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OhioChessFan
Member since Apr-09-05 · Last seen Nov-22-25
______________ Moves Prediction Contest

<Main Focus>: Predicting how many moves in a game for each pairing.

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<Format>:

[player]-[player] [result] [# of MOVES]

==4 Different Scoring Methods==

Standard Moves Ranker (1st place-Over[3pts], 1st place-Under [7pts], Exact [10pts])

Bonus Ranker (3rd place-Over[1pts],2nd place-Over[2pts],3rd place-Under [5pts], 2nd place-Under [6pts]

Standard Moves/Bonus Ranker [Add all to together]

1st place Ranker [how many 1st place you have in Standard Moves Ranker]

For example:

<Note: Participants 3, 4, and 5 are predicated on nobody scoring an exact as Participant 2 did. If someone hits an exact, the closest score under and over will score the points for second place.>

Actual Game: [player]-[player] 0-1 45

Participant 1: [player]-[player] 1/2 45
Participant 2: [player]-[player] 0-1 45
Participant 3: [player]-[player] 0-1 44
Participant 4: [player]-[player] 0-1 43
Participant 5: [player]-[player] 0-1 46

Participant 1: No points even though 45 is correct. Results must be correct. If Result is wrong and moves # is correct...you get no points whatsoever

Participant 2: 10 pts rewarded for correct Result/moves #

Participant 3: 7 pts rewarded for closest under (1st-Under) to 45 moves

Participant 4: 6 pts rewarded for the 2nd closest under (2nd-Under) to 45 moves.

Participant 5: 3 pts rewarded closest OVER(1st-OVER) to 45 moves.

Again, the description of Participant 3, 4, and 5 are based on there being no exact prediction as made by Participant 2.

<IF> there is an exact or an under closest, the highest scoring over participant will be 2nd over. The second closest over will be 3rd over. The <ONLY> time there will be a first over is if there is no exact or under winner.

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rreusser/computing-with-the-bailey-borwein-plouffe-formula">https://observablehq.com/(at)rreusser/...

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Chessgames.com Full Member
   Current net-worth: 792 chessbucks
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   OhioChessFan has kibitzed 49373 times to chessgames   [more...]
   Nov-22-25 Chessgames - Music
 
OhioChessFan: 90 seconds of gorgeous harmony. Monkees-Riu Chiu https://youtu.be/riG85oA6Wy4?si=_GY...
 
   Nov-21-25 Chessgames - Politics (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: Best singer in a band is Freddie Mercury. Best woman singer in a band is Grace Slick. Best singer ever is Sam Cooke. Best female ever is Aretha Franklin. Quick takes on some others mentioned: Dylan is painfully bad. Sinatra is off key 75% of the time. Jim Croce had the best ...
 
   Nov-21-25 S J Stevens vs Gracie, 1878
 
OhioChessFan: White to make his 18th move would be a decent Tuesday puzzle.
 
   Nov-21-25 A Niyibizi vs Cheda, 2014 (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: Amusing pun. Patience paid off.
 
   Nov-19-25 W Hug vs Korchnoi, 1978 (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: 18. Ne4 opened up the middle to Black's Queen and LSB. 18. Nb1 was fine.
 
   Nov-18-25 S P Sethuraman vs C Anto, 2025
 
OhioChessFan: <redundant> I never noticed that. I had 5 semesters of college German so I have a basic knowledge of the language. I guess the different languages of "time" in the same sentence render it acceptable. Monty Python just doesn't work for me. I like maybe 10% of their stuff.
 
   Nov-14-25 McShane vs I Samunenkov, 2025
 
OhioChessFan: Nice analysis from Mikhail Golubev https://www.chess.com/blog/MikhailG...
 
   Nov-14-25 Mikhail Golubev
 
OhioChessFan: I just played over the Samunenkov game. What do you think of the Petroff in general? Do you need to be booked up on the latest lines or can you just rely on general principles?
 
   Nov-14-25 V Biliy vs V Golovach, 2003
 
OhioChessFan: Wildly entertaining game that lasted a long time with an odd material imbalance. 41...Ke5 was losing, as it gave up the skewer on the two Rooks on the long diagonal. 41...Kd7 would have been fine.
 
   Nov-13-25 D Moody vs D Helf, 1976
 
OhioChessFan: "Dewey, I'm Cut in Helf Pretty Bad"
 
(replies) indicates a reply to the comment.

Moves Prediction Contest

Kibitzer's Corner
< Earlier Kibitzing  · PAGE 669 OF 849 ·  Later Kibitzing>
Apr-24-18  alfamikewhiskey: Round 6

Radjabov-Wojtaszek 1/2 37
Karjakin-Carlsen 1/2 37
Topalov-Mamedov 1/2 37
Giri-Navara 0-1 32
Ding-Mamedyarov 1/2 37

Apr-24-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  SwitchingQuylthulg: Round 6:

Radjabov - Wojtaszek 1/2 41
Karjakin - Carlsen 1/2 41
Topalov - Mamedov 1/2 41
Giri - Navara 1/2 41
Ding - Mamedyarov 1/2 41

Apr-24-18  Count Wedgemore: Round 6:

Radjabov - Wojtaszek 1/2 41
Karjakin - Carlsen 1/2 40
Topalov - Mamedov 1/2 43
Giri - Navara 1/2 42
Ding - Mamedyarov 1/2 40

Apr-24-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: Round 6:

Radjabov - Wojtaszek 1/2-1/2 39
Karjakin - Carlsen 1/2-1/2 40
Topalov - Mamedov 1/2-1/2 41
Giri - Navara 1/2-1/2 39
Ding - Mamedyarov 1/2-1/2 39

Apr-24-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: Round 6:

Radjabov - Wojtaszek 1/2 42
Karjakin - Carlsen 1/2 40
Topalov - Mamedov 1/2 41
Giri - Navara 1-0 36
Ding - Mamedyarov 1/2 40

Apr-25-18  Golden Executive: Round 6:

Radjabov-Wojtaszek 1/2 40
Karjakin-Carlsen 1/2 40
Topalov-Mamedov 1/2 40
Giri-Navara 1/2 40
Ding-Mamedyarov 1/2 40

Apr-25-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  offramp:
Round 6:

Radjabov - Wojtaszek 1/2 28
Karjakin - Carlsen 1/2 52
Topalov - Mamedov 1/2 36
Giri - Navara 1/2 45
Ding - Mamedyarov 1/2 61

Apr-25-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  SwitchingQuylthulg: Games have started.
Apr-25-18  chessmoron: ♔ Gashimov 2018: <Round 6> Result ♔

<Ding-Mamedyarov, 1/2-1/2 in 37 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: [['alfamikewhiskey', '1/2-1/2', '37']]

Under, 7 points: []
2nd Under, 6 points: [['wordfunph', '1/2-1/2', '36'], ['lostemperor', '1/2-1/2', '36']]

3rd Under, 5 points: []
Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: [['Penguincw', '1/2-1/2', '39']]

3rd Over, 1 point1: [['chessmoron', '1/2-1/2', '40'], ['Schwartz', '1/2-1/2', '40'], ['Count Wedgemore', '1/2-1/2', '40'], ['OhioChessFan', '1/2-1/2', '40'], ['Golden Executive', '1/2-1/2', '40']]

===

<Giri-Navara, 1-0 in 28 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: []
2nd Under, 6 points: []
3rd Under, 5 points: []
Over, 3 points: [['OhioChessFan', '1-0', '36']]

2nd Over, 2 points: [['lostemperor', '1-0', '46']]

3rd Over, 1 point1: []

===

<Karjakin-Carlsen, 1/2-1/2 in 30 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: []
2nd Under, 6 points: []
3rd Under, 5 points: []
Over, 3 points: [['Schwartz', '1/2-1/2', '31']]

2nd Over, 2 points: [['wordfunph', '1/2-1/2', '36']]

3rd Over, 1 point1: [['alfamikewhiskey', '1/2-1/2', '37']]

===

<Radjabov-Wojtaszek, 1/2-1/2 in 35 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: [['bubuli55', '1/2-1/2', '35']]

Under, 7 points: []
2nd Under, 6 points: [['offramp', '1/2-1/2', '28']]

3rd Under, 5 points: []
Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: [['wordfunph', '1/2-1/2', '36']]

3rd Over, 1 point1: [['alfamikewhiskey', '1/2-1/2', '37']]

==

<Topalov-Mamedov, 1/2-1/2 in 41 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: [['SwitchingQuylthulg', '1/2-1/2', '41'], ['Penguincw', '1/2-1/2', '41'], ['OhioChessFan', '1/2-1/2', '41']]

Under, 7 points: []
2nd Under, 6 points: [['Golden Executive', '1/2-1/2', '40']]

3rd Under, 5 points: [['juan31', '1/2-1/2', '38']]

Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: [['Count Wedgemore', '1/2-1/2', '43']] 3rd Over, 1 point1: []

Apr-25-18  chessmoron: Round 6 Summary:

Perfect # moves predictions for this round goes to:

<alfamikewhiskey>, <bubuli55>, <OhioChessFan>, <Penguincw>, and <SwitchingQuylthulg>

Highest scores in the Bonus Ranker: 10 points: <wordfunph>

Moves Ranker - Through <Round 6>

Score, UserID, Over, Under, Exact

54, SwitchingQuylthulg, 0, 2, 4
30, Golden Executive, 1, 1, 2
30, OhioChessFan, 2, 2, 1
28, sea otter, 0, 4, 0
27, Penguincw, 0, 1, 2
24, lostemperor, 1, 3, 0
24, alfamikewhiskey, 0, 2, 1
21, Count Wedgemore, 0, 3, 0
20, chessmoron, 0, 0, 2
17, bubuli55, 0, 1, 1
13, wordfunph, 1, 0, 1
10, juan31, 0, 0, 1
3, Schwartz, 1, 0, 0
0, offramp, 0, 0, 0

===

Bonus Ranker - Through <Round 6>

Score, UserID, 3-Over, 2-Over, 3-Under, 2-Under

52, Golden Executive, 4, 4, 2, 5
46, Penguincw, 5, 4, 3, 3
39, SwitchingQuylthulg, 2, 2, 3, 3
35, juan31, 2, 3, 3, 2
35, lostemperor, 2, 2, 1, 4
34, Count Wedgemore, 4, 4, 2, 2
32, wordfunph, 1, 2, 3, 2
21, OhioChessFan, 2, 1, 1, 2
20, chessmoron, 3, 3, 1, 1
17, alfamikewhiskey, 3, 1, 0, 2
15, offramp, 3, 3, 0, 1
9, bubuli55, 1, 1, 0, 1
6, sea otter, 1, 0, 1, 0
1, Schwartz, 1, 0, 0, 0

===

Moves+Bonus Ranker - Through <Round 6>

Score, UserID

93, SwitchingQuylthulg
82, Golden Executive
73, Penguincw
59, lostemperor
55, Count Wedgemore
51, OhioChessFan
45, juan31
45, wordfunph
41, alfamikewhiskey
40, chessmoron
34, sea otter
26, bubuli55
15, offramp
4, Schwartz

===

Moves Ranker (# of 1st place UNDER/OVER) - Through <Round 6>

Score,UserID

6, SwitchingQuylthulg
5, OhioChessFan
4, Golden Executive
4, lostemperor
4, sea otter
3, alfamikewhiskey
3, Count Wedgemore
3, Penguincw
2, bubuli55
2, chessmoron
2, wordfunph
1, juan31
1, Schwartz
0, offramp

Apr-25-18  Count Wedgemore: Okay, this is frustrating.

The players in the Gashimov memorial are not allowed to make draw offers until move 41, yet they keep finding ingenious ways to draw their games long before that. I admire their resourcefulness, but IT'S KILLED MY CHANCES. I assumed there would be very few games that ended before move 41, so my prediction strategy this time around took that into account, but turns out it was the wrong decision.

But: I will return with great fury and determination..next time!

Apr-25-18  Count Wedgemore: I'd just like to add one more thing: given my failed strategy I should of course attempt to 'right the ship' as soon as possible.

But I just can't get myself to change my pre-planned strategy for this tournament in the middle of the contest. I'm stubborn that way.

Oh, well. I can only blame myself, I suppose..

Apr-25-18  chessmoron: Mamedyarov-Radjabov 1/2 41
Navara-Ding 1/2 42
Mamedov=Giri 1/2 43
Carlsen-Topalov 1-0 40
Wojtaszek-Karjakin 1/2 44
Apr-25-18  sea otter: Mamedyarov-Radjabov 1/2 41
Navara-Ding 1/2 41
Mamedov=Giri 1/2 41
Carlsen-Topalov 0-1 33
Wojtaszek-Karjakin 1/2 41
Apr-25-18  alfamikewhiskey: Round 7:

Mamedyarov-Radjabov 1-0 35
Navara-Ding 1-0 32
Mamedov-Giri 1/2 37
Carlsen-Topalov 1/2 37
Wojtaszek - Karjakin 1/2 37

Apr-25-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  juan31: ROUND 7
Mamedyarov-Radjabov 1/2 37
Navara-Ding 1/2 40
Mamedov-Giri 1/2 35
Carlsen-Topalov 1/2 379
Wojtaszek - Karjakin 1/2 40
Apr-25-18  Count Wedgemore: Round 7:

Mamedyarov - Radjabov 1/2 43
Navara - Ding 1/2 40
Mamedov - Giri 1/2 41
Carlsen - Topalov 1-0 45
Wojtaszek - Karjakin 1/2 40

Apr-25-18  wordfunph: Round 7:

Mamedyarov-Radjabov 1/2 35
Navara-Ding 0-1 46
Mamedov-Giri 1/2 35
Carlsen-Topalov 1/2 46
Wojtaszek - Karjakin 1/2 38

Apr-25-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: ** Round 6 Recap **

Things are getting interesting as we reached the 2/3 point of our contest. <Switch> still leads 3 Rankers. <GE> and <Penguin> still lead <Switch> in the Bonus Ranker. <OCF> made a charge up the #1 Ranker to pose a challenge to <Switch>, who promptly laughed it off.

In other news, everyone is still trying to decipher <OCF's> whining about "If I can't win, I'd rather lose." <lostemperor> is the only person who thought it might make sense, but he suggested that maybe <OCF> used poor syntax. <Penguincw> had to go and mention the 666 issue that <OCF> was hoping everyone would miss or ignore. <offramp> has revoked his fatwa against the tournament contestants and issued one against this contest, as he is still the only person with a 0 on the scoreboard. In a touching display of generosity, <juan31> and <GE> have offered to pay for <OCF> to take "Spanish as a Second Language" classes. <OCF> said, "I am so embarazado, I should do this." Invoking the newly invented Shankland Strategy, <wordfunph> has decided that he's going to pick Black to win every game the rest of the tournament.

In an amusing moment, <Count Wedgemore> expressed his dismay at the players not making at least 40 moves a game, when that stipulation is clearly in the tournament rules. The rest of our contestants were giggling behind their hands. <sea otter> and <Schwartz> were heard laughing with each other saying, "Imagine, someone thinks the players are actually going to play by the RULES!" <OCF> does think <Count's> naivte' is a bit endearing.

And it's down the homestretch for fame and fortune, and a possible historic event, whereby someone, not <Penguincw> but someone, is gunning for the first ever second conescutive Quadruple Crown. Some of our contestants are making heroic efforts to stall off <Switch> in his quest, <GE>, <Penguin> and <OCF> in particular, but the possibility is still on the table. Can <Switch> do it? Can someone else stop him? Will <offramp> ever hit a #1? Stay tuned for the answers to these and many other pertinent questions. 3 rounds to go in our exciting contest.

Apr-25-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  SwitchingQuylthulg: Round 7:

Mamedyarov - Radjabov 1/2 25
Navara - Ding 1/2 41
Mamedov - Giri 1/2 41
Carlsen - Topalov 1/2 46
Wojtaszek - Karjakin 1/2 41

<juan31: Carlsen-Topalov 1/2 379>

That's a lot of moves!

Apr-25-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: Yay, I hit an exact. Feeling lucky/good today. Must be because today's World Penguin Day.

Round 7:

Mamedyarov - Radjabov 1/2-1/2 39
Navara - Ding 1/2-1/2 41
Mamedov - Giri 1/2-1/2 41
Carlsen - Topalov 1/2-1/2 43
Wojtaszek - Karjakin 1/2-1/2 36

Apr-25-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: Mamedyarov - Radjabov 1-0 31
Navara - Ding 0-1 24
Mamedov - Giri 1/2 30
Carlsen - Topalov 1-0 47
Wojtaszek - Karjakin 1/2 40
Apr-25-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  juan31: CORRECTION. CORRECTION
ROUND 7
Mamedyarov-Radjabov 1/2 37
Navara-Ding 1/2 40
Mamedov-Giri 1/2 35
Carlsen-Topalov 1/2 37
Wojtaszek - Karjakin 1/2 40
< Gracias WinKing>
Apr-26-18
Premium Chessgames Member
  offramp:
Round 7:

Mamedyarov-Radjabov 1-0 54
Navara-Ding 0-1 36
Mamedov-Giri 1/2 31
Carlsen-Topalov 1-0 45
Wojtaszek - Karjakin 1/2 40

Apr-26-18  Golden Executive: Round 7:

Mamedyarov - Radjabov 1/2 40
Navara - Ding 1/2 40
Mamedov - Giri 1/2 40
Carlsen - Topalov 1/2 40
Wojtaszek - Karjakin 1/2 40

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