User Profile: lostemperor

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lostemperor
Member since Feb-18-03 · Last seen Feb-02-25

♔♕♖
<FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS' CONTEST FORUM>
Predict the final standings of Tata Steel tournament January 12
Format example to post your predictions
1.Caruana
1. Erigaisi
3. Gukesh
4. Abdusattorov
5. Wei Yi
5. Harikrishna
5. Praggnanandhaa
8. Giri
9. Keymer
10. Fedoseev
11.Van Foreest
12. Sarina
12. Warmerdam
12. Mendonca
Good Luck!
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Some years ago I came up with a new but simple system to calculate the final standings of a tournament including all players. This is how it goes:
For each correct standing you'll get a maximum amount of points. Each prediction deviation from the actual player standing in the tournament, will deduct one point from your total (ABSOLUTE RANKER).
In case of a shared player's standing the average standing counts (both actual and in your predictions).
The SQUARE RANKER, squares your predictions' deviations. Here only medals are awarded if the winner s is not the same person s as in the absolute ranker.
Same goes for the The PAIR BETTING RANKER compare all possible pair outcomes of the tournament participants.
The three best predictions will get Real Virtual Gold Silver and Bronze!
Note: only one set of medals is awarded (in the absolute ranker) unless another ranker produces a different winner.
Special thanks to <YouRang> who made a software to calculate these numbers.
Our new contest manager for game results prediction User: Golden Executive during the tournament also ([1-0], [1/2], [0-1])!
or predict the # of moves in User: ohiochessfan organized by <chessmoron>
Enjoy!
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<HALL <OF> FAME>
WannaBe 10♔ 5♕ 4♖
~~~~
♔♔♔♔♔ ♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♖♖♖♖SwitchingQuylthulg
~~~~
♔♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♕♖♖♖YouRang
~~~~~~
♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♖Aurora
♔♔♔♔♕♕♖suenteus po 147
♔♔♔♔♖♖♖Penguincw
~~~~~~
♔♔♔♕♕♕♖♖♖lostemperor
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖♖♖chessmoron
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖rogge
♔♔♔♕♕♖cromat
♔♔♔♕♖Robin01
~~~~
♔♔♕♕♕♕WinKing
♔♔♕♕♕♖percyblakeney
♔♔♕♖♖♖yalie
♔♔♕♖wordfunph
♔♔♕♖Ragh
♔♔♕♖Ezzy
♔♔Golden Executive
♔♔SloVice
♔♔positionalgenius
♔♔amadeus
~~~~
♔♕♕♕♕♖♖OhioChessFan
♔♕♕♖Diademas
♔♕♖nimh
♔♕♖ahmadov
♔♕♖CHESSBOOKIE
♔♕Keysersoze
♔♕Where is my mind
♔♕Appaz
♔♖♖moronovich*
♔♖Golden Executive*
♔♖Montreal1666
♔♖Troewa
~~~~
♔Beholder
♔juan31
♔wtwz
♔Twinlark
♔SoUnwiseTheKnight B4
♔NGambit
♔benjinathan
♔DCP23
♔firebyrd
♔kellmano
♔Stonehenge
♔cu8sfan
♔larrewl
♔babakova
♔djmercury
♔mikejaqua
♔Joshka,
♔SnoopDogg
♔Like a GM
*may be incomplete
♔ Gold
♕ Silver
♖ Bronze
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>> Click here to see lostemperor's game collections.

   lostemperor has kibitzed 7712 times to chessgames [more...]

   Feb-02-25 lostemperor chessforum

lostemperor: <Keyser Soze>,<0ZeR0>,<Penguincw> won gold each! Congratulations!

   Apr-20-24 Golden Executive chessforum

lostemperor: It is fixed! I had an expert looking at it.

   Jan-18-24 OhioChessFan chessforum

lostemperor: Betcha you. Right damn

   Jan-11-24 Tata Steel Masters (2024)

lostemperor: ♔♕♖ Announcement ♔♕♖ Join the annual Tata Teel Chess final standings prediction contest at lostemperor chessforum 1. Ding 2. Nepomniachtchi 3. Firouzja 4, Giri 5. Praggnanandhaa 6. Maghsoodloo 7. Vidit 8.Wei 9. Abdusattorov

   Feb-26-23 WR Chess Masters (2023)

lostemperor: The predictions' winners on the final standings of WR Chess on my forum <Penquincw>♔, <Golden Executive>♔, <Chesschronicle22>♕, <OhioChessFan>♕, <Messiah>♖

   Jan-30-23 Tata Steel Masters (2023)

lostemperor: Winners of the TATA STEEL CHESS 2023 FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTION'S CONTEST at my forum <Firouzjias>♔♔♖, <tuttifrutty>♔♕♖, <lostemperor>♕♕, <Messiah>♖

indicates a reply to the comment.

FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS

< Earlier Kibitzing · PAGE 194 OF 285 · Later Kibitzing>
Mar-12-16		lakshashishu: <lostemperor>:Thanks for correcting it.

Mar-14-16		lostemperor: For simplicity and accuracy reasons I decided to put/change pseudo-contestant <MAGNUS CARLSEN> following <rogge>'s predictions as put, though not in great detail, by Carlsen himself!

Mar-14-16		lostemperor: <CANDIDATES' TOURNAMENT ROUND 3 UPDATE <Round 2 Svidler-Topalov 1/2 Aronian-Anand 1/2 Caruana-Giri 1/2 Karjakin-Nakamura 1-0 <Round 3 Nakamura-Svidler 1/2 Giri-Karjakin 1/2 Anand-Caruana 1/2 Topalov-Aronian 0-1 <Standings: 1. Anand 1. Aronian 1. Karjakin 4. Giri 4. Caruana 4. Svidler 7. Nakamura 8. Topalov>>>>

Mar-14-16		lostemperor: ABSOLUTE RANKER 3 Score,UserID 20,lakshashishu 19,SwitchingQuylthulg 18,Beholder 18,MAGNUS CARLSEN 18,positionalgenius 18,rogge ~~~~ 17,moronovich 16,chessmoron 16,MarbleSkull 16,whiteshark 14,alfamikewhiskey 14,lostemperor 12,Aurora 12,cromat 12,WannaBe 11,Karposian 11,WinKing 10,Golden Executive 10,offramp 10,Robin01 10,zealandzen 9,wordfunph 8,OhioChessFan 8,Penguincw 8,Schwartz 4,YouRang

Mar-14-16		lostemperor: SQUARE RANKER 3 Score,UserID 141,lakshashishu 134,positionalgenius 130,SwitchingQuylthulg ~~~~ 123,MAGNUS CARLSEN 123,rogge 120,Beholder 120,moronovich 119,whiteshark 118,MarbleSkull 117,chessmoron 114,alfamikewhiskey 110,lostemperor 104,cromat 101,Aurora 96,WinKing 92,Golden Executive 92,offramp 90,zealandzen 86,wordfunph 83,Karposian 80,WannaBe 79,Penguincw 74,OhioChessFan 74,Robin01 68,Schwartz 51,YouRang

Mar-14-16		lostemperor: PAIR BETTING RANKER 3 Earnings,UserID $47.09,WannaBe $22.80,Aurora $12.28,Karposian ~~~~ $10.98,lakshashishu $6.09,positionalgenius $5.91,rogge $5.07,MarbleSkull $2.52,moronovich $0.34,chessmoron $-0.10,Beholder $-0.10,SwitchingQuylthulg $-1.83,Schwartz $-4.11,OhioChessFan $-4.86,lostemperor $-5.10,whiteshark $-6.39,wordfunph $-6.92,cromat $-7.14,zealandzen $-7.66,alfamikewhiskey $-9.28,Golden Executive $-9.28,offramp $-9.28,WinKing $-9.87,Penguincw $-13.67,Robin01 $-17.47,YouRang

Mar-14-16		lostemperor: Large Payoff Pair results: Payoff,Pair result,Winners $25.00,Anand-equal-Karjakin, Aurora $25.00,Caruana-equal-Giri, Karposian $25.00,Caruana-equal-Svidler, WannaBe $25.00,Karjakin-above-Caruana, WannaBe $12.50,Aronian-equal-Karjakin, MarbleSkull + rogge $8.33,Anand-above-Caruana, lakshashishu + Schwartz + WannaBe $8.33,Giri-equal-Svidler, Aurora + moronovich + Schwartz

Mar-14-16		lostemperor: Two of Carlsen's favourites winning this weekend with 11 rounds and 4 rest days to go!:)

Mar-16-16		lostemperor: <CANDIDATES 2016 <ROUND 4 UPDATE <Svidler - Aronian 1/2 Caruana - Topalov 1/2 Karjakin - Anand 1-0 Nakamura - Giri 1/2 <Standings: 1. Karjakin 2. Aronian 3. Anand 3. Giri 3. Caruana 3. Svidler 7. Nakamura 8. Topalov>>>>

Mar-16-16		lostemperor: <CANDIDATES' 2016 PREDICTIONS STANDINGS> ABSOLUTE RANKER 4 Score evaluation method: Absolute value of rank deviation Maximum score: 32 Score,UserID 20,MAGNUS CARLSEN 20,rogge 18,lakshashishu 18,moronovich 18,positionalgenius ~~~~ 17,whiteshark 16,alfamikewhiskey 16,chessmoron 16,lostemperor 16,SwitchingQuylthulg 15,Beholder 13,Karposian 12,Golden Executive 12,MarbleSkull 12,offramp 12,WinKing 12,zealandzen 11,Aurora 11,cromat 11,Robin01 10,OhioChessFan 10,wordfunph 9,Penguincw 8,WannaBe 5,YouRang 4,Schwartz

Mar-16-16		lostemperor: SQUARE RANKER 4 Score evaluation method: Least Squares of rank deviation Maximum score: 168 Score,UserID 141,MAGNUS CARLSEN 141,rogge 134,moronovich 133,positionalgenius ~~~~~~ 130,lakshashishu 129,alfamikewhiskey 129,whiteshark 123,SwitchingQuylthulg 114,Beholder 113,lostemperor 109,chessmoron 103,MarbleSkull 102,Karposian 101,Golden Executive 101,offramp 98,cromat 96,Aurora 95,Robin01 92,WinKing 91,zealandzen 81,wordfunph 75,Penguincw 74,OhioChessFan 67,WannaBe 47,Schwartz 47,YouRang

Mar-16-16		lostemperor: PAIR BETTING RANKER 4 Earnings,UserID $37.79,WannaBe $22.66,moronovich $17.14,Karposian ~~~~ $13.83,MarbleSkull $9.51,lakshashishu $7.21,positionalgenius $7.20,chessmoron $6.51,whiteshark $4.52,rogge $3.45,alfamikewhiskey $-1.07,Beholder $-1.07,SwitchingQuylthulg $-3.17,Aurora $-4.24,lostemperor $-6.03,Robin01 $-7.14,zealandzen $-8.39,cromat $-9.50,WinKing $-10.20,Golden Executive $-10.20,offramp $-10.58,OhioChessFan $-11.53,Penguincw $-13.67,wordfunph $-13.91,Schwartz $-19.13,YouRang

Mar-16-16		lostemperor: Large Payoff Pair results: Payoff,Pair result,Winners $25.00,Anand-equal-Caruana, MarbleSkull $25.00,Caruana-equal-Giri, Karposian $25.00,Caruana-equal-Svidler, WannaBe $25.00,Karjakin-above-Caruana, WannaBe $8.33,Giri-equal-Svidler, Aurora + moronovich + Schwartz

Mar-16-16		lostemperor: Who next will topple MAGNUS CARLSEN alter ego <rogge> and top HOFer <WannaBe>?!

Mar-16-16		YouRang: I see that <Schwartz> and I are engaged in a tense battle for the Triple-Cellar prize...

Mar-16-16		OhioChessFan: At least I'm ahead of someone. So far.

Mar-16-16		lostemperor: <CANDIDATES' 2016 <ROUND 5 UPDATE <All games drawn. <Rankings remain the same>>>>

Mar-16-16		lostemperor: <MAGNUS CARLSEN> and soul mate <rogge> remaining on top in two rankers, showing, for now, that predicting is not just a matter of luck since as professional and World Champion Carlsen knows these opponents best! <WannaBe> on top in the pair betting ranker what after a mere 5 rounds is still luck <;) 9 rounds and 3 rest days to go!

Mar-16-16		Penguincw: Just wondering, who is this Magnus Carlsen person? Did Carlsen actually post his predictions on the Candidates? I hope he doesn't affect any medals...

Mar-16-16		rogge: <showing, for now, that predicting is not just a matter of luck since as professional and World Champion Carlsen knows these opponents best!> Quite amusing, isn't it :)

Mar-16-16		lostemperor: Just reader back <rogge>s predictions and some of my comments <Penguin>. Magnus Carlsen actually made these predictions of the candidates! It is Mentioned and followed by <rogge> who als provided a link of Carlsen's comments. I have read it somewhere. And no it will not affect the content since <MAGNUS CARLSEN> is a pseudo-contestant. I think it is interesting addition to see the best player in the world predicting the outcome of his challengers and I hope fun for us and the spectators too :)

Mar-17-16		lostemperor: I dont fully expect Carlsen to stay on top of the rankings but he is the expert. Will be interesting to watch. I saw this posted by <Golden Executive> http://en.chessbase.com/post/comput... Computers calculatiing the outcome of the Candidates. If I can include it in our Prediction game without infuencing the pair bettings I would. Of course after 5 ronds it has already completely changed http://en.chessbase.com/post/comput...

Mar-18-16		lostemperor: <CANDIDATES 2016 <ROUND 6 UPDATE <Anand - Svidler 1-0 Topalov - Giri 1/2 Aronian - Nakamura 1-0 Caruana - Karjakin 1/2 <Standings: 1. Karjakin 1. Aronian 3. Anand 4. Giri 4. Caruana 6. Svidler 7. Nakamura 7. Topalov>>>>

Mar-18-16		lostemperor: PREDICTIONS' STANDINGS ABSOLUTE RANKER 6 Score evaluation method: Absolute value of rank deviation Maximum score: 32 Score,UserID 21,lakshashishu 20,MAGNUS CARLSEN 20,positionalgenius 20,rogge ~~~~ 19,chessmoron 17,alfamikewhiskey 17,moronovich 16,whiteshark 15,lostemperor 15,SwitchingQuylthulg 14,Beholder 14,MarbleSkull 13,Aurora 13,cromat 13,WinKing 12,Golden Executive 12,offramp 11,Karposian 11,OhioChessFan 11,WannaBe 10,Penguincw 9,Robin01 9,zealandzen 8,wordfunph 7,Schwartz 5,YouRang

Mar-18-16		lostemperor: SQUARE RANKER 6 Score evaluation method: Least Squares of rank deviation Maximum score: 168 Score,UserID 146,positionalgenius 142,lakshashishu 135,MAGNUS CARLSEN 135,rogge ~~~~ 126,alfamikewhiskey 124,moronovich 120,chessmoron 120,SwitchingQuylthulg 120,whiteshark 116,lostemperor 111,MarbleSkull 109,Beholder 104,cromat 96,Aurora 96,Golden Executive 96,offramp 96,WinKing 91,Karposian 85,Penguincw 83,zealandzen 82,OhioChessFan 79,WannaBe 77,Robin01 73,wordfunph 58,Schwartz 49,YouRang

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