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lostemperor
Member since Feb-18-03 · Last seen Feb-02-25
♔♕♖
<FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS' CONTEST FORUM>

Predict the final standings of Tata Steel tournament January 12

Format example to post your predictions

1.Caruana
1. Erigaisi
3. Gukesh
4. Abdusattorov
5. Wei Yi
5. Harikrishna
5. Praggnanandhaa
8. Giri
9. Keymer
10. Fedoseev
11.Van Foreest
12. Sarina
12. Warmerdam
12. Mendonca

Good Luck!


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Some years ago I came up with a new but simple system to calculate the final standings of a tournament including all players. This is how it goes:

For each correct standing you'll get a maximum amount of points. Each prediction deviation from the actual player standing in the tournament, will deduct one point from your total (ABSOLUTE RANKER).

In case of a shared player's standing the average standing counts (both actual and in your predictions).

The SQUARE RANKER, squares your predictions' deviations. Here only medals are awarded if the winner s is not the same person s as in the absolute ranker.

Same goes for the The PAIR BETTING RANKER compare all possible pair outcomes of the tournament participants.

The three best predictions will get Real Virtual Gold Silver and Bronze!

Note: only one set of medals is awarded (in the absolute ranker) unless another ranker produces a different winner.

Special thanks to <YouRang> who made a software to calculate these numbers.

Our new contest manager for game results prediction User: Golden Executive during the tournament also ([1-0], [1/2], [0-1])!

or predict the # of moves in User: ohiochessfan organized by <chessmoron>

Enjoy!


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<HALL <OF> FAME>

WannaBe 10♔ 5♕ 4♖

~~~~
♔♔♔♔♔ ♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♖♖♖♖SwitchingQuylthulg

~~~~

♔♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♕♖♖♖YouRang

~~~~~~

♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♖Aurora
♔♔♔♔♕♕♖suenteus po 147
♔♔♔♔♖♖♖Penguincw

~~~~~~

♔♔♔♕♕♕♖♖♖lostemperor
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖♖♖chessmoron
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖rogge
♔♔♔♕♕♖cromat
♔♔♔♕♖Robin01
~~~~

♔♔♕♕♕♕WinKing
♔♔♕♕♕♖percyblakeney
♔♔♕♖♖♖yalie
♔♔♕♖wordfunph
♔♔♕♖Ragh
♔♔♕♖Ezzy
♔♔Golden Executive
♔♔SloVice
♔♔positionalgenius
♔♔amadeus

~~~~

♔♕♕♕♕♖♖OhioChessFan
♔♕♕♖Diademas
♔♕♖nimh
♔♕♖ahmadov
♔♕♖CHESSBOOKIE
♔♕Keysersoze
♔♕Where is my mind
♔♕Appaz
♔♖♖moronovich*
♔♖Golden Executive*
♔♖Montreal1666
♔♖Troewa

~~~~

♔Beholder
♔juan31
♔wtwz
♔Twinlark
♔SoUnwiseTheKnight B4
♔NGambit
♔benjinathan
♔DCP23
♔firebyrd
♔kellmano
♔Stonehenge
♔cu8sfan
♔larrewl
♔babakova
♔djmercury
♔mikejaqua
♔Joshka,
♔SnoopDogg
♔Like a GM

*may be incomplete

♔ Gold
♕ Silver
♖ Bronze


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>> Click here to see lostemperor's game collections.

Chessgames.com Full Member

   lostemperor has kibitzed 7712 times to chessgames   [more...]
   Feb-02-25 lostemperor chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: <Keyser Soze>,<0ZeR0>,<Penguincw> won gold each! Congratulations!
 
   Apr-20-24 Golden Executive chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: It is fixed! I had an expert looking at it.
 
   Jan-18-24 OhioChessFan chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: Betcha you. Right damn
 
   Jan-11-24 Tata Steel Masters (2024) (replies)
 
lostemperor: ♔♕♖ Announcement ♔♕♖ Join the annual Tata Teel Chess final standings prediction contest at lostemperor chessforum 1. Ding 2. Nepomniachtchi 3. Firouzja 4, Giri 5. Praggnanandhaa 6. Maghsoodloo 7. Vidit 8.Wei 9. Abdusattorov
 
   Feb-26-23 WR Chess Masters (2023) (replies)
 
lostemperor: The predictions' winners on the final standings of WR Chess on my forum <Penquincw>♔, <Golden Executive>♔, <Chesschronicle22>♕, <OhioChessFan>♕, <Messiah>♖
 
   Jan-30-23 Tata Steel Masters (2023) (replies)
 
lostemperor: Winners of the TATA STEEL CHESS 2023 FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTION'S CONTEST at my forum <Firouzjias>♔♔♖, <tuttifrutty>♔♕♖, <lostemperor>♕♕, <Messiah>♖
 
(replies) indicates a reply to the comment.

FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS

Kibitzer's Corner
< Earlier Kibitzing  · PAGE 29 OF 285 ·  Later Kibitzing>
Jan-12-07  Ragh: <lostemperor> Below are my predictions for Corus 2007.

1. Anand
2-3. Topalov, Kramnik
4. Aronian
5. Svidler
6. Ponomariov
7. Radjabov
8. Shirov
9. Van Wely
10. Navara
11. Carlsen
12. Karjakin
13. Tiviakov
14. Motylev

Jan-13-07  amadeus: Here my predictions for Corus 2007.

1. Topalov
2. Kramnik
3. Anand
4. Aronian
5. Radjabov
6. Ponomariov
7. Svidler
8. Carlsen
9. Shirov
10. Navara
11. van Wely
12. Karjakin
13. Tiviakov
14. Motylev

Jan-13-07  Bobak Zahmat: Hi <lostemperor>, here are my predictions for group A:

1. Aronian
2. Topalov
3. Anand
4. Radjabov
5. Kramnik
6. Karjakin
7. Svidler
8. Ponomoriov
9. Carlsen
10. Navara
11. van Wely
12. Shirov
13. Tiviakov
14. Motylev

Jan-14-07
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Enjoy the games!
Jan-28-07  positionalgenius: My prediction was actually pretty close to how it finished!
Jan-29-07  positionalgenius: Hi <lostemperor>When are you going to post the results?
Jan-29-07  ahmadov: <positionalgenius: Hi <lostemperor>When are you going to post the results?> Good question. I just visited this forum to find the results...
Jan-29-07
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Okay guys here are the results of the Corus final standings prediction 2007,

Actual final standings: 1.TOP/1.RAD/1.ARO/4.KRA/5.ANA/6.SVI/7.KAR/7.NAV/9.PON/- 10.WEL/10.TIV/10.MOT/13.SHI/13.CAR
Maximum score: 91

The gold medal goes to <positionalgenius>

Silver goes to <Bobak Zahmat>

Bronze for <ahmadov>

CONGRATULATIONS

Full standings
Rank,Score,UserID
1,67,positionalgenius
2,65,Bobak Zahmat
3,59,ahmadov
4t,57,babakova
4t,57,lostemperor
6,56,suenteus po 147
7t,55,ChessBookie (odds)
7t,55,percyblakeney
9t,54,iron maiden
9t,54,TIMER
11t,53,Elo (ratings)
11t,53,Zebra
13t,51,amadeus
13t,51,Xaurus
15,50,yalie
16,49,mikejaqua
17t,48,Ragh
17t,48,VishyFan
19t,47,cu8sfan
19t,47,nintenchess
19t,47,Robin01
22,45,peabody88
23,44,alicefujimori
24,40,YouRang
25t,39,hitman84
25t,39,ianD
27,37,samsal27
28t,35,danielpi
28t,35,Jafar219
30,29,WannaBe

If there is something wrong let me know. A special thanks to <YouRang> who made a software that can calculate these predictions rapidly (usually it would have been a two days work for me)! More details of the predictions will follow. It's been my pleasure holding this prediction contest again and see y'all back in Linares!

Jan-29-07  ahmadov: Great! I have never been so successful in any tournament before, I have not taken part in many though...
Jan-29-07  amadeus: 13rd-14th, very nice. I'm Carlsen-Shirov material.

Thanks, <lostemperor>.

Jan-29-07  ahmadov: Congratulations to <positionalgenius>! He praised my predictions at the start of the tournament but it was him who won it. Well done!
Jan-29-07  YouRang: LOL! <babakova> really did finish 4th in everything!

I did a lousy job of predicting the final standings, but at least I finished ahead of <WannaBe>. ;-)

Thanks <lostemperor>!

Jan-29-07
Premium Chessgames Member
  WannaBe: If I turn my monitor upside-down, I came in 'first'!!
Jan-29-07  positionalgenius: Gold!!!!!!!! :D
Jan-29-07  positionalgenius: <ahmadov>thanks.You took the bronze!
Jan-31-07
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <WannaBe: If I turn my monitor upside-down, I came in 'first'!!>

LOL

Jan-31-07
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Predictions' statistics.

Deviations per player:
Deviation,Player
142,Radjabov
138,Shirov
127,Navara
126,Carlsen
119,Aronian
102,Anand
93,Motylev
79,Ponomariov
79,Tiviakov
72,Karjakin
55,van Wely
49,Topalov
46,Svidler
37,Kramnik

Jan-31-07
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Average Ranking
2007 Corus Chess Tournament

AvgRank,Player,HighestRnk,LowestRnk
1.67,Anand,1,6
2.63,Topalov,1,11
3.10,Kramnik,1,6
4.97,Aronian,1,10
5.07,Svidler,1,8
5.73,Radjabov,1,10
6.57,Ponomariov,2,10
8.40,Shirov,3,12
8.73,Karjakin,4,14
8.87,Carlsen,5,14
10.50,van Wely,4,14
11.23,Navara,7,14
12.23,Tiviakov,5,14
13.03,Motylev,9,14

Feb-01-07  positionalgenius: <lost emperor>Don't I make it to the hall of fame in your profile?
Feb-02-07
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Championship points for the 2007 standings (derived from the system given by user <firebyrd> to the top 50%)

8,positionalgenius
7,Bobak Zahmat
5,ahmadov
4,babakova
4,lostemperor
4,suenteus po 147
(3,ChessBookie game odds)
3,percyblakeney
3,iron maiden
3,TIMER
(2,Elo ratings)
2,Zebra
2,amadeus
2,Xaurus
1,yalie
1,mikejaqua

Feb-02-07
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: The Linares bettings are opened. Tournament starts February 17

Participants:
1. Veselin Topalov
2. Viswanatan Anand
3. Peter Svidler
4. Alexander Morozevich
5. Peter Leko
6. Levon Aronian
7. Teimour Radjabov
8. Magnus Carlsen

GL

Feb-02-07  positionalgenius: <lostemperor>Ok I'll lead off. 1.Leko
2.Topalov
3.Aronian
4.Anand
5.Morozevich
6.Radjabov
7.Svidler
8.Carlsen
Feb-02-07  YouRang: If I were smart, I'd just copy <positionalgenius>. But no...

1. Aronian
2. Radjabov
2. Morozevich
2. Anand
5. Topalov
5. Leko
7. Svidler
8. Carlsen

Feb-02-07  chessmoron: 1. Aronian
2. Topalov
3. Radjabov
4. Leko
5. Svidler
5. Anand
7. Morozevich
8. Carlsen
Feb-03-07  iron maiden: My guess:

1. Topalov
2. Anand
3. Aronian
4. Radjabov
5. Leko
6. Svidler
7. Morozevich
8. Carlsen

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