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< Earlier Kibitzing · PAGE 40 OF 285 ·
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Aug-03-07
 | | lostemperor: Square ranker: Least Squares of rank deviation
Maximum score: 385
Score,UserID
318,WannaBe
318,yalie
316,cromat
307,TIMER
297,YouRang
296,chessmoron
288,THE WORLD
285,mikejaqua
283,DEEP ELO
282,lostemperor
272,percyblakeney
252,kolobok
245,SwitchingQuylthulg
216,DCP23
Deviations per player:
Deviation,Player
591,Pelletier
563,Onischuk
68,Carlsen
66,Motylev
54,Bu Xianghzi
53,Radjabov
45,Avrukh
43,Wely van
16,Grischuk
15,Polgar |
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Aug-03-07
| | lostemperor: New ♗-♘-♙ Awards for the best surprise prediction on Biel players: ♗
1. <chessmoron> Best prediction on Pelletier (3-6). Prediction 7 ♘
2. <lostemperor> best prediction on Onischuk (1-2). Prediction 4-5 ♙
3. <DCP23>, <WannaBe> best prediction on Radjabov (3-6). Prediction 3, 2-4 (average 3) Other best predictions on Biel players
4. <YouRang> Correct prediction on Carlsen (1-2). Prediction 1-2! 5. <DCP23>, <mikejaqua> Best prediction on Van Wely (7-10, average 8.5). Prediction 8 6. <kolobok> <lostemperor> Best prediction on Bu Xiangzhi (7-10, average 8.5). Prediction 8 7. <WannaBe>, <SwitchingQuylthulg> Correct prediction on Avrukh (7-10, average 8.5). Prediction respectively 7-10, average 8.5!, 8-9 average 8.5 8. <WannaBe> Correct prediction on Motylev (7-10, average 8.5). Prediction 7-10, average 8.5! 9. <yalie> Best prediction on Grischuk (3-6 average 4.5) Prediction 4 10. <DCP23> Correct prediction on Polgar (3-6, average 4.5) Prediction 4.5 |
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Aug-03-07
| | lostemperor: Note: for the best prediction on (surprise) Biel players, I took the average prediction standing since for instance if you put Carlsen on 1-3, you said that Carlsen would be equally 1st, 2nd and 3rd. For the overall predictions however the highest prediction standing counts in case of a shared standing. |
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Aug-03-07
 | | WannaBe: <lostemperor> Thank you for running the prediction contest, will participate for the WC @ Mexico City! =) |
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Aug-03-07
| | lostemperor: Last year I did not count Biel for the annual rankings because I explicitely said I would not do Biel. This year I was looking if there was enough interest for this Biel contest. I think there was a representative amount of participants so I will count it for the annual standings. I would disadvantage players if I don't. Here for the 2007 points:
4,cromat♔
4,WannaBe♔
4,yalie♔
3,YouRang
1,DEEP ELO (ratings)
1,mikejaqua
1,TIMER
<WannaBe>'s fourth tournament (+2005 annual) win! Let's get him!;) 2007 standings at the top:
13,yalie♔♔
12, WannaBe♔♔♖
12,YouRang♔♔
11,suenteus po 147♔
11,positionalgenius♔
10,lostemperor♖♖
7,percyblakeney♔
7,Bobak Zahmat♕
7,ahmadov♖
7, Deep ELO
7,cromat
6,cu8sfan♔
6,DCP23♔
6,firebird♔
6,iron maiden
6,mikejaqua
5,chessmoron♔
5,Arubinstein♕
5,TIMER |
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Aug-03-07
| | lostemperor: <WannaBe> thanks for suggesting a prediction contest for the Biel festival! It was a fun tournament. This doesn't mean you should win it though! |
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| Aug-03-07 | | YouRang: <lostemperor> Thanks for hosting the contest. I see that I finished shy of the medals by just 1 point. I suppose I'm expected to believe that this is just a coincidence after you finished just 1 cent shy of the medals in Betting Ranker, hmmm? ;-) |
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Aug-03-07
| | lostemperor: <YouRang> not only did you finish 1 point shy of the medals, you also came just 1 point shy of winning the funny ♙-award of 3rd biggest surprise since Carlsen, where you had a best/correct prediction, was the fourth biggest deviation behind Radjabov by only one point (26 to 27). Don't for a minute think that this is a coincedence after you did a number on me of keeping me out of a medal in your Betting Ranker by one lousy cent! |
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| Aug-03-07 | | percyblakeney: Well, maybe the Mexico predictions will turn out better: 1. Anand
2. Aronian
3. Kramnik
4. Grischuk
5. Morozevich
6. Leko
7. Svidler
8. Gelfand
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Aug-04-07
| | lostemperor: It seems I have forgotten some results from people who already made it into the hall of fame. ♕percyblakeney SAN LUIS05
♖ Montreal1666 DOR05
♖ cromat DOR06
Here the people who has won medals but not yet gold (in random order). ♕♖ Annie K.
♕
ARubinstein, Bobak Zahmat, Chris00nj, assasinator, Catfriend, Dionyseus, Vishyfan, diction,LancelotduLac, Jafar219, Paulbonuison, mulondabl, zarra, BeAware, overchaka, fgh, squaredance, Neto71, Ray Mayard, Sneaky, tanginamo, tatnho, thebeginner, Yannis, ELO ♖♖
lostemperor
♖
TheAlchemist, ahmadov, iron maiden, THE WORLD, matrix, moonlitknight, shams, 81069, Phoenix I might have to do some small check still.
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Aug-07-07
| | lostemperor: Okay, here the prestigious ♗-♘-♙-Awards rankings for best prediction on surpise players. I look them up them for all 2007 tournaments! ♗-Award for best/correct prediction of 1st surprise player ♘-Award for best/correct prediction of 2nd surprise player ♙-Award for best/correct prediction of 3rd surprise player (between brackets the prediction)
<minor hall of fame> Best/correct prediction on surprise players
♗♘♘♙ <WannaBe>:
ALEXEEV (Dort07) 2-4 (5) , GELFAND (Dort07) 7 (6) , NISIPEANU (Mtel07) 2-5 (average 3.5) (4); RADJABOV 3-6 (3) Biel07 ♗♘♙<yalie>:
SASIKIRAN (Mtel) 2-5 (average 3.5) (3); Nisipeanu 2-5 (average3.5) (3); ADAMS (Mtel07) 6 (6) ♗♘♙<chessmoron>:
PELLETIER (Biel) 3-6 (7), PONOMARIOV- RUBLEVSKY 2.5 -3.5 (3 - 3+); LEKO (Dort) 2-4 (3) ♗♙<YouRang>:
SHIROV – ADAMS 3+ - 3 (3.5 2.5); MOROZEVICH 2-3 (2) Linares07 ♗<Jafar219>: CARLSEN 13-14 (Corus) (14) ♗<suenteus po 147>: CARLSEN (Corus) 13-14 (13) ♗<Elixir of Life>: CARLSEN (Linares) 2-3 (4) |
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Aug-07-07
| | lostemperor: Here the rest of the awards:
♘♙ <DCP23>:TOPALOV 7-8 (7) (Linares); RADJABOV 3-6 (3) Biel07 ♘♙ <lostemperor>:ONISCHUK (Biel07) 1-2 (4-5); LEKO2-4(Dor07)(3) ♘ <ahmadov> RADJABOV 1-3(Corus07)(2) ♘ <babakova> RADJABOV 1-3(Corus07)(2) ♘ <kelmano> PONOMARIOV- RUBLEVSKY 2.5 -3.5 (2-4) ♙♙ <positional genius> NAVARA 7-8 (7) corus07; POLGAR-BAREEV 2.5 3.5 ♙ <iron maiden> LEKO 2-4 (3) (Dort07) ♙ <Hitman> Morozevich 2-3 (3) Linares07 ♙ <larrewl> POLGAR - BAREEV 2.5-3.5 (Candidates) ♙<percyblakeney> POLGAR – BAREEV 2.5-3.5 (Candidates) |
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| Sep-04-07 | | YouRang: Repeating my predictions for WCC in Mexico (I posted this way back in June and I was worried that it might get lost) :-) 1. Aronian
1. Kramnik
3. Anand
3. Leko
5. Morozevich
5. Gelfand
7. Svidler
8. Grischuk
By the way, I presume this is the final standing without regard to tiebreakers, right? |
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| Sep-04-07 | | firebyrd: My brain halves disagree here,one roots for Kramnik, the other for Aronian (both have Anand on 2nd though).
I let the right half decide this time:
1. Aronian
2. Anand
3. Kramnik
4. Morozevich
5. Leko
6. Gelfand
7. Grischuk
8. Svidler
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Sep-05-07
| | lostemperor: <By the way, I presume this is the final standing without regard to tiebreakers, right?> Uhm, right. Though in this particular case I think it is fair to assume, that the one you put first is your favorite for winning the title?! |
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| Sep-06-07 | | acirce: 1. Kramnik
2. Anand
3. Aronian
4. Lékó
5. Svidler
6. Gelfand
7. Grischuk
8. Morozevich |
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| Sep-07-07 | | hitman84: 1. Anand
2. Morozevich
3. Kramnik
4. Lékó
5. Aronian
6. Svidler
7. Gelfand
8. Grischuk
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Sep-07-07
 | | SwitchingQuylthulg: 1. Kramnik
2. Aronian
3. Anand
3. Leko
5. Svidler
6. Gelfand
6. Morozevich
8. Grischuk |
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| Sep-07-07 | | Ragh: <lostemporer> Here's my Mex predictions. 1. Anand
2. Kramnik
3. Aronian
4. Lékó
5. Svidler
6. Morozevich
7. Gelfand
8. Grischuk
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| Sep-10-07 | | erebdraug: 1.Kramnik
2.Aronian
3.Anand
4.Leko
5.Grischuk
6.Svidler
7.Morozevich
8.Gelfand |
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| Sep-10-07 | | Montreal1666: 1. Aronian
2. Kramnik
3. Leko
4. Anand
5. Svidler
6. Gelfand
7. Grischuk
8. Morozevich |
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| Sep-10-07 | | chessmoron: 1.Kramnik
2.Aronian
3.Anand
4.Lékó
5.Morozevich
6.Svidler
7.Gelfand
8.Grischuk |
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| Sep-10-07 | | YouRang: Revised predictions!
1. Aronian
1. Kramnik
3. Anand
4. Gelfand
5. Morozevich
5. Svidler
7. Leko
8. Grischuk
Um, can I switch back to my earlier prediction if this one turns out worse?.. |
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| Sep-10-07 | | iron maiden: My prediction:
1. Kramnik +3
2. Anand +2
3. Svidler +1
4. Aronian  0
5. Leko 0
6. Grischuk -1
7. Morozevich -2
8. Gelfand -3 |
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| Sep-11-07 | | kolobok: 1. Anand
2. Aronian
3. Kramnik
4. Lékó
5. Svidler
6. Grischuk
7. Gelfand
8. Morozevich |
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