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OhioChessFan
Member since Apr-09-05 · Last seen Jan-20-26
______________ Moves Prediction Contest

<Main Focus>: Predicting how many moves in a game for each pairing.

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***Hall of Fame***
chessmoron chessforum

<Format>:

[player]-[player] [result] [# of MOVES]

==4 Different Scoring Methods==

Standard Moves Ranker (1st place-Over[3pts], 1st place-Under [7pts], Exact [10pts])

Bonus Ranker (3rd place-Over[1pts],2nd place-Over[2pts],3rd place-Under [5pts], 2nd place-Under [6pts]

Standard Moves/Bonus Ranker [Add all to together]

1st place Ranker [how many 1st place you have in Standard Moves Ranker]

For example:

<Note: Participants 3, 4, and 5 are predicated on nobody scoring an exact as Participant 2 did. If someone hits an exact, the closest score under and over will score the points for second place.>

Actual Game: [player]-[player] 0-1 45

Participant 1: [player]-[player] 1/2 45
Participant 2: [player]-[player] 0-1 45
Participant 3: [player]-[player] 0-1 44
Participant 4: [player]-[player] 0-1 43
Participant 5: [player]-[player] 0-1 46

Participant 1: No points even though 45 is correct. Results must be correct. If Result is wrong and moves # is correct...you get no points whatsoever

Participant 2: 10 pts rewarded for correct Result/moves #

Participant 3: 7 pts rewarded for closest under (1st-Under) to 45 moves

Participant 4: 6 pts rewarded for the 2nd closest under (2nd-Under) to 45 moves.

Participant 5: 3 pts rewarded closest OVER(1st-OVER) to 45 moves.

Again, the description of Participant 3, 4, and 5 are based on there being no exact prediction as made by Participant 2.

<IF> there is an exact or an under closest, the highest scoring over participant will be 2nd over. The second closest over will be 3rd over. The <ONLY> time there will be a first over is if there is no exact or under winner.

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Pi Day
rreusser/computing-with-the-bailey-borwein-plouffe-formula">https://observablehq.com/(at)rreusser/...

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   Current net-worth: 792 chessbucks
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   OhioChessFan has kibitzed 49578 times to chessgames   [more...]
   Jan-19-26 D Ghizdavu vs I Roebuck, 1966 (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: "Sears Roebuck"
 
   Jan-18-26 E Moskow vs A Lesiege, 1993
 
OhioChessFan: "Moskow Under Lesiege"
 
   Jan-18-26 A Erigaisi vs Praggnanandhaa, 2026 (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: I had no idea on the pun until I googled it.
 
   Jan-17-26 Chessgames - Politics (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: <FSR: <OCF> and fellow MAGAts will tell you Ashli and company were just peaceful, law-abiding folks who wanted to chat with their elected representatives.> <OCF: Quote me, please.> <aw,: Don't play search-thread games. Don't make people look for what you ...
 
   Jan-15-26 Julien Song (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: 90 minute games today and tomorrow. Next day the rapids. Fourth day the blitz. Am I the only one with no audio on the chess.com stream?
 
   Jan-15-26 Chessgames - Music
 
OhioChessFan: Do yourself a favor and spend three minutes listening to this nice flute driven piece. Nestor Torres-Cute https://youtu.be/Eor1meJSZPs?si=duk...
 
   Jan-14-26 Kibitzer's Café (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: <kl: Today for the first time ever I played a vlack knight to c8> I'm impressed you could keep up with that fact.
 
   Jan-14-26 C Gilberg vs Dickson, 1866 (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: <sfod: <jn> couldn't even grant a one-day reprieve for us before he *ruined* the original pun! Talk about raining on the parade.> Thought the same thing.
 
   Jan-13-26 J Krejcik vs J Thirring, 1898
 
OhioChessFan: "Thirring Victory"
 
   Jan-10-26 J Cesena vs J Dyke, 1979 (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: Terrific pun.
 
(replies) indicates a reply to the comment.

Moves Prediction Contest

Kibitzer's Corner
< Earlier Kibitzing  · PAGE 743 OF 849 ·  Later Kibitzing>
Apr-06-19
Premium Chessgames Member
  juan31: ROUND 7

Radjabov - Topalov 0-1 44
Anand - Grischuk 1-0 42
Navara - Karjakin 1/2 39
Carlsen - Giri 1/2 44
Mamedyarov - Ding 1-0 48

Apr-06-19  chessmoron: ♔ Gashimov 2019: <Round 6> Result ♔

<Ding-Carlsen, 1/2-1/2 in 40 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: [['Penguincw', '1/2-1/2', '40'], ['chessmoron', '1/2-1/2', '40']]

Under, 7 points: []
2nd Under, 6 points: [['alfamikewhiskey', '1/2-1/2', '34']]

3rd Under, 5 points: [['Golden Executive', '1/2-1/2', '33']]

Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: [['bubuli55', '1/2-1/2', '41']]

3rd Over, 1 point1: [['wordfunph', '1/2-1/2', '50']]

==

<Giri-Navara, 1/2-1/2 in 26 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: []
2nd Under, 6 points: []
3rd Under, 5 points: []
Over, 3 points: [['bubuli55', '1/2-1/2', '30']]

2nd Over, 2 points: [['wordfunph', '1/2-1/2', '33']]

3rd Over, 1 point1: [['Penguincw', '1/2-1/2', '35']]

===

<Grishuk-Radjabov, 1/2-1/2 in 40 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: [['Golden Executive', '1/2-1/2', '40']]

Under, 7 points: []
2nd Under, 6 points: [['Penguincw', '1/2-1/2', '35']]

3rd Under, 5 points: [['Count Wedgemore', '1/2-1/2', '34']]

Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: [['OhioChessFan', '1/2-1/2', '41'], ['chessmoron', '1/2-1/2', '41'], ['WinKing', '1/2-1/2', '41'], ['bubuli55', '1/2-1/2', '41']]

3rd Over, 1 point1: [['juan31', '1/2-1/2', '44']]

===

<Karjakin-Anand, 1-0 in 52 moves.>--No one got it!

==

<Topalov-Mamedyarov, 1-0 in 33 moves.>--No one got it!

Apr-06-19  WinKing: <chessmoron> I think you have the <Ding-Carlsen, 1/2-1/2 in 40 moves> wrong. Both the official website & chess24 have the game as <Ding-Carlsen, 1/2-1/2 in 39 moves>. I think the 39 moves is correct. You might want to check that out as it affects the scoring greatly.

<ChessBomb> has the game as being 40 moves but I believe that is wrong. That last move they have 40. Kd3 was never played. Carlsen played 39... Ra4+ offering a draw & Ding Liren accepted the draw never playing a 40th move.

Apr-06-19  WinKing: I never trust <ChessBomb>'s scoring as they often get things wrong.
Apr-06-19  WinKing: Official site: http://shamkirchess.com/content/98
Apr-06-19
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: I have to agree. cg.c has it as 39 moves also.

Ding Liren vs Carlsen, 2019

Apr-06-19  chessmoron: Round 6 Summary:

Perfect # moves predictions for this round goes to

<Golden Executive>

Highest scores in the Bonus Ranker: 10 points: <Count Wedgemore>

Results:

Moves Ranker - Through <Round 6>

Score, UserID, Over, Under, Exact

37, Golden Executive, 1, 2, 2
34, chessmoron, 0, 2, 2
24, bubuli55, 1, 3, 0
20, Count Wedgemore, 2, 2, 0
20, wordfunph, 2, 2, 0
17, WinKing, 0, 1, 1
14, juan31, 0, 2, 0
7, alfamikewhiskey, 0, 1, 0
7, Penguincw, 0, 1, 0
0, alfamikewhiskey, 0, 0, 0
0, OhioChessFan, 0, 0, 0

===

Bonus Ranker - Through <Round 6>

Score, UserID, 3-Over, 2-Over, 3-Under, 2-Under

40, Golden Executive, 2, 0, 4, 3
38, Count Wedgemore, 1, 2, 3, 3
34, juan31, 4, 1, 2, 3
33, wordfunph, 0, 5, 1, 3
27, OhioChessFan, 0, 3, 3, 1
20, WinKing, 1, 4, 1, 1
18, bubuli55, 3, 2, 1, 1
14, alfamikewhiskey, 1, 1, 1, 1
14, chessmoron, 2, 3, 0, 1
13, Penguincw, 1, 3, 0, 1

===

Moves+Bonus Ranker - Through <Round 6>

Score, UserID

77, Golden Executive
58, Count Wedgemore
53, wordfunph
48, chessmoron
48, juan31
42, bubuli55
37, WinKing
27, OhioChessFan
21, alfamikewhiskey
20, Penguincw

===

Moves Ranker (# of 1st place UNDER/OVER) - Through <Round 6>

Score,UserID

4, chessmoron
5, Golden Executive
4, bubuli55
4, Count Wedgemore
3, wordfunph
2, juan31
1, alfamikewhiskey
1, Penguincw
2, WinKing
0, OhioChessFan

Apr-06-19
Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: I support those opinions. When 2 sites like ChessBomb and chess24 have a dispute, I've noticed chess24 <always> ends up being right. (been the case since at least 2015).

So DL-Carlsen is 1/2-1/2 39.

Apr-06-19
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: ** Round 6 Recap **

The round was marred by controversy greater than the end of the Virginia/Auburn game, as the chess world couldn't decide how many moves took place in the Ding-Carlsen game. <Winky> took his life in his own hands by pointing out to <chessmoron> that the game really went 39, and not 40, moves. <chessmoron> glared and glared and glared some more, but finally manned up and relented, costing himself 8 points in the process.

Quietly behind the scenes, <GE> moved into the lead in all 4 Rankers! He managed to avoid all the Ding-Carlsen controversy and nonchalantly moved up the leaderboards.

In other news, <OhioChessFan> is even more humiliated now that <amw> and <Penguincw>, who entered the contest late, have both hit a #1, so that <OCF> is the only person left with a 0 on the scoreboard. <OCF> was screaming through the time control of the Grischuk-Radjabov game to "PLEASE, PLAY JUST ONE MORE MOVE!". <OCF> was very heartened to see his new best friends, <chessmoron>, <Winky>, and <bubuli> screaming along with him, in an obvious show of support for the beleagured <OCF>. In an interesting development, <Winky> is looking for legal representation against a possible defamation suit from chessbomb.com. <Winky> has already signed up <Penguincw> as a star witness, which should guarantee a long and expensive trial if it gets to that point. More details to follow.

We are already 2/3 of the way through our contest. Can <GE> hope to keep it a secret the rest of the way that he's on pace for a Quadruple Crown? Who can step out of the pack to challenge him? Will <OCF> ever get rid of those embarrassing 0's on the scoreboard? Will there be any cough, cough <recriminations> against anyone who helped to take 8 points away from <chessmoron>? Stay tuned for the answers to these and many other probing questions. 3 rounds to go in our thrilling contest.

Apr-06-19
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: <cm> don't forget to correct <amw> to 7 points in Moves Ranker:

Moves Ranker - Through <Round 6>

Score, UserID, Over, Under, Exact

37, Golden Executive, 1, 2, 2
34, chessmoron, 0, 2, 2
24, bubuli55, 1, 3, 0
20, Count Wedgemore, 2, 2, 0
20, wordfunph, 2, 2, 0
17, WinKing, 0, 1, 1
14, juan31, 0, 2, 0
7, alfamikewhiskey, 0, 1, 0
7, Penguincw, 0, 1, 0
<0, alfamikewhiskey, 0, 0, 0 >

Apr-06-19
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: Radjabov - Topalov 1/2 23
Anand - Grischuk 0-1 23
Navara - Karjakin 1/2 40
Carlsen - Giri 1/2 32
Mamedyarov - Ding 1/2 43
Apr-06-19  WinKing: Round 7

Radjabov - Topalov 1/2 41
Anand - Grischuk 1/2 41
Navara - Karjakin 1/2 41
Carlsen - Giri 1/2 41
Mamedyarov - Ding 1/2 41

Apr-06-19
Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: Round 7:

Radjabov - Topalov 1/2-1/2 39
Anand - Grischuk 1/2-1/2 39
Navara - Karjakin 1/2-1/2 39
Carlsen - Giri 1/2-1/2 39
Mamedyarov - Ding Liren 1/2-1/2 39

Apr-07-19  wordfunph: Round 7:

Radjabov - Topalov 1/2 37
Anand - Grischuk 1/2 46
Navara - Karjakin 1/2 35
Carlsen - Giri 1/2 48
Mamedyarov - Ding 1/2 45

Apr-07-19  Golden Executive: Round 7:

Radjabov - Topalov 1/2 40
Anand - Grischuk 1/2 35
Navara - Karjakin 1/2 39
Carlsen - Giri 1-0 26
Mamedyarov - Ding 1/2 40

Apr-07-19  alfamikewhiskey: Round 7:
Radjabov - Topalov 1/2 34
Anand - Grischuk 0-1 34
Navara - Karjakin 1/2 38
Carlsen - Giri 1-0 38
Mamedyarov - Ding 1/2 26
Apr-07-19  chessmoron: Radjabov - Topalov 1/2 39
Anand - Grischuk 1/2 41
Navara - Karjakin 1/2 37
Carlsen - Giri 1-0 41
Mamedyarov - Ding 1/2 40
Apr-07-19  WinKing: Games have started.
Apr-07-19
Premium Chessgames Member
  juan31: ROUND 8

Topalov-Ding 1-0 44
Giri-Mamedyarov 1/2 39
Karjakin-Carlsen 0-1 47
Grischuk-Navara 1/2 43
Radjabov-Anand 0-1 48

Apr-07-19  bubuli55: Round 8

Topalov-Ding 1/2 33
Giri-Mamedyarov 1/2 33
Karjakin-Carlsen 1/2 33
Grischuk-Navara 1/2 33
Radjabov-Anand 1/2 33

Apr-07-19  Count Wedgemore: Round 8:

Topalov - Ding 1/2 34
Giri - Mamedyarov 1/2 35
Karjakin - Carlsen 1/2 38
Grischuk - Navara 1/2 38
Radjabov - Anand 1/2 32

Apr-07-19  wordfunph: Round 8:

Topalov-Ding 1/2 46
Giri-Mamedyarov 1/2 36
Karjakin-Carlsen 1/2 32
Grischuk-Navara 1/2 46
Radjabov-Anand 1/2 32

Apr-07-19
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: Topalov-Ding 1/2 41
Giri-Mamedyarov 1-0 41
Karjakin-Carlsen 1/2 32
Grischuk-Navara 1/2 37
Radjabov-Anand 1/2 35
Apr-07-19  WinKing: Round 8

Topalov - Ding 1/2 41
Giri - Mamedyarov 1/2 41
Karjakin - Carlsen 1/2 41
Grischuk - Navara 1-0 41
Radjabov - Anand 1/2 41

Apr-07-19  chessmoron: ♔ Gashimov 2019: <Round 7> Result ♔

<Anand-Karjakin, 1/2-1/2 in 32 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: []
2nd Under, 6 points: []
3rd Under, 5 points: []
Over, 3 points: [['Golden Executive', '1/2-1/2', '35']]

2nd Over, 2 points: [['Count Wedgemore', '1/2-1/2', '38']]

3rd Over, 1 point1: [['Penguincw', '1/2-1/2', '39']]

===

<Carlsen-Giri, 1-0 in 38 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: [['alfamikewhiskey', '1-0', '38']]

Under, 7 points: []
2nd Under, 6 points: [['Golden Executive', '1-0', '26']]

3rd Under, 5 points: []
Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: [['bubuli55', '1-0', '40']]

3rd Over, 1 point1: [['chessmoron', '1-0', '41']]

===

<Mamedyarov-Ding, 1/2-1/2 in 54 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['wordfunph', '1/2-1/2', '45']]

2nd Under, 6 points: [['OhioChessFan', '1/2-1/2', '43']]

3rd Under, 5 points: [['WinKing', '1/2-1/2', '41']]

Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: []
3rd Over, 1 point1: []

===

<Navara-Karjakin, 1/2-1/2 in 40 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: [['OhioChessFan', '1/2-1/2', '40']]

Under, 7 points: []
2nd Under, 6 points: [['Penguincw', '1/2-1/2', '39'], ['Golden Executive', '1/2-1/2', '39'], ['juan31', '1/2-1/2', '39']]

3rd Under, 5 points: [['alfamikewhiskey', '1/2-1/2', '38']]

Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: [['WinKing', '1/2-1/2', '41']]

3rd Over, 1 point1: []

===

<Radjabov-Topalov, 1/2-1/2 in 38 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['wordfunph', '1/2-1/2', '37']]

2nd Under, 6 points: [['Count Wedgemore', '1/2-1/2', '36']]

3rd Under, 5 points: [['alfamikewhiskey', '1/2-1/2', '34']]

Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: [['Penguincw', '1/2-1/2', '39'], ['chessmoron', '1/2-1/2', '39']]

3rd Over, 1 point1: [['Golden Executtive', '1/2-1/2', '40']]

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