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lostemperor
Member since Feb-18-03 · Last seen Feb-02-25
♔♕♖
<FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS' CONTEST FORUM>

Predict the final standings of Tata Steel tournament January 12

Format example to post your predictions

1.Caruana
1. Erigaisi
3. Gukesh
4. Abdusattorov
5. Wei Yi
5. Harikrishna
5. Praggnanandhaa
8. Giri
9. Keymer
10. Fedoseev
11.Van Foreest
12. Sarina
12. Warmerdam
12. Mendonca

Good Luck!


♙♙

♙♙♙

♙♙


Some years ago I came up with a new but simple system to calculate the final standings of a tournament including all players. This is how it goes:

For each correct standing you'll get a maximum amount of points. Each prediction deviation from the actual player standing in the tournament, will deduct one point from your total (ABSOLUTE RANKER).

In case of a shared player's standing the average standing counts (both actual and in your predictions).

The SQUARE RANKER, squares your predictions' deviations. Here only medals are awarded if the winner s is not the same person s as in the absolute ranker.

Same goes for the The PAIR BETTING RANKER compare all possible pair outcomes of the tournament participants.

The three best predictions will get Real Virtual Gold Silver and Bronze!

Note: only one set of medals is awarded (in the absolute ranker) unless another ranker produces a different winner.

Special thanks to <YouRang> who made a software to calculate these numbers.

Our new contest manager for game results prediction User: Golden Executive during the tournament also ([1-0], [1/2], [0-1])!

or predict the # of moves in User: ohiochessfan organized by <chessmoron>

Enjoy!


♙♙

♙♙♙

♙♙


<HALL <OF> FAME>

WannaBe 10♔ 5♕ 4♖

~~~~
♔♔♔♔♔ ♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♖♖♖♖SwitchingQuylthulg

~~~~

♔♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♕♖♖♖YouRang

~~~~~~

♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♖Aurora
♔♔♔♔♕♕♖suenteus po 147
♔♔♔♔♖♖♖Penguincw

~~~~~~

♔♔♔♕♕♕♖♖♖lostemperor
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖♖♖chessmoron
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖rogge
♔♔♔♕♕♖cromat
♔♔♔♕♖Robin01
~~~~

♔♔♕♕♕♕WinKing
♔♔♕♕♕♖percyblakeney
♔♔♕♖♖♖yalie
♔♔♕♖wordfunph
♔♔♕♖Ragh
♔♔♕♖Ezzy
♔♔Golden Executive
♔♔SloVice
♔♔positionalgenius
♔♔amadeus

~~~~

♔♕♕♕♕♖♖OhioChessFan
♔♕♕♖Diademas
♔♕♖nimh
♔♕♖ahmadov
♔♕♖CHESSBOOKIE
♔♕Keysersoze
♔♕Where is my mind
♔♕Appaz
♔♖♖moronovich*
♔♖Golden Executive*
♔♖Montreal1666
♔♖Troewa

~~~~

♔Beholder
♔juan31
♔wtwz
♔Twinlark
♔SoUnwiseTheKnight B4
♔NGambit
♔benjinathan
♔DCP23
♔firebyrd
♔kellmano
♔Stonehenge
♔cu8sfan
♔larrewl
♔babakova
♔djmercury
♔mikejaqua
♔Joshka,
♔SnoopDogg
♔Like a GM

*may be incomplete

♔ Gold
♕ Silver
♖ Bronze


♙♙

♙♙♙

♙♙

>> Click here to see lostemperor's game collections.

Chessgames.com Full Member

   lostemperor has kibitzed 7712 times to chessgames   [more...]
   Feb-02-25 lostemperor chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: <Keyser Soze>,<0ZeR0>,<Penguincw> won gold each! Congratulations!
 
   Apr-20-24 Golden Executive chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: It is fixed! I had an expert looking at it.
 
   Jan-18-24 OhioChessFan chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: Betcha you. Right damn
 
   Jan-11-24 Tata Steel Masters (2024) (replies)
 
lostemperor: ♔♕♖ Announcement ♔♕♖ Join the annual Tata Teel Chess final standings prediction contest at lostemperor chessforum 1. Ding 2. Nepomniachtchi 3. Firouzja 4, Giri 5. Praggnanandhaa 6. Maghsoodloo 7. Vidit 8.Wei 9. Abdusattorov
 
   Feb-26-23 WR Chess Masters (2023) (replies)
 
lostemperor: The predictions' winners on the final standings of WR Chess on my forum <Penquincw>♔, <Golden Executive>♔, <Chesschronicle22>♕, <OhioChessFan>♕, <Messiah>♖
 
   Jan-30-23 Tata Steel Masters (2023) (replies)
 
lostemperor: Winners of the TATA STEEL CHESS 2023 FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTION'S CONTEST at my forum <Firouzjias>♔♔♖, <tuttifrutty>♔♕♖, <lostemperor>♕♕, <Messiah>♖
 
(replies) indicates a reply to the comment.

FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS

Kibitzer's Corner
< Earlier Kibitzing  · PAGE 223 OF 285 ·  Later Kibitzing>
Jun-16-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: PREDICTIONS STANDINGS
ABSOLUTE RANKER

Score,UserID

21,scout118
20,wordfunph
18,JimNorCal
18,offramp
18,Robin01
~~~~
17,FSR
16,chessmoron
15,Aurora
15,cromat
15,Golden Executive
15,The Wanderer
14,Penguincw
14,WinKing
13,paavoh
12,OhioChessFan
11,alfamikewhiskey
11,SwitchingQuylthulg
11,WannaBe
10,whiteshark
9,blade2012
9,john barleycorn
9,lostemperor
8,Keyser Soze
7,moronovich

Jun-16-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: SQUARE RANKER 8

Score,UserID

209,offramp
209,wordfunph
196,scout118
~~~~
189,chessmoron
188,Robin01
183,JimNorCal
176,FSR
161,Golden Executive
160,cromat
158,WinKing
156,Penguincw
152,Aurora
147,OhioChessFan
140,lostemperor
137,The Wanderer
136,paavoh
132,alfamikewhiskey
131,blade2012
121,john barleycorn
121,SwitchingQuylthulg
115,WannaBe
111,whiteshark
99,moronovich
76,Keyser Soze

Jun-16-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: PAIR BETTING RANKER 8

Earnings,UserID

$38.49,JimNorCal
$33.05,Robin01
$32.70,chessmoron
~~~~
$29.18,wordfunph
$16.43,scout118
$10.23,FSR
$9.65,alfamikewhiskey
$8.90,offramp
$7.06,WannaBe
$-0.02,john barleycorn
$-2.67,The Wanderer
$-4.79,Penguincw
$-5.33,lostemperor
$-7.67,SwitchingQuylthulg
$-7.75,Aurora
$-7.84,cromat
$-11.57,WinKing
$-14.19,OhioChessFan
$-16.37,paavoh
$-17.55,blade2012
$-19.01,moronovich
$-22.19,Golden Executive
$-22.62,whiteshark
$-26.13,Keyser Soze

Jun-16-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Large Payoff Pair results:
Payoff,Pair result,Winners
$24.00,Anand-equal-Vachier, scout118

$24.00,Aronian-above-Carlsen, JimNorCal

$24.00,Carlsen-equal-Caruana, chessmoron

$24.00,Kraqmnik-above-Carlsen, WannaBe

$24.00,Nakamura-above-Carlsen, Robin01

Jun-16-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Four unique leaders in the different predictions' rankers, with most of the the pack very close together in Norway going into the final round!
Jun-16-17  paavoh: Thanks <lostemperor>, you are doing a big service by hosting this contest, As long as you have the data, take your time.

Best wishes,
paavoh

Jun-16-17  JimNorCal: My first participation, fun!
Thanks, LostEmperor.

I accurately predicted Aronian! My other 9 were pretty much all wrong :)

Jun-17-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <NORWAY 2017 FINAL UPDATE

<Aronian wins the tournament, good old Kramnik, with another win and Nakamura despite a last round loss, second!!

<Kramnik - Giri 1-0
Karjakin - Vachier-Lagrave 1/2
Caruana - Nakamura 1-0
So - Aronian 1/2
Anand - Carlsen 1/2

<standings:
1. Aronian
2. Nakamura
2. Kramnik
4. Caruana
4. So
4. Giri
7. Vachier
7. Anand
7. Carlsen
10. Karjakin>
>
>
>

Jun-17-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: THE PREDICTIONS
ABSOLUTE RANKER FINAL

Score,UserID

♔23,FSR
♔23,scout118
♔23,wordfunph
~~~~
21,offramp
20,JimNorCal
19,Robin01
18,chessmoron
17,Golden Executive
17,paavoh
17,WinKing
16,Aurora
16,cromat
16,Penguincw
15,The Wanderer
15,WannaBe
14,OhioChessFan
12,john barleycorn
12,whiteshark
11,blade2012
11,lostemperor
10,Keyser Soze
9,moronovich
8,alfamikewhiskey
8,SwitchingQuylthulg

Jun-17-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: NORWAY SQUARE RANKER FINAL

Score evaluation method: Least Squares of rank deviation Maximum score: 330

Score,UserID

221,scout118♔
220,wordfunph♕
205,offramp♖
~~~~
204,FSR
190,Robin01
187,Golden Executive
186,chessmoron
183,WinKing
178,JimNorCal
174,cromat
168,OhioChessFan
165,Aurora
159,paavoh
153,WannaBe
151,The Wanderer
146,Penguincw
145,lostemperor
140,whiteshark
138,blade2012
122,john barleycorn
117,alfamikewhiskey
113,SwitchingQuylthulg
109,moronovich
95,Keyser Soze

Jun-17-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: NORWAY PAIR BETTING RANKER FINAL

Earnings,UserID

$45.59,wordfunph♔
$35.67,JimNorCal♕
$35.36,WannaBe♖
~~~~
$32.05,Robin01
$19.33,scout118
$7.77,alfamikewhiskey
$6.12,Golden Executive
$3.90,offramp
$3.70,chessmoron
$-1.17,FSR
$-3.61,john barleycorn
$-5.72,cromat
$-7.37,SwitchingQuylthulg
$-8.92,lostemperor
$-9.27,The Wanderer
$-9.79,Penguincw
$-11.15,Aurora
$-13.48,paavoh
$-13.48,OhioChessFan
$-14.98,WinKing
$-19.73,whiteshark
$-22.67,blade2012
$-23.24,Keyser Soze
$-24.90,moronovich

Jun-17-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Large Payoff Pair results:
Payoff,Pair result,Winners

$24.00,Anand-equal-Vachier, scout118
Jackpot!!

$24.00,Aronian-above-Carlsen, JimNorCal
Jackpot!!

$24.00,Caruana-above-Carlsen, WannaBe
Jackpot!!

$24.00,Caruana-equal-So, Golden Executive
Jackpot!!

$24.00,Giri-equal-So, wordfunph
Jackpot!!

$24.00,Kramnik-above-Carlsen, WannaBe
Jackpot!!

$24.00,Nakamura-above-Carlsen, Robin01
Jackpot!!

Jun-17-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Missed chances
$0.00,Anand-equal-Carlsen, (0 winners)
$0.00,Carlsen-equal-Vachier, (0 winners)
$0.00,Giri-above-Carlsen, (0 winners)
$0.00,Kramnik-above-So, (0 winners)
$0.00,Kramnik-equal-Nakamura, (0 winners)
Jun-17-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Norway 2017 was hard fought and up shaking!

Congratulations to <wordfunph>♔♔♕, <scout118>♔♔, <FSR>♔ for the #1 spots! One Crown is included in the Hall of Fame, soon to be updated!

Fine second <JimNorCal>♕ in the pair bettings with a correct tournament winner prediction ARONIAN and Jackpot Aronian ABOVE Carlsen; <WannaBe>♖ scoring a double Jackpot to get the Bronze there in what seems to be the ranker he owns! <offramp> got the Bronze in the square ranker!

Jun-17-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  moronovich: < moronovich: 1. Carlsen 2. Vachier-Lagrave
2. Caruana
4. Karjakin
4. So
4. Aronian
7. Anand
7. Nakamura
9. Kramnik
9. Giri>

As one of my teachers said:"If you can not be anything to others,you can at least be a bad example ;)

A lot of thanks to <lostemperor> for once again hosting and doing a fine job,and congrats to all the winners !

Jun-17-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  offramp: Many many thank, User: lostemperor. And best wishes to the winners and all players.
Jun-17-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  offramp: I meant THANKS.
Jun-17-17  scout118: Didn't expect to win, much less 2 ♔♔! Thanks for the game and all the work,<lostemperor>.
Jun-17-17  whiteshark: Thanks to <lostemperor> for managing yet annother successful final standings contest, and congratulations to all the winners!
Jun-17-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: Thanks <lostemperor> hosting another great contest, congrats to all the winners, and hope to see you next time.

Which I guess would be Dortmund, Biel or Sinquefield.

Jun-17-17  WinKing: Thanks <lostemperor> for running & hosting another very exciting contest! The standings were in doubt all the way till the final round.

Congratulations to all of the medal winners! Kudos to <scout118> (2 Golds) & <wordfunph> (2 Golds, 1 Silver). <wordfunph> almost another 'Triple Crown' way to go bro. <scout118> is now a member of the 'Daily Double' club(at least one gold in 2 of the 3 prediction contests). Did I forget someone...oh yeah <FSR>. Welcome to the Hall of Fame my man! You always remember your first Gold! Been a long time coming. :)

Hope to see you all at the next event!

Jun-17-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: Thanks Yoda
Jun-17-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  FSR: Thanks for hosting, and for the congratulations, <lostemperor>! I had no idea that I was in the running for anything! My predictions seemed to me to have done pretty badly (e.g., Carlsen first).

<WinKing> Thanks!

Jun-17-17  wordfunph: <lost emperor> great thanks, see you all next time.

cheers to all winners!

Jun-18-17
Premium Chessgames Member
  WannaBe: Woo woo I bronzed. And first timer <JimNorCal> Silvered in the Betting Ranker. =))

Thanks for hosting and accepting my badly number predictions. <lostemperor>.

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