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lostemperor
Member since Feb-18-03 · Last seen Feb-02-25
♔♕♖
<FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS' CONTEST FORUM>

Predict the final standings of Tata Steel tournament January 12

Format example to post your predictions

1.Caruana
1. Erigaisi
3. Gukesh
4. Abdusattorov
5. Wei Yi
5. Harikrishna
5. Praggnanandhaa
8. Giri
9. Keymer
10. Fedoseev
11.Van Foreest
12. Sarina
12. Warmerdam
12. Mendonca

Good Luck!


♙♙

♙♙♙

♙♙


Some years ago I came up with a new but simple system to calculate the final standings of a tournament including all players. This is how it goes:

For each correct standing you'll get a maximum amount of points. Each prediction deviation from the actual player standing in the tournament, will deduct one point from your total (ABSOLUTE RANKER).

In case of a shared player's standing the average standing counts (both actual and in your predictions).

The SQUARE RANKER, squares your predictions' deviations. Here only medals are awarded if the winner s is not the same person s as in the absolute ranker.

Same goes for the The PAIR BETTING RANKER compare all possible pair outcomes of the tournament participants.

The three best predictions will get Real Virtual Gold Silver and Bronze!

Note: only one set of medals is awarded (in the absolute ranker) unless another ranker produces a different winner.

Special thanks to <YouRang> who made a software to calculate these numbers.

Our new contest manager for game results prediction User: Golden Executive during the tournament also ([1-0], [1/2], [0-1])!

or predict the # of moves in User: ohiochessfan organized by <chessmoron>

Enjoy!


♙♙

♙♙♙

♙♙


<HALL <OF> FAME>

WannaBe 10♔ 5♕ 4♖

~~~~
♔♔♔♔♔ ♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♖♖♖♖SwitchingQuylthulg

~~~~

♔♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♕♖♖♖YouRang

~~~~~~

♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♖Aurora
♔♔♔♔♕♕♖suenteus po 147
♔♔♔♔♖♖♖Penguincw

~~~~~~

♔♔♔♕♕♕♖♖♖lostemperor
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖♖♖chessmoron
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖rogge
♔♔♔♕♕♖cromat
♔♔♔♕♖Robin01
~~~~

♔♔♕♕♕♕WinKing
♔♔♕♕♕♖percyblakeney
♔♔♕♖♖♖yalie
♔♔♕♖wordfunph
♔♔♕♖Ragh
♔♔♕♖Ezzy
♔♔Golden Executive
♔♔SloVice
♔♔positionalgenius
♔♔amadeus

~~~~

♔♕♕♕♕♖♖OhioChessFan
♔♕♕♖Diademas
♔♕♖nimh
♔♕♖ahmadov
♔♕♖CHESSBOOKIE
♔♕Keysersoze
♔♕Where is my mind
♔♕Appaz
♔♖♖moronovich*
♔♖Golden Executive*
♔♖Montreal1666
♔♖Troewa

~~~~

♔Beholder
♔juan31
♔wtwz
♔Twinlark
♔SoUnwiseTheKnight B4
♔NGambit
♔benjinathan
♔DCP23
♔firebyrd
♔kellmano
♔Stonehenge
♔cu8sfan
♔larrewl
♔babakova
♔djmercury
♔mikejaqua
♔Joshka,
♔SnoopDogg
♔Like a GM

*may be incomplete

♔ Gold
♕ Silver
♖ Bronze


♙♙

♙♙♙

♙♙

>> Click here to see lostemperor's game collections.

Chessgames.com Full Member

   lostemperor has kibitzed 7712 times to chessgames   [more...]
   Feb-02-25 lostemperor chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: <Keyser Soze>,<0ZeR0>,<Penguincw> won gold each! Congratulations!
 
   Apr-20-24 Golden Executive chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: It is fixed! I had an expert looking at it.
 
   Jan-18-24 OhioChessFan chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: Betcha you. Right damn
 
   Jan-11-24 Tata Steel Masters (2024) (replies)
 
lostemperor: ♔♕♖ Announcement ♔♕♖ Join the annual Tata Teel Chess final standings prediction contest at lostemperor chessforum 1. Ding 2. Nepomniachtchi 3. Firouzja 4, Giri 5. Praggnanandhaa 6. Maghsoodloo 7. Vidit 8.Wei 9. Abdusattorov
 
   Feb-26-23 WR Chess Masters (2023) (replies)
 
lostemperor: The predictions' winners on the final standings of WR Chess on my forum <Penquincw>♔, <Golden Executive>♔, <Chesschronicle22>♕, <OhioChessFan>♕, <Messiah>♖
 
   Jan-30-23 Tata Steel Masters (2023) (replies)
 
lostemperor: Winners of the TATA STEEL CHESS 2023 FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTION'S CONTEST at my forum <Firouzjias>♔♔♖, <tuttifrutty>♔♕♖, <lostemperor>♕♕, <Messiah>♖
 
(replies) indicates a reply to the comment.

FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS

Kibitzer's Corner
< Earlier Kibitzing  · PAGE 164 OF 285 ·  Later Kibitzing>
Aug-31-14
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Large Payoff Pair results:
Payoff,Pair result,Winners

$18.00,Aronian-equal-Carlsen, moronovich

$18.00,Carlsen-equal-Topalov, Aurora

$18.00,Vachier-above-Aronian, Karposian

$18.00,Vachier-above-Carlsen, Aurora

$9.00,Nakamura-equal-Topalov, Golden Executive + KKDEREK

$6.00,Aronian-equal-Nakamura, chessmoron + Golden Executive + SwitchingQuylthulg

$6.00,Caruana-above-Carlsen, Aurora + chessmoron + moronovich

Aug-31-14
Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: And things go from bad to worse, as the two players I predicted would finish in the bottom 2 (Caruana and Topalov) are a combined 5.5/6 in the last 3 rounds (nearly 6/6). I've had bad performances before, but I can only imagine how this one will end...
Sep-01-14
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <ROUND 5 UPDATE

<All decisive games again. Caruana rules with 5/5!

<Nakamura - Caruana 0-1
Aronian - Carlsen 0-1
Topalov - Vachier Lagrave 1-0

<l standings:
1. Caruana 5
2. Topalov 2.5
2. Carlsen 2.5
4. Vachier 2
5. Nakamura 1.5
5. Aronian 1.5 >
>
>
>

Sep-01-14
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: SINQUEFIELD CUP PREDICTIONS HALFWAY STANDINGS

ABSOLUTE RANKER 5

Score,UserID

10,Golden Executive
10,juan31
10,lostemperor
10,moronovich
~~~~
9,Aurora
9,Beholder
9,chessmoron
9,OhioChessFan
9,SwitchingQuylthulg
9,WannaBe
9,whiteshark
8,Karposian
7,isemeria
6,wordfunph
5,KKDEREK
4,WinKing
3,blade2012
3,Penguincw

Sep-01-14
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: SQUARE RANKER 5

Score,UserID

58,Golden Executive
58,juan31
56,lostemperor
~~~~
54,OhioChessFan
53,WannaBe
52,chessmoron
51,Aurora
50,SwitchingQuylthulg
50,whiteshark
48,Beholder
48,isemeria
48,Karposian
48,moronovich
41,wordfunph
38,KKDEREK
32,WinKing
30,blade2012
18,Penguincw

Sep-01-14
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: ~PAIR BETTING RANKER 5

Earnings,UserID

$23.18,Aurora
$10.18,Karposian
$9.02,chessmoron
~~~~
$3.02,Golden Executive
$1.82,WannaBe
$0.77,SwitchingQuylthulg
$0.02,juan31
$0.02,OhioChessFan
$-0.36,moronovich
$-0.43,whiteshark
$-1.63,Beholder
$-2.83,lostemperor
$-2.98,isemeria
$-6.17,blade2012
$-7.03,wordfunph
$-7.37,KKDEREK
$-8.42,WinKing
$-10.82,Penguincw

Sep-01-14
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Large Payoff Pair results:
Payoff,Pair result,Winners

$18.00,Carlsen-equal-Topalov, Aurora

$18.00,Vachier-above-Aronian, Karposian

$6.00,Aronian-equal-Nakamura, chessmoron + Golden Executive + SwitchingQuylthulg

$6.00,Caruana-above-Carlsen, Aurora + chessmoron + moronovich

$3.60,Vachier-above-Nakamura, Aurora + Beholder + lostemperor + WannaBe + whiteshark

Sep-01-14
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: It is probably right to say that all 6 super GM players in Saint Louis are in more or less surprising place int the standings given their ratings! Pretty much expected this to happen :p
Sep-01-14
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: PREDICTIONS' STATISTICS

Deviations per player:
Deviation,Player

43,Aronian
43,Topalov
28,Caruana
26,Nakamura
25,Carlsen
21,Vachier

Goes without saying that Aronian bad form is the least expected but it seems also Topalov's "great form" to not ruining all his favourable positions this time as in some tournaments before :)

Sep-01-14
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: PREDICITONS' STATISTICS

AverageRank, Player, HighestRank, LowestRank:

1.36,Carlsen,1.0,4.5
2.56,Caruana,1.0,6.0
3.11,Aronian,2.0,5.5
4.28,Nakamura,2.0,6.0
4.81,Vachier,2.5,6.0
4.89,Topalov,3.5,6.0

Sep-01-14
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Tomorrow 5 more rounds!
Sep-02-14
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: This morning I was looking at Hou YiFan's top tournaments and remembered she played in Tata steel chess 2013 Tata Steel (2013) Strange to see Caruana's standing one and a half year ago :)
Sep-03-14
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <Round 6 UPDATE

<Caruana still with perfect score!

<Nakamura - Aronian 1/2
Caruana - Topalov 1-0
Carlsen - Vachier Lagrave 1/2

<Standings:
1. Caruana 6
2. Carlsen 3
3. Topalov 2.5
3. Vachier-Lagrave 2.5
5. Nakamura 2
5. Aronian 2 >
>
>
>

Sep-03-14
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: PREDICTIONS' STANDINGS 6

ABSOLUTE RANKER

Score evaluation method: Absolute value of rank deviation Maximum score: 18

Score,UserID

12,lostemperor
11,Golden Executive
11,juan31
~~~~~~
10,Aurora
10,Beholder
10,chessmoron
10,Karposian
10,moronovich
10,OhioChessFan
10,SwitchingQuylthulg
10,WannaBe
10,whiteshark
8,isemeria
7,wordfunph
6,KKDEREK
5,WinKing
4,blade2012
4,Penguincw

Sep-03-14
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: SQUARE RANKER 6

Score evaluation method: Least Squares of rank deviation Maximum score: 70

Score,UserID

59,Golden Executive
59,lostemperor
58,juan31
~~~~
57,SwitchingQuylthulg
55,Beholder
55,Karposian
55,OhioChessFan
55,WannaBe
55,whiteshark
54,chessmoron
53,Aurora
53,moronovich
51,isemeria
47,wordfunph
39,KKDEREK
38,WinKing
33,blade2012
23,Penguincw

Sep-03-14
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: PAIR BETTING RANKER 6

Earnings,UserID

$16.23,lostemperor
$11.24,Karposian
$7.83,chessmoron
~~~~
$5.18,Aurora
$1.83,Golden Executive
$1.83,SwitchingQuylthulg
$0.70,moronovich
$0.63,WannaBe
$0.63,whiteshark
$-0.57,Beholder
$-1.17,juan31
$-1.17,OhioChessFan
$-4.17,isemeria
$-5.97,wordfunph
$-7.36,blade2012
$-7.36,WinKing
$-8.56,KKDEREK
$-9.76,Penguincw

Sep-03-14
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Large Payoff Pair results:
Payoff,Pair result,Winners

$18.00,Topalov-equal-Vachier, lostemperor

$18.00,Vachier-above-Aronian, Karposian

$6.00,Aronian-equal-Nakamura, chessmoron + Golden Executive + SwitchingQuylthulg

$6.00,Caruana-above-Carlsen, Aurora + chessmoron + moronovich

$3.60,Vachier-above-Nakamura, Aurora + Beholder + lostemperor + WannaBe + whiteshark

$3.00,Topalov-above-Nakamura, Aurora + juan31 + lostemperor + OhioChessFan + WannaBe + whiteshark

Sep-03-14
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: While the first place in Saint Louis is practically settled, here this is definitely not the case with four more rounds to go.
Sep-03-14
Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: Saying my performance is bad is like saying Caruana's doing good (okay, maybe not THAT bad, but still sucks).
Sep-03-14
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: By far the hardest decision I made was whether to predict Carlsen or Caruana to win it. I missed on it and think that's most of what is keeping me from having a chance.
Sep-04-14
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <ROUND 7 UPDATE

<Caruana still with the perfect score and almost perfect ("decent") moves! Will he score the full point again tonight against Carlsen?!)

<Carlsen - Nakamura 1-0
Vachier Lagrave - Caruana 0-1
Topalov - Aronian 1/2

<Standings:
1. Caruana 7
2. Carlsen 4
3. Topalov 3
4. Vachier 2.5
4. Aronian 2.5
6. Nakamura 2 >
>
>
>

Sep-04-14
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: PREDICTIONS' STANDINGS 7

ABSOLUTE RANKER

Score evaluation method: Absolute value of rank deviation Maximum score: 18

Score,UserID

12,Golden Executive
12,juan31
12,lostemperor
12,WannaBe
~~~~
11,chessmoron
11,moronovich
11,OhioChessFan
11,whiteshark
10,Aurora
10,Beholder
10,SwitchingQuylthulg
9,isemeria
8,wordfunph
7,Karposian
7,KKDEREK
6,WinKing
5,blade2012
4,Penguincw

Sep-04-14
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: SQUARE RANKER 7

Score evaluation method: Least Squares of rank deviation Maximum score: 70

Score,UserID

64,juan31
62,Golden Executive
62,OhioChessFan
62,WannaBe
~~~~
61,lostemperor
59,whiteshark
57,chessmoron
56,Beholder
55,moronovich
55,SwitchingQuylthulg
54,Aurora
53,isemeria
50,wordfunph
47,Karposian
47,KKDEREK
39,blade2012
37,WinKing
25,Penguincw

Sep-04-14
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: PAIR BETTING RANKER 7

Earnings,UserID

$12.68,Aurora
$5.73,lostemperor
$4.38,WannaBe
~~~~~~
$4.08,chessmoron
$2.58,juan31
$2.58,OhioChessFan
$2.20,moronovich
$2.13,whiteshark
$1.83,SwitchingQuylthulg
$0.93,Beholder
$-1.92,Golden Executive
$-1.92,isemeria
$-3.61,blade2012
$-4.47,wordfunph
$-4.81,KKDEREK
$-6.76,Karposian
$-7.36,WinKing
$-8.26,Penguincw

Sep-04-14
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Large Payoff Pair results:
Payoff,Pair result,Winners

$6.00,Aronian-equal-Vachier, Aurora + lostemperor + SwitchingQuylthulg

$6.00,Caruana-above-Carlsen, Aurora + chessmoron + moronovich

$3.60,Vachier-above-Nakamura, Aurora + Beholder + lostemperor + WannaBe + whiteshark

$3.00,Topalov-above-Nakamura, Aurora + juan31 + lostemperor + OhioChessFan + WannaBe + whiteshark

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