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lostemperor
Member since Feb-18-03 · Last seen Feb-02-25
♔♕♖
<FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS' CONTEST FORUM>

Predict the final standings of Tata Steel tournament January 12

Format example to post your predictions

1.Caruana
1. Erigaisi
3. Gukesh
4. Abdusattorov
5. Wei Yi
5. Harikrishna
5. Praggnanandhaa
8. Giri
9. Keymer
10. Fedoseev
11.Van Foreest
12. Sarina
12. Warmerdam
12. Mendonca

Good Luck!


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Some years ago I came up with a new but simple system to calculate the final standings of a tournament including all players. This is how it goes:

For each correct standing you'll get a maximum amount of points. Each prediction deviation from the actual player standing in the tournament, will deduct one point from your total (ABSOLUTE RANKER).

In case of a shared player's standing the average standing counts (both actual and in your predictions).

The SQUARE RANKER, squares your predictions' deviations. Here only medals are awarded if the winner s is not the same person s as in the absolute ranker.

Same goes for the The PAIR BETTING RANKER compare all possible pair outcomes of the tournament participants.

The three best predictions will get Real Virtual Gold Silver and Bronze!

Note: only one set of medals is awarded (in the absolute ranker) unless another ranker produces a different winner.

Special thanks to <YouRang> who made a software to calculate these numbers.

Our new contest manager for game results prediction User: Golden Executive during the tournament also ([1-0], [1/2], [0-1])!

or predict the # of moves in User: ohiochessfan organized by <chessmoron>

Enjoy!


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<HALL <OF> FAME>

WannaBe 10♔ 5♕ 4♖

~~~~
♔♔♔♔♔ ♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♖♖♖♖SwitchingQuylthulg

~~~~

♔♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♕♖♖♖YouRang

~~~~~~

♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♖Aurora
♔♔♔♔♕♕♖suenteus po 147
♔♔♔♔♖♖♖Penguincw

~~~~~~

♔♔♔♕♕♕♖♖♖lostemperor
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖♖♖chessmoron
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖rogge
♔♔♔♕♕♖cromat
♔♔♔♕♖Robin01
~~~~

♔♔♕♕♕♕WinKing
♔♔♕♕♕♖percyblakeney
♔♔♕♖♖♖yalie
♔♔♕♖wordfunph
♔♔♕♖Ragh
♔♔♕♖Ezzy
♔♔Golden Executive
♔♔SloVice
♔♔positionalgenius
♔♔amadeus

~~~~

♔♕♕♕♕♖♖OhioChessFan
♔♕♕♖Diademas
♔♕♖nimh
♔♕♖ahmadov
♔♕♖CHESSBOOKIE
♔♕Keysersoze
♔♕Where is my mind
♔♕Appaz
♔♖♖moronovich*
♔♖Golden Executive*
♔♖Montreal1666
♔♖Troewa

~~~~

♔Beholder
♔juan31
♔wtwz
♔Twinlark
♔SoUnwiseTheKnight B4
♔NGambit
♔benjinathan
♔DCP23
♔firebyrd
♔kellmano
♔Stonehenge
♔cu8sfan
♔larrewl
♔babakova
♔djmercury
♔mikejaqua
♔Joshka,
♔SnoopDogg
♔Like a GM

*may be incomplete

♔ Gold
♕ Silver
♖ Bronze


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♙♙

>> Click here to see lostemperor's game collections.

Chessgames.com Full Member

   lostemperor has kibitzed 7712 times to chessgames   [more...]
   Feb-02-25 lostemperor chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: <Keyser Soze>,<0ZeR0>,<Penguincw> won gold each! Congratulations!
 
   Apr-20-24 Golden Executive chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: It is fixed! I had an expert looking at it.
 
   Jan-18-24 OhioChessFan chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: Betcha you. Right damn
 
   Jan-11-24 Tata Steel Masters (2024) (replies)
 
lostemperor: ♔♕♖ Announcement ♔♕♖ Join the annual Tata Teel Chess final standings prediction contest at lostemperor chessforum 1. Ding 2. Nepomniachtchi 3. Firouzja 4, Giri 5. Praggnanandhaa 6. Maghsoodloo 7. Vidit 8.Wei 9. Abdusattorov
 
   Feb-26-23 WR Chess Masters (2023) (replies)
 
lostemperor: The predictions' winners on the final standings of WR Chess on my forum <Penquincw>♔, <Golden Executive>♔, <Chesschronicle22>♕, <OhioChessFan>♕, <Messiah>♖
 
   Jan-30-23 Tata Steel Masters (2023) (replies)
 
lostemperor: Winners of the TATA STEEL CHESS 2023 FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTION'S CONTEST at my forum <Firouzjias>♔♔♖, <tuttifrutty>♔♕♖, <lostemperor>♕♕, <Messiah>♖
 
(replies) indicates a reply to the comment.

FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS

Kibitzer's Corner
< Earlier Kibitzing  · PAGE 208 OF 285 ·  Later Kibitzing>
Aug-04-16  chessmoron: 1. Caruana
2. Vachier
2. Aronian
4. Nakamura
4. Anand
6. Giri
7. So
9. Svidler
9 Ding
9. Topalov
Aug-04-16  alfamikewhiskey: <WinKing> Thanks a lot! To me, this certainly adds excitement to the contest.
Aug-04-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: It took me a long time to win a gold in this contest. I am hopelessly bad at it, almost as bad as <Penguincw>, and am normally much closer to last than first.
Aug-04-16  rogge: Sinquefield

1. Vachier-Lagrave
1. Caruana
3. Aronian
3. Nakamura
5. Giri
5. So
5. Ding Liren
8. Anand
8. Svidler
10. Topalov

Aug-04-16  Robin01: Predictions (redone):
1. Nakamura
2. Caruana
3. Aronian
3. So
5. Vachier-Lagrave
5. Ding Liren
7. Anand
8. Giri
8. Topalov
8. Svidler
Aug-04-16  Robin01: <Penguincw> Thanks.
Aug-04-16  lakshashishu: 1.Caruana
2.Vachier-Lagrave
2.Anand
4.Aronian
4.Nakamura
4.Topalov
7.Giri
8.Ding Liren
9.So
9.Svidler
Aug-04-16  lakshashishu: If my prediction finishes last again,next time i will make a prediction and then change ranking with their 10's complement.
Aug-04-16  Aurora:

1. Caruana
2. Nakamura
3. Aronian
3. Vachier-Lagrave
5. So
5. Giri
7. Anand
7. Ding Liren
9. Svidler
9. Topalov

Aug-04-16  TheFocus: 1. Caruana
2. Nakamura
3. Aronian
3. Vachier-Lagrave
3. So
6. Giri
6. Ding
8. Anand
9. Svidler
10. Topalov
Aug-04-16  Schwartz: 1. Caruana
1. Vachier
3. Nakamura
3. Anand
5. Aronian
5. Topalov
5. Svidler
5. Ding
5. So
5. Giri
Aug-05-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: 1. Caruana
2. Vachier-Lagrave
3. Anand
4. Nakamura
5. Aronian
6. So
6. Giri
8. Ding
8. Svidler
10. Topalov
Aug-05-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  SwitchingQuylthulg: 1. Vachier-Lagrave
2. Caruana
3. Nakamura
3. Aronian
3. Ding
6. Giri
6. So
6. Anand
9. Svidler
9. Topalov
Aug-05-16  Golden Executive: Hi <lostemperor>!, here my predictions:

1. Caruana
2. Vachier
3. Nakamura
3. Aronian
3. So
6. Anand
6. Giri
8. Topalov
8. Ding
8. Svidler

Good luck to everybody!

Aug-05-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  moronovich: 1.Caruana
2.MVL
3.Nakamura
3.Aronian
5.Ding
5.Anand
5.So
8.Giri
8.Svidler
10.Topalov
Aug-05-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  moronovich: And good luck to all contestants and thanks to <lostemperor> for once again hosting !
Aug-05-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  WannaBe: <moronovich> I don't believe in luck, I believe in good predictions.
Aug-05-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  moronovich: <<moronovich> I don't believe in luck, I believe in good predictions.>

Me too.But if you win,say 10 millions in the lottery, I would call that luck. So I guess luck exists wheter we believe in it or not.

Aug-05-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: The tournament has started.
Aug-06-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Thanks <Penguincw>! The tournament started fiercly with fighting games. Wesley So and Topalov getting a full point! Going to be exciting days ahead in Sinquefield and here. Will have the CONMAN software running asap!
Aug-06-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Mind contestants <moronovich> and <chessmoron> for posting predictions the software did not read. MLV should be Vachier and in case of <chessmoron> the numbers did not quite fit but it is fixed now.
Aug-06-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <SINQUEFIELD EXPRESS REPORT ROUND ONE

<Ding - Aronian 1/2
So - Nakamura 1-0
Giri - Vachier-Lagrave 1/2
Anand - Caruana 1/2
Topalov - Svidler 1-0

<standings:
1. Topalov
1. So
3. Giri
3. Anand
3. Vachier-Lagrave
3. Aronian
3. Caruana
3. Ding
9. Nakamura
9. Svidler>
>
>
>

Aug-06-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: ABSOLUTE RANKER 1

Score evaluation method: Absolute value of rank deviation Maximum score: 50

Score,UserID
21,Robin01
19,Golden Executive
19,lakshashishu
19,TheFocus
~~~~
18,alfamikewhiskey
18,Aurora
18,WannaBe
18,whiteshark
18,WinKing
17,Keyser Soze
17,RATINGS
17,SwitchingQuylthulg
16,chessmoron
16,moronovich
16,rogge
16,YouRang
15,OhioChessFan
15,Penguincw
14,Schwartz
14,wordfunph
13,lostemperor
10,cromat

Aug-06-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: SQUARE RANKER 1

Score evaluation method: Least Squares of rank deviation Maximum score: 330

Score,UserID
188,Golden Executive
187,lakshashishu
186,alfamikewhiskey
~~~~
184,Keyser Soze
170,Schwartz
168,RATINGS
167,chessmoron
167,Robin01
165,WannaBe
164,SwitchingQuylthulg
163,whiteshark
162,TheFocus
158,Aurora
155,moronovich
155,rogge
153,OhioChessFan
151,WinKing
146,lostemperor
145,Penguincw
145,YouRang
144,cromat
115,wordfunph

Aug-06-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: PAIR BETTING RANKER 1

Earnings,UserID
$26.17,Robin01
$24.82,Schwartz
$23.49,lakshashishu
~~~~
$4.65,whiteshark
$3.69,WannaBe
$1.98,wordfunph
$0.97,Keyser Soze
$-1.54,Aurora
$-2.60,cromat
$-2.70,TheFocus
$-3.14,WinKing
$-3.27,alfamikewhiskey
$-4.29,lostemperor
$-6.42,chessmoron
$-6.49,rogge
$-6.86,YouRang
$-7.31,SwitchingQuylthulg
$-9.48,Penguincw
$-9.51,Golden Executive
$-10.49,moronovich
$-11.67,OhioChessFan

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