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< Earlier Kibitzing · PAGE 52 OF 285 ·
Later Kibitzing> |
| Mar-09-08 | | rogge: <lostemperor>, Thanks for hosting the contest, great fun :) I'm honoured to become a member of your Hall of Fame, with so many distinguished kibitzers... Congrats to the winners! |
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| Mar-09-08 | | Ezzy: Thanks again for the prediction contest <lostemperor> and the dedication for running it for such a long time. It adds a lot of fun to these supertournaments and is much appreciated. Cheers!! So I have my second 'hall of fame win' Yeah. I'm thrilled to bits. Makes a change from my aweful Wijk an Zee effort, where I did unforgivable things like placing Aronian 12th of 14 players. Well at least I have learnt from my stupid mistakes. Time for a celebratory drink. Cheers mate, see you around. |
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Mar-10-08
 | | lostemperor: Thank you, all die-hard predictors. Without you there would be no Prediction Game! |
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Mar-10-08
| | lostemperor: For the surprise players rankings. here the total amount of points predictions deviations per player: 74,Carlsen
73,Radjabov
66,Shirov
64,Leko
63,Topalov
62,Aronian
57,Ivanchuk
35,Anand
Many have predicted a high standing for Carlsen. He is predicted a second place on an average 3,64 standing by the prediction game contestants (like in the ChessBookie game)! Behind Anand and slightly ahead of Topalov. Nevertheless, Carlsen, like in Corus, is still the biggest upset (in a positive way). |
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Mar-10-08
| | lostemperor: ♗-Award for best/correct prediction on first surprise player CARLSEN. ♗<bumpmobile>
♗<CHESSBOOKIE>
♗<DCP23>
♗<DrawingisLife>
♗<iron maiden>
♗<percyblakeney>
♗<rogge>
They all predicted Carlsen on a correct 2nd place! |
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Mar-10-08
| | lostemperor: ♘-<Award> for 2nd upset RADJABOV, who finished somewhat lower than his predicted 4.31 on average. ♘<DCP23>
♘<iron maiden>
♘<Ezzy>
♘<whiteshark>(!)
A prize anyway for <whiteshark> :). All have a correct prediction of Radjabov 5th! |
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Mar-10-08
| | lostemperor: ♙-Award for 3nd upset <SHIROV>, who finished somewhat lower than his predicted 6.23 on average. Many had a close prediction on Shirov but one contestant had a correct one: ♙<Comandente>
A shared 7-8 place for Shirov. |
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| Mar-10-08 | | YouRang: What was the overall expectation for Leko? I figured that most people would have expected him to do much better than last place. |
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Mar-11-08
| | lostemperor: <YouRang> yes, yesterday I was wondering about Leko too. And since you ask now.. Below the average players'prediction ranking BEFORE I put my <ALL TIME GREATS>, which raised Carlsen's average standing since he is first there, into the CONMAN software: Rank,AveragePrediction,Player,highest,lowestPred-
iction
1. 1.92,Anand,1,7
2. 3.76,Carlsen,1,8
2. 3.76,Topalov,1,8
4. 3.97,Aronian,1,8
5. 4.24,Radjabov,1,7
6. 5.46,Leko,2,8
7. 5.84,Ivanchuk,1,8
8. 6.22,Shirov,1,8
The average predictor of the prediction game did not have a high expectation from Leko. Even more surprising: I put this order as <AVERAGE> into the program and it was ranked second in the absolute ranker one point behind CHESSBOOKIE and first in the SQUARE RANKER with 135 points, one point ahead of CHESSBOOKIE and the winners, who made fabulous predictions with totally only 6 points deviation. Even squared! Amazing! :) |
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Mar-11-08
| | lostemperor: For the rest on the battle between the pseudo-contestants: <YOUTH> beat <EXPERIENCE> by six points, what is less than the 22 points at Corus. But is this perhaps the last serious battle between these two? <CHESSBOOKIE> beat <ELO> by 16 points(!) and <ELO VIRTUAL> by 9 points <Red October> beat her alter ego <Open Defence> by 4 points. But this is only because Red October is a cheating commie hehehehe. |
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Mar-11-08
| | lostemperor: Counting back: the new extra awards for CORUS 2008:
Second best prediction on first surprise CARLSEN 1-2 (1st place Thegladiatres): ♘<Yourang> 2-4
♘<messachess>3
~~~~
Second best prediction on Corus second upset TOPALOV 9-11 (1st place YouRang): ♙<ahmadov> (8)
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Plus: a deserving extra ♙-Award for CORRECT prediction ARONIAN - CARLSEN match 2007: 3-3 ARONIAN to win the tie-breaker(!) ♙<acirce>
♙<iron maiden>
♙<suenteus po 147> |
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Mar-12-08
| | lostemperor: I'm looking into the annual 2008 prediction standings still. |
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Mar-12-08
| | lostemperor: But the next tournament for the prediction game is already in line. The first of the Grand Prix qualification for the World Chess Championship starting April 21. Participants are: 1. Carlsen
2. Radjabov
3. Mamedyarov
4. Svidler
5. Karjakin
6. Adams
7. Kamsky
8. Grischuk
9. Bacrot
10. Cheparinov
11. Wang Yue
12. Inarkiev
13. Gashimov
14. Navara
Bettings are open! Hope to see you here too. |
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| Mar-12-08 | | sakii: Grand Prix April 21. Predictions:
1. Carlsen
2. Radjabov
2. Mamedyarov
4. Svidler
4. Karjakin
4. Kamsky
7. Adams
7. Grischuk
9. Cheparinov
10. Bacrot
11. Navara
12. Wang Yue
13. Inarkiev
13. Gashimov
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Mar-13-08
| | lostemperor: These are the players in January rating order:
1. Svidler (2763)
1. Mamedyarov (2760)
3. Radjabov (2735)
3. Carlsen (2733)
3. Karjakin (2732)
6. Adams (2726)
6. Kamsky (2726)
8. Cheparinov (2713)
8. Grischuk (2711)
10. Bacrot (2700)
10. Wang Yue (2698)
12. Inarkiev (2681)
12. Navara (2680)
14. Gashimov (2665) |
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Mar-13-08
| | lostemperor: For the 2008 ANNUAL prediction rankings I follow the system of <firebyrd>: Award accumulated points for being:
1- top 50%
2- top 30%
3- top 20%
4- top 10%
5- winners
6- single winner |
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Mar-13-08
| | lostemperor: Points <CORUS>
6,percyblakeney
4,messachess
4,NakoSonorense
4,101,Aurora
3,TheGladiatres
3,ahmadov
3,kellmano
3,lostemperor
2,CHESSBOOKIE
2,Alphastar
2,BETSSON
2,cdm511
2,Touch of Knight
2,whiteshark
1,acirce
1,chessmoron
1,Elixir of Life
1,gmgomes
1,kolobok
1,Ragh
1,stefan1967
1,YouRang
♔
Points <MORELIA-LINARES> 6,CHESSBOOKIE
5,amadeus
5,cromat
5,Ezzy
5,rogge
3,acirce
3,iron maiden
3,kolobok
3,percyblakeney
3,WannaBe
2,ahmadov
2,stefan1967
2,YouRang
1,bumpmobile
1,chessmoron
1,DCP23
1,Dim Weasel
1,just a kid
1,Youjoin
CHESSBOOKIE only participate as an honourary contestant. |
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Mar-13-08
| | lostemperor: <ANNUAL 2008 STANDINGS> (not the medal ranking) Leader board:
9,percyblakeney
8,CHESSBOOKIE
5,ahmadov
5,amadeus
5,cromat
5,Ezzy
5,rogge
4,acirce
4,messachess
4,NakoSonorense
4,Aurora
3,iron maiden
3,kolobok
3,TheGladiatres
3,kellmano
3,lostemperor
3,WannaBe |
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| Mar-15-08 | | percyblakeney: Baku prediction:
1. Radjabov
2. Carlsen
3. Karjakin
4. Grischuk
5. Svidler
6. Mamedyarov
7. Adams
8. Kamsky
9. Wang Yue
10. Cheparinov
11. Bacrot
12. Inarkiev
13. Navara
14. Gashimov |
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| Mar-17-08 | | positionalgenius: Baku:
1.Carlsen
2.Kamsky
3.Grischuk
4.Radjabov
5.Karjakin
6.Adams
7.Svidler
8.Navara
9.Mamedyarov
10.Inarkiev
11.Chepinarov
12.Wang
13.Bacrot
14.Gashimov |
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Mar-28-08
| | lostemperor: Ok here my predictions for WC Grand Prix, Baku:
1. Radjabov
2. Grischuk
3. Carlsen
4. Kamsky
5. Svidler
5. Mamedyarov
7. Karjakin
7. Adams
7. Bacrot
10. Cheparinov
10. Navara
12. Wang Yue
12. Inarkiev
14. Gashimov
Fingers crossed ;) |
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Mar-28-08
| | lostemperor: Ok here my predictions for WC Grand Prix, Baku (not copied :): 1. Radjabov
2. Grischuk
3. Karjakin
4. Carlsen
5. Kamsky
5. Svidler
5. Mamedyarov
8. Adams
8. Bacrot
10. Cheparinov
10. Navara
12. Wang Yue
12. Inarkiev
14. Gashimov
Fingers crossed ;)
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| Apr-02-08 | | TheGladiatres: 1. Carlsen
2-4. Kamsky
2-4. Mamedyarov
2-4. Svidler
5-6. Radjabov
5-6. Karjakin
7. Adams
8-10. Grischuk
8-10. Bacrot
8-10. Cheparinov
11-12. Wang Yue
11-12. Navara
13. Inarkiev
14. Gashimov |
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| Apr-02-08 | | suenteus po 147: 1. Radjabov
2. Kamsky
3. Carlsen
4. Svidler
5. Adams
6. Grischuk
7. Mamedyarov
8. Karjakin
9. Wang Yue
10. Cheparinov
11. Bacrot
12. Inarkiev
13. Navara
14. Gashimov |
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| Apr-02-08 | | NakoSonorense: What happened to the other 10 signs?
The Lasker v. Larkser one is great! |
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