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lostemperor
Member since Feb-18-03 · Last seen Feb-02-25
♔♕♖
<FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS' CONTEST FORUM>

Predict the final standings of Tata Steel tournament January 12

Format example to post your predictions

1.Caruana
1. Erigaisi
3. Gukesh
4. Abdusattorov
5. Wei Yi
5. Harikrishna
5. Praggnanandhaa
8. Giri
9. Keymer
10. Fedoseev
11.Van Foreest
12. Sarina
12. Warmerdam
12. Mendonca

Good Luck!


♙♙

♙♙♙

♙♙


Some years ago I came up with a new but simple system to calculate the final standings of a tournament including all players. This is how it goes:

For each correct standing you'll get a maximum amount of points. Each prediction deviation from the actual player standing in the tournament, will deduct one point from your total (ABSOLUTE RANKER).

In case of a shared player's standing the average standing counts (both actual and in your predictions).

The SQUARE RANKER, squares your predictions' deviations. Here only medals are awarded if the winner s is not the same person s as in the absolute ranker.

Same goes for the The PAIR BETTING RANKER compare all possible pair outcomes of the tournament participants.

The three best predictions will get Real Virtual Gold Silver and Bronze!

Note: only one set of medals is awarded (in the absolute ranker) unless another ranker produces a different winner.

Special thanks to <YouRang> who made a software to calculate these numbers.

Our new contest manager for game results prediction User: Golden Executive during the tournament also ([1-0], [1/2], [0-1])!

or predict the # of moves in User: ohiochessfan organized by <chessmoron>

Enjoy!


♙♙

♙♙♙

♙♙


<HALL <OF> FAME>

WannaBe 10♔ 5♕ 4♖

~~~~
♔♔♔♔♔ ♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♖♖♖♖SwitchingQuylthulg

~~~~

♔♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♕♖♖♖YouRang

~~~~~~

♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♖Aurora
♔♔♔♔♕♕♖suenteus po 147
♔♔♔♔♖♖♖Penguincw

~~~~~~

♔♔♔♕♕♕♖♖♖lostemperor
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖♖♖chessmoron
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖rogge
♔♔♔♕♕♖cromat
♔♔♔♕♖Robin01
~~~~

♔♔♕♕♕♕WinKing
♔♔♕♕♕♖percyblakeney
♔♔♕♖♖♖yalie
♔♔♕♖wordfunph
♔♔♕♖Ragh
♔♔♕♖Ezzy
♔♔Golden Executive
♔♔SloVice
♔♔positionalgenius
♔♔amadeus

~~~~

♔♕♕♕♕♖♖OhioChessFan
♔♕♕♖Diademas
♔♕♖nimh
♔♕♖ahmadov
♔♕♖CHESSBOOKIE
♔♕Keysersoze
♔♕Where is my mind
♔♕Appaz
♔♖♖moronovich*
♔♖Golden Executive*
♔♖Montreal1666
♔♖Troewa

~~~~

♔Beholder
♔juan31
♔wtwz
♔Twinlark
♔SoUnwiseTheKnight B4
♔NGambit
♔benjinathan
♔DCP23
♔firebyrd
♔kellmano
♔Stonehenge
♔cu8sfan
♔larrewl
♔babakova
♔djmercury
♔mikejaqua
♔Joshka,
♔SnoopDogg
♔Like a GM

*may be incomplete

♔ Gold
♕ Silver
♖ Bronze


♙♙

♙♙♙

♙♙

>> Click here to see lostemperor's game collections.

Chessgames.com Full Member

   lostemperor has kibitzed 7712 times to chessgames   [more...]
   Feb-02-25 lostemperor chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: <Keyser Soze>,<0ZeR0>,<Penguincw> won gold each! Congratulations!
 
   Apr-20-24 Golden Executive chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: It is fixed! I had an expert looking at it.
 
   Jan-18-24 OhioChessFan chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: Betcha you. Right damn
 
   Jan-11-24 Tata Steel Masters (2024) (replies)
 
lostemperor: ♔♕♖ Announcement ♔♕♖ Join the annual Tata Teel Chess final standings prediction contest at lostemperor chessforum 1. Ding 2. Nepomniachtchi 3. Firouzja 4, Giri 5. Praggnanandhaa 6. Maghsoodloo 7. Vidit 8.Wei 9. Abdusattorov
 
   Feb-26-23 WR Chess Masters (2023) (replies)
 
lostemperor: The predictions' winners on the final standings of WR Chess on my forum <Penquincw>♔, <Golden Executive>♔, <Chesschronicle22>♕, <OhioChessFan>♕, <Messiah>♖
 
   Jan-30-23 Tata Steel Masters (2023) (replies)
 
lostemperor: Winners of the TATA STEEL CHESS 2023 FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTION'S CONTEST at my forum <Firouzjias>♔♔♖, <tuttifrutty>♔♕♖, <lostemperor>♕♕, <Messiah>♖
 
(replies) indicates a reply to the comment.

FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS

Kibitzer's Corner
< Earlier Kibitzing  · PAGE 163 OF 285 ·  Later Kibitzing>
Aug-27-14
Premium Chessgames Member
  WannaBe: 1. Carlsen
2. Aronian
2. Caruana
4. Topalov
5. Vachier-Lagrave
6. Nakamura
Aug-27-14
Premium Chessgames Member
  juan31: 1- Carlsen
2- Caruana
3- Aronian
3-Topalov
5- Nakamura
6- Vachier- Lagrave
Aug-27-14
Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: Tournament has started.
Aug-27-14
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Thanks Penguincw. I have no time run the CONMAN calculating software at this moment but will give an update asap!
Aug-28-14
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Here we go with the Singuefield Cup first predictions results!

<Round 1

<Aronian - Nakamura 1/2
Topalov - Caruana 0-1
Vachier-Lagrave - Carlsen 1/2

<Standings

1. Caruana
2. Carlsen
2. Nakamura
2. Vachier-Lagrave
2. Aronian
6. Topalov>
>
>

Aug-28-14
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Predicitons standings Round 1

Abslute ranker

Score evaluation method: Absolute value of rank deviation Maximum score: 18

Score,UserID

14,moronovich
13,chessmoron
13,SwitchingQuylthulg
~~~~
12,Beholder
11,Aurora
11,wordfunph
10,Golden Executive
10,isemeria
10,Karposian
10,WinKing
9,whiteshark
8,juan31
8,lostemperor
8,OhioChessFan
7,blade2012
7,Penguincw
7,WannaBe
6,KKDEREK

Aug-28-14
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Square Ranker 1

Score evaluation method: Least Squares of rank deviation Maximum score: 70

Score,UserID

66,moronovich
62,SwitchingQuylthulg
61,chessmoron
~~~~
60,Beholder
59,Aurora
58,wordfunph
55,Golden Executive
55,isemeria
55,Karposian
53,whiteshark
53,WinKing
50,OhioChessFan
48,juan31
48,WannaBe
45,blade2012
45,lostemperor
42,KKDEREK
35,Penguincw

Aug-28-14
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Pair Betting Ranker 1

Earnings,UserID

$28.73,moronovich
$16.73,SwitchingQuylthulg
$8.73,chessmoron
~~~~
$7.87,Aurora
$0.86,Karposian
$-0.36,Golden Executive
$-1.27,Beholder
$-3.07,wordfunph
$-3.27,isemeria
$-4.46,WinKing
$-4.56,lostemperor
$-4.87,whiteshark
$-5.07,OhioChessFan
$-6.36,juan31
$-6.46,blade2012
$-6.86,Penguincw
$-6.87,WannaBe
$-9.46,KKDEREK

Aug-28-14
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Large Payoff Pair results:

Payoff,Pair result,Winners

$18.00,Aronian-equal-Carlsen, moronovich

$6.00,Aronian-equal-Nakamura, chessmoron + Golden Executive + SwitchingQuylthulg

$6.00,Aronian-equal-Vachier, Aurora + lostemperor + SwitchingQuylthulg

$6.00,Caruana-above-Carlsen, Aurora + chessmoron + moronovich

$6.00,Nakamura-equal-Vachier, Karposian + moronovich + SwitchingQuylthulg

Aug-29-14
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <SINQUEFIELD CUP

<ROUND 2 UPDATE

<Nakamura - Carlsen 1/2
Caruana - Vachier Lagrave 1-0
Aronian - Topalov 1-0

<1. Caruana
2. Aronian
3. Carlsen
3. Nakamura
5. Vachier
6. Topalov>
>
>
>

Aug-29-14
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: PREDICTIONS' STANDINGS 2

ABSOLUTE RANKED

Score evaluation method: Absolute value of rank deviation Maximum score: 18

Score,UserID

15,moronovich
13,chessmoron
13,wordfunph
~~~~
11,Beholder
11,SwitchingQuylthulg
10,Aurora
10,blade2012
10,Golden Executive
10,isemeria
10,WinKing
9,KKDEREK
9,OhioChessFan
9,WannaBe
9,whiteshark
8,juan31
8,Penguincw
7,Karposian
5,lostemperor

Aug-29-14
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: SQUARE RANKER 2

Score evaluation method: Least Squares of rank deviation Maximum score: 70

Score,UserID

68,moronovich
64,chessmoron
61,wordfunph
~~~~
59,Beholder
58,SwitchingQuylthulg
57,Golden Executive
57,isemeria
55,OhioChessFan
54,Aurora
53,blade2012
53,whiteshark
53,WinKing
51,juan31
51,WannaBe
50,KKDEREK
43,Karposian
41,lostemperor
37,Penguincw

Aug-29-14
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: PAIR BETTING RANKER 2

Earnings,UserID

$20.37,Aurora
$7.57,moronovich
$5.87,chessmoron
~~~~
$1.57,Beholder
$1.57,wordfunph
$-0.13,isemeria
$-0.43,OhioChessFan
$-1.21,SwitchingQuylthulg
$-1.31,WinKing
$-1.71,juan31
$-1.81,blade2012
$-2.03,whiteshark
$-2.21,Penguincw
$-3.21,Golden Executive
$-4.03,WannaBe
$-4.81,KKDEREK
$-5.08,Karposian
$-9.00,lostemperor

Aug-29-14
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Large Payoff Pair results:

Payoff,Pair result,Winners

$18.00,Aronian-above-Carlsen, Aurora

$6.00,Caruana-above-Carlsen, Aurora + chessmoron + moronovich

$2.00,Vachier-above-Topalov, Aurora + Beholder + Karposian + moronovich + Penguincw + SwitchingQuylthulg + whiteshark + WinKing + wordfunph

$1.80,Caruana-above-Aronian, (10 winners)
$1.80,Nakamura-above-Topalov, (10 winners)
$1.80,Nakamura-above-Vachier, (10 winners)

Aug-29-14
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: I suck ..
but fortunately my predictions were not my wish list! <;)
Aug-30-14
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <Round 3 update

<All wins!
<Topalov - Nakamura 1-0
Vachier-Lagrave - Aronian 1-0
Carlsen - Caruana 0-1

<Standings:
1. Caruana
2. Aronian
2. Vachier-Lagrave
4. Nakamura
4. Carlsen
4. Topalov>
>
>
>

Aug-30-14
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: PREDICTIONS STANDINGS 3

Absolute ranker

Score evaluation method: Absolute value of rank deviation Maximum score: 18

Score,UserID

16,Aurora
12,moronovich
10,Beholder
10,whiteshark
~~~~
9,chessmoron
8,OhioChessFan
8,SwitchingQuylthulg
8,WannaBe
8,wordfunph
7,Golden Executive
7,juan31
7,lostemperor
6,isemeria
6,Karposian
5,blade2012
5,KKDEREK
5,Penguincw
4,WinKing

Aug-30-14
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: SQUARE RANKER 3

Score evaluation method: Least Squares of rank deviation Maximum score: 70

Score,UserID

69,Aurora
59,moronovich
50,Beholder
~~~~
49,whiteshark
47,SwitchingQuylthulg
46,chessmoron
44,WannaBe
44,wordfunph
43,lostemperor
41,Golden Executive
40,OhioChessFan
38,juan31
37,Karposian
35,isemeria
31,KKDEREK
31,WinKing
29,blade2012
23,Penguincw

Aug-30-14
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: PAIR BETTING RANKER 3

Earnings,UserID

$65.97,Aurora
$2.37,moronovich
$0.87,SwitchingQuylthulg
~~~~
$0.58,Golden Executive
$-0.03,Beholder
$-1.01,KKDEREK
$-1.13,chessmoron
$-1.52,lostemperor
$-1.83,whiteshark
$-3.83,WannaBe
$-5.43,wordfunph
$-5.63,OhioChessFan
$-6.92,juan31
$-7.13,isemeria
$-8.31,WinKing
$-8.81,blade2012
$-9.00,Karposian
$-9.21,Penguincw

Aug-30-14
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Large Payoff Pair results:
Payoff,Pair result,Winners

$18.00,Aronian-above-Carlsen, Aurora

$18.00,Carlsen-equal-Topalov, Aurora

$18.00,Vachier-above-Carlsen, Aurora

$9.00,Nakamura-equal-Topalov, Golden Executive + KKDEREK

$6.00,Aronian-equal-Vachier, Aurora + lostemperor + SwitchingQuylthulg

$6.00,Caruana-above-Carlsen, Aurora + chessmoron + moronovich

Aug-30-14
Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: Boy, was I smart to put the leader, Caruana, and the bottom, and one of the bottom dwellers, Carlsen, at the top. :|
Aug-31-14
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <ROUND 4 UPDATE

<Caruana rules!

<Vachier - Nakamura 1/2
Carlsen - Topalov 1/2
Caruana - Aronian 1-0

<standings:
1. Caruana
2. Vachier
3. Aronian
3. Nakamura
3. Carlsen
3. Topalov>
>
>
>

Aug-31-14
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: PREDICTION STANDINGS

ABSOLUTE RANKER 4

Score evaluation method: Absolute value of rank deviation Maximum score: 18

Score,UserID

14,Aurora
10,moronovich
9,chessmoron
9,Golden Executive
9,SwitchingQuylthulg
~~~~
8,Beholder
8,Karposian
7,isemeria
7,juan31
7,lostemperor
7,OhioChessFan
7,whiteshark
6,WannaBe
6,wordfunph
4,KKDEREK
4,WinKing
3,blade2012
3,Penguincw

Aug-31-14
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: SQUARE RANKER 4

Score evaluation method: Least Squares of rank deviation Maximum score: 70

Score,UserID

64,Aurora
54,moronovich
50,SwitchingQuylthulg
~~~~
49,Karposian
48,Beholder
46,chessmoron
45,lostemperor
45,whiteshark
44,Golden Executive
40,WannaBe
40,wordfunph
39,juan31
38,isemeria
38,OhioChessFan
33,WinKing
26,KKDEREK
24,blade2012
20,Penguincw

Aug-31-14
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Earnings,UserID

$39.18,Aurora
$17.58,moronovich
$13.50,Karposian
~~~~~~
$11.08,Golden Executive
$3.58,chessmoron
$-0.42,SwitchingQuylthulg
$-2.82,Beholder
$-3.80,KKDEREK
$-3.92,juan31
$-4.52,lostemperor
$-4.62,whiteshark
$-6.62,WannaBe
$-8.22,wordfunph
$-8.42,isemeria
$-8.42,OhioChessFan
$-9.60,WinKing
$-11.60,blade2012
$-12.00,Penguincw

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