User Profile: lostemperor

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lostemperor
Member since Feb-18-03 · Last seen Feb-02-25

♔♕♖
<FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS' CONTEST FORUM>
Predict the final standings of Tata Steel tournament January 12
Format example to post your predictions
1.Caruana
1. Erigaisi
3. Gukesh
4. Abdusattorov
5. Wei Yi
5. Harikrishna
5. Praggnanandhaa
8. Giri
9. Keymer
10. Fedoseev
11.Van Foreest
12. Sarina
12. Warmerdam
12. Mendonca
Good Luck!
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Some years ago I came up with a new but simple system to calculate the final standings of a tournament including all players. This is how it goes:
For each correct standing you'll get a maximum amount of points. Each prediction deviation from the actual player standing in the tournament, will deduct one point from your total (ABSOLUTE RANKER).
In case of a shared player's standing the average standing counts (both actual and in your predictions).
The SQUARE RANKER, squares your predictions' deviations. Here only medals are awarded if the winner s is not the same person s as in the absolute ranker.
Same goes for the The PAIR BETTING RANKER compare all possible pair outcomes of the tournament participants.
The three best predictions will get Real Virtual Gold Silver and Bronze!
Note: only one set of medals is awarded (in the absolute ranker) unless another ranker produces a different winner.
Special thanks to <YouRang> who made a software to calculate these numbers.
Our new contest manager for game results prediction User: Golden Executive during the tournament also ([1-0], [1/2], [0-1])!
or predict the # of moves in User: ohiochessfan organized by <chessmoron>
Enjoy!
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<HALL <OF> FAME>
WannaBe 10♔ 5♕ 4♖
~~~~
♔♔♔♔♔ ♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♖♖♖♖SwitchingQuylthulg
~~~~
♔♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♕♖♖♖YouRang
~~~~~~
♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♖Aurora
♔♔♔♔♕♕♖suenteus po 147
♔♔♔♔♖♖♖Penguincw
~~~~~~
♔♔♔♕♕♕♖♖♖lostemperor
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖♖♖chessmoron
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖rogge
♔♔♔♕♕♖cromat
♔♔♔♕♖Robin01
~~~~
♔♔♕♕♕♕WinKing
♔♔♕♕♕♖percyblakeney
♔♔♕♖♖♖yalie
♔♔♕♖wordfunph
♔♔♕♖Ragh
♔♔♕♖Ezzy
♔♔Golden Executive
♔♔SloVice
♔♔positionalgenius
♔♔amadeus
~~~~
♔♕♕♕♕♖♖OhioChessFan
♔♕♕♖Diademas
♔♕♖nimh
♔♕♖ahmadov
♔♕♖CHESSBOOKIE
♔♕Keysersoze
♔♕Where is my mind
♔♕Appaz
♔♖♖moronovich*
♔♖Golden Executive*
♔♖Montreal1666
♔♖Troewa
~~~~
♔Beholder
♔juan31
♔wtwz
♔Twinlark
♔SoUnwiseTheKnight B4
♔NGambit
♔benjinathan
♔DCP23
♔firebyrd
♔kellmano
♔Stonehenge
♔cu8sfan
♔larrewl
♔babakova
♔djmercury
♔mikejaqua
♔Joshka,
♔SnoopDogg
♔Like a GM
*may be incomplete
♔ Gold
♕ Silver
♖ Bronze
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>> Click here to see lostemperor's game collections.

   lostemperor has kibitzed 7712 times to chessgames [more...]

   Feb-02-25 lostemperor chessforum

lostemperor: <Keyser Soze>,<0ZeR0>,<Penguincw> won gold each! Congratulations!

   Apr-20-24 Golden Executive chessforum

lostemperor: It is fixed! I had an expert looking at it.

   Jan-18-24 OhioChessFan chessforum

lostemperor: Betcha you. Right damn

   Jan-11-24 Tata Steel Masters (2024)

lostemperor: ♔♕♖ Announcement ♔♕♖ Join the annual Tata Teel Chess final standings prediction contest at lostemperor chessforum 1. Ding 2. Nepomniachtchi 3. Firouzja 4, Giri 5. Praggnanandhaa 6. Maghsoodloo 7. Vidit 8.Wei 9. Abdusattorov

   Feb-26-23 WR Chess Masters (2023)

lostemperor: The predictions' winners on the final standings of WR Chess on my forum <Penquincw>♔, <Golden Executive>♔, <Chesschronicle22>♕, <OhioChessFan>♕, <Messiah>♖

   Jan-30-23 Tata Steel Masters (2023)

lostemperor: Winners of the TATA STEEL CHESS 2023 FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTION'S CONTEST at my forum <Firouzjias>♔♔♖, <tuttifrutty>♔♕♖, <lostemperor>♕♕, <Messiah>♖

indicates a reply to the comment.

FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS

< Earlier Kibitzing · PAGE 217 OF 285 · Later Kibitzing>
Jan-17-17		OhioChessFan: Well, I'm in my typical top/bottom 3 in the Race for the Triple Clown, anyway. Here's the top/bottom 3: <lostemperor> 7 <chessmoron> 14 <OhioChessFan> 17

Jan-18-17		lostemperor: How did you get those numbers <OhioChessFan>?

Jan-18-17		OhioChessFan: I start counting from the bottom of the standings in the 3 Rankers, and add them up. You are 3rd from the bottom in Absolute, 2nd in Square and 2nd in pair, giving you 7 points. I've been on an epically bad run in all 3 contests, so inventing such diversions to categorize just how bad I'm doing is one of my few amusements.

Jan-20-17		lostemperor: <♔♕♖TATA STEEL CHESS <ROUND 5 <Eljanov - Aronian 0-1 Karjakin - Adhiban 0-1 So - Harikrishna 1-0 Wojtaszek - Van Wely 1-0 Andreikin - Rapport 1/2 Wei - Giri 1/2 Nepomniachtchi - Carlsen 1/2 <Standings: 1. So 2. Carlsen 2. Eljanov 4. Aronian 5. Harikrishna 5. WeiYi 5. Andreikin 5. Giri 5. Karjakin 5. Wojtazcek 11. Nepomniatchi 11. Adhiban 13. Rapport 14. VanWely>>>>

Jan-20-17		lostemperor: ABSOLUTE RANKER 5 Score evaluation method: Absolute value of rank deviation Maximum score: 98 Score,UserID 72,SwitchingQuylthulg 71,scout118 67,moronovich 67,wtwz ~~~~ 66,Aurora 66,WinKing 64,Golden Executive 64,Keyser Soze 64,Robin01 63,offramp 62,whiteshark 62,wordfunph 61,paavoh 59,chessmoron 59,lostemperor 59,Penguincw 59,WannaBe 58,YouRang 56,alfamikewhiskey 55,cromat 55,OhioChessFan 54,tuttifrutty

Jan-20-17		lostemperor: SQUARE RANKER 5 Score evaluation method: Least Squares of rank deviation Maximum score: 910 Score,UserID 832,scout118 800,SwitchingQuylthulg 788,Aurora 788,Keyser Soze ~~~~ 785,Golden Executive 774,Robin01 767,offramp 765,moronovich 762,Penguincw 762,wtwz 747,WinKing 741,YouRang 739,whiteshark 737,chessmoron 735,wordfunph 733,cromat 731,paavoh 730,alfamikewhiskey 728,OhioChessFan 717,WannaBe 700,lostemperor 642,tuttifrutty

Jan-20-17		lostemperor: PAIR BETTING RANKER 5 Earnings,UserID $53.66,WannaBe $39.37,SwitchingQuylthulg $37.04,scout118 ~~~~ $23.63,Golden Executive $19.88,wtwz $7.99,moronovich $7.92,WinKing $3.36,Penguincw $-1.81,Keyser Soze $-4.90,offramp $-6.69,Aurora $-10.80,Robin01 $-12.28,chessmoron $-13.23,OhioChessFan $-14.30,whiteshark $-14.45,YouRang $-15.34,alfamikewhiskey $-15.58,tuttifrutty $-17.49,paavoh $-19.44,cromat $-21.09,wordfunph $-25.45,lostemperor

Jan-20-17		lostemperor: Large Payoff Pair results: Payoff,Pair result,Winners $22.00,Adhiban-equal-Nepomniatchi, SwitchingQuylthulg $22.00,Andreikin-equal-Giri, WinKing $22.00,Eljanov-above-Nepomniatchi, scout118 $22.00,Giri-equal-Karjakin, Golden Executive $22.00,Giri-equal-WeiYi, WannaBe $22.00,Giri-equal-Wojtazcek, WannaBe

Jan-20-17		lostemperor: Still holding to my top spot, upside down. The Tata Steel standings is somewhat according to rating expectations and although I usually regrets some picks I have made, I do not so much now :)

Jan-20-17		OhioChessFan: No, you've been surpassed by <tuttifruitti> The current standings are: <tuttifruitti> 7 <lostemperor> 9 <cromat> 12

Jan-21-17		lostemperor: <♔♕♖<TATA STEEL CHESS ROUND 6 <Another great day in Wijk aan Zee (rhyming) <Aronian - Carlsen 1/2 Giri - Nepomniachtchi 1-0 Rapport - Wei 0-1 Van Wely - Andreikin 1/2 Harikrishna - Wojtaszek 1/2 Adhiban - So 1/2 Eljanov - Karjakin 1/2 <Standings: 1. So 4.5 2. Carlsen 4 2. Eljanov 4. Aronian 3.5 4. Giri 4. Wei Yi 7. Andreikin 3 7. Harikrishna 7. Karjakin 7. Wojtazcek 11. Adhiban 2.5 12. Nepomniatchi 2 13. Rapport 1.5 14. Van Wely 1 >>>>

Jan-21-17		lostemperor: PREDICTIONS STANDINGS Score evaluation method: Absolute value of rank deviation Maximum score: 98 Score,UserID 70,scout118 67,SwitchingQuylthulg 65,moronovich ~~~~ 63,Golden Executive 63,Keyser Soze 62,Aurora 62,Penguincw 62,whiteshark 62,wtwz 61,Robin01 59,WinKing 58,offramp 58,paavoh 58,wordfunph 57,chessmoron 54,YouRang 53,cromat 52,lostemperor 52,WannaBe 51,OhioChessFan 49,alfamikewhiskey 49,tuttifrutty

Jan-21-17		lostemperor: SQUARE RANKER 6 Score evaluation method: Least Squares of rank deviation Maximum score: 910 Score,UserID 816,scout118 776,Golden Executive 769,Keyser Soze ~~~~ 763,Penguincw 760,SwitchingQuylthulg 750,Aurora 750,moronovich 746,Robin01 734,offramp 724,whiteshark 716,wordfunph 711,wtwz 708,chessmoron 706,OhioChessFan 706,paavoh 705,YouRang 701,WinKing 689,WannaBe 688,cromat 673,alfamikewhiskey 647,lostemperor 594,tuttifrutty

Jan-21-17		lostemperor: PAIR BETTING RANKER 6 Earnings,UserID $33.87,Penguincw $33.21,scout118 $31.66,moronovich ~~~~ $27.97,WannaBe $20.88,wtwz $19.66,SwitchingQuylthulg $6.70,Keyser Soze $5.99,paavoh $5.74,Golden Executive $-4.49,Robin01 $-4.72,OhioChessFan $-6.21,chessmoron $-13.01,tuttifrutty $-13.24,offramp $-14.22,whiteshark $-15.57,cromat $-16.98,wordfunph $-17.04,YouRang $-17.23,Aurora $-19.65,alfamikewhiskey $-20.42,WinKing $-22.88,lostemperor

Jan-21-17		lostemperor: Large Payoff Pair results: Payoff,Pair result,Winners $22.00,Aronian-equal-Giri, paavoh $22.00,Eljanov-above-Nepomniatchi, scout118 $22.00,Giri-above-Karjakin, moronovich $22.00,Giri-equal-Wei Yi, WannaBe $22.00,Wei Yi-above-Harikrishna, Penguincw

Jan-21-17		Penguincw: Wow, even if its only for 1 round, and by $0.66, surprised to be in 1st. < $22.00,Wei Yi-above-Harikrishna, Penguincw > Also surprised that is a jackpot.

Jan-23-17		lostemperor: <♔♕♖TATA STEEL CHESS ROUND 7, 8 <A beautiful weekend at the sea side!< Round 7 Karjakin, S. - Aronian, L. 1-0 So, W. - Eljanov, P. ½-½ Wojtaszek, R. - Adhiban, B. 0-1 Andreikin, D. - Harikrishna, P. ½-½ Wei, Y. - Van Wely, L. 1-0 Nepomniachtchi, I. - Rapport, R. ½-½ Carlsen, M. - Giri, A. ½-½ Round 8 Aronian, L. - Giri, A. 1-0 Rapport, R. - Carlsen, M. 1-0 Van Wely, L. - Nepomniachtchi, I. ½-½ Harikrishna, P. - Wei, Y. ½-½ Adhiban, B. - Andreikin, D. 1-0 Eljanov, P. - Wojtaszek, R. ½-½ Karjakin, S. - So, W. ½-½ <Standings: 1. So 2. Eljanov 2. Wei Yi 4. Aronian 4. Adhiban 4. Carlsen 4. Karjakin 8. Harikrishna 8. Giri 10. Wojtazcek 10. Andreikin 12. Rapport 12. Nepomniatchi 14. Van Wely>>>>

Jan-23-17		lostemperor: PREDICTIONS STANDINGS 8 ABSOLUTE RANKER Score evaluation method: Absolute value of rank deviation Maximum score: 98 Score,UserID 60,scout118 55,Golden Executive 54,Keyser Soze 54,Penguincw ~~~~ 53,offramp 53,SwitchingQuylthulg 52,wtwz 51,Aurora 51,moronovich 51,whiteshark 50,paavoh 50,Robin01 50,WinKing 50,wordfunph 46,YouRang 45,chessmoron 45,OhioChessFan 44,alfamikewhiskey 44,WannaBe 42,cromat 41,lostemperor 40,tuttifrutty

Jan-23-17		lostemperor: SQUARE RANKER 8 Score evaluation method: Least Squares of rank deviation Maximum score: 910 Score,UserID 739,scout118 704,Penguincw 684,SwitchingQuylthulg ~~~~ 682,Golden Executive 680,Keyser Soze 668,offramp 660,Aurora 649,Robin01 646,wordfunph 644,chessmoron 641,whiteshark 639,WannaBe 634,paavoh 630,wtwz 628,OhioChessFan 622,YouRang 620,moronovich 617,WinKing 586,alfamikewhiskey 574,cromat 544,tuttifrutty 528,lostemperor

Jan-23-17		lostemperor: PAIR BETTING RANKER 8 Earnings,UserID $59.47,scout118 $50.36,Penguincw $26.47,SwitchingQuylthulg ~~~~ $25.80,tuttifrutty $18.77,WannaBe $18.15,wtwz $7.83,chessmoron $2.77,Keyser Soze $-1.13,Golden Executive $-4.98,OhioChessFan $-8.26,offramp $-8.72,WinKing $-11.47,Robin01 $-12.07,YouRang $-12.26,Aurora $-17.42,whiteshark $-18.16,moronovich $-19.08,wordfunph $-19.50,cromat $-19.58,paavoh $-28.27,lostemperor $-28.73,alfamikewhiskey

Jan-23-17		lostemperor: Large Payoff Pair results: Payoff,Pair result,Winners $22.00,Adhiban-above-Wojtazcek, chessmoron $22.00,Aronian-equal-Carlsen, scout118 $22.00,Eljanov-above-Carlsen, tuttifrutty $22.00,Eljanov-above-Nepomniatchi, scout118 $22.00,Wei Yi-above-Carlsen, tuttifrutty $22.00,Wei Yi-above-Giri, Penguincw $22.00,Wei Yi-above-Harikrishna, Penguincw

Jan-23-17		WannaBe: Never fail to amaze me (quite easy to do, actually), how different betting ranker is to the other 2. Take moi, for example, near bottom in the "Absolute", middle in the "Square", but only a bit out of a medal in the "Pair Betting". =)

Jan-23-17		OhioChessFan: Current bottom 3 for the Triple Clown: <lostemperor> 5 <amw> 9 <cromat> 10

Jan-23-17		WannaBe: <OCF> Well, to be fair, your method is different than the "Absolute Method" Triple Stooges. I <WON> mine fair and square (no pun intended based on the square ranking category). You can't take (or try to share) my honour away. Dang it. =))

Jan-24-17		lostemperor: <TATA STEEL CHESS <ROUND 9 UPDATE <So - Aronian 1/2 Wojtaszek - Karjakin 1/2 Andreikin - Eljanov 1/2 Wei - Adhiban 1/2 Nepomniachtchi - Harikrishna 1/2 Carlsen - Van Wely 1-0 Giri - Rapport 1/2 <Standings: 1. So 6 2. Eljanov 5.5 2. Wei Yi 2. Carlsen 5. Adhiban 5 5. Aronian 5. Karjakin 8. Harikrishna 4.5 8. Giri 10. Wojtazcek 4 10. Andreikin 12. Rapport 3.5 12. Nepomniatchi 14. VanWely 1.5>>>>

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