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OhioChessFan
Member since Apr-09-05 · Last seen Oct-10-25
______________ Moves Prediction Contest

<Main Focus>: Predicting how many moves in a game for each pairing.

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***Hall of Fame***
chessmoron chessforum

<Format>:

[player]-[player] [result] [# of MOVES]

==4 Different Scoring Methods==

Standard Moves Ranker (1st place-Over[3pts], 1st place-Under [7pts], Exact [10pts])

Bonus Ranker (3rd place-Over[1pts],2nd place-Over[2pts],3rd place-Under [5pts], 2nd place-Under [6pts]

Standard Moves/Bonus Ranker [Add all to together]

1st place Ranker [how many 1st place you have in Standard Moves Ranker]

For example:

<Note: Participants 3, 4, and 5 are predicated on nobody scoring an exact as Participant 2 did. If someone hits an exact, the closest score under and over will score the points for second place.>

Actual Game: [player]-[player] 0-1 45

Participant 1: [player]-[player] 1/2 45
Participant 2: [player]-[player] 0-1 45
Participant 3: [player]-[player] 0-1 44
Participant 4: [player]-[player] 0-1 43
Participant 5: [player]-[player] 0-1 46

Participant 1: No points even though 45 is correct. Results must be correct. If Result is wrong and moves # is correct...you get no points whatsoever

Participant 2: 10 pts rewarded for correct Result/moves #

Participant 3: 7 pts rewarded for closest under (1st-Under) to 45 moves

Participant 4: 6 pts rewarded for the 2nd closest under (2nd-Under) to 45 moves.

Participant 5: 3 pts rewarded closest OVER(1st-OVER) to 45 moves.

Again, the description of Participant 3, 4, and 5 are based on there being no exact prediction as made by Participant 2.

<IF> there is an exact or an under closest, the highest scoring over participant will be 2nd over. The second closest over will be 3rd over. The <ONLY> time there will be a first over is if there is no exact or under winner.

Things To Look At:
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7. Baden-Baden (1870)

11. Karl Mayet
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Pi Day
rreusser/computing-with-the-bailey-borwein-plouffe-formula">https://observablehq.com/(at)rreusser/...

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>> Click here to see OhioChessFan's game collections.

Chessgames.com Full Member
   Current net-worth: 792 chessbucks
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   OhioChessFan has kibitzed 49266 times to chessgames   [more...]
   Oct-09-25 Lasker vs Capablanca, 1935 (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: 66YO Lasker taking it to Capa... unbelievable. Among the usual suspects for GOAT, I think Lasker is the most unappreciated.
 
   Oct-09-25 Rodan Keiter
 
OhioChessFan: Excuse me, Paul Bunyan never fought Rodan.
 
   Oct-09-25 Chessgames - Politics (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: <geza: A video about liberal hypocrisy and lies> They don't care.
 
   Oct-08-25 C Shock vs P Rohwer, 1991 (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: "It Was a Dark and Stormy Knight"
 
   Oct-08-25 offramp chessforum (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: <The rain, in big drops, began to descend, and the thunder-peals, with louder and more deafening crash, to shake the zenith, till the long-protracted war, echoing from cavern to cavern, died, in indistinct murmurs, amidst the far-extended chain of mountains> Sounds like ...
 
   Oct-07-25 Chessgames - Music
 
OhioChessFan: <Classic Rock Albums Reinterpreted in the Distinctive Styles of the 1950s and 1960s> https://laughingsquid.com/1950s-196...
 
   Oct-07-25 Chessgames - Sports (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: Dave Roberts constantly makes impossibly bad in game decisions.
 
   Oct-04-25 Topalov vs Kasparov, 1995 (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: Funny pun, nice game.
 
   Oct-01-25 Fusilli chessforum
 
OhioChessFan: Sorry, I missed this request and in the meantime, I forgot the source. I get a lot of puzzles as YouTube suggested videos and think that was the source.
 
   Sep-29-25 Louis Stumpers (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: I belatedly realized in the Black version of NxR# that one move was essentially a null move and could be taken at any point. I think your calculation of 2846 is correct. I'm pretty sure it can't be done in five moves by White.
 
(replies) indicates a reply to the comment.

Moves Prediction Contest

Kibitzer's Corner
< Earlier Kibitzing  · PAGE 833 OF 849 ·  Later Kibitzing>
Jan-25-23
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: Games have started.
Jan-25-23  paavoh: Posting predictions for the final three rounds...

Round 11:

Carlsen - So 1-0 55
Praggnanandhaa - Maghsoodloo 1/2 34
Erigaisi - Gukesh 1/2 38
Aronian - Caruana 1/2 32
Keymer - Rapport 1/2 37
Ding - Van Foreest 1-0 36
Giri - Abdusattorov 1/2 34

Round 12:

So - Abdusattorov 1/2 44
Van Foreest - Giri 0-1 40
Rapport - Ding 1/2 37
Caruana - Keymer 1-0 35
Gukesh - Aronian 1/2 36
Maghsoodloo - Erigaisi 1-0 42
Carlsen - Praggnanandhaa 1-0

Round 13:

Praggnanandhaa - So 1/2 32
Erigaisi - Carlsen 0-1 41
Aronian - Maghsoodloo 1/2 33
Keymer - Gukesh 1/2 28
Ding - Caruana 1/2 30
Giri - Rapport 1/2 39
Abdusattorov - Van Foreest 1-0 39

Jan-25-23  chessmoron: ♔ Tata 2023 <Round 10> Result ♔

<Abdusattorov-Ding, 1/2-1/2 in 27 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['Firouzjias', '1/2-1/2', '23']]

2nd Under, 6 points: [['lostemperor', '1/2-1/2', '22']]

3rd Under, 5 points: []
Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: [['alfamikewhiskey', '1/2-1/2', '36']]

3rd Over, 1 point1: [['OhioChessFan', '1/2-1/2', '37'], ['paavoh', '1/2-1/2', '37']]

===

<Caruana-Erigasi, 1/2-1/2 in 39 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['alfamikewhiskey', '1/2-1/2', '36']]

2nd Under, 6 points: []
3rd Under, 5 points: []
Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: [['Penguincw', '1/2-1/2', '40'], ['Firouzjias', '1/2-1/2', '40']]

3rd Over, 1 point1: []

===

<Gukesh-Pragg, 1-0 in 40 moves.>--No one got it!

===

<Maghsoodloo-Carlsen, 0-1 in 56 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['juan31', '0-1', '51']]
2nd Under, 6 points: [['lostemperor', '0-1', '48']]

3rd Under, 5 points: [['paavoh', '0-1', '46']]
Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: [['offramp', '0-1', '72']]
3rd Over, 1 point1: []

===

<So-Giri, 1/2-1/2 in 34 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['offramp', '1/2-1/2', '31']]

2nd Under, 6 points: [['Firouzjias', '1/2-1/2', '24']]

3rd Under, 5 points: [['lostemperor', '1/2-1/2', '23']]

Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: [['Penguincw', '1/2-1/2', '35']]

3rd Over, 1 point1: [['paavoh', '1/2-1/2', '36'], ['OhioChessFan', '1/2-1/2', '36']]

===

<van Foreest-Keymer, 1/2-1/2 in 96 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['juan31', '1/2-1/2', '47']]

2nd Under, 6 points: [['Penguincw', '1/2-1/2', '45']]

3rd Under, 5 points: [['OhioChessFan', '1/2-1/2', '42']]

Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: []
3rd Over, 1 point1: []

Jan-25-23  chessmoron: Round 10 Summary:

Perfect # moves predictions for this round goes to:

NONE

Highest scores in the Bonus Ranker: 23 points <lostemperor>

Results:

Moves Ranker - Through <Round 10>

Score, UserID, Over, Under, Exact

76, lostemperor, 0, 8, 2
68, Firouzjias, 2, 6, 2
55, juan31, 1, 6, 1
51, Penguincw, 2, 5, 1
50, OhioChessFan, 4, 4, 1
48, paavoh, 1, 5, 1
45, chessmoron, 1, 6, 0
40, Golden Executive, 3, 3, 1
23, alfamikewhiskey, 3, 2, 0
23, offramp, 3, 2, 0

===

Bonus Ranker - Through <Round 10>

Score, UserID, 3-Over, 2-Over, 3-Under, 2-Under

75, juan31, 2, 3, 5, 7
74, lostemperor, 2, 8, 4, 6
72, Golden Executive, 3, 2, 7, 5
72, Penguincw, 5, 5, 3, 7
67, OhioChessFan, 6, 4, 7, 3
54, paavoh, 5, 8, 3, 3
49, Firouzjias, 4, 3, 3, 4
42, alfamikewhiskey, 3, 3, 3, 3
36, chessmoron, 4, 3, 4, 1
34, offramp, 2, 4, 0, 4

===

Moves+Bonus Ranker - Through <Round 10>

Score, UserID

150, lostemperor
130, juan31
123, Penguincw
117, Firouzjias
117, OhioChessFan
112, Golden Executive
102, paavoh
81, chessmoron
65, alfamikewhiskey
57, offramp

===

Moves Ranker (# of 1st place UNDER/OVER) - Through <Round 10>

Score,UserID

10, Firouzjias
10, OhioChessFan
10, lostemperor
8, juan31
8, Penguincw
7, chessmoron
7, Golden Executive
7, paavoh
5, alfamikewhiskey
5, offramp

Jan-25-23
Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: <OhioChessFan> should only have 9 points in Moves Ranker - this is likely due to the error in the previous round regarding Erigasi-Rapport. (though the other 2 people who were incorrectly awarded points that game seem to have been properly deducted)

Also, Rapport-Aronian is missing. I think one person's score is wrong, but I'd like to see the breakdown first.

Jan-26-23
Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: Round 11:

Carlsen - So 1/2-1/2 45
Praggnanandhaa - Maghsoodloo 1/2-1/2 40
Erigaisi - Gukesh 1/2-1/2 35
Aronian - Caruana 1-0 40
Keymer - Rapport 1/2-1/2 40
Ding - van Foreest 1/2-1/2 45
Giri - Abdusattorov 1/2-1/2 35

Jan-26-23
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: Carlsen - So 1/2 47
Praggnanandhaa - Maghsoodloo 1/2 40
Erigaisi - Gukesh 1/2 40
Aronian - Caruana 1/2 46
Keymer - Rapport 1/2 42
Ding - van Foreest 1-0 36
Giri - Abdusattorov 1/2 40
Jan-26-23
Premium Chessgames Member
  juan31: < ROUND 11>
Carlsen - So 1-0 54
Praggnanandhaa - Maghsoodloo 1/2 57
Erigaisi - Gukesh 1/2 39
Aronian - Caruana 1-0 49
Keymer - Rapport 1/2 59
Ding - Van Foreest 1-0 43
Giri - Abdusattorov 1-0 40
Jan-26-23  chessmoron: Carlsen - So 1/2 42
Praggnanandhaa - Maghsoodloo 1-0 40
Erigaisi - Gukesh 1/2 41
Aronian - Caruana 1/2 40
Keymer - Rapport 1/2 38
Ding - Van Foreest 1/2 43
Giri - Abdusattorov 1-0 41
Jan-26-23  chessmoron: <Rapport-Aronian, 1/2-1/2 in 31 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['Firouzjias', '1/2-1/2', '25']] 2nd Under, 6 points: [['lostemperor', '1/2-1/2', '24']] 3rd Under, 5 points: []
Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: [['paavoh', '1/2-1/2', '35']] 3rd Over, 1 point1: []

Jan-26-23
Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: < Also, Rapport-Aronian is missing. I think one person's score is wrong, but I'd like to see the breakdown first. >

<Golden Executive> got the draw in 38 moves, good for 1 point.

Jan-26-23
Premium Chessgames Member
  offramp: ROUND 11

Carlsen - So 1/2 31
Praggnanandhaa - Maghsoodloo 1/2 41
Erigaisi - Gukesh 1/2 56
Aronian - Caruana 1/2 31
Keymer - Rapport 1/2 55
Ding - Van Foreest 1/2 35
Giri - Abdusattorov 1/2 31

Jan-26-23  alfamikewhiskey: R11
Carlsen - So 1-0 33
Praggnanandhaa - Maghsoodloo 0-1 33
Erigaisi - Gukesh 1/2 33
Aronian - Caruana 1/2 33
Keymer - Rapport 1-0 33
Ding - Van Foreest 1/2 33
Giri - Abdusattorov 1/2 33
Jan-26-23
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: I've tested positive for covid and am not feeling like my normal witty, charming self. So alas, probably no recaps for a while. In the meantime, can someone tell <Pengo> to mind his own business?
Jan-26-23  Messiah: <OhioChessFan: I've tested positive for covid and am not feeling like my normal witty, charming self. So alas, probably no recaps for a while. In the meantime, can someone tell <Pengo> to mind his own business?>

Get well soon!

Jan-26-23  chessmoron: <OhioChessFan> Hope for a speedy recovery. Take care.
Jan-26-23
Premium Chessgames Member
  WannaBe: <OCF> Get well, take your time and get plenty of rest.
Jan-26-23
Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: Wishing you all the best health, <OhioChessFan>.
Jan-26-23  Firouzjias: <OCF> Get well soon and take care.
Jan-26-23
Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: < paavoh >

You have no move listed for R12, Carlsen vs. Pragg.

Jan-27-23  Golden Executive: Round 11 Friday 27 January 2023

Carlsen - So 1-0 40
Praggnanandhaa - Maghsoodloo 1/2 36
Erigasi - Gukesh 1/2 43
Aronian - Caruana 1/2 28
Keymer - Rapport 1/2 33
Ding - Van Foreest 1-0 39
Giri - Abdusattorov 1/2 28

Jan-27-23  Golden Executive: <OCF> My best wishes for you to the get healthy asap
Jan-27-23
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Round 11:

Carlsen - So 1-0 49
Praggnanandhaa - Maghsoodloo 1/2 45
Erigaisi - Gukesh 1/2 45
Aronian - Caruana 1/2 25
Keymer - Rapport 0-1 45
Ding - Van Foreest 1/2 43
Giri - Abdusattorov 1-0 45

Jan-27-23  Firouzjias: Round 11:
Carlsen - So 1-0 40
Praggnanandhaa - Maghsoodloo 1/2-1/2 45
Erigaisi - Gukesh 1/2-1/2 20
Aronian - Caruana 1/2-1/2 33
Keymer - Rapport 1/2-1/2 33
Ding - Van Foreest 1/2-1/2 35
Giri - Abdusattorov 1/2-1/2 40
Jan-27-23
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: Games have started.

I'm much improved today. Your thoughts are appreciated.

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