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OhioChessFan
Member since Apr-09-05 · Last seen Apr-06-26
______________ Moves Prediction Contest

<Main Focus>: Predicting how many moves in a game for each pairing.

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chessmoron chessforum

<Format>:

[player]-[player] [result] [# of MOVES]

==4 Different Scoring Methods==

Standard Moves Ranker (1st place-Over[3pts], 1st place-Under [7pts], Exact [10pts])

Bonus Ranker (3rd place-Over[1pts],2nd place-Over[2pts],3rd place-Under [5pts], 2nd place-Under [6pts]

Standard Moves/Bonus Ranker [Add all to together]

1st place Ranker [how many 1st place you have in Standard Moves Ranker]

For example:

<Note: Participants 3, 4, and 5 are predicated on nobody scoring an exact as Participant 2 did. If someone hits an exact, the closest score under and over will score the points for second place.>

Actual Game: [player]-[player] 0-1 45

Participant 1: [player]-[player] 1/2 45
Participant 2: [player]-[player] 0-1 45
Participant 3: [player]-[player] 0-1 44
Participant 4: [player]-[player] 0-1 43
Participant 5: [player]-[player] 0-1 46

Participant 1: No points even though 45 is correct. Results must be correct. If Result is wrong and moves # is correct...you get no points whatsoever

Participant 2: 10 pts rewarded for correct Result/moves #

Participant 3: 7 pts rewarded for closest under (1st-Under) to 45 moves

Participant 4: 6 pts rewarded for the 2nd closest under (2nd-Under) to 45 moves.

Participant 5: 3 pts rewarded closest OVER(1st-OVER) to 45 moves.

Again, the description of Participant 3, 4, and 5 are based on there being no exact prediction as made by Participant 2.

<IF> there is an exact or an under closest, the highest scoring over participant will be 2nd over. The second closest over will be 3rd over. The <ONLY> time there will be a first over is if there is no exact or under winner.

Things To Look At:
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7. Baden-Baden (1870)

11. Carl Mayet
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13. Brian Flowers

Pun Index Game Collection: Game of the Day & Puzzle of the Day Collections

>> Click here to see OhioChessFan's game collections.

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   Current net-worth: 792 chessbucks
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   OhioChessFan has kibitzed 49918 times to chessgames   [more...]
   Apr-05-26 Chessgames - Politics (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: Happy Easter all. He is risen.
 
   Apr-04-26 Caruana vs Bluebaum, 2026
 
OhioChessFan: Really like the pun.
 
   Apr-04-26 Wei Yi vs Sindarov, 2026 (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: Black's position looks really ugly with the fractured Pawn structure and King in the middle, but I don't see much for White to attack.
 
   Apr-04-26 Fusilli chessforum (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: I think I've got it although the c4 Pawn seems superfluous.
 
   Apr-03-26 Nakamura vs Sindarov, 2026 (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: Naka has been thinking an hour on this move...
 
   Apr-03-26 Chessgames - Music
 
OhioChessFan: Chicago - Poem For the People https://youtu.be/qrxtf41vGNU?si=kDg...
 
   Apr-03-26 WannaBe chessforum
 
OhioChessFan: Hard to believe that was 6 years ago. We had a Manager retire in fear. I knew one person who died and 2 who ended up in ICU.
 
   Apr-01-26 Schlechter vs Lasker, 1910
 
OhioChessFan: Great game, nice kibitzing analysis. Zero chance I'd find 35. c6
 
   Apr-01-26 Sindarov vs Caruana, 2026 (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: Looks like 2 wins in a row for Sindarov. 28. Qf3 is coming.
 
   Apr-01-26 OhioChessFan chessforum (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: Skyline is the best chain chili. Camp Washington Chili is the best of all.
 
(replies) indicates a reply to the comment.

Moves Prediction Contest

Kibitzer's Corner
< Earlier Kibitzing  · PAGE 809 OF 849 ·  Later Kibitzing>
Jan-21-22  Messiah: Round 6:

C*rlsen - Rapport 0-1 33
M*medyarov - Grandelius 0-1 84
K*rjakin - Van Foreest 0-1 49
Shankland - Praggnanandhaa 0-1 61
Caruana - Giri 1-0 47
Vidit - Duda 1/2 68
Dubov - Esipenko 1/2 51

Jan-21-22  WinKing: Games have started. I have posted our Round 6 picks in my forum.

Welcome back <GE>! :)

Jan-21-22  Messiah: Randomized bet:

Round 7
van Foreest - Vidit 1-0 121
Rapport - M*medyarov 0-1 117
Grandelius - K*rjakin 0-1 96
Praggnanandhaa - C*rlsen 1-0 67
Giri - Dubov 1-0 43
Duda - Caruana 1-0 52
Esipenko - Shankland 1-0 50

Round 8
M*medyarov - Praggnanandhaa 1-0 116
Vidit - Grandelius 0-1 30
K*rjakin - Rapport 0-1 74
Dubov - Duda 1/2 73
Esipenko - Giri 1-0 110
Caruana - van Foreest 0-1 117
Shankland - C*rlsen 0-1 125

Jan-21-22
Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: < Messiah: Randomized bet >

How do you do random # of moves? Do you just do a random number from 1 to 125? Or is it weighted so that numbers closer to 40 are weighted more?

Jan-21-22  Golden Executive: <WinKing: Games have started. I have posted our Round 6 picks in my forum. Welcome back <GE>! :)> Many thanks my good friend, I'm glad to be here again and say hello to you and everyone
Jan-21-22
Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: Round 7:

van Foreest - Vidit 1/2-1/2 39
Grandelius - Karjakin 1/2-1/2 22
Praggnanandhaa - Carlsen 1/2-1/2 39
Giri - Dubov 1/2-1/2 22
Duda - Caruana 1/2-1/2 22
Esipenko - Shankland 1/2-1/2 22
Rapport - Mamedyarov 1/2-1/2 22

Jan-22-22  chessmoron: ♔ Tata 2022 <Round 6> Result ♔

<Carlsen-Rapport, 1-0 in 31 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: []
2nd Under, 6 points: []
3rd Under, 5 points: []
Over, 3 points: [['paavoh', '1-0', '38']]

2nd Over, 2 points: [['Penguincw', '1-0', '40']]

3rd Over, 1 point1: [['chessmoron', '1-0', '41']]

===

<Caruana-Giri, 0-1 in 51 moves.>--No one got it!

===

<Dubov-Esipenko, 1/2-1/2 in 42 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['WinKing', '1/2-1/2', '40']]

2nd Under, 6 points: [['OhioChessFan', '1/2-1/2', '39']]

3rd Under, 5 points: [['juan31', '1/2-1/2', '38'], ['Penguincw', '1/2-1/2', '38']]

Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: [['Golden Executive', '1/2-1/2', '44']]

3rd Over, 1 point1: [['Messiah', '1/2-1/2', '51']]

===

<Karjakin-Van Foreest, 1-0 in 65 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['jessicafischerqueen', '1-0', '45']]

2nd Under, 6 points: [['Golden Executive', '1-0', '40'], ['OhioChessFan', '1-0', '40']]

3rd Under, 5 points: []
Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: []
3rd Over, 1 point1: []

===

<Mamedyarov-Grandelius, 1/2-1/2 in 16 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: []
2nd Under, 6 points: []
3rd Under, 5 points: []
Over, 3 points: [['jessicafischerqueen', '1/2-1/2', '49']]

2nd Over, 2 points: []
3rd Over, 1 point1: []

===

<Shankland-Pragg, 1/2-1/2 in 28 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: []
2nd Under, 6 points: []
3rd Under, 5 points: []
Over, 3 points: [['OhioChessFan', '1/2-1/2', '30']]

2nd Over, 2 points: [['Penguincw', '1/2-1/2', '38']]

3rd Over, 1 point1: [['paavoh', '1/2-1/2', '39']]

===

<Vidit-Duda, 1/2-1/2 in 36 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['OhioChessFan', '1/2-1/2', '35']]

2nd Under, 6 points: [['lostemperor', '1/2-1/2', '34']]

3rd Under, 5 points: [['paavoh', '1/2-1/2', '33']]

Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: [['chessmoron', '1/2-1/2', '38'], ['Penguincw', '1/2-1/2', '38']]

3rd Over, 1 point1: [['Golden Executive', '1/2-1/2', '40'], ['WinKing', '1/2-1/2', '40']]

Jan-22-22  chessmoron: I corrected before your scolding. :D
Jan-22-22  WinKing: <chessmoron: I corrected before your scolding. :D>

;) You know I was going to - lol

Jan-22-22  chessmoron: Esipenko-Shankland 1-0 40
Giri-Dubov 1-0 39
Duda-Caruana 1/2 36
Van Foreest-Vidit 1/2 41
Grandelius-Karjakin 1/2 35
Rapport-Mamedyarov 1/2 39
Praggnanandhaa-Carlsen 0-1 40
Jan-22-22  chessmoron: Round 6 Summary:

Perfect # moves predictions for this round goes to:

NONE

Highest scores in the Bonus Ranker: 11 points <OhioChessFan> and <Penguincw>

Results:

Moves Ranker - Through <Round 6>

Score, UserID, Over, Under, Exact

48, lostemperor, 2, 6, 0
44, paavoh, 2, 4, 1
33, jessicafischerqueen, 4, 3, 0
28, Penguincw, 0, 4, 0
27, juan31, 1, 2, 1
17, OhioChessFan, 1, 2, 0
14, chessmoron, 0, 2, 0
7, Messiah, 0, 1, 0
7, WinKing, 0, 1, 0
0, Golden Executive, 0, 0, 0

===

Bonus Ranker - Through <Round 6>

Score, UserID, 3-Over, 2-Over, 3-Under, 2-Under

61, Penguincw, 3, 9, 2, 5
44, OhioChessFan, 2, 1, 2, 5
33, WinKing, 4, 3, 1, 3
28, chessmoron, 4, 4, 2, 1
23, lostemperor, 3, 4, 0, 2
16, paavoh, 5, 3, 1, 0
9, Golden Executive, 1, 1, 0, 1
9, Messiah, 1, 1, 0, 1
8, jessicafischerqueen, 0, 4, 0, 0
7, juan31, 0, 1, 1, 0

===

Moves+Bonus Ranker - Through <Round 6>

Score, UserID

89, Penguincw
71, lostemperor
61, OhioChessFan
60, paavoh
42, chessmoron
41, jessicafischerqueen
40, WinKing
34, juan31
16, Messiah
9, Golden Executive

===

Moves Ranker (# of 1st place UNDER/OVER) - Through <Round 6>

Score,UserID

8, lostemperor
7, jessicafischerqueen
7, paavoh
4, juan31
4, Penguincw
3, OhioChessFan
2, chessmoron
1, Messiah
1, WinKing
0, Golden Executive

Jan-22-22  WinKing: Round 7

Esipenko-Shankland 1/2 30
Giri-Dubov 1/2 30
Duda-Caruana 1/2 35
Van Foreest-Vidit 0-1 30
Grandelius-Karjakin 1/2 30
Rapport-Mamedyarov 1/2 26
Praggnanandhaa-Carlsen 0-1 43

Jan-22-22
Premium Chessgames Member
  juan31: < ROUND 7 >

Esipenko-Shankland 0-1 43
Giri-Dubov 1-0 45
Duda-Caruana 1/2 35
Van Foreest-Vidit 0-1 50
Grandelius-Karjakin 1/2 30
Rapport-Mamedyarov 1/2 31
Praggnanandhaa-Carlsen 0-1 44

Jan-22-22
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: Esipenko-Shankland 1/2 43
Giri-Dubov 1/2 40
Duda-Caruana 1/2 47
Van Foreest-Vidit1/2 40
Grandelius-Karjakin 1/2 40
Rapport-Mamedyarov 1/2 38
Praggnanandhaa-Carlsen 0-1 36
Jan-22-22  Golden Executive: Round 7

Esipenko-Shankland 1-0 38
Giri-Dubov 1/2 40
Duda-Caruana 0-1 36
Van Foreest-Vidit 1/2 44
Grandelius-Karjakin 1/2 40
Rapport-Mamedyarov 1-0 38
Praggnanandhaa-Carlsen 0-1 44

Jan-22-22  WinKing: <jfq> don't forget to turn in your Round 7 picks.
Jan-22-22  WinKing: Games have started.

Our Round 7 picks are posted in my forum.

Jan-22-22
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: Great. A forfeited game. Your call <chessmoron>.
Jan-22-22  paavoh: What should one do with Giri-Dubov? 1.d4 was played so it seems a valid 1-0 game. I am OK with anything you decide though.

Posting rounds 8 - 10 below:

Round 8

Shankland-Carlsen 0-1 55
Mamedyarov-Praggnanandhaa 1-0 38
Karjakin-Rapport 1/2 65
Vidit-Grandelius 1/2 38
Caruana-Van Foreest 1/2 42
Dubov-Duda 0-1 1
Esipenko-Giri 1/2 32

***

Round 9

Giri-Shankland 1/2 37
Duda-Esipenko 1/2 45
Van Foreest-Dubov 1-0 1
Grandelius-Caruana 1/2 35
Rapport-Vidit 1-0 38
Praggnanandhaa-Karjakin 1/2 43
Carlsen-Mamedyarov 1/2 44

***

Round 10

Shankland-Mamedyarov 1/2 42
Karjakin-Carlsen 1/2 48
Vidit-Praggnanandhaa 1/2 32
Caruana-Rapport 1/2 39
Dubov-Grandelius 0-1 1
Esipenko-Van Foreest 1-0 47
Giri-Duda 1/2 33

Jan-22-22
Premium Chessgames Member
  jessicafischerqueen:
Round 7

Games have started! I missed my round 7 picks, but in my defense the Monkey Ranker asked me out for a few drinks just before the round started!

This is not the first time I have been tricked by the Monkey Ranker....

Jan-22-22
Premium Chessgames Member
  jessicafischerqueen:

Round 8

Shankland-Carlsen 1/2 60
Mamedyarov-Praggnanandhaa 1/2 46
Karjakin-Rapport 1/2 34
Vidit-Grandelius 1/2 59
Caruana-Van Foreest 1-0 57
Dubov-Duda 1/2 75
Esipenko-Giri 1/2 42

Jan-22-22
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: I'd be inclined not to count the game. The fact Giri had White and consequently made a move doesn't seem relevant to me. But <chessmoron> is 7' 6" so I won't be arguing any decisions. It probably is a good time to codify the issue as I expect this won't be the last time it happens.
Jan-22-22  WinKing: I say count the game this time. In the future if this (forfeit) happens games do not count. Just my 2 cents. I am happy with whatever <chessmoron> decides.
Jan-22-22
Premium Chessgames Member
  jessicafischerqueen:

Interestingly, in past decisions <chessmoron> has usually sided with the <Monkey Ranker>.

I have no idea if this is best practice, but I didn't get where I am today without obeying <chessmoron> decisions.

Jan-22-22
Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: Adding my 2 cents, I agree with <WinKing>. Count it this time, but if this identical situation happens again, don't count it.
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