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lostemperor
Member since Feb-18-03 · Last seen Feb-02-25
♔♕♖
<FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS' CONTEST FORUM>

Predict the final standings of Tata Steel tournament January 12

Format example to post your predictions

1.Caruana
1. Erigaisi
3. Gukesh
4. Abdusattorov
5. Wei Yi
5. Harikrishna
5. Praggnanandhaa
8. Giri
9. Keymer
10. Fedoseev
11.Van Foreest
12. Sarina
12. Warmerdam
12. Mendonca

Good Luck!


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Some years ago I came up with a new but simple system to calculate the final standings of a tournament including all players. This is how it goes:

For each correct standing you'll get a maximum amount of points. Each prediction deviation from the actual player standing in the tournament, will deduct one point from your total (ABSOLUTE RANKER).

In case of a shared player's standing the average standing counts (both actual and in your predictions).

The SQUARE RANKER, squares your predictions' deviations. Here only medals are awarded if the winner s is not the same person s as in the absolute ranker.

Same goes for the The PAIR BETTING RANKER compare all possible pair outcomes of the tournament participants.

The three best predictions will get Real Virtual Gold Silver and Bronze!

Note: only one set of medals is awarded (in the absolute ranker) unless another ranker produces a different winner.

Special thanks to <YouRang> who made a software to calculate these numbers.

Our new contest manager for game results prediction User: Golden Executive during the tournament also ([1-0], [1/2], [0-1])!

or predict the # of moves in User: ohiochessfan organized by <chessmoron>

Enjoy!


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<HALL <OF> FAME>

WannaBe 10♔ 5♕ 4♖

~~~~
♔♔♔♔♔ ♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♖♖♖♖SwitchingQuylthulg

~~~~

♔♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♕♖♖♖YouRang

~~~~~~

♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♖Aurora
♔♔♔♔♕♕♖suenteus po 147
♔♔♔♔♖♖♖Penguincw

~~~~~~

♔♔♔♕♕♕♖♖♖lostemperor
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖♖♖chessmoron
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖rogge
♔♔♔♕♕♖cromat
♔♔♔♕♖Robin01
~~~~

♔♔♕♕♕♕WinKing
♔♔♕♕♕♖percyblakeney
♔♔♕♖♖♖yalie
♔♔♕♖wordfunph
♔♔♕♖Ragh
♔♔♕♖Ezzy
♔♔Golden Executive
♔♔SloVice
♔♔positionalgenius
♔♔amadeus

~~~~

♔♕♕♕♕♖♖OhioChessFan
♔♕♕♖Diademas
♔♕♖nimh
♔♕♖ahmadov
♔♕♖CHESSBOOKIE
♔♕Keysersoze
♔♕Where is my mind
♔♕Appaz
♔♖♖moronovich*
♔♖Golden Executive*
♔♖Montreal1666
♔♖Troewa

~~~~

♔Beholder
♔juan31
♔wtwz
♔Twinlark
♔SoUnwiseTheKnight B4
♔NGambit
♔benjinathan
♔DCP23
♔firebyrd
♔kellmano
♔Stonehenge
♔cu8sfan
♔larrewl
♔babakova
♔djmercury
♔mikejaqua
♔Joshka,
♔SnoopDogg
♔Like a GM

*may be incomplete

♔ Gold
♕ Silver
♖ Bronze


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♙♙♙

♙♙

>> Click here to see lostemperor's game collections.

Chessgames.com Full Member

   lostemperor has kibitzed 7712 times to chessgames   [more...]
   Feb-02-25 lostemperor chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: <Keyser Soze>,<0ZeR0>,<Penguincw> won gold each! Congratulations!
 
   Apr-20-24 Golden Executive chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: It is fixed! I had an expert looking at it.
 
   Jan-18-24 OhioChessFan chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: Betcha you. Right damn
 
   Jan-11-24 Tata Steel Masters (2024) (replies)
 
lostemperor: ♔♕♖ Announcement ♔♕♖ Join the annual Tata Teel Chess final standings prediction contest at lostemperor chessforum 1. Ding 2. Nepomniachtchi 3. Firouzja 4, Giri 5. Praggnanandhaa 6. Maghsoodloo 7. Vidit 8.Wei 9. Abdusattorov
 
   Feb-26-23 WR Chess Masters (2023) (replies)
 
lostemperor: The predictions' winners on the final standings of WR Chess on my forum <Penquincw>♔, <Golden Executive>♔, <Chesschronicle22>♕, <OhioChessFan>♕, <Messiah>♖
 
   Jan-30-23 Tata Steel Masters (2023) (replies)
 
lostemperor: Winners of the TATA STEEL CHESS 2023 FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTION'S CONTEST at my forum <Firouzjias>♔♔♖, <tuttifrutty>♔♕♖, <lostemperor>♕♕, <Messiah>♖
 
(replies) indicates a reply to the comment.

FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS

Kibitzer's Corner
< Earlier Kibitzing  · PAGE 131 OF 285 ·  Later Kibitzing>
Mar-13-13  SloVice: The Lions just signed Reggie Bush. A good signing I think. Now they just need an O-line upgrade to open holes for him. Anyway...here's my picks:

1. Carlsen
2. Aronian
2. Kramnik
4. Ivanchuk
4. Grichuk
6. Gelfand
6. Radjabov
6. Svidler

Mar-13-13  Aurora: <Candidates Tournament 2013 final prediction contest>

1. Carlsen
2. Kramnik
3. Aronian
4. Radjabov
5. Ivanchuk
6. Grischuk
7. Gelfand
8. Svidler

Gangi ykkur vel! / Good luck to everyone!

Mar-13-13  bubuli55: 1. Carlsen
1. Kramnik
3. Radjabov
4. Aronian
4. Ivanchuk
6. Svidler
6. Gelfand
6. Grichuk
Mar-14-13  fgh: My prediction:

1. Carlsen
2. Kramnik
3. Radjabov
4. Gelfand
5. Aronian
6. Svidler
7. Ivanchuk
8. Grischuk

No ties. Is that theoretically possible?

Mar-14-13
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <fgh> it is certainly possible to have no ties. In fact according to Jeff Sonas, in a long tournament it is even probable not to have ties!
Mar-14-13  Kjeball: My prediction:

1. Carlsen
2. Kramnik
3. Ivanchuk
4. Grischuk
5. Radjabov
6. Aronian
7. Gelfand
8. Svidler

Mar-14-13
Premium Chessgames Member
  moronovich: I think that players wearing a tie is a private issue.

And if someone wears an awfull tie that nobody likes the organizers can always use a tiebreak.

I´m outa here.

Mar-14-13  perfectimpact: My Prediction:

1.Carlsen
2.Ivanchuk
3.Kramnik
4.Aronian
5.Grischuk
6.Radjabov
7.Gelfand
8.Svidler

Mar-14-13  isemeria: <moronovich> LOL!! That's a good one.
Mar-14-13  crazybird: My Prediction:
1.Carlsen
2.Aronian
3.Ivanchuk
4.Kramnik
5.Svidler
6.Radjabov
7.Gelfand
8.Grischuk
Mar-14-13  bubuli55: < Mar-14-13
moronovich: I think that players wearing a tie is a private issue. And if someone wears an awfull tie that nobody likes the organizers can always use a tiebreak.

I´m outa here. >

Haha thx :)

Mar-14-13  Karposian: Looking forward to the greatest chess tournament since...AVRO 1938!!

Anyway, here are my predictions:

1. Carlsen
2. Aronian
3. Kramnik
4. Radjabov
5. Ivanchuk
5. Grischuk
7. Svidler
8. Gelfand

Mar-15-13  Golden Executive:

1. Carlsen
2. Aronian
6. Radjabov
8. Grischuk
5. Kramnik
7. Gelfand
2. Ivanchuk
4. Svidler

Mar-15-13  wordfunph: 1. Aronian
2. Carlsen
3. Kramnik
4. Ivanchuk
5. Radjabov
5. Svidler
7. Gelfand
8. Grischuk
Mar-15-13
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Even Magnus Carlsen ties http://www.guardian.co.uk/sport/201... B-)>
Mar-15-13
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <♔♕♖CANDIDATES'TOURNAMENT 2013♔♕♖

<Round 1: All draws

<Standings in no particular order:

1. Aronian
1. Carlsen
1. Gelfand
1. Grischuk
1. Ivanchuk
1. Kramnik
1. Radjabov
1. Svidler>
>
>

Mar-15-13
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: ♔ PREDICTIONS STANDINGS ROUND 1 ♔

Absolute Ranker 1

Score evaluation method: Absolute value of rank deviation Maximum score: 32

Score,UserID
20,SwitchingQuylthulg
20,toktorook
17,blade2012
17,bubuli55
17,chessmoron
17,Diademas
17,moronovich
17,SloVice
17,Tiggler
17,WinKing
17,YouRang
16,abhishikt
16,Aurora
16,chancho
16,Chessmaster9001
16,crazybird
16,Everyone
16,fgh
16,isemeria
16,jsy
16,Karposian
16,King Sacrificer
16,Kjeball
16,KKDEREK
16,lostemperor
16,MarbleSkull
16,OhioChessFan
16,Penguincw
16,perfectimpact
16,solskytz
16,WannaBe
16,wordfunph
16,wtwz

Mar-15-13
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: SQUARE RANKER 1

Score evaluation method: Least Squares of rank deviation Maximum score: 168

Score,UserID
136,SwitchingQuylthulg
131,toktorook
129,blade2012
129,bubuli55
129,isemeria
129,SloVice
128,King Sacrificer
128,lostemperor
128,moronovich
128,WannaBe
128,YouRang
127,abhishikt
127,Chessmaster9001
127,chessmoron
127,Diademas
127,Everyone
127,Karposian
127,KKDEREK
127,MarbleSkull
127,OhioChessFan
127,Penguincw
127,Tiggler
127,WinKing
127,wordfunph
127,wtwz
126,Aurora
126,chancho
126,crazybird
126,fgh
126,jsy
126,Kjeball
126,perfectimpact
126,solskytz

Mar-15-13
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: PAIR BETTING RANKER 1

Earnings,UserID
$95.66,SwitchingQuylthulg
$52.21,toktorook
$51.35,bubuli55
$25.50,blade2012
$22.20,SloVice
$16.46,King Sacrificer
$15.60,lostemperor
$14.50,isemeria
$10.10,WannaBe
$9.00,Diademas
$8.21,moronovich
$7.35,YouRang
$-2.79,Tiggler
$-4.75,Penguincw
$-6.40,MarbleSkull
$-7.50,Chessmaster9001
$-7.50,Everyone
$-8.29,WinKing
$-8.29,wtwz
$-13.00,chessmoron
$-13.00,KKDEREK
$-15.75,Karposian
$-15.75,OhioChessFan
$-15.75,wordfunph
$-17.40,abhishikt
$-24.00,Aurora
$-24.00,chancho
$-24.00,crazybird
$-24.00,fgh
$-24.00,jsy
$-24.00,Kjeball
$-24.00,perfectimpact
$-24.00,solskytz

Mar-15-13
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Large Payoff Pair results:

Payoff,Pair result,Winners
$33.00,Aronian-equal-Ivanchuk, bubuli55

$33.00,Ivanchuk-equal-Kramnik, toktorook

$33.00,Kramnik-equal-Svidler, SwitchingQuylthulg

Mar-15-13
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: All nice ties today:

http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_Q0lTtPVTG...

Mar-15-13
Premium Chessgames Member
  WannaBe: He doesn't look to be a happy camper, maybe he can have a second career as movie 'bad guy' or 'toughie'. =)
Mar-16-13  Golden Executive: Hi <lostemperor>, seems like you missed my prediction.
Mar-16-13
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <Golden Executive> I did not miss your prediction. You made a prediction in an unreadable format. It cannot be read by the machine. If everyone make such prediction it would be lots of work for me to put it in the software correctly. I will make an exception this time and include you in.
Mar-16-13
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: Carlsen looks like Kevin's brother.
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