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lostemperor
Member since Feb-18-03 · Last seen Feb-02-25
♔♕♖
<FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS' CONTEST FORUM>

Predict the final standings of Tata Steel tournament January 12

Format example to post your predictions

1.Caruana
1. Erigaisi
3. Gukesh
4. Abdusattorov
5. Wei Yi
5. Harikrishna
5. Praggnanandhaa
8. Giri
9. Keymer
10. Fedoseev
11.Van Foreest
12. Sarina
12. Warmerdam
12. Mendonca

Good Luck!


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Some years ago I came up with a new but simple system to calculate the final standings of a tournament including all players. This is how it goes:

For each correct standing you'll get a maximum amount of points. Each prediction deviation from the actual player standing in the tournament, will deduct one point from your total (ABSOLUTE RANKER).

In case of a shared player's standing the average standing counts (both actual and in your predictions).

The SQUARE RANKER, squares your predictions' deviations. Here only medals are awarded if the winner s is not the same person s as in the absolute ranker.

Same goes for the The PAIR BETTING RANKER compare all possible pair outcomes of the tournament participants.

The three best predictions will get Real Virtual Gold Silver and Bronze!

Note: only one set of medals is awarded (in the absolute ranker) unless another ranker produces a different winner.

Special thanks to <YouRang> who made a software to calculate these numbers.

Our new contest manager for game results prediction User: Golden Executive during the tournament also ([1-0], [1/2], [0-1])!

or predict the # of moves in User: ohiochessfan organized by <chessmoron>

Enjoy!


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<HALL <OF> FAME>

WannaBe 10♔ 5♕ 4♖

~~~~
♔♔♔♔♔ ♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♖♖♖♖SwitchingQuylthulg

~~~~

♔♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♕♖♖♖YouRang

~~~~~~

♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♖Aurora
♔♔♔♔♕♕♖suenteus po 147
♔♔♔♔♖♖♖Penguincw

~~~~~~

♔♔♔♕♕♕♖♖♖lostemperor
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖♖♖chessmoron
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖rogge
♔♔♔♕♕♖cromat
♔♔♔♕♖Robin01
~~~~

♔♔♕♕♕♕WinKing
♔♔♕♕♕♖percyblakeney
♔♔♕♖♖♖yalie
♔♔♕♖wordfunph
♔♔♕♖Ragh
♔♔♕♖Ezzy
♔♔Golden Executive
♔♔SloVice
♔♔positionalgenius
♔♔amadeus

~~~~

♔♕♕♕♕♖♖OhioChessFan
♔♕♕♖Diademas
♔♕♖nimh
♔♕♖ahmadov
♔♕♖CHESSBOOKIE
♔♕Keysersoze
♔♕Where is my mind
♔♕Appaz
♔♖♖moronovich*
♔♖Golden Executive*
♔♖Montreal1666
♔♖Troewa

~~~~

♔Beholder
♔juan31
♔wtwz
♔Twinlark
♔SoUnwiseTheKnight B4
♔NGambit
♔benjinathan
♔DCP23
♔firebyrd
♔kellmano
♔Stonehenge
♔cu8sfan
♔larrewl
♔babakova
♔djmercury
♔mikejaqua
♔Joshka,
♔SnoopDogg
♔Like a GM

*may be incomplete

♔ Gold
♕ Silver
♖ Bronze


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>> Click here to see lostemperor's game collections.

Chessgames.com Full Member

   lostemperor has kibitzed 7712 times to chessgames   [more...]
   Feb-02-25 lostemperor chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: <Keyser Soze>,<0ZeR0>,<Penguincw> won gold each! Congratulations!
 
   Apr-20-24 Golden Executive chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: It is fixed! I had an expert looking at it.
 
   Jan-18-24 OhioChessFan chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: Betcha you. Right damn
 
   Jan-11-24 Tata Steel Masters (2024) (replies)
 
lostemperor: ♔♕♖ Announcement ♔♕♖ Join the annual Tata Teel Chess final standings prediction contest at lostemperor chessforum 1. Ding 2. Nepomniachtchi 3. Firouzja 4, Giri 5. Praggnanandhaa 6. Maghsoodloo 7. Vidit 8.Wei 9. Abdusattorov
 
   Feb-26-23 WR Chess Masters (2023) (replies)
 
lostemperor: The predictions' winners on the final standings of WR Chess on my forum <Penquincw>♔, <Golden Executive>♔, <Chesschronicle22>♕, <OhioChessFan>♕, <Messiah>♖
 
   Jan-30-23 Tata Steel Masters (2023) (replies)
 
lostemperor: Winners of the TATA STEEL CHESS 2023 FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTION'S CONTEST at my forum <Firouzjias>♔♔♖, <tuttifrutty>♔♕♖, <lostemperor>♕♕, <Messiah>♖
 
(replies) indicates a reply to the comment.

FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS

Kibitzer's Corner
< Earlier Kibitzing  · PAGE 152 OF 285 ·  Later Kibitzing>
Mar-05-14
Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: < lostemperor: The HOF is updated. However I still need to make a complete list of all non gold medal winners and post it here. I am behind in that unfortunatly to say. But nothing is lost! So it could be incomplete still also for our new HOFers! >

To <try> to help you out, there's a list from 2007 (User: lostemperor), though that list needs to be seriously updated.

Mar-09-14
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Thanks <Penguincw>. It has some time updating to do but when that has happened it will be kept.

You have a rather unusual prediction. I can only agree with you on three or four players spots at the most. Makes me wonder what your method is :-)

Mar-09-14  WinKing: World Chess Championship Candidates Tournament 2014 predictions:

1. Aronian
2. Karjakin
2. Kramnik
4. Anand
5. Svidler
5. Topalov
7. Andreikin
8. Mamedyarov

Mar-09-14
Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: < lostemperor: Thanks <Penguincw>. It has some time updating to do but when that has happened it will be kept.

You have a rather unusual prediction. I can only agree with you on three or four players spots at the most. Makes me wonder what your method is :-) >

You're welcome. :)

Regarding the method, it's pretty simple, but not very accurate. Anyway, (hopefully I didn't make any errors) what my method does is compare the overall record between players in classical chess, and give it a "game result". For example, Aronian has a positive record against Karjakin, so I gave Aronian a "1", and Karjakin a "0". If it's tied, then each player gets 1/2. If they never faced in <classical> chess, they both get half a point (which is why <Andreikin> placed so high). I do it like a round-robin

I've been using that method for quite some time, including the time when I included some player's name twice, so someone can actually predict what I was "thinking" months/years ago. :)

Despite all this, I would still like to bring in those predictions for the tournament.

Mar-10-14  SloVice: My picks:

1. Aronian
2. Topalov
3. Kramnik
3. Karjakin
5. Anand
6. Svidler
7. Mamedyarov
8. Andreikin

Mar-11-14
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <Penguincw> interesting. I have to say this is tournament is still puzzling for me. For six players in the middle I still don't have a clue where to put. My predictions coming soon :)
Mar-11-14
Premium Chessgames Member
  moronovich: <lostemperor: <Penguincw> interesting. I have to say this is tournament is still puzzling for me. For six players in the middle I still don't have a clue where to put. My predictions coming soon :)>

Almost the same here :)

Mar-11-14
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Wanna bet who comes first heheheh?
Mar-11-14
Premium Chessgames Member
  moronovich: No,thanks ;)
Mar-11-14
Premium Chessgames Member
  SwitchingQuylthulg: 1. Aronian
2. Kramnik
2. Svidler
4. Topalov
5. Mamedyarov
5. Anand
5. Karjakin
5. Andreikin
Mar-11-14
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Okay here my best try :)
1. Aronian
2. Kramnik
3. Mamedyarov
4. Topalov
5. Karjakin
6. Anand
7. Andreikin
8. Svidler
Mar-12-14  Aurora: Candidates Tournament 2014. Predictions:

1. Kramnik
2. Topalov
3. Aronian
3. Karjakin
5. Svidler
5. Anand
7. Mamedyarov
8. Andreikin

Mar-12-14
Premium Chessgames Member
  moronovich: 1.Kramnik
2.Aronian
3.Svidler,Andreikin
5.Anand,Karjakin
7.Topalov
8.Mamedayrov

That was a tough one :)

Good luck to all and thanks to <lostemperor> for hosting.

Time to enjoy.

Mar-12-14  cromat: 1. Aronian
2. Topalov
3. Karjakin
4. Anand
5. Kramnik
6. Mamedyarov
7. Svidler
8. Andreikin
Mar-12-14  kirby1959: Here goes nothing!

Place/Player W / L / D Pts.
1) Aronian 4 1 9 8.5
2) Karjakin 4 2 8 8.0
3) Kramnik 3 1 10 8.0
4) Svidler 3 2 9 7.5
5) Topalov 3 3 8 7.0
6) Anand 1 3 10 6.0
7) Andreikin 2 4 8 6.0
8) Mamedyarov 1 5 8 5.0

Mar-12-14  whiteshark: Ze weird <FineL Standning Predicshn>

1. Topalove
1. Kranmik
3. Anant
4. Aroinan
5. Svidlar
5. Karjokin
7. Mamadyrov
8. Andrewkin

Holy Smoky

Mar-12-14  BobbieM: My predictions, and scores for a bit of fun!

1. Levon Aronian 9.5
2. Sergey Karjakin 8.5
3. Vladimir Kramnik 8.5
4. Peter Svidler 7.5
5. Dmitry Andreikin 6.5
6. Viswanathan Anand 6
7. Veselin Topalov 5.5
8. Shakhriyar Mamedyarov 4

Mar-12-14  Lambda:

1. Aronian
1. Kramnik
3. Karjakin
4. Anand
4. Svidler
6. Topalov
7. Andreikin
8. Mamedyarov

Mar-12-14  babakova:

1.Aronian
2.Kramnik
3.Anand
4.Karjakin
5.Topalov
6.Svidler
7.Mamedyarov
8.Andreikin

Mar-12-14  wtwz: 1. Aronian
1. Kramnik
3. Svidler
3. Karjakin
5. Topalov
6. Mamedyarov
7. Anand
7. Andriekin
Mar-12-14  The Last Straw: 1. Kramnik
2. Aronian
3. Topalov
4. Karjakin
5. Svidler
6. Anand
6. Mamedyarov
8. Andreikin
Mar-12-14  Golden Executive:

1.Aronian
2.Kramnik
2.Svidler
4.Anand
4.Topalov
4.Karjakin
7.Mamedyarov
7.Andreikin

Mar-12-14  Billy Vaughan: 1. Kramnik
2. Aronian
2. Svidler
4. Karjakin
5. Andreikin
5. Topalov
7. Anand
7. Mamedyarov
Mar-12-14  Karposian: My predictions:

1.Aronian
2.Topalov
3.Karjakin
3.Svidler
3.Anand
6.Kramnik
6.Mamedyarov
8.Andreikin

Mar-12-14  Salty: --->
1. Aronian
2. Kramnik
3. Karjakin
4. Anand
5. Topalov
6. Svidler
7. Mamedyarov
8. Andreikin
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