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| Nov-25-21 | | paavoh: Happy Thanksgiving all! Good to see many familiar names predicting! This is my first time trying this format with # moves included, so here goes: G1 Nepomniachtchi-Carlsen 1/2 44
G2 Carlsen-Nepomniachtchi 1/2 52
G3 Nepomniachtchi-Carlsen 1/2 32
G4 Carlsen-Nepomniachtchi 1/2 49
G5 Nepomniachtchi-Carlsen 1/2 35
G6 Carlsen-Nepomniachtchi 1-0 55
G7 Nepomniachtchi-Carlsen 1/2 38
G8 Carlsen-Nepomniachtchi 1/2 68
G9 Carlsen-Nepomniachtchi 1/2 42
G10 Nepomniachtchi-Carlsen 1/2 37
G11 Carlsen-Nepomniachtchi 1-0 77
G12 Nepomniachtchi-Carlsen 1/2 65
G13 Carlsen-Nepomniachtchi 1/2 36 |
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| Nov-25-21 | | diceman: Happy Thanksgiving
G1 Nepomniachtchi-Carlsen 1/2 75
G2 Carlsen-Nepomniachtchi 1/2 45
G3 Nepomniachtchi-Carlsen 1/2 62
G4 Carlsen-Nepomniachtchi 1/2 63
G5 Nepomniachtchi-Carlsen 1/2 37
G6 Carlsen-Nepomniachtchi 1/2 68
G7 Nepomniachtchi-Carlsen 1/2 38
G8 Carlsen-Nepomniachtchi 1-0 42
G9 Carlsen-Nepomniachtchi 1/2 64
G10 Nepomniachtchi-Carlsen 1/2 54
G11 Carlsen-Nepomniachtchi 1/2 50
G12 Nepomniachtchi-Carlsen 1/2 31
G13 Carlsen-Nepomniachtchi 1/2 50
G14 Nepomniachtchi-Carlsen 1/2 50 |
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Nov-25-21
 | | Penguincw: < chessmoron > Thank you, reposting:
G1: Nepomniachtchi - Carlsen 1/2-1/2 40
G2: Carlsen - Nepomniachtchi 1/2-1/2 40
G3: Nepomniachtchi - Carlsen 1/2-1/2 40
G4: Carlsen - Nepomniachtchi 1/2-1/2 40
G5: Nepomniachtchi - Carlsen 1/2-1/2 40
G6: Carlsen - Nepomniachtchi 1/2-1/2 40
G7: Nepomniachtchi - Carlsen 1/2-1/2 40
G8: Carlsen - Nepomniachtchi 1/2-1/2 40
G9: Carlsen - Nepomniachtchi 1/2-1/2 40
G10: Nepomniachtchi - Carlsen 1/2-1/2 40
G11: Carlsen - Nepomniachtchi 1/2-1/2 40
G12: Nepomniachtchi - Carlsen 1/2-1/2 40
G13: Carlsen - Nepomniachtchi 1/2-1/2 40
If the pairings change again, well, pretty obvious what my predictions would be. |
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| Nov-25-21 | | whiteshark: G1 Nepomniachtchi-Carlsen 1/2 30
G2 Carlsen-Nepomniachtchi 1/2 55
G3 Nepomniachtchi-Carlsen 1/2 35
G4 Carlsen-Nepomniachtchi 1/2 60
G5 Nepomniachtchi-Carlsen 1/2 40
G6 Carlsen-Nepomniachtchi 1-0 65
G7 Nepomniachtchi-Carlsen 1/2 45
G8 Carlsen-Nepomniachtchi 1/2 80
G9 Carlsen-Nepomniachtchi 1/2 70
G10 Nepomniachtchi-Carlsen 1/2 55
G11 Carlsen-Nepomniachtchi 1/2 80
G12 Nepomniachtchi-Carlsen 1/2 70
G13 Carlsen-Nepomniachtchi 1/2 60
G14 Nepomniachtchi-Carlsen 1/2 75
<alfamikewhiskey>: G13 + G14 are missing here;
the same goes for <paavoh>: G14 |
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| Nov-25-21 | | alfamikewhiskey: Thanks <whiteshark> But I predict that Carlsen will have 6,5 pts after G11. Assuming (as I do) he wins G12, there will be no G13 or G14, I believe. Cf. Regulations for the FIDE World Championship Match 2021, § 4. 3. 1.: <The player who scores 7.5 points or more wins the World Championship Match. No further games are played.> <https://handbook.fide.com/files/han...> |
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| Nov-25-21 | | alfamikewhiskey: <paavoh>'s predictions may be based on this, too. |
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| Nov-25-21 | | whiteshark: <alfamikewhiskey:> The point goes to you! Under this criterion <jfq> would be finished already after game 11, although I secretly wish that her prediction for game 13 would come true. ;) |
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| Nov-25-21 | | Golden Executive: Hi everyone!
G1 Nepomniachtchi-Carlsen 1/2 33
G2 Carlsen-Nepomniachtchi 1/2 40
G3 Nepomniachtchi-Carlsen 1/2 38
G4 Carlsen-Nepomniachtchi 1-0 50
G5 Nepomniachtchi-Carlsen 1/2 40
G6 Carlsen-Nepomniachtchi 1/2 46
G7 Nepomniachtchi-Carlsen 1/2 38
G8 Carlsen-Nepomniachtchi 1/2 42
G9 Carlsen-Nepomniachtchi 1/2 40
G10 Nepomniachtchi-Carlsen 1/2 40
G11 Carlsen-Nepomniachtchi 1-0 56
G12 Nepomniachtchi-Carlsen 1/2 44
G13 Carlsen-Nepomniachtchi 1/2 40 |
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Nov-26-21
 | | OhioChessFan:
G1 Nepomniachtchi-Carlsen 1/2 28
G2 Carlsen-Nepomniachtchi 1/2 50
G3 Nepomniachtchi-Carlsen 1-0 20
G4 Carlsen-Nepomniachtchi 1/2 47
G5 Nepomniachtchi-Carlsen 1/2 40
G6 Carlsen-Nepomniachtchi 1/2 35
G7 Nepomniachtchi-Carlsen 1/2 42
G8 Carlsen-Nepomniachtchi 1/2 46
G9 Carlsen-Nepomniachtchi 1/2 41
G10 Nepomniachtchi-Carlsen 1/2 38
G11 Carlsen-Nepomniachtchi 1/2 44
G12 Nepomniachtchi-Carlsen 1/2 32
G13 Carlsen-Nepomniachtchi 1/2 53
G14 Nepomniachtchi-Carlsen 1/2 45 |
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| Nov-26-21 | | WinKing: Good luck to all!
G1 Nepomniachtchi-Carlsen 1/2 35
G2 Carlsen-Nepomniachtchi 1/2 40
G3 Nepomniachtchi-Carlsen 1/2 43
G4 Carlsen-Nepomniachtchi 1/2 54
G5 Nepomniachtchi-Carlsen 1/2 40
G6 Carlsen-Nepomniachtchi 1-0 38
G7 Nepomniachtchi-Carlsen 1/2 32
G8 Carlsen-Nepomniachtchi 1/2 45
G9 Carlsen-Nepomniachtchi 1-0 40
G10 Nepomniachtchi-Carlsen 1-0 43
G11 Carlsen-Nepomniachtchi 1/2 51
G12 Nepomniachtchi-Carlsen 1-0 50
G13 Carlsen-Nepomniachtchi 1-0 58
G14 Nepomniachtchi-Carlsen 1/2 49 |
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Nov-26-21
| | Penguincw: The match has started, quite a while ago. |
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| Nov-26-21 | | paavoh: Yes <alfamikewhiskey>, you're right. <<paavoh>'s predictions may be based on this, too> |
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| Dec-01-21 | | chessmoron: ♔ WCC 2021: Results ♔
<Game 1>
<Nepo-Carlsen, 1/2-1/2 in 45 moves.> Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['paavoh', '1/2-1/2', '44']]
2nd Under, 6 points: [['Penguincw', '1/2-1/2', '40']] 3rd Under, 5 points: [['chessmoron', '1/2-1/2', '35'], ['WinKing', '1/2-1/2', '35']]' Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: [['Schwartz', '1/2-1/2', '50']] 3rd Over, 1 point1: [['alfamikewhiskey', '1/2-1/2', '58']] ===
<Game 2>
<Carlsen-Nepo, 1/2-1/2 in 58 moves.> Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['whiteshark', '1/2-1/2', '55']] 2nd Under, 6 points: [['paavoh', '1/2-1/2', '52']] 3rd Under, 5 points: [['OhioChessFan', '1/2-1/2', '50'], ['Schwartz', '1/2-1/2', '50'], ['juan31', '1/2-1/2', '50']] Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: []
3rd Over, 1 point1: []
===
<Game 3>
<Nepo-Carlsen, 1/2-1/2 in 41 moves.> Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['Penguincw', '1/2-1/2', '40']] 2nd Under, 6 points: [['Golden Executive', '1/2-1/2', '38']] 3rd Under, 5 points: [['chessmoron', '1/2-1/2', '37']] Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: [['alfamikewhiskey', '1/2-1/2', '42']] 3rd Over, 1 point1: [['WinKing', '1/2-1/2', '43']] ===
<Game 4>
<Carlsen-Nepo, 1/2-1/2 in 33 moves.> Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: []
2nd Under, 6 points: []
3rd Under, 5 points: []
Over, 3 points: [['chessmoron', '1/2-1/2', '40'], ['Penguincw', '1/2-1/2', '40']] 2nd Over, 2 points: [['OhioChessFan', '1/2-1/2', '47']] 3rd Over, 1 point1: [['paavoh', '1/2-1/2', '49']] |
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| Dec-01-21 | | chessmoron: Game 1-4 Summary:
Perfect # moves predictions goes to:
NONE
Moves+Bonus Ranker - Through <Game 1-4> Score, UserID
16, Penguincw
14, paavoh
13, chessmoron
7, Schwartz
7, whiteshark
7, OhioChessFan
6, WinKing
6, Golden Executive
5, juan31
3, alfamikewhiskey
0, diceman
0, jessicafisherqueen
0, offramp
<How the calculations goes>: Moves Ranker - Through <Game 1-4> Score, UserID, Over, Under, Exact
10, Penguincw, 1, 1, 0
7, paavoh, 0, 1, 0
7, whiteshark, 0, 1, 0
3, chessmoron, 1, 0, 0
0, alfamikewhiskey, 0, 0, 0
0, diceman, 0, 0, 0
0, Golden Executive, 0, 0, 0
0, jessicafisherqueen, 0, 0, 0
0, juan31, 0, 0, 0
0, offramp, 0, 0, 0
0, OhioChessFan, 0, 0, 0
0, Schwartz, 0, 0, 0
0, WinKing, 0, 0, 0
===
Bonus Ranker - Through <Game 1-4> Score, UserID, 3-Over, 2-Over, 3-Under, 2-Under
10, chessmoron, 0, 0, 2, 0
7, OhioChessFan, 0, 1, 1, 0
7, paavoh, 1, 0, 0, 1
7, Schwartz, 0, 1, 1, 0
6, Golden Executive, 0, 0, 0, 1
6, Penguincw, 0, 0, 0, 1
6, WinKing, 1, 0, 1, 0
5, juan31, 0, 0, 1, 0
3, alfamikewhiskey, 1, 1, 0, 0
0, diceman, 0, 0, 0, 0
0, jessicafisherqueen, 0, 0, 0, 0
0, offramp, 0, 0, 0, 0
0, whiteshark, 0, 0, 0, 0 |
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Dec-01-21
 | | jessicafischerqueen:
<Wilson> Thank you so much for the Games 1-4 score summary! I had not expected to be doing this well, although I was confident that aping the Monkey Ranker would prove a good strategy. And so it did! I just added up the "maths" you posted and I am currently batting over .900!! |
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| Dec-02-21 | | chessmoron: <JFQ> You got one today. :D |
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Dec-02-21
| | jessicafischerqueen:
<Wilson> Thanks for the notification! I just checked the stats. You see the genius of aping the Monkey Ranker is that you get predictions nobody else would ever make. The Monkey was a genius for predicting <game 5> would be 700 moves! |
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Dec-04-21
| | OhioChessFan: Welcome to the World Chess Moves Predictions Championship! The world's greatest prognosticators have assembled to battle each other for the most coveted honor in the world of chess, a Moves Prediction Contest gold medal! Each gold medal will be awarded by the Legendary 7' 6" <chessmoron>, and it is suggested each recipient give proper honor to our esteemed host. The first four rounds are in the books, and the ever modest <penguincw> is leading in 2 Rankers. Asked to comment, <Pengo> modestly replied, "Well, I know that a lot of people are also paying attention to Carlsen and Nepo, but I realize that I'm the real star of this show. You know, I once won 4 gold medals in one contest. Have I ever told you about that? Well, it's an interesting story, blah blah blah. I mean, it was Fischeresque in scope, blah blah blah. To this day, I have people come up to me on the street and the internet asking about it, blah blah blah. I wouldn't be surprised if there's a Reddit thread or ten talking about it, blah blah blah. Blah." <Pengo> had many more interesting things to say, but unfortunately, the entire internet fell asleep at that point. Also leading a Ranker, is The Man Himself, <chessmoron>. When he was asked why he was in the lead, the 7' 6" Titan glared at the questioner and answered, "Because I want to be." Nobody else dared ask questions at that point. In other news, <jessicafischerqueen> began an embarrassing flirtation with the recently married <chessmoron>. She pretended to just be asking for advice on the best strategy for the contest, but everyone knew the real agenda. <chessmoron> cleverly pointed at a nearby monkey and suggested <jfq> go talk to the monkey about how to make picks. Strangely enough, <jfq> took the advice. So far, it hasn't worked, but <jfq> is holding out hope. Meanwhile, the entire list of contestants criticized <paavoh> for his picks. <paavoh> had the last laugh, though, as he currently is in the Silver Medal position in all 3 Rankers. In the kind of "Anything to Win" mentality I admire so much, <whiteshark> tried to distract <amw> and <paavoh> into changing their picks. They stubbornly refused, so the tactic failed, though the effort was laudable. Another pair of contestants, <Pengo> and <juan> entered 2 entirely different sets of picks, hoping <chessmoron> wouldn't notice, and they'd get to choose the higher scoring set. Alas, that clever swindle attempt failed too, but they both earned the admiration of <OhioChessFan>. As Carlsen and Nepo continue their series of mindnumbing draws, this contest has become the center of attention in the chess world. Will <Pengo> have an acceptance speech ready in time for the medal ceremony? Will <chessmoron> intimidate everyone into not challenging his gold medal position? Probably. Will the Monkey and <jfq> work out a program to actually win a medal? Stay tuned for the answers to these and many other riveting questions. |
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| Dec-05-21 | | diceman: <jessicafischerqueen:
G6 Carlsen-Nepomniachtchi 1-0 500 >
Very, very, close! |
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| Dec-05-21 | | chessmoron: Darn, I eff up on the drawing of the colors of the back 7. |
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Dec-06-21
| | OhioChessFan: It's okay. Just match the game numbers up with whoever has White. |
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| Dec-06-21 | | chessmoron: ♔ WCC 2021: Results ♔
<Game 5>
<Nepo-Carlsen, 1/2-1/2 in 43 moves.> Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['chessmoron', '1/2-1/2', '42']] 2nd Under, 6 points: [['offramp', '1/2-1/2', '41']] 3rd Under, 5 points: [['alfamikewhiskey', '1/2-1/2', '40'], ['Golden Executive', '1/2-1/2', '40'], ['OhioChessFan', '1/2-1/2', '40'], ['Penguincw', '1/2-1/2', '40'], ['WinKing', '1/2-1/2', '40'], ['whiteshark', '1/2-1/2', '40']] Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: [['jessicafischerqueen', '1/2-1/2', '47']] 3rd Over, 1 point1: [['juan31', '1/2-1/2', '49']] ===
<Game 6>
<Carlsen-Nepo, 1-0 in 136 moves.> Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['WinKing', '1-0', '65']]
2nd Under, 6 points: [['paavoh', '1-0', '55']]
3rd Under, 5 points: [['offramp', '1-0', '40']]
Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: [['jessicafischerqueen', '1-0', '500']] 3rd Over, 1 point1: []
===
<Game 7>
<Nepo-Carlsen, 1/2-1/2 in 41 moves.> Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['diceman', '1/2-1/2', '38'], ['Golden Executive', '1/2-1/2', '38'], ['paavoh', '1/2-1/2', '38']] 2nd Under, 6 points: [['chessmoron', '1/2-1/2', '36']] 3rd Under, 5 points: []
Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: [['OhioChessFan', '1/2-1/2', '42']] 3rd Over, 1 point1: [['alfamikewhiskey', '1/2-1/2', '44']] <Game 8>
<Carlsen-Nepo, 1-0 in 46 moves.> Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['diceman', '1-0', '42']]
2nd Under, 6 points: []
3rd Under, 5 points: []
Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: [['Schwartz', '1-0', '48']]
3rd Over, 1 point1: [] |
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| Dec-06-21 | | WinKing: <chessmoron> in game 7 <Penguincw> had draw in 40 moves. I think you missed that. In game 6 <whiteshark> had 1-0 in 65 moves not me. I did not score that round. |
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| Dec-06-21 | | WinKing: <OhioChessFan: It's okay. Just match the game numbers up with whoever has White.> A few of the contestants picked only 13 games. That could be a problem if the match goes that far. Your idea works if there are an even # of games picked. Just a heads up in case it happens. |
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| Dec-06-21 | | chessmoron: Game 5-8 Summary:
Perfect # moves predictions goes to:
NONE
Moves+Bonus Ranker - Through <Game 5-8> Score, UserID
28, Penguincw
26, paavoh
25, chessmoron
19, whiteshark
17, Golden Executive
14, OhioChessFan
13, diceman
11, offramp
11, WinKing
9, alfamikewhiskey
9, Schwartz
6, juan31
4, jessicafischerqueen
<How the calculations goes>: Moves Ranker - Through <Game 5-8> Score, UserID, Over, Under, Exact
17, Penguincw, 1, 2, 0
14, whiteshark, 0, 2, 0
10, chessmoron, 1, 1, 0
7, diceman, 0, 1, 0
7, paavoh, 0, 1, 0
0, WinKing, 0, 0, 0
0, Golden Executive, 0, 0, 0
0, alfamikewhiskey, 0, 0, 0
0, jessicafisherqueen, 0, 0, 0
0, juan31, 0, 0, 0
0, offramp, 0, 0, 0
0, OhioChessFan, 0, 0, 0
0, Schwartz, 0, 0, 0
===
Bonus Ranker - Through <Game 5-8> Score, UserID, 3-Over, 2-Over, 3-Under, 2-Under
19, paavoh, 1, 0, 0, 3
17, Golden Executive, 0, 0, 1, 2
15, chessmoron, 0, 0, 3, 0
14, OhioChessFan, 0, 2, 2, 0
11, offramp, 0, 0, 1, 1
11, Penguincw, 0, 0, 1, 1
11, WinKing, 1, 0, 2, 0
9, alfamikewhiskey, 2, 1, 1, 0
9, Schwartz, 0, 2, 1, 0
6, diceman, 0, 0, 0, 1
6, juan31, 1, 0, 1, 0
5, whiteshark, 0, 0, 1, 0
4, jessicafischerqueen, 0, 2, 0, 0 |
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