User Profile: lostemperor

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lostemperor
Member since Feb-18-03 · Last seen Feb-02-25

♔♕♖
<FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS' CONTEST FORUM>
Predict the final standings of Tata Steel tournament January 12
Format example to post your predictions
1.Caruana
1. Erigaisi
3. Gukesh
4. Abdusattorov
5. Wei Yi
5. Harikrishna
5. Praggnanandhaa
8. Giri
9. Keymer
10. Fedoseev
11.Van Foreest
12. Sarina
12. Warmerdam
12. Mendonca
Good Luck!
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Some years ago I came up with a new but simple system to calculate the final standings of a tournament including all players. This is how it goes:
For each correct standing you'll get a maximum amount of points. Each prediction deviation from the actual player standing in the tournament, will deduct one point from your total (ABSOLUTE RANKER).
In case of a shared player's standing the average standing counts (both actual and in your predictions).
The SQUARE RANKER, squares your predictions' deviations. Here only medals are awarded if the winner s is not the same person s as in the absolute ranker.
Same goes for the The PAIR BETTING RANKER compare all possible pair outcomes of the tournament participants.
The three best predictions will get Real Virtual Gold Silver and Bronze!
Note: only one set of medals is awarded (in the absolute ranker) unless another ranker produces a different winner.
Special thanks to <YouRang> who made a software to calculate these numbers.
Our new contest manager for game results prediction User: Golden Executive during the tournament also ([1-0], [1/2], [0-1])!
or predict the # of moves in User: ohiochessfan organized by <chessmoron>
Enjoy!
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<HALL <OF> FAME>
WannaBe 10♔ 5♕ 4♖
~~~~
♔♔♔♔♔ ♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♖♖♖♖SwitchingQuylthulg
~~~~
♔♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♕♖♖♖YouRang
~~~~~~
♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♖Aurora
♔♔♔♔♕♕♖suenteus po 147
♔♔♔♔♖♖♖Penguincw
~~~~~~
♔♔♔♕♕♕♖♖♖lostemperor
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖♖♖chessmoron
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖rogge
♔♔♔♕♕♖cromat
♔♔♔♕♖Robin01
~~~~
♔♔♕♕♕♕WinKing
♔♔♕♕♕♖percyblakeney
♔♔♕♖♖♖yalie
♔♔♕♖wordfunph
♔♔♕♖Ragh
♔♔♕♖Ezzy
♔♔Golden Executive
♔♔SloVice
♔♔positionalgenius
♔♔amadeus
~~~~
♔♕♕♕♕♖♖OhioChessFan
♔♕♕♖Diademas
♔♕♖nimh
♔♕♖ahmadov
♔♕♖CHESSBOOKIE
♔♕Keysersoze
♔♕Where is my mind
♔♕Appaz
♔♖♖moronovich*
♔♖Golden Executive*
♔♖Montreal1666
♔♖Troewa
~~~~
♔Beholder
♔juan31
♔wtwz
♔Twinlark
♔SoUnwiseTheKnight B4
♔NGambit
♔benjinathan
♔DCP23
♔firebyrd
♔kellmano
♔Stonehenge
♔cu8sfan
♔larrewl
♔babakova
♔djmercury
♔mikejaqua
♔Joshka,
♔SnoopDogg
♔Like a GM
*may be incomplete
♔ Gold
♕ Silver
♖ Bronze
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>> Click here to see lostemperor's game collections.

   lostemperor has kibitzed 7712 times to chessgames [more...]

   Feb-02-25 lostemperor chessforum

lostemperor: <Keyser Soze>,<0ZeR0>,<Penguincw> won gold each! Congratulations!

   Apr-20-24 Golden Executive chessforum

lostemperor: It is fixed! I had an expert looking at it.

   Jan-18-24 OhioChessFan chessforum

lostemperor: Betcha you. Right damn

   Jan-11-24 Tata Steel Masters (2024)

lostemperor: ♔♕♖ Announcement ♔♕♖ Join the annual Tata Teel Chess final standings prediction contest at lostemperor chessforum 1. Ding 2. Nepomniachtchi 3. Firouzja 4, Giri 5. Praggnanandhaa 6. Maghsoodloo 7. Vidit 8.Wei 9. Abdusattorov

   Feb-26-23 WR Chess Masters (2023)

lostemperor: The predictions' winners on the final standings of WR Chess on my forum <Penquincw>♔, <Golden Executive>♔, <Chesschronicle22>♕, <OhioChessFan>♕, <Messiah>♖

   Jan-30-23 Tata Steel Masters (2023)

lostemperor: Winners of the TATA STEEL CHESS 2023 FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTION'S CONTEST at my forum <Firouzjias>♔♔♖, <tuttifrutty>♔♕♖, <lostemperor>♕♕, <Messiah>♖

indicates a reply to the comment.

FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS

< Earlier Kibitzing · PAGE 193 OF 285 · Later Kibitzing>
Mar-10-16		Aurora: Greetings <lostemperor>, and all! 1. Nakamura 2. Caruana 3. Karjakin 3. Anand 5. Aronian 6. Giri 6. Svidler 6. Topalov

Mar-10-16		zealandzen: 1. Caruana 2. Giri 3. Svidler 4. Anand 5. Nakamura 6. Aronian 7. Karjakin 8. Topalov

Mar-10-16		chessmoron: 1. Aronian 2. Caruana 3. Anand 3. Giri 5. Topalov 5. Svidler 7. Karjakin 7. Nakamura

Mar-10-16		offramp: 1. Caruana 2. Nakamura 3. Giri 3. Karjakin 5. Anand 5. Aronian 7. Topalov 7. Svidler

Mar-11-16		cromat: 1 Caruana 2 Giri 3 Anand 4 Nakamura 5 Aronian 6 Karjakin 7 Svidler 8 Topalov

Mar-11-16		positionalgenius: Candidates: 1 Aronian 2 Caruana 3 Karjakin 4 Anand 5 Topalov 6 Giri 7 Nakamura 8 Svidler

Mar-11-16		Penguincw: The tournament has started.

Mar-11-16		lostemperor: Thanks <Penguincw>. Enjoy the tournament!

Mar-11-16		lostemperor: <rogge: Carlsen predicts it's gonna be either Caruana, Aronian or Karjakin, and most probably not Anand, Svidler or Topalov (the "old" guys)> Ooh this is some important information I missed! Fortunately I figured out Caruana and Aronian (1 and 2) myself but I put Karjakin, after long deliberations on a "low" 6th place.

Mar-11-16		lostemperor: That is if Carlsen has good predictions :)

Mar-11-16		rogge: <lostemperor: That is if Carlsen has good predictions :)> It remains to be seen if Carlsen has sufficient chess understanding :)

Mar-11-16		lostemperor: Then we will consider your predictions also as CARLSEN's predictions <rogge> and keep an eye on them:D

Mar-11-16		rogge: Yeah, not exactly the best start for my predictions, and I blame Carlsen :)

Mar-12-16		lostemperor: No harm done <rogge> since Anand - Topalov was the battle of the old guys against each other. 1-0 was not something Carlsen would not predict:)

Mar-12-16		rogge: That's true :)

Mar-12-16		lostemperor: Since Carlsen did not say more than what you mentioned I took the liberty to pimp up his predicition more accurately with the ratingt list, where a bigger gap of point difference result in a lower placing So this is what pseudo-contestant MAGNUS CARLSEN have predicted for the candidates: 1 Caruana 1. Aronian 3. Karjakin 4. Giri 4. Nakamura 6. Topalov 6. Anand 8. Svidler I can manually include him in the absolute ranker untill <YouRang> can tell me how to include pseudo-contestants without influencing the pair betting ranker.

Mar-12-16		rogge: Good idea, and why not, it's all for fun :)

Mar-12-16		lostemperor: NB. <lakshashishu>; your predictins were discarded by the program cause of the wrong format <1 Aronian 2 Anand 2 Giri 3 Caruana 4 Karjakin 4 Nakamura 5 Svidler 6 Topalov> It should be 1 Aronian 2 Anand 2 Giri 4 Caruana 5 Karjakin 5 Nakamura 7 Svidler 8 Topalov I had to find which participant was missing among the 25 and manually change them. Please try to watch out for that next time.

Mar-12-16		lostemperor: <CANDIDATES TOURNAMENT <ROUND 1 RESULTS <Karjakin-Svidler 1/2 Nakamura-Caruana 1/2 Giri-Aronian 1/2 Anand-Topalov 1-0 <Standings: 1. Anand 2. Giri 2. Karjakin 2. Nakamura 2. Caruana 2. Svidler 2. Aronian 8. Topalov>>>>

Mar-12-16		lostemperor: ABSOLUTE RANKER 1 Score evaluation method: Absolute value of rank deviation Maximum score: 32 Score,UserID 23,MarbleSkull 21,Beholder 21,SwitchingQuylthulg ~~~~ 20,lakshashishu 19,cromat 17,WinKing 17,zealandzen 16,Aurora 16,lostemperor 16,moronovich 15,alfamikewhiskey 15,Golden Executive 15,MAGNUS CARLSEN 15,offramp 15,rogge 15,whiteshark 15,wordfunph 14,Schwartz 14,WannaBe 13,chessmoron 13,Karposian 12,Robin01 11,positionalgenius 10,OhioChessFan 9,Penguincw 9,YouRang

Mar-12-16		lostemperor: SQUARE RANKER 1 Score evaluation method: Least Squares of rank deviation Maximum score: 168 Score,UserID 150,MarbleSkull 146,SwitchingQuylthulg 145,Beholder ~~~~ 141,lakshashishu 137,cromat 130,zealandzen 129,Aurora 129,WinKing 123,lostemperor 122,wordfunph 118,moronovich 117,chessmoron 117,Golden Executive 117,offramp 117,whiteshark 115,Schwartz 109,positionalgenius 106,alfamikewhiskey 106,rogge 97,WannaBe 94,Karposian 92,OhioChessFan 92,Penguincw 88,Robin01 85,YouRang

Mar-12-16		lostemperor: PAIR BETTING RANKER 1 Earnings,UserID $51.70,WannaBe $32.69,rogge $20.81,Karposian ~~~~ $18.95,SwitchingQuylthulg $18.95,MarbleSkull $11.92,Schwartz $6.45,Beholder $4.38,lakshashishu $-1.25,moronovich $-1.89,alfamikewhiskey $-4.28,Aurora $-7.07,cromat $-8.53,WinKing $-8.54,zealandzen $-8.68,wordfunph $-8.75,chessmoron $-8.88,whiteshark $-11.41,OhioChessFan $-11.45,Golden Executive $-11.45,offramp $-12.70,lostemperor $-13.26,Penguincw $-14.34,YouRang $-14.49,positionalgenius $-18.87,Robin01

Mar-12-16		moronovich: 16,moronovich 15,MAGNUS CARLSEN Sorry,couldn´t resist :)

Mar-12-16		lostemperor: Large Payoff Pair results: Payoff,Pair result,Winners $25.00,Aronian-equal-Svidler, WannaBe $25.00,Caruana-equal-Giri, Karposian $25.00,Caruana-equal-Karjakin, rogge $25.00,Caruana-equal-Svidler, WannaBe

Mar-12-16		lostemperor: MAGNUS CARLSEN is doing great =D

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