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lostemperor
Member since Feb-18-03 · Last seen Feb-02-25
♔♕♖
<FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS' CONTEST FORUM>

Predict the final standings of Tata Steel tournament January 12

Format example to post your predictions

1.Caruana
1. Erigaisi
3. Gukesh
4. Abdusattorov
5. Wei Yi
5. Harikrishna
5. Praggnanandhaa
8. Giri
9. Keymer
10. Fedoseev
11.Van Foreest
12. Sarina
12. Warmerdam
12. Mendonca

Good Luck!


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Some years ago I came up with a new but simple system to calculate the final standings of a tournament including all players. This is how it goes:

For each correct standing you'll get a maximum amount of points. Each prediction deviation from the actual player standing in the tournament, will deduct one point from your total (ABSOLUTE RANKER).

In case of a shared player's standing the average standing counts (both actual and in your predictions).

The SQUARE RANKER, squares your predictions' deviations. Here only medals are awarded if the winner s is not the same person s as in the absolute ranker.

Same goes for the The PAIR BETTING RANKER compare all possible pair outcomes of the tournament participants.

The three best predictions will get Real Virtual Gold Silver and Bronze!

Note: only one set of medals is awarded (in the absolute ranker) unless another ranker produces a different winner.

Special thanks to <YouRang> who made a software to calculate these numbers.

Our new contest manager for game results prediction User: Golden Executive during the tournament also ([1-0], [1/2], [0-1])!

or predict the # of moves in User: ohiochessfan organized by <chessmoron>

Enjoy!


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<HALL <OF> FAME>

WannaBe 10♔ 5♕ 4♖

~~~~
♔♔♔♔♔ ♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♖♖♖♖SwitchingQuylthulg

~~~~

♔♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♕♖♖♖YouRang

~~~~~~

♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♖Aurora
♔♔♔♔♕♕♖suenteus po 147
♔♔♔♔♖♖♖Penguincw

~~~~~~

♔♔♔♕♕♕♖♖♖lostemperor
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖♖♖chessmoron
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖rogge
♔♔♔♕♕♖cromat
♔♔♔♕♖Robin01
~~~~

♔♔♕♕♕♕WinKing
♔♔♕♕♕♖percyblakeney
♔♔♕♖♖♖yalie
♔♔♕♖wordfunph
♔♔♕♖Ragh
♔♔♕♖Ezzy
♔♔Golden Executive
♔♔SloVice
♔♔positionalgenius
♔♔amadeus

~~~~

♔♕♕♕♕♖♖OhioChessFan
♔♕♕♖Diademas
♔♕♖nimh
♔♕♖ahmadov
♔♕♖CHESSBOOKIE
♔♕Keysersoze
♔♕Where is my mind
♔♕Appaz
♔♖♖moronovich*
♔♖Golden Executive*
♔♖Montreal1666
♔♖Troewa

~~~~

♔Beholder
♔juan31
♔wtwz
♔Twinlark
♔SoUnwiseTheKnight B4
♔NGambit
♔benjinathan
♔DCP23
♔firebyrd
♔kellmano
♔Stonehenge
♔cu8sfan
♔larrewl
♔babakova
♔djmercury
♔mikejaqua
♔Joshka,
♔SnoopDogg
♔Like a GM

*may be incomplete

♔ Gold
♕ Silver
♖ Bronze


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>> Click here to see lostemperor's game collections.

Chessgames.com Full Member

   lostemperor has kibitzed 7712 times to chessgames   [more...]
   Feb-02-25 lostemperor chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: <Keyser Soze>,<0ZeR0>,<Penguincw> won gold each! Congratulations!
 
   Apr-20-24 Golden Executive chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: It is fixed! I had an expert looking at it.
 
   Jan-18-24 OhioChessFan chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: Betcha you. Right damn
 
   Jan-11-24 Tata Steel Masters (2024) (replies)
 
lostemperor: ♔♕♖ Announcement ♔♕♖ Join the annual Tata Teel Chess final standings prediction contest at lostemperor chessforum 1. Ding 2. Nepomniachtchi 3. Firouzja 4, Giri 5. Praggnanandhaa 6. Maghsoodloo 7. Vidit 8.Wei 9. Abdusattorov
 
   Feb-26-23 WR Chess Masters (2023) (replies)
 
lostemperor: The predictions' winners on the final standings of WR Chess on my forum <Penquincw>♔, <Golden Executive>♔, <Chesschronicle22>♕, <OhioChessFan>♕, <Messiah>♖
 
   Jan-30-23 Tata Steel Masters (2023) (replies)
 
lostemperor: Winners of the TATA STEEL CHESS 2023 FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTION'S CONTEST at my forum <Firouzjias>♔♔♖, <tuttifrutty>♔♕♖, <lostemperor>♕♕, <Messiah>♖
 
(replies) indicates a reply to the comment.

FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS

Kibitzer's Corner
< Earlier Kibitzing  · PAGE 36 OF 285 ·  Later Kibitzing>
May-25-07
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: I just found this: the matches start Sunday. http://www.fide.com/news.asp?id=1223. Place your bets:)
May-25-07  suenteus po 147: <lostemperor> I posted my predictions for the candidates matches back in September. Do they still count or must I repost?
May-25-07
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <suenteus po> that's fine, you don't have to repost it. But it is okay you tell, since I just assume some might want to change their minds!
May-25-07  kolobok: 1. Aronian - Carlsen 4-2
2. Leko - Gurevich 4-2
3. Ponomariov - Rublevsky 3-2
4. Gelfand - Kasimdzhanov 2 1/2-3 1/2
5. Bacrot - Kamsky 2-4
6. Grischuk - Malakhov 3 1/2-2 1/2
7. Polgar - Bareev 3 1/2-2 1/2
8. Shirov - Adams 2-4
May-25-07
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Ok, for simplicity sake, let's agree that anyone who has already made a prediction and wants to change it (or wants out) can do so now. Otherwise your old prediction will count.
May-25-07  YouRang: <lostemperor: Ow, I noticed four names are missing from the list! <kolobok>, <Robin01>, <hitman84> and <Nakosonorense>! >

Oh great - 4 more people to pile on top of me. :-p

May-26-07  Elixir of Life: 1. Aronian - Carlsen 2.5-3.5
2. Leko - Gurevich 4-2
3. Ponomariov - Rublevsky 3.5-2.5
4. Gelfand - Kasimdzhanov 3-3+
5. Bacrot - Kamsky 2-4
6. Grischuk - Malakhov 4-2
7. Polgar - Bareev 4.5-1.5
8. Shirov - Adams 3-3+
May-26-07
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Sorry <YouRang>. It was all Adams to blame. Half a point more and he would have been shared second!:)
May-26-07
Premium Chessgames Member
  TheAlchemist: 1. Aronian - Carlsen 3.5-2.5
2. Leko - Gurevich 3.5-2.5
3. Ponomariov - Rublevsky 3.5-2.5
4. Gelfand - Kasimdzhanov 3-3+
5. Bacrot - Kamsky 2.5-3.5
6. Grischuk - Malakhov 4-2
7. Polgar - Bareev 3.5-2.5
8. Shirov - Adams 2-4
May-26-07  iron maiden: <lostemperor> I looked back on my predictions from a year ago and decided they needed updating. The player in capitals is the player I think will win.

ARONIAN-Carlsen 3-3
LEKO-Gurevich 3.5-2.5
PONOMARIOV-Rublevsky 3.5-2.5
Gelfand-KASIMDZHANOV 3-3
Bacrot-KAMSKY 3-3
GRISCHUK-Malakhov 3-3
POLGAR-Bareev 3-3
Shirov-ADAMS 2.5-3.5

May-26-07  kolobok: 1. Aronian - Carlsen 4-2
2. Leko - Gurevich 4-2
3. Ponomariov - Rublevsky 4-2
4. Gelfand - Kasimdzhanov 2 1/2-3 1/2
5. Bacrot - Kamsky 2-4
6. Grischuk - Malakhov 3 1/2-2 1/2
7. Polgar - Bareev 3 1/2-2 1/2
8. Shirov - Adams 2 1/2-3 1/2
May-27-07  cromat: 1. Aronian - Carlsen 4-2
2. Leko - Gurevich 3.5-2.5
3. Ponomariov - Rublevsky 4-2
4. Gelfand - Kasimdzhanov 3.5-2.5
5. Bacrot - Kamsky 3-3
6. Grischuk - Malakhov 3.5-2.5
7. Polgar - Bareev 3.5-2.5
8. Shirov - Adams 2.5-3.5
May-28-07
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <cromat> you haven't indicated who in Bacrot-Kamsky is going to win?
May-28-07  cromat: ooops, u r rite, is it to late now? btw, yesterday was draw

Bacrot - Kamsky 2.5-3.5

thx :-)

Jun-02-07
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Kamsky finished at +3
Leko finished at +3
Grischuk finished at +2

The remaining matches will either be decided today or in tie-breakers. Aronian - Carlsen at level score as is Gelfand - Kasimdzanov. Rublevsky, Bareev and Adams at +1.

Jun-02-07
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: After six exciting rounds these are the match results: 1. Aronian - Carlsen 3-3
2. Leko - Gurevich 3.5-0.5 (Leko +3)
3. Ponomariov - Rublevsky 2.5-3.5 (+1)
4. Gelfand - Kasimdzhanov 3-3
5. Bacrot - Kamsky 0.5-3.5 (+3)
6. Grischuk - Malakhov 3.5-1.5 (Grischuk +2)
7. Polgar - Bareev 2.5-3.5 (+1)
8. Shirov - Adams 3-3

I will count on + scores (+2, +1 +0, -1 etc.). A 4-2 prediction meaning a +2 result for the first player. If that player scores -1, the difference, three points, will be deducted. Three matches going into tie-breakers! (one bonus point for each correct match winner

Jun-04-07
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Here are the results of the CANDIDATE MATCHES PREDICTIONS 2007 Maximum score is 56 (48+8bonus)

Although the differences are not very big we have five winners in quest for gold! All these five have distinguised themselves from others with at least one fine match prediction away from the general assumption. Congratulations! (predictions, at this moment, can be found from page 14 onwards)

Winners with 44 points:
kellmano
larrewl
percyblakeney
suenteus po 147
YouRang

43 points
mikejaqua
Montreal1666
Positionalgenius

42 points
acirce
Elixir of Life
iWaNnAbAgm
Where is my mind

41 points
iron maiden
TheAlchemist

40 points
chessmoron
kolobok

39 points:
cromat
Dim Weasel
lostemperor

38 points:
TIMER

35 points:
dimradil

I’ve taken some time to check the results, however if you think there are still mistakes or something you don’t understand, please let me know.

Jun-04-07  YouRang: Yes!!! It feels good to be back on top (in good company) after my crash-and-burn in the Mtel final standings contest.

Thanks <lostemperor>.

Jun-05-07
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: THE PREDICTIONS (details):

Correct prediction Aronian vs Carlsen: <acirce>, <iron maiden> <suenteus po 147> 3*-3

Best prediction Ponomariov vs Rublevsky (2.5 - 3.5): <kellmano> 2-4; <Monteal1666> 3-3*

Correct prediction Polgar vs Bareev: <larrewl>, <percyblakeney>, <positionalgenius> 2.5 3.5

Best prediction on Shirov Adams (3*-3): <YouRang> 3.5 2.5; <chessmoron> 4-2

*winning on tie-break

Nevertheless the differences in scores were relatively small.

Jun-05-07  suenteus po 147: <lostemperor> I find it ironic that two big Carlsen fans (and one Carlsen fan in the making) correctly predicted his elimination in the tiebreaks after drawing the match proper.
Jun-05-07  chessmoron: Damn!!! I suck at this prediction even though I was one of the best predictor for a certain series.
Jun-05-07  Dr.Lecter: Bad at prediction, I am. Not even going to try, I am. Have a question, I do, however. Have a prediction contest, didn't <Yourang>, as well?
Jun-17-07  yalie: Dortmund predictions

Anand +2
Mamedarov, Carlsen, Leko +1
Gelfand, Kramnik 0
Alexeev -2
Naiditsch -3

Jun-18-07
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Whoops, I just got back from a two week trip in England and Scotland and only now just see the qualifiers of the second round matches! Gelfand beating Kamsky perhaps being the biggest upset?
Jun-18-07
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <Dr.Lecter>, <YouRang> run a games results prediction contest as opposite to a final tournament standings prediction contest I run. This was started by the chessgames.com kibitzers when they started making predictions of Corus 2005. I only provided a service by making a calculating counting system for the predictions. This is the first match prediction contest (together with the Topalov vs Kramnik match predictions). I'm afraid I do better in <YouRang> prediction contests than in mine(!)
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