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< Earlier Kibitzing · PAGE 138 OF 285 ·
Later Kibitzing> |
May-09-13
 | | lostemperor: SQUARE RANKER 1
Score evaluation method: Least Squares of rank deviation
Maximum score: 330
Score,UserID
269,Golden Executive
251,OhioChessFan
249,fgh
249,WinKing
247,YouRang
246,Diademas
244,twinlark
242,chessmoron
240,Ezzy
240,isemeria
239,LucB
235,SwitchingQuylthulg
235,WannaBe
232,crazybird
226,wtwz
221,Aurora
215,MarbleSkull
212,lostemperor
212,suenteus po 147
148,King Sacrificer |
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May-09-13
| | lostemperor: PAIR BETTING RANKER 1
Earnings,UserID
$20.63,WannaBe
$15.14,WinKing
$10.45,isemeria
$9.81,Golden Executive
$7.81,wtwz
$4.45,SwitchingQuylthulg
$4.14,Ezzy
$2.81,LucB
$1.60,suenteus po 147
$1.14,Diademas
$1.03,YouRang
$-0.53,OhioChessFan
$-2.19,twinlark
$-3.19,fgh
$-5.53,crazybird
$-8.19,chessmoron
$-12.78,MarbleSkull
$-12.87,lostemperor
$-15.19,Aurora
$-18.55,King Sacrificer |
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May-09-13
| | lostemperor: Large Payoff Pair results:
Payoff,Pair result,Winners
$20.00,Aronian-equal-Topalov, wtwz
$20.00,Hammer-equal-Hao, WannaBe
$20.00,Nakamura-above-Topalov, WinKing
$10.00,Aronian-equal-Carlsen, Diademas + suenteus po 147 $10.00,Nakamura-above-Aronian, SwitchingQuylthulg + twinlark $6.67,Carlsen-equal-Topalov, isemeria + LucB + WannaBe $6.67,Hao-equal-Radjabov, Golden Executive + isemeria + SwitchingQuylthulg $6.67,Svidler-above-Anand, isemeria + OhioChessFan + YouRang |
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May-09-13
| | lostemperor: <Penguincw> yes that is a pity! Unfortunately, it was impossible to determine which was Topalov and which was Nakamura:) |
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May-09-13
| | lostemperor: <NORWAY ROUND 2 UPDATE
<Carlsen-Anand 1/2
Topalov-Radjabov 1/2
Aronian-Nakamura 1-0
Wang-Svidler 1-0
Hammer-Karjakin 0-1
<standings:
1. Karjakin
2. Aronian
3. Nakamura
3. Carlsen
3. Topalov
3. Anand
3. Svidler
3. Hao
9. Radjabov
10. Hammer>> > |
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May-09-13
| | lostemperor: ♔♕♖ <PREDICTION STANDINGS> ♖♕♔ ABSOLUTE RANKER 2
Score,UserID
36,Golden Executive
34,Diademas
33,OhioChessFan
~~~~
32,fgh
32,wtwz
31,isemeria
31,suenteus po 147
31,WinKing
30,chessmoron
30,crazybird
30,lostemperor
30,LucB
28,Ezzy
28,YouRang
26,MarbleSkull
26,WannaBe
25,Aurora
24,King Sacrificer
22,SwitchingQuylthulg
22,twinlark |
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May-09-13
| | lostemperor: SQUARE RANKER 2
Score,UserID
285,Diademas
284,Golden Executive
279,isemeria
279,OhioChessFan
279,suenteus po 147
~~~~
273,wtwz
266,WinKing
264,fgh
263,crazybird
263,LucB
259,lostemperor
258,WannaBe
257,chessmoron
253,Ezzy
247,YouRang
244,MarbleSkull
240,Aurora
227,twinlark
222,SwitchingQuylthulg
200,King Sacrificer |
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May-09-13
| | lostemperor: PAIR BETTING RANKER 2
Earnings,UserID
$33.43,Golden Executive
$33.42,isemeria
$17.62,King Sacrificer
~~~~
$14.04,suenteus po 147
$2.39,WinKing
$0.58,Diademas
$-0.25,OhioChessFan
$-2.08,WannaBe
$-3.90,crazybird
$-3.90,LucB
$-4.85,fgh
$-5.09,lostemperor
$-6.10,SwitchingQuylthulg
$-8.20,wtwz
$-8.57,chessmoron
$-9.52,YouRang
$-10.61,Ezzy
$-10.74,MarbleSkull
$-11.75,Aurora
$-15.92,twinlark |
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May-09-13
| | lostemperor: Large Payoff Pair results:
Payoff,Pair result,Winners
$20.00,Aronian-above-Carlsen, isemeria
$20.00,Hao-equal-Topalov, King Sacrificer
$20.00,Svidler-equal-Topalov, Golden Executive
$10.00,Anand-equal-Svidler, Golden Executive + suenteus po 147 $10.00,Hao-equal-Nakamura, isemeria + King Sacrificer |
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May-09-13
 | | OhioChessFan: Anyone else been noticing that if you want to do well at the pair ranker you need to do a lot of equals? |
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May-09-13
| | lostemperor: <OhioChessFan> It happens but I don't think predicting equals will give you much of an advantage over predicting non-equals. Of course early in the tournament there are a lot of ties but with every round it is getting less. Jeff Sonas had written about the chances of equals being small in long tournaments. Also you need unexpected equals to score big but we will keep an eye on it 8-) |
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May-09-13
| | OhioChessFan: Maybe I shouldn't have said "a lot of equals", but I don't know if you can win picking no equals. I noticed it in the candidates. <Wannabe> dominated the contest but didn't win the pairs ranker. There were 2 big payoffs of $17 on 2 equal placings, with 4 people getting a $17 payoff each. Those 4 people ended up in 1, 3, 4, and 5 in the pairs ranker. Only one of them ended up in the top 5 of the other 2 rankers. Doesn't mean much of anything, but it seems to be holding true again. |
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May-09-13
 | | Diademas: Funny you should bring it up <OCF>.
I had just the same thought after I had made my predictions. Thinking that if I tied all players for first I would have had a good chance of winning the pair ranker contest.
I dont know if its true, but I dont think you need many upsets, and there are allways a few. Than again; when I won the pair ranking in the candidates, I actually had fewer pairs (2) in my predictions compared with <Wannabe> (3). So I dont feel too sorry for winning ;-) |
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May-09-13
| | OhioChessFan: <Diad> you had an overall strong showing. Anyway, I guess it comes down to the right equals. |
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May-10-13
| | lostemperor: I looked at the large pay-off betting results of the candidates and <Diademas> won by predicting the unlikely tie of Aronian equal Svidler. Furthermore also Grischuk above Radjabov what was not the obvious choice then too. Only Gelfand equal Grischuk could have been expected but he did not bet on that. Of course you also need not to lose too much on the non-equals. |
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May-10-13
| | lostemperor: I said he but I meant he or she of course. Your avatar is a photo of Purdy of the avengers not <Diademas>? http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_OQmEa5OKy... |
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May-10-13
| | Diademas: Very, very close <lostemperor>.
Same actress, different character.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Patsy_... |
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May-10-13
| | Diademas: I notice that <OCF> and <twinlark> has the only predictions without any "equals". That could turn out as a huge advantage if the field spreads out. Especially since they are in such minority. |
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May-10-13
| | OhioChessFan: That's funny. Never thought of it. |
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May-11-13
| | lostemperor: <NORWAY ROUND 3 UPDATE
<
ANAND 1-0 Topalov
Nakamura 1/2 Carlsen
Svidler 1/2 Aronian
RADJABOV 1-0 Hammer
KARJAKIN 1-0 Wang
<standings:
1. Karjakin
2. Aronian
2. Anand
4. Carlsen
4. Nakamura
4. Svidler
4. Radjabov
8. Topalov
8. Hao
10. Hammer>> > |
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May-11-13
| | lostemperor: ♔♕♖ <PREDICTION STANDINGS> ♖♕♔ ABSOLUTE RANKER
Score,UserID
31,Golden Executive
30,Diademas
30,lostemperor
~~~~
28,Ezzy
28,OhioChessFan
27,chessmoron
27,LucB
27,WannaBe
26,Aurora
26,crazybird
25,fgh
25,isemeria
25,WinKing
25,wtwz
25,YouRang
23,MarbleSkull
22,SwitchingQuylthulg
22,twinlark
19,suenteus po 147
13,King Sacrificer |
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May-11-13
| | lostemperor: SQUARE RANKER 3
Score,UserID
266,Golden Executive
265,Diademas
262,lostemperor
~~~~
249,OhioChessFan
244,WannaBe
240,isemeria
239,WinKing
237,chessmoron
234,Ezzy
231,fgh
231,wtwz
228,crazybird
228,LucB
225,Aurora
219,YouRang
217,MarbleSkull
210,SwitchingQuylthulg
210,twinlark
191,suenteus po 147
146,King Sacrificer |
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May-11-13
| | lostemperor: PAIR BETTING RANKER 3
Earnings,UserID
$25.44,isemeria
$17.16,WannaBe
$9.93,WinKing
~~~~
$8.35,Diademas
$8.00,twinlark
$5.52,OhioChessFan
$3.03,Ezzy
$1.21,King Sacrificer
$-2.09,lostemperor
$-2.90,LucB
$-3.32,crazybird
$-5.11,suenteus po 147
$-6.25,YouRang
$-6.30,Golden Executive
$-6.47,chessmoron
$-6.82,MarbleSkull
$-6.82,wtwz
$-7.98,Aurora
$-8.97,fgh
$-15.63,SwitchingQuylthulg |
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May-11-13
| | lostemperor: Large Payoff Pair results:
Payoff,Pair result,Winners
$20.00,Anand-above-Topalov, twinlark
$20.00,Aronian-above-Carlsen, isemeria
$20.00,Hao-equal-Topalov, King Sacrificer
$20.00,Nakamura-above-Topalov, WinKing
$6.67,Nakamura-equal-Radjabov, isemeria + lostemperor + WannaBe $5.00,Anand-equal-Aronian, crazybird + Ezzy + LucB + WannaBe $5.00,Karjakin-above-Anand, Diademas + isemeria + OhioChessFan + suenteus po 147 |
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May-11-13
| | lostemperor: <Diademas> I thought you look familiar and Im right. Though I only know her from The Avengers! So may I ask are you female? |
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< Earlier Kibitzing · PAGE 138 OF 285 ·
Later Kibitzing> |
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Kibitzing
