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lostemperor
Member since Feb-18-03 · Last seen Feb-02-25
♔♕♖
<FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS' CONTEST FORUM>

Predict the final standings of Tata Steel tournament January 12

Format example to post your predictions

1.Caruana
1. Erigaisi
3. Gukesh
4. Abdusattorov
5. Wei Yi
5. Harikrishna
5. Praggnanandhaa
8. Giri
9. Keymer
10. Fedoseev
11.Van Foreest
12. Sarina
12. Warmerdam
12. Mendonca

Good Luck!


♙♙

♙♙♙

♙♙


Some years ago I came up with a new but simple system to calculate the final standings of a tournament including all players. This is how it goes:

For each correct standing you'll get a maximum amount of points. Each prediction deviation from the actual player standing in the tournament, will deduct one point from your total (ABSOLUTE RANKER).

In case of a shared player's standing the average standing counts (both actual and in your predictions).

The SQUARE RANKER, squares your predictions' deviations. Here only medals are awarded if the winner s is not the same person s as in the absolute ranker.

Same goes for the The PAIR BETTING RANKER compare all possible pair outcomes of the tournament participants.

The three best predictions will get Real Virtual Gold Silver and Bronze!

Note: only one set of medals is awarded (in the absolute ranker) unless another ranker produces a different winner.

Special thanks to <YouRang> who made a software to calculate these numbers.

Our new contest manager for game results prediction User: Golden Executive during the tournament also ([1-0], [1/2], [0-1])!

or predict the # of moves in User: ohiochessfan organized by <chessmoron>

Enjoy!


♙♙

♙♙♙

♙♙


<HALL <OF> FAME>

WannaBe 10♔ 5♕ 4♖

~~~~
♔♔♔♔♔ ♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♖♖♖♖SwitchingQuylthulg

~~~~

♔♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♕♖♖♖YouRang

~~~~~~

♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♖Aurora
♔♔♔♔♕♕♖suenteus po 147
♔♔♔♔♖♖♖Penguincw

~~~~~~

♔♔♔♕♕♕♖♖♖lostemperor
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖♖♖chessmoron
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖rogge
♔♔♔♕♕♖cromat
♔♔♔♕♖Robin01
~~~~

♔♔♕♕♕♕WinKing
♔♔♕♕♕♖percyblakeney
♔♔♕♖♖♖yalie
♔♔♕♖wordfunph
♔♔♕♖Ragh
♔♔♕♖Ezzy
♔♔Golden Executive
♔♔SloVice
♔♔positionalgenius
♔♔amadeus

~~~~

♔♕♕♕♕♖♖OhioChessFan
♔♕♕♖Diademas
♔♕♖nimh
♔♕♖ahmadov
♔♕♖CHESSBOOKIE
♔♕Keysersoze
♔♕Where is my mind
♔♕Appaz
♔♖♖moronovich*
♔♖Golden Executive*
♔♖Montreal1666
♔♖Troewa

~~~~

♔Beholder
♔juan31
♔wtwz
♔Twinlark
♔SoUnwiseTheKnight B4
♔NGambit
♔benjinathan
♔DCP23
♔firebyrd
♔kellmano
♔Stonehenge
♔cu8sfan
♔larrewl
♔babakova
♔djmercury
♔mikejaqua
♔Joshka,
♔SnoopDogg
♔Like a GM

*may be incomplete

♔ Gold
♕ Silver
♖ Bronze


♙♙

♙♙♙

♙♙

>> Click here to see lostemperor's game collections.

Chessgames.com Full Member

   lostemperor has kibitzed 7712 times to chessgames   [more...]
   Feb-02-25 lostemperor chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: <Keyser Soze>,<0ZeR0>,<Penguincw> won gold each! Congratulations!
 
   Apr-20-24 Golden Executive chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: It is fixed! I had an expert looking at it.
 
   Jan-18-24 OhioChessFan chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: Betcha you. Right damn
 
   Jan-11-24 Tata Steel Masters (2024) (replies)
 
lostemperor: ♔♕♖ Announcement ♔♕♖ Join the annual Tata Teel Chess final standings prediction contest at lostemperor chessforum 1. Ding 2. Nepomniachtchi 3. Firouzja 4, Giri 5. Praggnanandhaa 6. Maghsoodloo 7. Vidit 8.Wei 9. Abdusattorov
 
   Feb-26-23 WR Chess Masters (2023) (replies)
 
lostemperor: The predictions' winners on the final standings of WR Chess on my forum <Penquincw>♔, <Golden Executive>♔, <Chesschronicle22>♕, <OhioChessFan>♕, <Messiah>♖
 
   Jan-30-23 Tata Steel Masters (2023) (replies)
 
lostemperor: Winners of the TATA STEEL CHESS 2023 FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTION'S CONTEST at my forum <Firouzjias>♔♔♖, <tuttifrutty>♔♕♖, <lostemperor>♕♕, <Messiah>♖
 
(replies) indicates a reply to the comment.

FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS

Kibitzer's Corner
< Earlier Kibitzing  · PAGE 37 OF 285 ·  Later Kibitzing>
Jun-18-07
Premium Chessgames Member
  WannaBe: Might as well post my guesses for Dortmund...

Anand
Kramnik
Mamedarov
Leko
Alexeev
Gelfand
Carlsen
Naiditsch

Jun-18-07  YouRang: Dortmund is approaching: It will finish as follows:

1. Anand
2. Carlsen
3. Kramnik
4. Gelfand
5. Mamedarov
6. Leko
7. Naiditsch
8. Alexeev

Jun-18-07
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Anybody has the official site for the Dortmund tournament? I only foiund something at http://www.kramnik.com/. Dortmund being five days away!
Jun-18-07  iron maiden: My guess for Dortmund is:

1. Anand +2
2. Kramnik +2
3. Leko +1
4. Carlsen 0
5. Gelfand 0
6. Mamedyarov -1
7. Naiditsch -1
8. Alekseev -3

Jun-18-07  Ragh: <lost emporer> Here's my Dortmund predictions for your contest:

1. Anand
2. Kramnik
3. Mamedyarov
4. Gelfand
5. Leko
6. Carlsen
7. Naiditsch
8. Alexeev

Jun-18-07  YouRang: <lostemperor: Anybody has the official site for the Dortmund tournament? I only foiund something at http://www.kramnik.com/. Dortmund being five days away!>

I believe: http://www.sparkassen-chess-meeting... (German)

Jun-19-07
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Thanks (Danke schön)!
Jun-20-07
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Due to my trip to England/Scotland I'm very late with the update for the new rankings of the prediction contest (top 50% in one or more tournaments/matches). Sorry about that!

2007 rankings:

♔ Gold
♕ Silver
♖ Bronze

11,positionalgenius♔
11,suenteus po 147♔

9,YouRang♔♔
9,yalie♔

7,percyblakeney♔
7,Bobak Zahmat♕
7,ahmadov ♕
7,lostemperor♖
6,cu8sfan♔
6,DCP23♔
6,firebyrd♔
5,ARubinstein♕
5,iron maiden
4,babakova
4,ELO
4,TIMER
3,larrewl♔
3,kellmano♔
3,TheAlchemist♖
3,WannaBe♖
3,CHESSBOOKIE
3,mikejaqua
3,cromat
2,amadeus
2,kolobok
2,Montreal1666
2,Xaurus
2,yalie
2,Zebra
1,acirce
1,Elixir of Life
1,iWaNnAbAgm
1,Marvol
1,NakoSonorense
1,Where is my mind

Jun-20-07
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <suenteus po 147>, who of the latest winners was also correct on the Kramnik vs Topalov match result, moving to top spot with <positionalgenius>. <YouRang> and <yalie> on medal spots (Bronze) as for now!
Jun-20-07
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: I'm thinking of adopting the original counting system given by user <firebyrd> for the annual ranking for next year (any thoughts welcome).

Single winner 6 points
winner(s) 5 points
top 10% 4 points
top 20% 3 points
top 30% 2 points
top 50% 1 point

Jun-20-07  Jafar219: My predictions for Dortmund.

1. Mamedyarov
2. Kramnik
3. Anand
4. Gelfand
5. Leko
6. Alexeev
7. Naiditsch
8. Carlsen

Jun-21-07
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: There are some rumours of Kramnik not playing in Dortmund because of illness but if he is playing these are my picks:

1. Anand
2. Kramnik
3. Leko
4. Gelfand
5. Mamedyarov
6. Carlsen
7. Naiditsch
8. Alexeev

Jun-22-07  cromat: My predictions for Dortmund:
1. Anand
2-3. Mamedyarov, Kramnik
4-5. Gelfand, Leko
6. Carlsen
7. Naiditsch, Alexeev
Jun-22-07  suenteus po 147: <lostemperor> My prediction for the final standings at Dortmund 2007:

1-2 Kramnik, Anand
3-5 Leko, Gelfand, Carlsen
6. Mamedyarov
7-8 Naiditsch, Alekseev

Jun-22-07  kolobok: My predictions for Dortmund.

1. Anand
2. Leko
3. Kramnik
4. Gelfand
5. Carlsen
6. Mamedyarov
7. Naiditsch
8. Alexeev

Jun-22-07  chessmoron: 1. Anand
2. Kramnik
3. Leko
4. Gelfand
5. Mamedyarov
6. Carlsen
7. Alexeev
8. Naiditsch
Jun-23-07
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Final outcome according to ELO (the ratings):

1.Anand IND 2786
2.Kramnik RUS 2772
3.Mamedyarov AZE 2757
4.Leko HUN 2738
4.Gelfand ISR 2733
6.Carlsen NOR 2693
7.Alexeev RUS 2679
8.Naiditsch GER 2654

Jun-28-07
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: I want to post the results after 4 rounds for the prediction contest but somehow the Contest Manager software is not working as it used to do (it give the Dortmund participants in the output reports in alphabetical order). I'm looking into it.
Jul-01-07
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: The CONMAN calculator made by YouRang is up and working again. I found the mistake. It goes without saying that it was a human input error of mine. I will give the results of the prediction contest as soon as tomorrow morning (also awaiting the Leko - Mamedyarov game which is still busy)!
Jul-02-07
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Here the results of the final standings prediction contest of Dortmund 2007!

It was a small but select group. I'm not exaggerating if I say an elite group in which almost all participants has won many prizes in one prediction game or another! That doesn't mean that I doesn't hope more people would join the prediction contest next time.

Final Dortmund 2007 standings:
1.Kramnik
2.Alexeev
2.Leko
2.Anand
5.Mamedyadov
6.Carlsen
7.Gelfand
8.Naiditsch

Score eveluation: Absolute value
Maximum score: 64

Score,UserID
♔53,chessmoron (5)
♔53,WannaBe (5)
♖51,lostemperor (3)

50,ELO (2)
50,mikejaqua (2)
49,iron maiden (1)
49,kolobok (1)
48,cromat
48,suenteus po 147
47,Ragh
45,Jafar219
45,yalie
43,YouRang

(Between brackets the championship points for the annual 2007 standings)

Congratulations for a new and an old winner <chessmoron> and <WannaBe>! Surprising nevertheless ;-). Their predictions can be checked earlier this page. I myself won bronze!

Deviations per player:
Deviation,Player
68,Alexeev
35,Gelfand
22,Leko
21,Mamedyarov
17,Carlsen
16,Kramnik
13,Anand
9,Naiditsch

Jul-02-07
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Here the results according to the evaluation method: Squares of deviation. Here two smaller mistakes is more favourable than one bigger one.

Maximum score: 240

Score,UserID
219,WannaBe
203,chessmoron
196,ELO (the ratings)
191,iron maiden
191,lostemperor
190,cromat
190,mikejaqua
187,kolobok
186,suenteus po 147
183,Jafar219
179,Ragh
169,yalie
157,YouRang

(Since the winner of the gold is the same person as in the the absolute ranker there will be no medals awarded here.)

Deviations per player:
Deviation,Player
366,Alexeev
101,Gelfand
54,Leko
53,Mamedyarov
51,Carlsen
32,Kramnik
13,Anand
9,Naiditsch

Jul-02-07
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: This leads to the following 2007 standings:

11,positionalgenius♔
11,suenteus po 147♔
10,lostemperor♖♖
9,YouRang♔♔
9,yalie♔
8,WannaBe♔♖
7,percyblakeney♔
7,Bobak Zahmat♕
7,ahmadov♖
6,cu8sfan♔
6,DCP23♔
6,firebird♔
6,ELO
6,iron maiden
5,chessmoron♔
5,Arubinstein♕
5,mikejaqua
4,babakova
4,TIMER
3,larrew♔
3,kellmano♔
3,TheAlchemist♖
3,CHESSBOOKIE♖*
3,cromat
3,kolobok
2,amadeus
2,Montreal1666
2,Xaurus
2,yalie
2,Zebra
1,acirce
1,Elixir of Life
1,iWaNnAbAgm
1,Marvol
1,NakoSonorense
1,Where is my mind.

♔ Gold
♕ Silver
♖ Bronze

<YouRang> leads the 2007 medal ranker with ♔♔. <WannaBe> strenthens his lead for the ""perpetual" Hall of Fame with ♔♔♔♔♖. Let us close him in, in future events!

*CHESSBOOKIE (the odds) in contrast to ELO ( the ratings) has not participated in Linares (withdrawl of Radjabov) and Dortmund (end of spring leg).

Jul-02-07
Premium Chessgames Member
  WannaBe: <lostemperor> Thank you also, for running another great contest!

And congratulations to all the winners! =)

Jul-02-07  YouRang: Congratulations <WannaBe>, <chessmoron> and <lostemperor>, and thanks <lostemperor> for running the contest.

And I'm sure that I'll never forget my own prediction performance in Dortmund 2007! (No matter how hard I try.)

Jul-03-07
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Starting in September is the world championship tournament in Mexico! http://www.chessmexico.com/es/index... Final standings predictions can be submitted the whole summer starting now.

The participants are:

1. Anand 2792
2. Kramnik 2769
3. Morozevich 2758
4. Leko 2751
5 Aronian 2750
6 Svidler 2735
7. Gelfand 2733
8. Grischuk 2726

GL!

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