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lostemperor
Member since Feb-18-03 · Last seen Feb-02-25
♔♕♖
<FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS' CONTEST FORUM>

Predict the final standings of Tata Steel tournament January 12

Format example to post your predictions

1.Caruana
1. Erigaisi
3. Gukesh
4. Abdusattorov
5. Wei Yi
5. Harikrishna
5. Praggnanandhaa
8. Giri
9. Keymer
10. Fedoseev
11.Van Foreest
12. Sarina
12. Warmerdam
12. Mendonca

Good Luck!


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Some years ago I came up with a new but simple system to calculate the final standings of a tournament including all players. This is how it goes:

For each correct standing you'll get a maximum amount of points. Each prediction deviation from the actual player standing in the tournament, will deduct one point from your total (ABSOLUTE RANKER).

In case of a shared player's standing the average standing counts (both actual and in your predictions).

The SQUARE RANKER, squares your predictions' deviations. Here only medals are awarded if the winner s is not the same person s as in the absolute ranker.

Same goes for the The PAIR BETTING RANKER compare all possible pair outcomes of the tournament participants.

The three best predictions will get Real Virtual Gold Silver and Bronze!

Note: only one set of medals is awarded (in the absolute ranker) unless another ranker produces a different winner.

Special thanks to <YouRang> who made a software to calculate these numbers.

Our new contest manager for game results prediction User: Golden Executive during the tournament also ([1-0], [1/2], [0-1])!

or predict the # of moves in User: ohiochessfan organized by <chessmoron>

Enjoy!


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<HALL <OF> FAME>

WannaBe 10♔ 5♕ 4♖

~~~~
♔♔♔♔♔ ♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♖♖♖♖SwitchingQuylthulg

~~~~

♔♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♕♖♖♖YouRang

~~~~~~

♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♖Aurora
♔♔♔♔♕♕♖suenteus po 147
♔♔♔♔♖♖♖Penguincw

~~~~~~

♔♔♔♕♕♕♖♖♖lostemperor
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖♖♖chessmoron
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖rogge
♔♔♔♕♕♖cromat
♔♔♔♕♖Robin01
~~~~

♔♔♕♕♕♕WinKing
♔♔♕♕♕♖percyblakeney
♔♔♕♖♖♖yalie
♔♔♕♖wordfunph
♔♔♕♖Ragh
♔♔♕♖Ezzy
♔♔Golden Executive
♔♔SloVice
♔♔positionalgenius
♔♔amadeus

~~~~

♔♕♕♕♕♖♖OhioChessFan
♔♕♕♖Diademas
♔♕♖nimh
♔♕♖ahmadov
♔♕♖CHESSBOOKIE
♔♕Keysersoze
♔♕Where is my mind
♔♕Appaz
♔♖♖moronovich*
♔♖Golden Executive*
♔♖Montreal1666
♔♖Troewa

~~~~

♔Beholder
♔juan31
♔wtwz
♔Twinlark
♔SoUnwiseTheKnight B4
♔NGambit
♔benjinathan
♔DCP23
♔firebyrd
♔kellmano
♔Stonehenge
♔cu8sfan
♔larrewl
♔babakova
♔djmercury
♔mikejaqua
♔Joshka,
♔SnoopDogg
♔Like a GM

*may be incomplete

♔ Gold
♕ Silver
♖ Bronze


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♙♙♙

♙♙

>> Click here to see lostemperor's game collections.

Chessgames.com Full Member

   lostemperor has kibitzed 7712 times to chessgames   [more...]
   Feb-02-25 lostemperor chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: <Keyser Soze>,<0ZeR0>,<Penguincw> won gold each! Congratulations!
 
   Apr-20-24 Golden Executive chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: It is fixed! I had an expert looking at it.
 
   Jan-18-24 OhioChessFan chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: Betcha you. Right damn
 
   Jan-11-24 Tata Steel Masters (2024) (replies)
 
lostemperor: ♔♕♖ Announcement ♔♕♖ Join the annual Tata Teel Chess final standings prediction contest at lostemperor chessforum 1. Ding 2. Nepomniachtchi 3. Firouzja 4, Giri 5. Praggnanandhaa 6. Maghsoodloo 7. Vidit 8.Wei 9. Abdusattorov
 
   Feb-26-23 WR Chess Masters (2023) (replies)
 
lostemperor: The predictions' winners on the final standings of WR Chess on my forum <Penquincw>♔, <Golden Executive>♔, <Chesschronicle22>♕, <OhioChessFan>♕, <Messiah>♖
 
   Jan-30-23 Tata Steel Masters (2023) (replies)
 
lostemperor: Winners of the TATA STEEL CHESS 2023 FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTION'S CONTEST at my forum <Firouzjias>♔♔♖, <tuttifrutty>♔♕♖, <lostemperor>♕♕, <Messiah>♖
 
(replies) indicates a reply to the comment.

FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS

Kibitzer's Corner
< Earlier Kibitzing  · PAGE 172 OF 285 ·  Later Kibitzing>
Apr-15-15  Karposian: My predictions:

1. So
2. Carlsen
2. Giri
4. Caruana
4. Anand
4. Kramnik
7. Vachier-Lagrave
8. Adams
9. Mamedyarov
10. Mamedov

Apr-16-15  chessmoron: 1. Carlsen
2. Caruana
3. Anand
4. Kramnik
5. Mamedyarov
6. So
7. Vachier-Lagrave
8. Giri
9. Adams
10. Mamedov
Apr-16-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  moronovich: 1.Caruana
2.Carlsen
3.Anand,Giri
5.Kramnik,Vachier-LaGrave
7.Adams
8.So
9.Mamedyarov
10.Mamedov
Apr-16-15  alfamikewhiskey: 1. Carlsen
2. Adams
4. Giri
4. Caruana
6. Anand
6. Kramnik
10. Mamedov
10. So
10. Mamedyarov
10. Vachier-Lagrave
Apr-16-15  Aurora: Chess prediction is like a box of chocolates - you never know what you're gonna get.

1. Carlsen
2. Kramnik
3. Caruana
3. Anand
5. Mamedyarov
5. Giri
7. So
7. Vachier-Lagrave
9. Adams
9. Mamedov

Apr-16-15  Robin01: My predictions:

1. Carlsen
2. Caruana
3. So
4/5. Kramnik
4/5. Manedyarov
6/7/8/9. Giri
6/7/8/9. Adams
6/7/8/9. Vachier-Lagrave
6/7/8/9. Manedyarov
10. Manedov

Apr-16-15  The Last Straw: 1. Carlsen
2. Anand
3. Giri
3. Kramnik
5. Vachier-Lagrave
5. So
7. Adams
7. Caruana
9. Mamedyarov
10. Mamedov
Apr-16-15  Golden Executive: Hi <Robin01>: You have Mamedyarov twice and Anand is missing. I hope you can read this before the tournament begins.
Apr-16-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  chancho:

1.Carlsen
2.Kramnik
2.Giri
3.Caruana
3.Anand
4.Mamedyarov
5.So
7.Vachier-Lagrave
9.Adams
10.Mamedov

Apr-16-15  WinKing: Looks like you will have over 20 entries for this contest. Not a bad turnout. Still plenty of time for more to join.
Apr-16-15  Golden Executive: Gashimov Memorial 2015 Final Standings Prediction:

1. Carlsen
2. Caruana
3. Giri
3. So
3. Anand
3. Kramnik
3. Vachier-Lagrave
3. Mamedyarov
9. Adams
10. Mamedov

Apr-17-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: ** Last Call **

** Gashimov Memorial Moves Prediction Contest **

Conducted by the Legendary <chessmoron> and hosted at Graceland, home of Elvis. Click on Elvis for details

Apr-17-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Let the games begin! Looking forward to how the players do in Baku! I maybe a bit busy this weekend but hope to get the first results right after. May the best predictions win. Thanks all :)
Apr-17-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Oh wait the tournament is in Shamkir not Baku!
Apr-17-15  Robin01: My predictions redone. I accidently left Manedyarov in twice instead of Anand. Sorry about that. Games are stilling going, I believe, and it is early in the tournament, but if it is too late now, then that is the way it is.

1. Carlsen
2. Caruana
3. So
4/5. Kramnik
4/5. Manedyarov
6/7/8/9. Giri
6/7/8/9. Adams
6/7/8/9. Vachier-Lagrave
6/7/8/9. Anand
9. Manedov

Apr-20-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Woohoo, here here the first results of the prediction contest Gashimov memorial 2015!

Twenty entries! Not bad although some predictions were almost discarded. Especially <chanco>'s predictions were almost unreadable. Please put them in orderly format which can be read also byy the machine and at least by humans (although the latter is no garuantee it will not be discarded. Thanks!

Apr-20-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Carlsen and Wesley So leading after three rounds!! Especially am happy for So after he somewhat recklessly forfeited in the US championships!

Standings after round 3:
1. Carlsen
1. So
3. Kramnik
4. Vachier-Lagrav
4. Anand
4. Mamedov
7. Mamedyarov
7. Giri
7. Caruana
10. Adams

Apr-20-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: PREDICTION STANDINGS ROUND 3

ABSOLUTE RANKER

Score evaluation method: Absolute value of rank deviation Maximum score: 50

Score,UserID

31,scout118
28,Karposian
28,The Last Straw
~~~~
26,WannaBe
25,chessmoron
25,Golden Executive
25,OhioChessFan
25,Penguincw
25,whiteshark
24,Aurora
24,Robin01
24,suenteus po 147
23,chancho
22,lostemperor
22,WinKing
21,SwitchingQuylthulg
18,moronovich
17,nimh
15,alfamikewhiskey
15,YouRang

Apr-20-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: ~SQUARE RANKER 3

Score evaluation method: Least Squares of rank deviation Maximum score: 330

Score,UserID

278,scout118
253,WannaBe
252,Karposian
252,The Last Straw
~~~~~~
233,Golden Executive
233,Robin01
231,Aurora
231,suenteus po 147
230,chessmoron
230,WinKing
227,Penguincw
225,whiteshark
218,chancho
214,lostemperor
210,SwitchingQuylthulg
202,OhioChessFan
190,nimh
178,YouRang
175,moronovich
145,alfamikewhiskey

Apr-20-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: PAIR BETTING RANKER

Earnings,UserID

$20.72,scout118
$19.46,The Last Straw
$14.21,YouRang
~~~~~~
$10.33,Robin01
$7.81,Karposian
$5.98,chessmoron
$4.15,alfamikewhiskey
$3.21,WannaBe
$2.06,Penguincw
$0.42,Aurora
$0.25,whiteshark
$-2.09,OhioChessFan
$-5.12,SwitchingQuylthulg
$-6.88,chancho
$-8.02,Golden Executive
$-10.81,WinKing
$-11.43,nimh
$-13.03,suenteus po 147
$-14.10,lostemperor
$-17.12,moronovich

Apr-20-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Large Payoff Pair results:
Payoff,Pair result,Winners
$20.00,Caruana-equal-Giri, alfamikewhiskey

$20.00,Caruana-equal-Mamedyarov, YouRang

$20.00,Vachier-above-Caruana, The Last Straw

$10.00,Mamedov-equal-Vachier, alfamikewhiskey + YouRang

$10.00,Vachier-above-Giri, chessmoron + SwitchingQuylthulg

Apr-20-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: $6.67,Anand-equal-Vachier, Golden Executive + OhioChessFan + Robin01

$5.00,Giri-equal-Mamedyarov, Aurora + Golden Executive + Penguincw + SwitchingQuylthulg

$5.00,So-above-Anand, Karposian + Robin01 + scout118 + whiteshark

$5.00,So-above-Caruana, Karposian + scout118 + The Last Straw + WannaBe

$5.00,So-above-Giri, chessmoron + Karposian + Robin01 + scout118

$5.00,So-above-Kramnik, Karposian + Robin01 + scout118 + whiteshark

Apr-20-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: That's like the first time ever that I'm in the middle of the standings. Almost always I'm near the top or bottom.
Apr-20-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  chancho: <Especially <chanco>'s predictions were almost unreadable.>

Hmmm, I had a feeling I was messing that up.

:-)

Apr-21-15
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Next update after today's round!
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