessmoron, 1, 4, 5, 3
48, SwitchingQuylthulg, 3, 2, 1, 6
39, OhioChessFan, 2, 5, 3, 2
39, Penguincw, 3, 0, 6, 1
36, juan31, 2, 3, 2, 3
34, PinnedPiece, 0, 1, 4, 2
33, lostemperor, 3, 3, 0, 4
28, Robin01, 1, 2, 1, 3
14, Karposian, 0, 4, 0, 1
13, bubuli55, 0, 1, 1, 1
10, wordfunph, 3, 1, 1, 0

===

Moves+Bonus Ranker - Through <Round 8>

Score, UserID

106, WinKing
96, chessmoron
77, juan31
77, lostemperor
74, Golden Executive
68, PinnedPiece
62, SwitchingQuylthulg
56, OhioChessFan
51, Karposian
49, Penguincw
34, wordfunph
28, Robin01
16, bubuli55

===

Moves Ranker (# of 1st place UNDER/OVER) - Through <Round 8>

Score,UserID

7, lostemperor
6, chessmoron
6, PinnedPiece
6, WinKing
5, juan31
5, Karposian
4, wordfunph
2, Golden Executive
2, OhioChessFan
2, SwitchingQuylthulg
1, bubili55
1, Penguincw
0, Robin01

Apr-25-15  chessmoron: Mamedyarov - Adams 1/2 38
Caruana - Anand 1/2 41
Carlsen - Mamedov 1-0 34
Vachier-Lagrave - So Wesley 1/2 36
Giri - Kramnik 1/2 40
Apr-25-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: ** Round 8 Recap **

We are almost through this tournament already. In the Moves Ranker, <WinKing> holds a small lead. 3 people are within 7 points, the magic number. In Bonus Ranker, <GE> has a small lead over <WinKing> In Moves+Bonus Ranker, <WinKing> and <chessmoron> are way ahead of the field. In the #1 Ranker, <lostemperor> leads a really tight contest. <OhioChessFan> is nowhere in sight in any Ranker. Tomorrow is the last round. It starts one hour earlier than all the previous founds, 5 AM chessgames.com time. Don't be late.

<chessmoron> lives on the other side of the world and they don't know how to tell time there. It will be like 3 AM next Tuesday or 2 PM last Thursday or something when the games finish, so we might have to wait a bit for the final standings. Be patient.

Apr-25-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: Won first place in <1st Ranker> last tournament, took 8 rounds and 40 games to achieve a score of <one> this tournament. :| (well, it could be worse)

<WinKing> looks like he has a good chance to win a quadruple crown...

With nothing to lose, here are my predictions:

Round 9:

Mamedyarov - Adams 1/2-1/2 20
Caruana - Anand 1/2-1/2 30
Carlsen - Mamedov 1/2-1/2 40
Vachier-Lagrave - So 1/2-1/2 30
Giri - Kramnik 0-1 35

Apr-25-15  chessmoron: <OhioChessFan> I'm back to the states now however I am taking my talents to South Beach tonight. Just kidding. Taking a bit of vacation in Miami so I hope <WinKing> can post final round results for tomorrow.
Apr-25-15  WinKing: <chessmoron: Taking a bit of vacation in Miami so I hope <WinKing> can post final round results for tomorrow.>

No problem <chessmoron>. I will post the final results. Might be sometime in the afternoon as I have a few errands to run tomorrow. As far as the medals go I will list them but they will be 'pending' your final ok.

Apr-25-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  juan31: Round 9

Mamedyarov - Adams 1/2 40
Caruana - Anand 1/2 39
Carlsen - Mamedov 1-0 40
Vachier-Lagrave - So 1/2 43
Giri - Kramnik 0-1 43

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