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OhioChessFan
Member since Apr-09-05 · Last seen Nov-09-25
______________ Moves Prediction Contest

<Main Focus>: Predicting how many moves in a game for each pairing.

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***Hall of Fame***
chessmoron chessforum

<Format>:

[player]-[player] [result] [# of MOVES]

==4 Different Scoring Methods==

Standard Moves Ranker (1st place-Over[3pts], 1st place-Under [7pts], Exact [10pts])

Bonus Ranker (3rd place-Over[1pts],2nd place-Over[2pts],3rd place-Under [5pts], 2nd place-Under [6pts]

Standard Moves/Bonus Ranker [Add all to together]

1st place Ranker [how many 1st place you have in Standard Moves Ranker]

For example:

<Note: Participants 3, 4, and 5 are predicated on nobody scoring an exact as Participant 2 did. If someone hits an exact, the closest score under and over will score the points for second place.>

Actual Game: [player]-[player] 0-1 45

Participant 1: [player]-[player] 1/2 45
Participant 2: [player]-[player] 0-1 45
Participant 3: [player]-[player] 0-1 44
Participant 4: [player]-[player] 0-1 43
Participant 5: [player]-[player] 0-1 46

Participant 1: No points even though 45 is correct. Results must be correct. If Result is wrong and moves # is correct...you get no points whatsoever

Participant 2: 10 pts rewarded for correct Result/moves #

Participant 3: 7 pts rewarded for closest under (1st-Under) to 45 moves

Participant 4: 6 pts rewarded for the 2nd closest under (2nd-Under) to 45 moves.

Participant 5: 3 pts rewarded closest OVER(1st-OVER) to 45 moves.

Again, the description of Participant 3, 4, and 5 are based on there being no exact prediction as made by Participant 2.

<IF> there is an exact or an under closest, the highest scoring over participant will be 2nd over. The second closest over will be 3rd over. The <ONLY> time there will be a first over is if there is no exact or under winner.

Things To Look At:
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Pi Day
rreusser/computing-with-the-bailey-borwein-plouffe-formula">https://observablehq.com/(at)rreusser/...

Pun Index Game Collection: Game of the Day & Puzzle of the Day Collections

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   Current net-worth: 792 chessbucks
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   OhioChessFan has kibitzed 49343 times to chessgames   [more...]
   Nov-09-25 Fusilli chessforum
 
OhioChessFan: I found the source of a previous puzzle: https://youtu.be/3XkA2ZoVFQo?si=fGG...
 
   Nov-08-25 B Hague vs Plaskett, 2004 (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: Morra, Hague Convention, I like it.
 
   Nov-07-25 Chessgames - Politics (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: <BREAKING: British veteran breaks down live on TV over state of the country: "Rows and rows of white tombs for what? A country of today? No, I'm sorry. The sacrifice wasn't worth the result. I fought for freedom, and it's darn-sight worse now than when I fought."> Poor ...
 
   Nov-07-25 C Wells vs J Rush, 1963
 
OhioChessFan: "Fly-By Knight"
 
   Nov-07-25 K Hanache vs P Crocker, 2024
 
OhioChessFan: "Not Two Knights, I Have a Hanache"
 
   Nov-05-25 Niemann vs L Lodici, 2025 (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: White has three Pawns for a poorly placed Knight. I'd rather have the Knight, but as of move 29, I don't see any particular plans for
 
   Nov-04-25 Chessgames - Sports (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: Mike Royko was fantastic. Slats Grobnik was guaranteed to make me laugh myself silly.
 
   Nov-04-25 D Gukesh vs K Nogerbek, 2025
 
OhioChessFan: Those crazy chess players, playing down to bare Kings....
 
   Nov-04-25 B Men vs Ftacnik, 1993
 
OhioChessFan: "Mad Men"
 
   Nov-04-25 A J Fink vs Alekhine, 1932 (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: All you Block people stick together!
 
(replies) indicates a reply to the comment.

Moves Prediction Contest

Kibitzer's Corner
< Earlier Kibitzing  · PAGE 482 OF 849 ·  Later Kibitzing>
Jun-15-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: Hehe, (deletes all evidence of that debacle).

I should probably stop talking now...

Jun-15-15  chessmoron: I'll start off with my predictions.

Anish-Grischuk 1/2 38
Anand–Caruana 1/2 41
Carlsen-Topalov 1-0 42
Nakamura-Hammer 1-0 39
Vachier-Lagrave-Aronian 1/2 33

Jun-15-15  lost in space: Anish-Grischuk 1/2 53
Anand–Caruana 1/2 25
Carlsen-Topalov 1/2 92
Nakamura-Hammer 1-0 37
Vachier-Lagrave-Aronian 1/2 30
Jun-16-15  scout118: Giri - Grischuk 1/2 42
Anand - Caruana 1/2 52
Carlsen - Topalov 0-1 65
Nakamura - Hammer 1/2 44
Vachier-Lagrave - Aronian 0-1 47
Jun-16-15  Golden Executive: Round 1:

Giri - Grischuk 1/2 40
Anand - Caruana 1/2 40
Carlsen - Topalov 1/2 40
Nakamura - Hammer 1/2 30
Vachier-Lagrave - Aronian 1/2 40

Jun-16-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Good luck guys!

Anish-Grischuk 1/2 43
Anand–Caruana 1/2 42
Carlsen-Topalov 1-0 41
Nakamura-Hammer 1-0 40
Vachier-Lagrave-Aronian 1/2 39

Jun-16-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: Giri - Grischuk 1/2 35
Anand - Caruana 1/2 40
Carlsen - Topalov 1-0 42
Nakamura - Hammer 1/2 50
Vachier-Lagrave - Aronian 1/2 45
Jun-16-15  wordfunph: Ronda Uno:

Giri - Grischuk 1/2 42
Anand - Caruana 1/2 35
Carlsen - Topalov 1/2 52
Nakamura - Hammer 1-0 49
Vachier-Lagrave - Aronian 1/2 48

Jun-16-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  SwitchingQuylthulg: Round 1:

Giri - Grischuk 1/2 40
Anand - Caruana 1/2 40
Carlsen - Topalov 1-0 2
Nakamura - Hammer 1/2 31
Vachier-Lagrave - Aronian 1/2 40

Jun-16-15  alfamikewhiskey: Round 1

Giri - Grischuk 0-1 52
Anand - Caruana 1/2 45
Carlsen - Topalov 1-0 61
Nakamura - Hammer 1-0 34
Vachier-Lagrave - Aronian 1/2 32

Jun-16-15  alfamikewhiskey: @SwitchingQ: You're predicting a swift resignation on Topalov's hand when facing Carlsen! :)
Jun-16-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: < alfamikewhiskey: @SwitchingQ: You're predicting a swift resignation on Topalov's hand when facing Carlsen! :) >

Don't ever question <Switch>'s strategy. Believe it or not, that strategy has worked before. ;)

Anyway, it's 10am server time, so I guess it's safe to assume R1 has started.

Jun-16-15  choosea: Round 1

Giri - Grischuk 1/2 64
Anand - Caruana 1-0 42
Carlsen - Topalov 1-0 31
Nakamura - Hammer 1-0 43
Vachier-Lagrave - Aronian 1-0 88

Jun-16-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: Note: <choosea>'s predictions came mere minutes after I said the games started. <chessmoron>, it'll be up to you decide if they should be accepted.

http://web.archive.org/web/20150616...

Jun-16-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: Round 2:

Grischuk - Aronian 1/2-1/2 35
Hammer - Vachier-Lagrave 1/2-1/2 36
Topalov - Nakamura 1/2-1/2 37
Caruana - Carlsen 0-1 38
Giri - Anand 1/2-1/2 39

Jun-16-15  alfamikewhiskey: Round 2

Grischuk - Aronian 1/2 54
Hammer - Vachier-Lagrave 1-0 36
Topalov - Nakamura 1/2 60
Caruana - Carlsen 0-1 79
Giri - Anand 0-1 28

Jun-16-15  chessmoron: ♔ Norway 2015: <Round 1> Result ♔

<Anand-Caruana, 1/2-1/2 in 37 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: [['WinKing', '1/2-1/2', '37']]
Under, 7 points: []
2nd Under, 6 points: [['wordfunph', '1/2-1/2', '35']]

3rd Under, 5 points: [['Penguincw', '1/2-1/2', '28']]

Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: [['Golden Executive', '1/2-1/2', '40'], ['OhioChessFan', '1/2-1/2', '40'], ['SwitchingQuylthulg', '1/2-1/2', '40']]

3rd Over, 1 point1: [['chessmoron', '1/2-1/2', '41']]

===

<Carlsen-Topalov, 0-1 in 60 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: []
2nd Under, 6 points: []
3rd Under, 5 points: []
Over, 3 points: [['scout118', '0-1', '65']]
2nd Over, 2 points: []
3rd Over, 1 point1: []

===

<Giri-Grischuk, 1-0 in 42 moves.>--No one got it!

===

<MVL-Aronian, 1-0 in 59 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: []
2nd Under, 6 points: []
3rd Under, 5 points: []
Over, 3 points: [['choosea', '1-0', '88']]
2nd Over, 2 points: []
3rd Over, 1 point1: []

===

<Nakamura-Hammer, 1-0 in 53 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['wordfunph', '1-0', '49']]
2nd Under, 6 points: [['WinKing', '1-0', '45']]
3rd Under, 5 points: [['choosea', '1-0', '43']]
Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: []
3rd Over, 1 point1: []

Jun-16-15  chessmoron: Round 1 Summary:

Perfect # moves predictions for this round goes to:

<WinKing>

Highest scores in the Bonus Ranker: 6 points: <WinKing> and <wordfunph>

Results:

Moves Ranker - Through <Round 1>

Score, UserID, Over, Under, Exact

10, WinKing, 0, 0, 1
7, wordfunph, 0, 1, 0
3, choosea, 1, 0, 0
3, scout118, 1, 0, 0
0, alfamikewhiskey, 0, 0, 0
0, chessmoron, 0, 0, 0
0, Golden Executive, 0, 0, 0
0, lost in space, 0, 0, 0
0, lostemperor, 0, 0, 0
0, OhioChessFan, 0, 0, 0
0, Penguincw, 0, 0, 0
0, SwitchingQuylthulg, 0, 0, 0

===

Bonus Ranker - Through <Round 1>

Score, UserID, 3-Over, 2-Over, 3-Under, 2-Under

6, WinKing, 0, 0, 0, 1
6, wordfunph, 0, 0, 0, 1
5, choosea, 0, 0, 1, 0
5, Penguincw, 0, 0, 1, 0
2, Golden Executive, 0, 1, 0, 0
2, OhioChessFan, 0, 1, 0, 0
2, SwitchingQuylthulg, 0, 1, 0, 0
1, chessmoron, 1, 0, 0, 0
0, alfamikewhiskey, 0, 0, 0, 0
0, lost in space, 0, 0, 0, 0
0, lostemperor, 0, 0, 0, 0
0, scout118, 0, 0, 0, 0

===

Moves+Bonus Ranker - Through <Round 1>

Score, UserID

16, WinKing
13, wordfunph
8, choosea
5, Penguincw
3, scout118
2, Golden Executive
2, OhioChessFan
2, SwitchingQuylthulg
1, chessmoron
0, alfamikewhiskey
0, lost in space
0, lostemperor

===

Moves Ranker (# of 1st place UNDER/OVER) - Through <Round 1>

Score,UserID

1, choosea
1, scout118
1, WinKing
1, wordfunph
0, alfamikewhiskey
0, chessmoron
0, Golden Executive
0, lost in space
0, lostemperor
0, OhioChessFan
0, Penguincw
0, SwitchingQuylthulg

Jun-16-15  chessmoron: Grischuk - Aronian 1/2 38
Hammer - Vachier-Lagrave 1/2 34
Topalov - Nakamura 1-0 43
Caruana - Carlsen 1/2 41
Giri - Anand 1/2 40
Jun-17-15  Golden Executive: Round 2:

Grischuk - Aronian 1/2 40
Hammer - Vachier-Lagrave 0-1 36
Topalov - Nakamura 1/2 40
Caruana - Carlsen 1/2 40
Giri - Anand 1/2 40

Jun-17-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Round 2

Grischuk - Aronian 1/2 38
Hammer - Vachier-Lagrave 1/2 40
Topalov - Nakamura 1/2 45
Caruana - Carlsen 1/2 43
Giri - Anand 1/2 32

Jun-17-15  wordfunph: Round 2:

Grischuk - Aronian 1-0 50
Hammer - Vachier-Lagrave 1/2 45
Topalov - Nakamura 1/2 46
Caruana - Carlsen 1/2 37
Giri - Anand 1/2 37

Jun-17-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: ** Round 1 Recap **

And we're off! A feeble effort by our contestants, as one game had no point scorers, and two games had only one person scoring. <WinKing> has taken an early lead in all 4 categories. <wordfunph> is tied for the lead in 2 categories, and <choosea> and <scout> are tied for the lead in 1 category. Here's hoping future rounds show a better effort than this one, which has been compared to the free throw shooting skills of Andre Iguodala.

Jun-17-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: Grischuk - Aronian 1/2 40
Hammer - Vachier-Lagrave 1/2 38
Topalov - Nakamura 1/2 40
Caruana - Carlsen 1/2 55
Giri - Anand 1/2 41
Jun-17-15  scout118: Round 2:
Grischuk - Aronian 1/2 40
Hammer - Vachier-Lagrave 1/2 50
Topalov - Nakamura 1/2 50
Caruana - Carlsen 1/2 40
Giri - Anand 1/2 40
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