User Profile: lostemperor

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lostemperor
Member since Feb-18-03 · Last seen Feb-02-25

♔♕♖
<FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS' CONTEST FORUM>
Predict the final standings of Tata Steel tournament January 12
Format example to post your predictions
1.Caruana
1. Erigaisi
3. Gukesh
4. Abdusattorov
5. Wei Yi
5. Harikrishna
5. Praggnanandhaa
8. Giri
9. Keymer
10. Fedoseev
11.Van Foreest
12. Sarina
12. Warmerdam
12. Mendonca
Good Luck!
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Some years ago I came up with a new but simple system to calculate the final standings of a tournament including all players. This is how it goes:
For each correct standing you'll get a maximum amount of points. Each prediction deviation from the actual player standing in the tournament, will deduct one point from your total (ABSOLUTE RANKER).
In case of a shared player's standing the average standing counts (both actual and in your predictions).
The SQUARE RANKER, squares your predictions' deviations. Here only medals are awarded if the winner s is not the same person s as in the absolute ranker.
Same goes for the The PAIR BETTING RANKER compare all possible pair outcomes of the tournament participants.
The three best predictions will get Real Virtual Gold Silver and Bronze!
Note: only one set of medals is awarded (in the absolute ranker) unless another ranker produces a different winner.
Special thanks to <YouRang> who made a software to calculate these numbers.
Our new contest manager for game results prediction User: Golden Executive during the tournament also ([1-0], [1/2], [0-1])!
or predict the # of moves in User: ohiochessfan organized by <chessmoron>
Enjoy!
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<HALL <OF> FAME>
WannaBe 10♔ 5♕ 4♖
~~~~
♔♔♔♔♔ ♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♖♖♖♖SwitchingQuylthulg
~~~~
♔♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♕♖♖♖YouRang
~~~~~~
♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♖Aurora
♔♔♔♔♕♕♖suenteus po 147
♔♔♔♔♖♖♖Penguincw
~~~~~~
♔♔♔♕♕♕♖♖♖lostemperor
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖♖♖chessmoron
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖rogge
♔♔♔♕♕♖cromat
♔♔♔♕♖Robin01
~~~~
♔♔♕♕♕♕WinKing
♔♔♕♕♕♖percyblakeney
♔♔♕♖♖♖yalie
♔♔♕♖wordfunph
♔♔♕♖Ragh
♔♔♕♖Ezzy
♔♔Golden Executive
♔♔SloVice
♔♔positionalgenius
♔♔amadeus
~~~~
♔♕♕♕♕♖♖OhioChessFan
♔♕♕♖Diademas
♔♕♖nimh
♔♕♖ahmadov
♔♕♖CHESSBOOKIE
♔♕Keysersoze
♔♕Where is my mind
♔♕Appaz
♔♖♖moronovich*
♔♖Golden Executive*
♔♖Montreal1666
♔♖Troewa
~~~~
♔Beholder
♔juan31
♔wtwz
♔Twinlark
♔SoUnwiseTheKnight B4
♔NGambit
♔benjinathan
♔DCP23
♔firebyrd
♔kellmano
♔Stonehenge
♔cu8sfan
♔larrewl
♔babakova
♔djmercury
♔mikejaqua
♔Joshka,
♔SnoopDogg
♔Like a GM
*may be incomplete
♔ Gold
♕ Silver
♖ Bronze
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>> Click here to see lostemperor's game collections.

   lostemperor has kibitzed 7712 times to chessgames [more...]

   Feb-02-25 lostemperor chessforum

lostemperor: <Keyser Soze>,<0ZeR0>,<Penguincw> won gold each! Congratulations!

   Apr-20-24 Golden Executive chessforum

lostemperor: It is fixed! I had an expert looking at it.

   Jan-18-24 OhioChessFan chessforum

lostemperor: Betcha you. Right damn

   Jan-11-24 Tata Steel Masters (2024)

lostemperor: ♔♕♖ Announcement ♔♕♖ Join the annual Tata Teel Chess final standings prediction contest at lostemperor chessforum 1. Ding 2. Nepomniachtchi 3. Firouzja 4, Giri 5. Praggnanandhaa 6. Maghsoodloo 7. Vidit 8.Wei 9. Abdusattorov

   Feb-26-23 WR Chess Masters (2023)

lostemperor: The predictions' winners on the final standings of WR Chess on my forum <Penquincw>♔, <Golden Executive>♔, <Chesschronicle22>♕, <OhioChessFan>♕, <Messiah>♖

   Jan-30-23 Tata Steel Masters (2023)

lostemperor: Winners of the TATA STEEL CHESS 2023 FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTION'S CONTEST at my forum <Firouzjias>♔♔♖, <tuttifrutty>♔♕♖, <lostemperor>♕♕, <Messiah>♖

indicates a reply to the comment.

FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS

< Earlier Kibitzing · PAGE 153 OF 285 · Later Kibitzing>
Mar-13-14		OhioChessFan: Try, try again. 1. Kramnik 2. Aronian 3. Mamedyarov 4. Karjakin 5. Topalov 6. Anand 7. Svidler 8. Andreikin

Mar-13-14		lostemperor: I may not be able to post early results since my computer motherboard broke down where the software is. Hope to get it fixed next week :(

Mar-13-14		lostemperor: Have a fun early tournament!

Mar-13-14		Penguincw: < lostemperor: I may not be able to post early results... > Darn it! If the tournament ended now, I would've gotten a jackpot for Anand being better than everyone. :\| Of course, it's only been one round. :)

Mar-13-14		lostemperor: Yess darn <Penguincw> impressed I am! I thought you had a lousy prediction, though daring, putting Anand first and Aronian shared 5 - 6 but as it turned out you would have been best, undoubtly, after round 1 with your method prevailing! <Mar-03-14 Penguincw: Hopefully my method won't fail me as badly this time. 1. Anand 2. Kramnik 2. Topalov 4. Andreikin 5. Aronian 5. Karjakin 5. Mamedyarov 8. Svidler> Anand - Aronian 1-0. Who would have thought of that ater the last few months where Anand only loses and Aronian almost only won? NOBODY at the game predictions in <YouRang>s forum!:)

Mar-13-14		Penguincw: < I thought you had a lousy prediction... > You're not the only one. ;) Also, nobody at <OCF>'s contest predicted Anand to win, even though it didn't count. The only ones that did were 2 of YouRang's robots (<WHITER> and <MONKEY>) and anybody who contributed to the 638 cbs in this bet (FIDE Candidates rd. 1: Anand - Aronian). I wouldn't be surprised if Kramnik or Topalov pull off an "upset" in Rd. 2.

Mar-18-14		lostemperor: I managed to install the software on another computer. So here we go! <Rounds: 5 <Actual standings: 1. Anand 3.5 2. Aronian 3 2. kramnik 2. Svidler 5. Topalov 2 5. Karjakin 5. Mamedyarov 8. Andreikin 1.5 <Anand on top after 5 rounds!>>>

Mar-18-14		lostemperor: CANDIDATES PREDICTIONS AFTER 5 ROUNDS ABSOLUTE RANKER Score evaluation method: Absolute value of rank deviation Maximum score: 32 Score,UserID 21,Golden Executive 20,babakova 19,SwitchingQuylthulg 19,whiteshark 18,Lambda 18,Salty 18,wtwz 18,YouRang 17,WinKing 16,Billy Vaughan 16,Karposian 16,kirby1959 16,moronovich 16,Penguincw 16,The Last Straw 15,Aurora 15,SloVice 14,BobbieM 14,cromat 14,OhioChessFan 14,WannaBe 12,lostemperor 9,KKDEREK

Mar-18-14		lostemperor: SQUARE RANKER 5 Score evaluation method: Least Squares of rank deviation Maximum score: 168 Score,UserID 144,babakova 143,Golden Executive 135,Lambda 134,Salty 133,whiteshark 131,WinKing 127,SwitchingQuylthulg 125,YouRang 122,Karposian 117,moronovich 116,kirby1959 116,SloVice 116,The Last Straw 114,Aurora 114,wtwz 110,cromat 109,Billy Vaughan 108,BobbieM 108,OhioChessFan 106,Penguincw 106,WannaBe 98,lostemperor 82,KKDEREK

Mar-18-14		lostemperor: PAIR BETTING RANKER Earnings,UserID $28.05,Golden Executive $23.93,Penguincw $16.38,Billy Vaughan $12.61,SwitchingQuylthulg $10.54,whiteshark $7.15,Lambda $4.67,YouRang $4.63,babakova $3.26,wtwz $-2.50,cromat $-3.04,Salty $-4.41,Karposian $-4.67,moronovich $-6.34,WinKing $-8.44,BobbieM $-8.63,OhioChessFan $-8.75,kirby1959 $-8.89,SloVice $-9.44,The Last Straw $-9.84,lostemperor $-10.43,Aurora $-11.31,WannaBe $-14.50,KKDEREK

Mar-18-14		lostemperor: arge Payoff Pair results: Payoff,Pair result,Winners $23.00,Aronian-equal-Svidler, Billy Vaughan $23.00,Karjakin-equal-Topalov, Golden Executive $11.50,Anand-above-Aronian, Penguincw + whiteshark $11.50,Aronian-equal-kramnik, Lambda + wtwz $11.50,Karjakin-equal-Mamedyarov, Penguincw + SwitchingQuylthulg $7.67,Anand-above-Karjakin, babakova + Penguincw + whiteshark $7.67,Anand-above-kramnik, cromat + Karposian + Penguincw $7.67,kramnik-equal-Svidler, Golden Executive + SwitchingQuylthulg + YouRang

Mar-18-14		lostemperor: It has been late but still very early.. thank you for your patience!

Mar-19-14		lostemperor: <ROUND 6 UPDATE <In an interesting round, Topalov beat Kramnik and Mamedyarov beat Svidler. Anand remained on top.< Actual standings: 1. Anand 2. Aronian 3. kramnik 3. Svidler 3. Topalov 3. Mamedyarov 7. Karjakin 8. Andreikin>>>>

Mar-19-14		lostemperor: PREDICTION RANKINGS ABSOLUTE RANKER 6 Score,UserID 19,babakova 18,Karposian 17,cromat 17,Golden Executive 17,Salty 17,SwitchingQuylthulg 17,whiteshark 17,YouRang ~~~~~~ 16,OhioChessFan 16,SloVice 16,The Last Straw 15,Lambda 15,lostemperor 15,WinKing 15,wtwz 14,kirby1959 14,Penguincw 13,Aurora 12,WannaBe 11,moronovich 10,Billy Vaughan 10,BobbieM 10,KKDEREK

Mar-19-14		lostemperor: SQUARE RANKER 6 Score,UserID 139,babakova 135,Karposian 133,whiteshark ~~~~~~ 130,Golden Executive 127,cromat 127,Salty 127,YouRang 123,SloVice 122,SwitchingQuylthulg 119,WinKing 116,lostemperor 115,Lambda 113,OhioChessFan 113,Penguincw 110,The Last Straw 108,Aurora 101,kirby1959 101,wtwz 97,WannaBe 94,moronovich 90,KKDEREK 87,BobbieM 84,Billy Vaughan

Mar-19-14		lostemperor: PAIR BETTING RANKER 6 Earnings,UserID $23.43,Karposian $23.35,Penguincw $20.17,whiteshark ~~~~~~~ $16.66,WinKing $12.16,YouRang $4.63,babakova $2.52,cromat $2.49,Golden Executive $1.41,lostemperor $0.85,SwitchingQuylthulg $-1.45,OhioChessFan $-3.04,Salty $-3.98,WannaBe $-5.14,SloVice $-8.67,Lambda $-8.91,The Last Straw $-8.99,moronovich $-9.90,Aurora $-10.76,KKDEREK $-10.99,BobbieM $-11.31,kirby1959 $-11.99,Billy Vaughan $-12.56,wtwz

Mar-19-14		lostemperor: Large Payoff Pair results: Payoff,Pair result,Winners $23.00,kramnik-equal-Mamedyarov, Karposian $23.00,Svidler-equal-Topalov, WinKing $11.50,Anand-above-Aronian, Penguincw + whiteshark $7.67,Anand-above-Karjakin, babakova + Penguincw + whiteshark $7.67,Anand-above-kramnik, cromat + Karposian + Penguincw $7.67,kramnik-equal-Svidler, Golden Executive + SwitchingQuylthulg + YouRang $7.67,kramnik-equal-Topalov, Penguincw + WannaBe + whiteshark $7.67,Mamedyarov-above-Karjakin, lostemperor + OhioChessFan + YouRang

Mar-19-14		lostemperor: The pack in Khanty-Mansiys still close together as in the prediction rankings. In the Pair bettings as close as 8 cents:)

Mar-21-14		lostemperor: <UPDATE ROUND 7 < Karjakin-Aronian 0-1 Svidler-Anand 1/2 Kramnik-Mamedyarov 1-0 Andreikin-Topalov 1-0< halfway standings: 1. Anand 1. Aronian 3. kramnik 4. Svidler 5. Topalov 5. Mamedyarov 5. Andreikin 8. Karjakin>>>>

Mar-21-14		lostemperor: HALFWAY PREDICTION STANDINGS ABSOLUTE RANKER Score,UserID 20,SwitchingQuylthulg 19,babakova 19,Golden Executive 19,Lambda ~~~~ 18,WinKing 17,BobbieM 17,kirby1959 17,moronovich 17,Salty 17,wtwz 17,YouRang 15,Billy Vaughan 15,Karposian 15,Penguincw 15,whiteshark 14,SloVice 14,The Last Straw 13,cromat 13,lostemperor 12,OhioChessFan 11,Aurora 11,KKDEREK 10,WannaBe

Mar-21-14		lostemperor: SQUARE RANKER 7 Score,UserID 139,babakova 139,Golden Executive 134,SwitchingQuylthulg ~~~~~~ 130,moronovich 127,Lambda 126,Salty 125,YouRang 124,whiteshark 124,WinKing 113,Karposian 111,Penguincw 110,SloVice 109,The Last Straw 108,lostemperor 106,Billy Vaughan 106,BobbieM 106,kirby1959 106,wtwz 105,OhioChessFan 104,cromat 101,Aurora 88,KKDEREK 80,WannaBe

Mar-21-14		lostemperor: PAIR BETTING RANKER 7 Earnings,UserID $16.06,YouRang $15.77,Penguincw $9.81,WannaBe ~~~~~~ $9.33,Golden Executive $9.09,moronovich $8.84,SwitchingQuylthulg $4.94,Billy Vaughan $4.52,babakova $0.02,lostemperor $-0.30,cromat $-0.54,whiteshark $-2.84,OhioChessFan $-3.15,Salty $-3.42,Karposian $-4.45,Lambda $-4.68,WinKing $-5.57,BobbieM $-6.69,SloVice $-7.09,kirby1959 $-9.02,The Last Straw $-10.01,Aurora $-10.12,wtwz $-10.53,KKDEREK

Mar-21-14		lostemperor: Large Payoff Pair results: Payoff,Pair result,Winners $23.00,Anand-equal-Aronian, WannaBe $11.50,Andreikin-above-Karjakin, moronovich + Penguincw $11.50,Andreikin-equal-Mamedyarov, Golden Executive + SwitchingQuylthulg $11.50,Andreikin-equal-Topalov, Billy Vaughan + YouRang $7.67,Anand-above-Karjakin, babakova + Penguincw + whiteshark $7.67,Anand-above-kramnik, cromat + Karposian + Penguincw $7.67,Mamedyarov-above-Karjakin, lostemperor + OhioChessFan + YouRang

Mar-21-14		WannaBe: Woooooo, 3rd place in betting ranker. Shocked, since the guy I picked to finished first is in (dead) last place.

Mar-21-14		wordfunph: ouch! i missed this one :(

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