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lostemperor
Member since Feb-18-03 · Last seen Feb-02-25
♔♕♖
<FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS' CONTEST FORUM>

Predict the final standings of Tata Steel tournament January 12

Format example to post your predictions

1.Caruana
1. Erigaisi
3. Gukesh
4. Abdusattorov
5. Wei Yi
5. Harikrishna
5. Praggnanandhaa
8. Giri
9. Keymer
10. Fedoseev
11.Van Foreest
12. Sarina
12. Warmerdam
12. Mendonca

Good Luck!


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Some years ago I came up with a new but simple system to calculate the final standings of a tournament including all players. This is how it goes:

For each correct standing you'll get a maximum amount of points. Each prediction deviation from the actual player standing in the tournament, will deduct one point from your total (ABSOLUTE RANKER).

In case of a shared player's standing the average standing counts (both actual and in your predictions).

The SQUARE RANKER, squares your predictions' deviations. Here only medals are awarded if the winner s is not the same person s as in the absolute ranker.

Same goes for the The PAIR BETTING RANKER compare all possible pair outcomes of the tournament participants.

The three best predictions will get Real Virtual Gold Silver and Bronze!

Note: only one set of medals is awarded (in the absolute ranker) unless another ranker produces a different winner.

Special thanks to <YouRang> who made a software to calculate these numbers.

Our new contest manager for game results prediction User: Golden Executive during the tournament also ([1-0], [1/2], [0-1])!

or predict the # of moves in User: ohiochessfan organized by <chessmoron>

Enjoy!


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<HALL <OF> FAME>

WannaBe 10♔ 5♕ 4♖

~~~~
♔♔♔♔♔ ♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♖♖♖♖SwitchingQuylthulg

~~~~

♔♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♕♖♖♖YouRang

~~~~~~

♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♖Aurora
♔♔♔♔♕♕♖suenteus po 147
♔♔♔♔♖♖♖Penguincw

~~~~~~

♔♔♔♕♕♕♖♖♖lostemperor
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖♖♖chessmoron
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖rogge
♔♔♔♕♕♖cromat
♔♔♔♕♖Robin01
~~~~

♔♔♕♕♕♕WinKing
♔♔♕♕♕♖percyblakeney
♔♔♕♖♖♖yalie
♔♔♕♖wordfunph
♔♔♕♖Ragh
♔♔♕♖Ezzy
♔♔Golden Executive
♔♔SloVice
♔♔positionalgenius
♔♔amadeus

~~~~

♔♕♕♕♕♖♖OhioChessFan
♔♕♕♖Diademas
♔♕♖nimh
♔♕♖ahmadov
♔♕♖CHESSBOOKIE
♔♕Keysersoze
♔♕Where is my mind
♔♕Appaz
♔♖♖moronovich*
♔♖Golden Executive*
♔♖Montreal1666
♔♖Troewa

~~~~

♔Beholder
♔juan31
♔wtwz
♔Twinlark
♔SoUnwiseTheKnight B4
♔NGambit
♔benjinathan
♔DCP23
♔firebyrd
♔kellmano
♔Stonehenge
♔cu8sfan
♔larrewl
♔babakova
♔djmercury
♔mikejaqua
♔Joshka,
♔SnoopDogg
♔Like a GM

*may be incomplete

♔ Gold
♕ Silver
♖ Bronze


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♙♙♙

♙♙

>> Click here to see lostemperor's game collections.

Chessgames.com Full Member

   lostemperor has kibitzed 7712 times to chessgames   [more...]
   Feb-02-25 lostemperor chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: <Keyser Soze>,<0ZeR0>,<Penguincw> won gold each! Congratulations!
 
   Apr-20-24 Golden Executive chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: It is fixed! I had an expert looking at it.
 
   Jan-18-24 OhioChessFan chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: Betcha you. Right damn
 
   Jan-11-24 Tata Steel Masters (2024) (replies)
 
lostemperor: ♔♕♖ Announcement ♔♕♖ Join the annual Tata Teel Chess final standings prediction contest at lostemperor chessforum 1. Ding 2. Nepomniachtchi 3. Firouzja 4, Giri 5. Praggnanandhaa 6. Maghsoodloo 7. Vidit 8.Wei 9. Abdusattorov
 
   Feb-26-23 WR Chess Masters (2023) (replies)
 
lostemperor: The predictions' winners on the final standings of WR Chess on my forum <Penquincw>♔, <Golden Executive>♔, <Chesschronicle22>♕, <OhioChessFan>♕, <Messiah>♖
 
   Jan-30-23 Tata Steel Masters (2023) (replies)
 
lostemperor: Winners of the TATA STEEL CHESS 2023 FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTION'S CONTEST at my forum <Firouzjias>♔♔♖, <tuttifrutty>♔♕♖, <lostemperor>♕♕, <Messiah>♖
 
(replies) indicates a reply to the comment.

FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS

Kibitzer's Corner
< Earlier Kibitzing  · PAGE 41 OF 285 ·  Later Kibitzing>
Sep-11-07  yalie: 1. Anand
2= Kramnik Aronian
4= Lékó Svidler
6= Morozevich Gelfand Grischuk

Sep-11-07  kellmano: Easy:

1. Morozevich
1. Anand
3. Kramnik
4. Grischuk
5. Leko
5. Svidler
7. Aronian
8. Gelfand

Sep-11-07  amadeus: Predictions:
1. Kramnik
2. Anand
3. Leko
4. Aronian
5. Svidler
5. Gelfand
7. Grischuk
8. Morozevich
Sep-11-07  whiteshark: Here is my no-ply list:

1. Kramnik
2. Leko
3. Morozevich
4. Anand
5. Aronian
6. Svidler
7. Grischuk
8. Gelfand

Sep-12-07  Ezzy: Good work running the competition <lostemperor>

1 Kramnik
2 Anand
3 Leko
4 Aronian
5 Grischuk
6 Morozovich
7 Svidler
8 Gelfand

Sep-12-07  positionalgenius: All right,here it is.
1.Aronian
2.Kramnik
3.Anand
4.Leko
5.Grischuk
6.Morozevich
7.Svidler
8.Gelfand
Sep-12-07  micartouse: Thanks <lostemperor> for hosting this contest. Mine:

1. Aronian
2. Anand
3. Kramnik
4. Morozevich
5. Leko
6. Gelfand
7. Svidler
8. Grischuk

Sep-13-07  DCP23: I made my entry on July 23 but will repost it in case it was lost ;)

1. Kramnik
2. Svidler
3. Morozevich
4. Leko
5. Anand
6. Aronian
7. Grischuk
8. Gelfand

Sep-13-07  ahmadov: I almost forgot that you were planning to host this contest... Fortunately, I visited your forum accidentally today...
Sep-13-07  ahmadov: I think this is what going to happen at the end of the championship...

1. Anand
2. Kramnik
3. Morozevich
4. Aronian
5. Gelfand
6. Svidler
7. Leko
8. Grischuk

Sep-13-07
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Ok, I'd like to make a few mutations some hours before the WC tournament (last chance for your predictions folks)!

1. Kramnik
2. Anand
3. Leko
4. Grischuk
5. Morozevich
5. Aronian
5. Svidler
8. Gelfand

Although according to Jeff Sonas on San Luis, it is not very likely shared standings will occur.

Sep-14-07  ahmadov: <Although according to Jeff Sonas on San Luis, it is not very likely shared standings will occur.> Mr.Sonas well might be wrong...
Sep-14-07
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <ahmadov> he certainly might be, but he was right in San Luis!

Thank you all and enjoy!

Sep-14-07
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: All draws yesterday, so I probably skip the prediction game standings update after round 1!
Sep-15-07
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Second round: First blood drawn! Anand drew first blood (against Aronian). Kramnik beat Morozevich.

Standings Mexico:

1. Anand
1. Kramnik
3. Svidler
3. Gelfand
3. Leko
3. Grischuk
7. Morozevich
7. Aronian

Prediction game standings update ater 2 rounds (of 13)!

Maximum score: 64

Score,UserID
51,amadeus
51,lostemperor
50,iron maiden
50,WannaBe
49,TIMER
49,yalie
48,acirce
48,Ezzy
46,erebdraug
46,kellmano
46,kolobok
46,Ragh
46,SwitchingQuylthulg
45,mikejaqua
45,Open Defence
45,<THEWORLD> odds
44,DCP23
44,<ELO> ratings
44,Montreal1666
42,ahmadov
42,chessmoron
42,hitman84
42,percyblakeney
42,positionalgenius
42,whiteshark
42,YouRang
38,firebyrd
38,micartouse

Deviations per player:
Deviation,Player
112,Aronian
103,Gelfand
101,Grischuk
67,Svidler
58,Morozevich
34,Leko
32,Anand
22,Kramnik

Sep-17-07
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Round 3: Morozevich - Svidler 1-0
Round 4: Aronian - Leko 1-0

Standings Mexico after round 4:

1. Anand 2.5
1. Kramnik 2.5
3. Grischuk 2
3. Morozevich 2
3. Gelfand 2
3. Aronian 2
7. Svidler 1.5
7. Leko 1.5

Prediction game standings after 4 rounds:
Maximum score: 64

Score,UserID
54,ahmadov
52,percyblakeney
50,ELO
50,YouRang
49,Open Defence
49,THEWORLD
48,Ezzy
48,firebyrd
48,micartouse
47,lostemperor
47,yalie
46,acirce
46,chessmoron
46,erebdraug
46,hitman84
46,kellmano
46,positionalgenius
46,Ragh
45,amadeus
45,mikejaqua
45,TIMER
44,iron maiden
44,kolobok
44,SwitchingQuylthulg
44,WannaBe
44,whiteshark
40,DCP23
40,Montreal1666

Deviations per player:
Deviation,Player
103,Gelfand
101,Grischuk
80,Leko
68,Morozevich
49,Svidler
38,Aronian
32,Anand
22,Kramnik

Let me know if anything is missing or wrong.

Sep-19-07
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Three decisive games yesterday! Anand, Gelfand and Grischuk won.

Standings Mexico WC:

1.Anand 3.5
2.Kramnik 3
2.Gelfand 3
2.Grischuk 3
5.Leko 2
5.Aronian 2
5.Morozevich 2
8.Svidler 1.5

Prediction game standings after 5 rounds:
Maximum score: 64

Score,UserID
50,percyblakeney
49,lostemperor
48,ahmadov
48,Ezzy
48,firebyrd
48,WannaBe
47,Open Defence
47,THEWORLD(odds)
47,TIMER
47,yalie
46,ELO
46,hitman84
46,kellmano
46,micartouse
46,positionalgenius
46,Ragh
45,amadeus
44,acirce
44,chessmoron
44,erebdraug
44,iron maiden
44,kolobok
44,YouRang
43,mikejaqua
42,SwitchingQuylthulg
42,whiteshark
40,Montreal1666
38,DCP23

Deviations per player:
Deviation,Player
129,Gelfand
129,Grischuk
75,Svidler
62,Aronian
40,Morozevich
34,Leko
32,Anand
22,Kramnik

Sep-19-07  ahmadov: Hey, thank you for providing round by round standings... This is what I was planning to suggest to you... I think you did not do so in previous tournaments...
Sep-21-07
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <ahmadov> I did so last tournament also but sometimes I skip a round to keep things exciting:) All made possible by the beautiful Contest manager software of <YouRang>!

Round 6: Gelfand beat Morozevich to take shared lead. Round 7: Anand beat Grischuk to take sole lead

Standings Mexico WC halfway:

1. Anand 5
2. Gelfand 4.5
3. Kramnik 4
4. Grischuk 3.5
5. Leko 3
5. Aronian 3
7. Svidler 2.5
7. Morozevich 2.5

Prediction game standings halfway:

Maximum score: 64

Score,UserID
53,TIMER
52,percyblakeney
50,Ezzy
50,kolobok
49,amadeus
49,lostemperor
49,yalie
48,acirce
48,ahmadov
48,erebdraug
48,firebyrd
48,hitman84
48,iron maiden
48,kellmano
48,micartouse
48,positionalgenius
48,Ragh
48,WannaBe
47,Open Defence
47,THEWORLD
46,ELO
44,chessmoron
44,Montreal1666
44,SwitchingQuylthulg
44,YouRang
43,mikejaqua
42,whiteshark
38,DCP23

Deviations per player:
Deviation,Player
129,Gelfand
73,Grischuk
62,Aronian
58,Morozevich
49,Svidler
36,Kramnik
34,Leko
32,Anand

Next update: restday tomorrow (unless there are all draws)

Sep-21-07
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: The bookie game odds for THEWORLD can be found here Mexico WCC: WINNER

Player, fractionalodds, (decimalodds), pay-out

1. Kramnik 7:4 (2.73) A winning 10 chessbuck ticket pays out 27 chessbucks.

2. Anand 9:4 (3.31) A winning 10 chessbuck ticket pays out 33 chessbucks.

3. Aronian 13:2 (7.50) A winning 10 chessbuck ticket pays out 75 chessbucks.

4. Leko 9:1 (10.08) A winning 10 chessbuck ticket pays out 100 chessbucks

5. Morozevich 16:1 (16.51) A winning 10 chessbuck ticket pays out 165 chessbucks.

6. Svidler 31:1 (32.48) A winning 10 chessbuck ticket pays out 324 chessbucks.

6. Grischuk 32:1 (32.52) A winning 10 chessbuck ticket pays out 325 chessbucks.

8. Gelfand 60:1 (61.42)

Meaning if Gelfand wins the Championship, a winning 10 chessbuck ticket on Gelfand pays out 614 chessbucks!:)

Sep-22-07
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Round 8: Leko - Grischuk 1-0

Standings Mexico WC:

1. Anand 5.5
2. Gelfand 5
3. Kramnik 4.5
4. Leko 4
5. Grischuk 3.5
5. Aronian 3.5
7. Svidler 3
7. Morozevich 3

Standings prediction game after 8 rounds:
Maximum score: 64

Score,UserID
55,TIMER
52,Ezzy
52,kolobok
51,amadeus
51,yalie
50,acirce
50,erebdraug
50,hitman84
50,percyblakeney
50,positionalgenius
50,Ragh
50,WannaBe
49,lostemperor
49,Open Defence
49,THEWORLD
48,ahmadov
48,ELO
48,firebyrd
48,iron maiden
48,micartouse
46,chessmoron
46,kellmano
46,Montreal1666
46,SwitchingQuylthulg
44,whiteshark
44,YouRang
43,mikejaqua
40,DCP23

Deviations per player:
Deviation,Player
135,Gelfand
64,Aronian
60,Morozevich
53,Grischuk
50,Svidler
37,Kramnik
32,Anand
22,Leko

Sep-22-07
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: At halftime, I'm pleasantly impressed with "the oldies" Gelfand and Anand. I'm not disapointed with kramnik's score though I did expect him to have like a half point more. As for Gelfand, I didn't know he has such a super solid, "boring" as a comentator on the official site put it, style or I might have put him higher on my list :-)
Sep-23-07  YouRang: *Ahem*, you may have noticed that I have you ranked <#1> in 123 Ranker in my forum. A little payback might be in order... ;-)
Sep-24-07
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Huh, first in your 123 Ranker?? I don't believe it!!

LOL <YouRang>, I really thought I was still far off the top spots! I totally forgot I predicted Grischuk to beat Gelfand! I was lucky I made that prediction six days ago or I would have predicted a draw (or perhaps a win for Gelfand)!! (and since I forgot it I did not revise it :D)

Sorry mate, I already had the final standings prediction contest results ready before I saw your post. I see what I can do the next time =)

Sep-24-07
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Round 9: Kramnik lost to Morozevich and Gelfand to Grischuk!!

Standings Mexico WC:
1.Anand 6
2.Gelfand 5
3.Leko 4.5
3.Grischuk 4.5
3.Kramnik 4.5
6.Aronian 4
6.Morozevich 4
8.Svidler 3.5

Prediction game standings after 9 rounds:
Maximum score: 64

Score,UserID
50,Ezzy
49,lostemperor
49,TIMER
48,percyblakeney
47,amadeus
47,Open Defence
47,yalie
46,ELO
46,firebyrd
46,hitman84
46,kellmano
46,kolobok
46,positionalgenius
46,Ragh
46,WannaBe
45,THEWORLD
44,acirce
44,ahmadov
44,erebdraug
44,micartouse
44,SwitchingQuylthulg
42,chessmoron
42,iron maiden
42,Montreal1666
42,whiteshark
40,YouRang
39,mikejaqua
38,DCP23

Deviations per player:
Deviation,Player
135,Gelfand
105,Grischuk
89,Aronian
77,Svidler
45,Morozevich
37,Kramnik
35,Leko
32,Anand

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