User Profile: lostemperor

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lostemperor
Member since Feb-18-03 · Last seen Feb-02-25

♔♕♖
<FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS' CONTEST FORUM>
Predict the final standings of Tata Steel tournament January 12
Format example to post your predictions
1.Caruana
1. Erigaisi
3. Gukesh
4. Abdusattorov
5. Wei Yi
5. Harikrishna
5. Praggnanandhaa
8. Giri
9. Keymer
10. Fedoseev
11.Van Foreest
12. Sarina
12. Warmerdam
12. Mendonca
Good Luck!
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Some years ago I came up with a new but simple system to calculate the final standings of a tournament including all players. This is how it goes:
For each correct standing you'll get a maximum amount of points. Each prediction deviation from the actual player standing in the tournament, will deduct one point from your total (ABSOLUTE RANKER).
In case of a shared player's standing the average standing counts (both actual and in your predictions).
The SQUARE RANKER, squares your predictions' deviations. Here only medals are awarded if the winner s is not the same person s as in the absolute ranker.
Same goes for the The PAIR BETTING RANKER compare all possible pair outcomes of the tournament participants.
The three best predictions will get Real Virtual Gold Silver and Bronze!
Note: only one set of medals is awarded (in the absolute ranker) unless another ranker produces a different winner.
Special thanks to <YouRang> who made a software to calculate these numbers.
Our new contest manager for game results prediction User: Golden Executive during the tournament also ([1-0], [1/2], [0-1])!
or predict the # of moves in User: ohiochessfan organized by <chessmoron>
Enjoy!
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<HALL <OF> FAME>
WannaBe 10♔ 5♕ 4♖
~~~~
♔♔♔♔♔ ♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♖♖♖♖SwitchingQuylthulg
~~~~
♔♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♕♖♖♖YouRang
~~~~~~
♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♖Aurora
♔♔♔♔♕♕♖suenteus po 147
♔♔♔♔♖♖♖Penguincw
~~~~~~
♔♔♔♕♕♕♖♖♖lostemperor
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖♖♖chessmoron
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖rogge
♔♔♔♕♕♖cromat
♔♔♔♕♖Robin01
~~~~
♔♔♕♕♕♕WinKing
♔♔♕♕♕♖percyblakeney
♔♔♕♖♖♖yalie
♔♔♕♖wordfunph
♔♔♕♖Ragh
♔♔♕♖Ezzy
♔♔Golden Executive
♔♔SloVice
♔♔positionalgenius
♔♔amadeus
~~~~
♔♕♕♕♕♖♖OhioChessFan
♔♕♕♖Diademas
♔♕♖nimh
♔♕♖ahmadov
♔♕♖CHESSBOOKIE
♔♕Keysersoze
♔♕Where is my mind
♔♕Appaz
♔♖♖moronovich*
♔♖Golden Executive*
♔♖Montreal1666
♔♖Troewa
~~~~
♔Beholder
♔juan31
♔wtwz
♔Twinlark
♔SoUnwiseTheKnight B4
♔NGambit
♔benjinathan
♔DCP23
♔firebyrd
♔kellmano
♔Stonehenge
♔cu8sfan
♔larrewl
♔babakova
♔djmercury
♔mikejaqua
♔Joshka,
♔SnoopDogg
♔Like a GM
*may be incomplete
♔ Gold
♕ Silver
♖ Bronze
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>> Click here to see lostemperor's game collections.

   lostemperor has kibitzed 7712 times to chessgames [more...]

   Feb-02-25 lostemperor chessforum

lostemperor: <Keyser Soze>,<0ZeR0>,<Penguincw> won gold each! Congratulations!

   Apr-20-24 Golden Executive chessforum

lostemperor: It is fixed! I had an expert looking at it.

   Jan-18-24 OhioChessFan chessforum

lostemperor: Betcha you. Right damn

   Jan-11-24 Tata Steel Masters (2024)

lostemperor: ♔♕♖ Announcement ♔♕♖ Join the annual Tata Teel Chess final standings prediction contest at lostemperor chessforum 1. Ding 2. Nepomniachtchi 3. Firouzja 4, Giri 5. Praggnanandhaa 6. Maghsoodloo 7. Vidit 8.Wei 9. Abdusattorov

   Feb-26-23 WR Chess Masters (2023)

lostemperor: The predictions' winners on the final standings of WR Chess on my forum <Penquincw>♔, <Golden Executive>♔, <Chesschronicle22>♕, <OhioChessFan>♕, <Messiah>♖

   Jan-30-23 Tata Steel Masters (2023)

lostemperor: Winners of the TATA STEEL CHESS 2023 FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTION'S CONTEST at my forum <Firouzjias>♔♔♖, <tuttifrutty>♔♕♖, <lostemperor>♕♕, <Messiah>♖

indicates a reply to the comment.

FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS

< Earlier Kibitzing · PAGE 76 OF 285 · Later Kibitzing>
Mar-06-09		lostemperor: <YouRang> that would be fine if you can do that! I might hold those pseudo contestants anyway as if they were real ones but it can come up handly if I can make a distinction, now and then, with real contestants!

Mar-06-09		lostemperor: ROUND 12 UPDATE: Carlsen beat Grischuk to take 2nd place. Grischuk remains in the lead 1. Grishcuk 7 2. Ivanchuk 6.5 2. Carlsen 6.5 4. Anand 6 4. Aronian 6 6. Radjabov 5.5 6. Wang Yue 5.5 8. Dominguez 5

Mar-06-09		lostemperor: PREDICTION STANDINGS (according to the old CONMAN version) Maximum score: 38 Score,UserID 27,positionalgenius 25,EvigOptimist 25,Where is my mind ~~~~~~~~ 24,WannaBe 23,chessmoron 23,TheGladiatres 23,yalie 21,ahmadov 21,cromat 21,ELO 21,nimh 21,Robin01 21,UNIBET 21,YuanTi 20,lostemperor 20,OhioChessFan 19,capybara 19,just a kid 19,YouRang 18,CHESSBOOKIE 17,chancho 17,iron maiden 17,MrMelad 17,notyetagm 17,percyblakeney 17,Ragh 17,rogge 16,amadeus 16,suenteus po 147 16,SwitchingQuylthulg 15,Aurora 15,DCP23 15,kellmano 13,imag 13,NakoSonorense

Mar-06-09		lostemperor: SQUARE RANKER 12: Maximum score: 140 Score,UserID 113,positionalgenius 108,WannaBe 99,EvigOptimist ~~~~~~~~ 95,yalie 91,cromat 91,Robin01 89,UNIBET 89,Where is my mind 87,TheGladiatres 85,chessmoron 85,ELO 85,nimh 85,YuanTi 84,lostemperor 81,YouRang 77,chancho 73,just a kid 69,ahmadov 65,capybara 65,notyetagm 64,CHESSBOOKIE 64,OhioChessFan 63,DCP23 60,SwitchingQuylthulg 59,iron maiden 58,amadeus 53,kellmano 48,suenteus po 147 47,Aurora 47,percyblakeney 45,MrMelad 43,NakoSonorense 43,rogge 41,imag 39,Ragh

Mar-06-09		lostemperor: Since only Carlsen won to reach shared second place in Linares, the pair betting ranker doesn't show major changes. I will do another test run at least after the last round!:)

Mar-06-09		YouRang: <lostemperor: Since only Carlsen won to reach shared second place in Linares, > You mean Ivanchuk? :-)

Mar-07-09		lostemperor: Uhm .. right! =)

Mar-07-09		lostemperor: ROUND 13: Ivanchuk won to reach shared first (Grischuk drew). Linares standings 13: 1. Ivanchuk 7.5 1. Grischuk 7.5 3. Carlsen 7 4. Anand 6.5 5. Radjabov 6 5. Wang Yue 6 5. Aronian 6 8. Dominguez 5.5

Mar-07-09		lostemperor: I will give the final predictions updates after today's last round..

Mar-08-09		lostemperor: FINAL STANDINGS LINARES 2009: 1. Grischuk 8 1. Ivanchuk 8 3. Carlsen 7.5 4. Anand 7 5. Radjabov 6.5 5. Wang Yue 6.5 5. Aronian 6.5 8. Dominguez 6

Mar-08-09		lostemperor: FINAL PREDICTION GAME STANDINGS LINARES 2009. Winner: <positionalgenius>!! The only one who predicted a first place for Grischuk. Like in Corus 2007 he was the predictional genius:) We have three runner-ups with the silver. <chessmoron>, <EvigOptimist> and <where is my mind> (?)!! Maximum score: 38 Score,UserID ♔26,positionalgenius ♕22,chessmoron ♕22,EvigOptimist ♕22,Where is my mind ~~~~~~~~~~ 21,WannaBe 20,ahmadov 20,cromat 20,ELO 20,TheGladiatres 20,yalie 19,lostemperor 18,kellmano 18,nimh 18,Robin01 18,UNIBET 18,YuanTi 17,CHESSBOOKIE 17,OhioChessFan 16,chancho 16,just a kid 16,percyblakeney 16,YouRang 15,amadeus 15,suenteus po 147 15,SwitchingQuylthulg 14,Aurora 14,capybara 14,imag 14,iron maiden 14,MrMelad 14,notyetagm 14,Ragh 14,rogge 12,DCP23 12,NakoSonorense

Mar-08-09		lostemperor: SQUARE RANKER LINARES FINAL 2009 Here also <positionalgenius> was unbeatable! HOFers <WannaBe> and <yalie> came in close second and third! Unfortunately no extra medals are awarded here since <positionalgenius> takes all:) Down under, <rogge> beat <Ragh> in reverse alphabetical order ;) Maximum score: 140 Score,UserID 102,positionalgenius 97,WannaBe 86,yalie ~~~~~~~~~~ 82,TheGladiatres 80,ELO 80,EvigOptimist 80,Where is my mind 78,cromat 78,UNIBET 78,YuanTi 76,chessmoron 75,lostemperor 74,Robin01 70,nimh 68,ahmadov 64,chancho 62,kellmano 61,amadeus 60,just a kid 60,YouRang 57,SwitchingQuylthulg 55,CHESSBOOKIE 51,OhioChessFan 48,capybara 48,NakoSonorense 46,notyetagm 46,percyblakeney 42,MrMelad 41,suenteus po 147 40,DCP23 40,iron maiden 32,Aurora 30,imag 30,Ragh 30,rogge

Mar-08-09		lostemperor: Here the NEW "PAIR BETTING RANKER" all possible thanks to <YouRang>'s software: Earnings,UserID 85.70,positionalgenius 65.81,kellmano 15.11,yalie 12.36,EvigOptimist 11.03,TheGladiatres 8.21,ELO 7.66,YouRang 3.79,amadeus 2.81,NakoSonorense 2.22,nimh 0.86,Where is my mind 0.18,just a kid -1.47,chessmoron -1.96,YuanTi -2.78,WannaBe -3.61,cromat -4.23,Robin01 -5.59,iron maiden -5.66,ahmadov -5.76,notyetagm -6.30,capybara -8.61,UNIBET -10.26,OhioChessFan -11.20,SwitchingQuylthulg -11.59,chancho -12.66,imag -12.69,CHESSBOOKIE -12.69,lostemperor -13.01,percyblakeney -13.18,Ragh -13.18,rogge -14.08,suenteus po 147 -14.46,MrMelad -15.09,DCP23 -15.67,Aurora Large Payoff Pair results: Payoff,Pair result,Winners $35.00,Anand-below-Grischuk, positionalgenius $35.00,Anand-below-Ivanchuk, kellmano $35.00,Aronian-below-Grischuk, positionalgenius $35.00,Aronian-below-Ivanchuk, kellmano $11.67,Aronian-equal-Radjabov, ELO + TheGladiatres + yalie $11.67,Grischuk-above-Radjabov, EvigOptimist + positionalgenius + YouRang $8.75,Carlsen-below-Grischuk, amadeus + NakoSonorense + positionalgenius + YouRang $8.75,Carlsen-below-Ivanchuk, amadeus + just a kid + kellmano + NakoSonorense $5.83,Anand-below-Carlsen, EvigOptimist + iron maiden + nimh + notyetagm + Robin01 + TheGladiatres $5.83,Grischuk-equal-Ivanchuk, ELO + imag + SwitchingQuylthulg + WannaBe + yalie + YuanTi $5.00,Ivanchuk-above-Radjabov, capybara + chessmoron + cromat + just a kid + kellmano + nimh + Where is my mind $3.89,Dominguez-below-Wang Yue, ahmadov + chessmoron + ELO + EvigOptimist + OhioChessFan + positionalgenius + TheGladiatres + Where is my mind + yalie $2.33,Aronian-below-Carlsen, ahmadov + capybara + EvigOptimist + iron maiden + MrMelad + nimh + notyetagm + percyblakeney + Ragh + rogge + TheGladiatres + UNIBET + Where is my mind + yalie + YuanTi $2.33,Dominguez-below-Grischuk, ahmadov + amadeus + chancho + chessmoron + cromat + ELO + EvigOptimist + positionalgenius + Robin01 + suenteus po 147 + WannaBe + Where is my mind + yalie + YouRang + YuanTi $1.75,Grischuk-above-Wang Yue, (20 winners) $1.52,Carlsen-above-Radjabov, (23 winners) $1.52,Dominguez-below-Ivanchuk, (23 winners) $1.46,Anand-above-Aronian, (24 winners) $1.30,Ivanchuk-above-Wang Yue, (27 winners) $1.17,Dominguez-below-Radjabov, (30 winners) $1.13,Anand-above-Radjabov, (31 winners) $1.09,Carlsen-above-Dominguez, (32 winners) $1.06,Aronian-above-Dominguez, (33 winners) $1.03,Anand-above-Dominguez, (34 winners) $1.03,Carlsen-above-Wang Yue, (34 winners) $1.00,Anand-above-Wang Yue, (35 winners) $0.00,Aronian-equal-Wang Yue, (0 winners) $0.00,Radjabov-equal-Wang Yue, (0 winners)

Mar-08-09		lostemperor: For what its worth, at page Linares (2009), I discussed with some others, given the odds, a bet on Grischuk would be a good bet and a bet on Anand, Carlsen and Aronian at 3 something (<4) odds would be bad! :)

Mar-08-09		YouRang: <lostemperor> Thanks for the contest. I got off to a good start this time, but then faded. My predictions were as follows (with symbols added to indicate which picks were best and worst): 1. Aronian :-( 2. Anand 3. Grischuk 4. Carlsen 5. Dominguez 6. Radjabov :-) 7. Ivanchuk :-( 8. Yue

Mar-08-09		WannaBe: Drat, drat, drat!! I demand a recount, and then another recount, then I'm gonna take you to the Hague to appeal the recount, and then I'll demand yet another recount at the U.N.!!! My lawyers <RonB52734> and <keypusher> will be in touch with you! =) Congrats to <positionalgenius>!

Mar-08-09		Open Defence: <Wannabe> I thought you of all people hate recounts :) ok maybe Al Gore too hehehe

Mar-08-09		lostemperor: <YouRang> not bad at all!

Mar-08-09		lostemperor: <WannaBe> you don't have to take me to the Hague, I can drive there myself in half an hour! Pity you came 5 points short in the square ranker. I would have put the Stars 'n Stripes under your name. Now I don't know where positionalgenius is from? :)

Mar-08-09		positionalgenius: Yes! Another win. Sweeter than corus 2007. <wannabe> thanks:)

Mar-10-09		lostemperor: Surprise Players Deviations per player: Deviation,Player 169,Grischuk 136,Ivanchuk 117,Aronian 83,Anand 74,Radjabov 62,Dominguez 40,Wang Yue 39,Carlsen

Mar-10-09		lostemperor: ♗ -Award: best prediction on First Surprise player <GRISCHUK>: tournament standing 1-2, rated 5-7; CHESSBOOKIE odds 33:1 ♗<positionalgenius> prediction GRISCHUK = 1 (we knew this)! ♘<YouRang> prediction GRISCHUK = 3 ♙<EvigOptimist> prediction GRISCHUK = 4

Mar-10-09		lostemperor: ♘ -Award: best prediction on Second Surprise player <IVANCHUK>: tournament standing 1-2, rated 5-7(updated after Corus); CHESSBOOKIE odds 8:1 ♘<kellmano> prediction IVANCHUK = 1 ♙<just a kid> prediction IVANCHUK = 3

Mar-10-09		lostemperor: ♙-Award: best prediction on Third Upset <ARONIAN>: tournament standing 5-7, rated 2-4; CHESSBOOKIE odds 4:1 ♙<kellmano> prediction ARONIAN = 5-7 (CORRECT!)

Mar-16-09		TheGladiatres: Not to bad a result, but no awards this time ;)

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