User Profile: lostemperor

Members · Prefs · Laboratory · Collections · Openings · Endgames · Sacrifices · History · Search Kibitzing · Kibitzer's Café · Chessforums · Tournament Index · Players ·

Kibitzing

lostemperor
Member since Feb-18-03 · Last seen Feb-02-25

♔♕♖
<FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS' CONTEST FORUM>
Predict the final standings of Tata Steel tournament January 12
Format example to post your predictions
1.Caruana
1. Erigaisi
3. Gukesh
4. Abdusattorov
5. Wei Yi
5. Harikrishna
5. Praggnanandhaa
8. Giri
9. Keymer
10. Fedoseev
11.Van Foreest
12. Sarina
12. Warmerdam
12. Mendonca
Good Luck!
♙
♙♙
♙♙♙
♙♙
♙
Some years ago I came up with a new but simple system to calculate the final standings of a tournament including all players. This is how it goes:
For each correct standing you'll get a maximum amount of points. Each prediction deviation from the actual player standing in the tournament, will deduct one point from your total (ABSOLUTE RANKER).
In case of a shared player's standing the average standing counts (both actual and in your predictions).
The SQUARE RANKER, squares your predictions' deviations. Here only medals are awarded if the winner s is not the same person s as in the absolute ranker.
Same goes for the The PAIR BETTING RANKER compare all possible pair outcomes of the tournament participants.
The three best predictions will get Real Virtual Gold Silver and Bronze!
Note: only one set of medals is awarded (in the absolute ranker) unless another ranker produces a different winner.
Special thanks to <YouRang> who made a software to calculate these numbers.
Our new contest manager for game results prediction User: Golden Executive during the tournament also ([1-0], [1/2], [0-1])!
or predict the # of moves in User: ohiochessfan organized by <chessmoron>
Enjoy!
♙
♙♙
♙♙♙
♙♙
♙
<HALL <OF> FAME>
WannaBe 10♔ 5♕ 4♖
~~~~
♔♔♔♔♔ ♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♖♖♖♖SwitchingQuylthulg
~~~~
♔♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♕♖♖♖YouRang
~~~~~~
♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♖Aurora
♔♔♔♔♕♕♖suenteus po 147
♔♔♔♔♖♖♖Penguincw
~~~~~~
♔♔♔♕♕♕♖♖♖lostemperor
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖♖♖chessmoron
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖rogge
♔♔♔♕♕♖cromat
♔♔♔♕♖Robin01
~~~~
♔♔♕♕♕♕WinKing
♔♔♕♕♕♖percyblakeney
♔♔♕♖♖♖yalie
♔♔♕♖wordfunph
♔♔♕♖Ragh
♔♔♕♖Ezzy
♔♔Golden Executive
♔♔SloVice
♔♔positionalgenius
♔♔amadeus
~~~~
♔♕♕♕♕♖♖OhioChessFan
♔♕♕♖Diademas
♔♕♖nimh
♔♕♖ahmadov
♔♕♖CHESSBOOKIE
♔♕Keysersoze
♔♕Where is my mind
♔♕Appaz
♔♖♖moronovich*
♔♖Golden Executive*
♔♖Montreal1666
♔♖Troewa
~~~~
♔Beholder
♔juan31
♔wtwz
♔Twinlark
♔SoUnwiseTheKnight B4
♔NGambit
♔benjinathan
♔DCP23
♔firebyrd
♔kellmano
♔Stonehenge
♔cu8sfan
♔larrewl
♔babakova
♔djmercury
♔mikejaqua
♔Joshka,
♔SnoopDogg
♔Like a GM
*may be incomplete
♔ Gold
♕ Silver
♖ Bronze
♙
♙♙
♙♙♙
♙♙

♙

>> Click here to see lostemperor's game collections.

   lostemperor has kibitzed 7712 times to chessgames [more...]

   Feb-02-25 lostemperor chessforum

lostemperor: <Keyser Soze>,<0ZeR0>,<Penguincw> won gold each! Congratulations!

   Apr-20-24 Golden Executive chessforum

lostemperor: It is fixed! I had an expert looking at it.

   Jan-18-24 OhioChessFan chessforum

lostemperor: Betcha you. Right damn

   Jan-11-24 Tata Steel Masters (2024)

lostemperor: ♔♕♖ Announcement ♔♕♖ Join the annual Tata Teel Chess final standings prediction contest at lostemperor chessforum 1. Ding 2. Nepomniachtchi 3. Firouzja 4, Giri 5. Praggnanandhaa 6. Maghsoodloo 7. Vidit 8.Wei 9. Abdusattorov

   Feb-26-23 WR Chess Masters (2023)

lostemperor: The predictions' winners on the final standings of WR Chess on my forum <Penquincw>♔, <Golden Executive>♔, <Chesschronicle22>♕, <OhioChessFan>♕, <Messiah>♖

   Jan-30-23 Tata Steel Masters (2023)

lostemperor: Winners of the TATA STEEL CHESS 2023 FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTION'S CONTEST at my forum <Firouzjias>♔♔♖, <tuttifrutty>♔♕♖, <lostemperor>♕♕, <Messiah>♖

indicates a reply to the comment.

FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS

< Earlier Kibitzing · PAGE 218 OF 285 · Later Kibitzing>
Jan-24-17		lostemperor: PREDICTIONS STANDINGS Score evaluation method: Absolute value of rank deviation Maximum score: 98 Score,UserID 63,scout118 58,Golden Executive 57,Keyser Soze 57,Penguincw ~~~~ 56,offramp 56,SwitchingQuylthulg 55,moronovich 55,whiteshark 55,wtwz 54,Aurora 54,paavoh 53,Robin01 53,WinKing 53,wordfunph 49,YouRang 48,chessmoron 48,OhioChessFan 47,alfamikewhiskey 47,WannaBe 45,cromat 44,lostemperor 38,tuttifrutty

Jan-24-17		lostemperor: SQUARE RANKER 9 Score evaluation method: Least Squares of rank deviation Maximum score: 910 Score,UserID 756,scout118 730,Penguincw 716,SwitchingQuylthulg ~~~~ 713,Golden Executive 710,Keyser Soze 698,offramp 692,Aurora 677,Robin01 676,wordfunph 675,whiteshark 673,chessmoron 667,paavoh 664,WannaBe 661,OhioChessFan 661,wtwz 654,YouRang 651,moronovich 645,WinKing 622,alfamikewhiskey 608,cromat 564,lostemperor 510,tuttifrutty

Jan-24-17		lostemperor: PAIR BETTING RANKER 9 Earnings,UserID $54.72,Penguincw $30.84,SwitchingQuylthulg $28.52,scout118 ~~~~ $22.52,wtwz $21.91,WannaBe $12.20,chessmoron $7.14,Keyser Soze $3.24,Golden Executive $-0.61,OhioChessFan $-3.89,offramp $-7.10,Robin01 $-7.70,YouRang $-7.89,Aurora $-13.05,whiteshark $-13.79,moronovich $-14.71,wordfunph $-15.13,cromat $-15.21,paavoh $-16.57,WinKing $-17.20,tuttifrutty $-23.90,lostemperor $-24.36,alfamikewhiskey

Jan-24-17		lostemperor: Large Payoff Pair results: Payoff,Pair result,Winners $22.00,Adhiban-above-Wojtazcek, chessmoron $22.00,Eljanov-above-Nepomniatchi, scout118 $22.00,WeiYi-above-Giri, Penguincw $22.00,WeiYi-above-Harikrishna, Penguincw

Jan-24-17		OhioChessFan: Anyone else just blown away that Wei above Harikrishna is a jackpot?

Jan-25-17		lostemperor: <OhioChessFan: Anyone else just blown away that Wei above Harikrishna is a jackpot?> Well no. Harikrishna is the world's number 12 and Wei is still a youth player though the most promising. Clearly Wei lives up to the huge expectations outperforming his rating big!

Jan-26-17		lostemperor: Pseudo-contestants RATINGS Standings according to the rating expectations 1. Carlsen 2840 2. So 2802 3. Karjakin 2785 3. Aronian 2780 5. Giri 2773 6. Nepomniachtchi 2767 6. Harikrishna 2766 8. Eljanov 2755 8. Wojtaszek 2750 10. Andreikin 2736 11.Rapport 2706 11. Wei 2702 13. Van Wely 2695 14. Adhiban 2653

Jan-26-17		lostemperor: <♔♕♖TATA STEEL CHESS 2017 ROUND 10 UPDATE <Another great day! <Round 10 - Wednesday the 25th Aronian, L. - Rapport, R. 1-0 Van Wely, L. - Giri, A. ½-½ Harikrishna, P. - Carlsen, M. ½-½ Adhiban, B. - Nepomniachtchi, I. ½-½ Eljanov, P. - Wei, Y. ½-½ Karjakin, S. - Andreikin, D. 1-0 So, W. - Wojtaszek, R. 1-0 <STANDINGS 1. So 7 2. Eljanov 6 2. WeiYi 2. Carlsen 2. Aronian 2. Karjakin 7. Adhiban 5.5 8. Harikrishna 5 8. Giri 10. Wojtazcek 4 10. Andreikin 10. Nepomniatchi 13. Rapport 3.5 14. VanWely 2>>>>

Jan-26-17		lostemperor: PREDICTIONS STANDINGS Score evaluation method: Absolute value of rank deviation Maximum score: 98 Score,UserID 70,scout118 64,Golden Executive 64,Keyser Soze ~~~~ 63,Penguincw 62,offramp 62,SwitchingQuylthulg 61,Aurora 60,Robin01 60,wordfunph 58,RATINGS 58,wtwz 57,moronovich 57,paavoh 57,whiteshark 57,WinKing 56,chessmoron 56,OhioChessFan 55,YouRang 54,WannaBe 52,cromat 51,alfamikewhiskey 50,lostemperor 46,tuttifrutty

Jan-26-17		lostemperor: SQUARE RANKER 10 Score evaluation method: Least Squares of rank deviation Maximum score: 910 Score,UserID 808,scout118 774,Penguincw 770,Keyser Soze ~~~~ 769,Golden Executive 758,offramp 755,SwitchingQuylthulg 753,Aurora 742,wordfunph 740,chessmoron 739,Robin01 729,whiteshark 727,RATINGS 725,OhioChessFan 721,YouRang 720,WannaBe 718,paavoh 710,WinKing 706,moronovich 701,wtwz 681,cromat 680,alfamikewhiskey 636,lostemperor 583,tuttifrutty

Jan-26-17		lostemperor: PAIR BETTING RANKER 10 Earnings,UserID $73.62,scout118 $63.40,Penguincw $13.96,wtwz ~~~~ $11.29,SwitchingQuylthulg $10.97,chessmoron $5.92,Keyser Soze $2.02,Golden Executive $-1.19,WannaBe $-1.83,OhioChessFan $-5.11,offramp $-5.57,WinKing $-8.33,Robin01 $-8.92,YouRang $-9.11,Aurora $-14.27,whiteshark $-14.58,alfamikewhiskey $-15.01,moronovich $-15.93,wordfunph $-16.35,cromat $-16.43,paavoh $-23.44,tuttifrutty $-25.12,lostemperor

Jan-26-17		lostemperor: Large Payoff Pair results: Payoff,Pair result,Winners $22.00,Adhiban-above-Wojtazcek, chessmoron $22.00,Aronian-equal-Carlsen, scout118 $22.00,Eljanov-above-Nepomniatchi, scout118 $22.00,WeiYi-above-Giri, Penguincw $22.00,WeiYi-above-Harikrishna, Penguincw

Jan-26-17		lostemperor: PREDICTIONS'STATISTICS Average Ranking - 2017/01/26 12.41 2012 Bilbao Chess Tournament Rounds: 5 AveragegRank,Player,HighestRank,lowestRank 1.89,Carlsen,1.0,14.0 2.59,So,1.0,5.0 2.93,Karjakin,1.0,6.5 4.04,Aronian,2.5,6.5 5.89,Nepomniatchi,2.0,10.5 5.98,Giri,4.5,8.0 6.91,Harikrishna,3.0,9.5 8.96,Eljanov,5.5,11.5 9.02,Andreikin,2.0,13.0 9.61,WeiYi,4.0,13.0 9.80,Wojtazcek,5.5,14.0 11.41,Rapport,9.0,13.0 12.78,VanWely,10.0,14.0 13.17,Adhiban,10.0,14.0

Jan-26-17		lostemperor: PREDICTIONS' STATISTICS Tata Steel Players'Upset rankings Deviations per player: Deviation,Player,positive/negative 142,Adhiban + 129,Wei Yi + 118,Nepomniatchi - 114,Eljanov + 69,Carlsen - 60,Andreikin - 58,Giri - 44,Wojtazcek - 39,Harikrishna - 37,Rapport - 37,So + 34,Karjakin - 28,Van Wely - 19,Aronian +

Jan-26-17		lostemperor: Best prediction on ADHIBAN(7) <wtwz>(10) Best prediction on WEI YI(average 4) <penguincw>(4)!

Jan-26-17		lostemperor: Dow Jones Industrial Average on 20K+. Wesley So leading with one point (but 5 followers on striking distance). #MAGA!? :) <scout118> leading in three rankers with one rest day and three rounds to go!

Jan-28-17		lostemperor: <♔♕♖TATA STEEL CHESS <ROUND 11 UPDATE <Round 11 Wojtaszek, R. - Aronian, L. ½-½ Andreikin, D. - So, W. ½-½ Wei, Y. - Karjakin, S. 1-0 Nepomniachtchi, I. - Eljanov, P. ½-½ Carlsen, M. - Adhiban, B. ½-½ Giri, A. - Harikrishna, P. ½-½ Rapport, R. - Van Wely, L. ½-½ <Standings: 1. So 2. Wei Yi 3. Eljanov 3. Carlsen 3. Aronian 6. Karjakin 6. Adhiban 8. Harikrishna 8. Giri 10. Wojtazcek 10. Andreikin 10. Nepomniatchi 13. Rapport 14. VanWely>>>>

Jan-28-17		lostemperor: ABSOLUTE RANKER 11 Score evaluation method: Absolute value of rank deviation Maximum score: 98 Score,UserID 65,scout118 61,Golden Executive 59,Keyser Soze ~~~~ 58,Penguincw 57,moronovich 57,offramp 57,SwitchingQuylthulg 56,Aurora 55,Robin01 55,wordfunph 55,wtwz 53,RATINGS 52,paavoh 52,whiteshark 52,WinKing 51,chessmoron 51,OhioChessFan 50,YouRang 49,WannaBe 47,cromat 46,alfamikewhiskey 45,lostemperor 41,tuttifrutty

Jan-28-17		lostemperor: SQUARE RANKER 11 Score evaluation method: Least Squares of rank deviation Maximum score: 910 Score,UserID 768,scout118 746,Penguincw 741,Golden Executive ~~~~ 722,Keyser Soze 710,offramp 710,SwitchingQuylthulg 703,Aurora 701,wordfunph 693,Robin01 690,chessmoron 687,whiteshark 683,moronovich 681,OhioChessFan 677,paavoh 677,RATINGS 676,WannaBe 667,YouRang 663,WinKing 663,wtwz 623,alfamikewhiskey 617,cromat 585,lostemperor 539,tuttifrutty

Jan-28-17		lostemperor: PAIR BETTING RANKER 11 Earnings,UserID $66.77,Penguincw $57.95,scout118 $7.53,chessmoron ~~~~ $6.14,Keyser Soze $5.91,Golden Executive $4.18,SwitchingQuylthulg $3.19,wtwz $0.96,WannaBe $-0.65,moronovich $-4.89,offramp $-5.28,OhioChessFan $-6.10,tuttifrutty $-8.70,YouRang $-8.89,Aurora $-10.90,whiteshark $-11.77,Robin01 $-12.57,wordfunph $-13.06,paavoh $-14.36,alfamikewhiskey $-14.43,WinKing $-16.13,cromat $-24.90,lostemperor

Jan-28-17		lostemperor: Large Payoff Pair results: Payoff,Pair result,Winners $22.00,Adhiban-above-Wojtazcek, chessmoron $22.00,Aronian-equal-Carlsen, scout118 $22.00,Eljanov-above-Nepomniatchi, scout118 $22.00,Wei Yi-above-Carlsen, tuttifrutty $22.00,Wei Yi-above-Giri, Penguincw $22.00,Wei Yi-above-Harikrishna, Penguincw

Jan-28-17		lostemperor: <scout118> still leading the absolute and square ranker while <Penguincw> is on top again in the pair bettings with two rounds to go!

Jan-28-17		lostemperor: <TATA STEEL <ROUND 12. <Round 12 - Saturday the 28th Aronian, L. - Van Wely, L. 1-0 Harikrishna, P. - Rapport, R. ½-½ Adhiban, B. - Giri, A. ½-½ Eljanov, P. - Carlsen, M. 0-1 Karjakin, S. - Nepomniachtchi, I. ½-½ So, W. - Wei, Y. ½-½ Wojtaszek, R. - Andreikin, D. ½-½ <1 So, Wesley 8 2 Carlsen, Magnus 7.5 Aronian, Levon 7.5 Wei, Yi 7.5 5 Adhiban, B. 6.5 Karjakin, Sergey 6.5 Eljanov, Pavel 6.5 8 Harikrishna, P. 6 Giri, Anish 6 10 Andreikin, Dmitry 5 Nepomniachtchi, Ian 5 Wojtaszek, Radoslaw 5 13 Rapport, Richard 4.5 14 Van Wely, Loek 2.5>>>>

Jan-28-17		lostemperor: Carlsen beat Eljanov. So first place is still in play like second places, fifth, eight and tenth places etc. for an exciting finish. Final Update after the Final round!

Jan-29-17		WannaBe: Well, tournament's over, hearty congratulations to all the prediction winners and big, big, big, thanks to <lostemperor> for his valuable time and tireless energies. Again. =))

Jump to page # (enter # from 1 to 285)
search thread:
< Earlier Kibitzing · PAGE 218 OF 285 · Later Kibitzing>

NOTE: Create an account today to post replies and access other powerful features which are available only to registered users. Becoming a member is free, anonymous, and takes less than 1 minute! If you already have a username, then simply login login under your username now to join the discussion.

Please observe our posting guidelines:

No obscene, racist, sexist, or profane language.
No spamming, advertising, duplicate, or gibberish posts.
No vitriolic or systematic personal attacks against other members.
Nothing in violation of United States law.
No cyberstalking or malicious posting of negative or private information (doxing/doxxing) of members.
No trolling.
The use of "sock puppet" accounts to circumvent disciplinary action taken by moderators, create a false impression of consensus or support, or stage conversations, is prohibited.
Do not degrade Chessgames or any of it's staff/volunteers.

Please try to maintain a semblance of civility at all times.

See something that violates our rules? Blow the whistle and inform a moderator.

NOTE: Please keep all discussion on-topic. This forum is for this specific user only. To discuss chess or this site in general, visit the Kibitzer's Café.

Messages posted by Chessgames members do not necessarily represent the views of Chessgames.com, its employees, or sponsors.
All moderator actions taken are ultimately at the sole discretion of the administration.

You are not logged in to chessgames.com.
If you need an account, register now;
it's quick, anonymous, and free!
If you already have an account, click here to sign-in.