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lostemperor
Member since Feb-18-03 · Last seen Feb-02-25
♔♕♖
<FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS' CONTEST FORUM>

Predict the final standings of Tata Steel tournament January 12

Format example to post your predictions

1.Caruana
1. Erigaisi
3. Gukesh
4. Abdusattorov
5. Wei Yi
5. Harikrishna
5. Praggnanandhaa
8. Giri
9. Keymer
10. Fedoseev
11.Van Foreest
12. Sarina
12. Warmerdam
12. Mendonca

Good Luck!


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Some years ago I came up with a new but simple system to calculate the final standings of a tournament including all players. This is how it goes:

For each correct standing you'll get a maximum amount of points. Each prediction deviation from the actual player standing in the tournament, will deduct one point from your total (ABSOLUTE RANKER).

In case of a shared player's standing the average standing counts (both actual and in your predictions).

The SQUARE RANKER, squares your predictions' deviations. Here only medals are awarded if the winner s is not the same person s as in the absolute ranker.

Same goes for the The PAIR BETTING RANKER compare all possible pair outcomes of the tournament participants.

The three best predictions will get Real Virtual Gold Silver and Bronze!

Note: only one set of medals is awarded (in the absolute ranker) unless another ranker produces a different winner.

Special thanks to <YouRang> who made a software to calculate these numbers.

Our new contest manager for game results prediction User: Golden Executive during the tournament also ([1-0], [1/2], [0-1])!

or predict the # of moves in User: ohiochessfan organized by <chessmoron>

Enjoy!


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<HALL <OF> FAME>

WannaBe 10♔ 5♕ 4♖

~~~~
♔♔♔♔♔ ♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♖♖♖♖SwitchingQuylthulg

~~~~

♔♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♕♖♖♖YouRang

~~~~~~

♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♖Aurora
♔♔♔♔♕♕♖suenteus po 147
♔♔♔♔♖♖♖Penguincw

~~~~~~

♔♔♔♕♕♕♖♖♖lostemperor
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖♖♖chessmoron
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖rogge
♔♔♔♕♕♖cromat
♔♔♔♕♖Robin01
~~~~

♔♔♕♕♕♕WinKing
♔♔♕♕♕♖percyblakeney
♔♔♕♖♖♖yalie
♔♔♕♖wordfunph
♔♔♕♖Ragh
♔♔♕♖Ezzy
♔♔Golden Executive
♔♔SloVice
♔♔positionalgenius
♔♔amadeus

~~~~

♔♕♕♕♕♖♖OhioChessFan
♔♕♕♖Diademas
♔♕♖nimh
♔♕♖ahmadov
♔♕♖CHESSBOOKIE
♔♕Keysersoze
♔♕Where is my mind
♔♕Appaz
♔♖♖moronovich*
♔♖Golden Executive*
♔♖Montreal1666
♔♖Troewa

~~~~

♔Beholder
♔juan31
♔wtwz
♔Twinlark
♔SoUnwiseTheKnight B4
♔NGambit
♔benjinathan
♔DCP23
♔firebyrd
♔kellmano
♔Stonehenge
♔cu8sfan
♔larrewl
♔babakova
♔djmercury
♔mikejaqua
♔Joshka,
♔SnoopDogg
♔Like a GM

*may be incomplete

♔ Gold
♕ Silver
♖ Bronze


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>> Click here to see lostemperor's game collections.

Chessgames.com Full Member

   lostemperor has kibitzed 7712 times to chessgames   [more...]
   Feb-02-25 lostemperor chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: <Keyser Soze>,<0ZeR0>,<Penguincw> won gold each! Congratulations!
 
   Apr-20-24 Golden Executive chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: It is fixed! I had an expert looking at it.
 
   Jan-18-24 OhioChessFan chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: Betcha you. Right damn
 
   Jan-11-24 Tata Steel Masters (2024) (replies)
 
lostemperor: ♔♕♖ Announcement ♔♕♖ Join the annual Tata Teel Chess final standings prediction contest at lostemperor chessforum 1. Ding 2. Nepomniachtchi 3. Firouzja 4, Giri 5. Praggnanandhaa 6. Maghsoodloo 7. Vidit 8.Wei 9. Abdusattorov
 
   Feb-26-23 WR Chess Masters (2023) (replies)
 
lostemperor: The predictions' winners on the final standings of WR Chess on my forum <Penquincw>♔, <Golden Executive>♔, <Chesschronicle22>♕, <OhioChessFan>♕, <Messiah>♖
 
   Jan-30-23 Tata Steel Masters (2023) (replies)
 
lostemperor: Winners of the TATA STEEL CHESS 2023 FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTION'S CONTEST at my forum <Firouzjias>♔♔♖, <tuttifrutty>♔♕♖, <lostemperor>♕♕, <Messiah>♖
 
(replies) indicates a reply to the comment.

FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS

Kibitzer's Corner
< Earlier Kibitzing  · PAGE 77 OF 285 ·  Later Kibitzing>
May-01-09
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Hi guys! I've been absent from kibitzing a while. Done some political blogging:). Back to my chess passion. Mtel line up completed (few weeks ago). I don't know about this. It is a small field though interesting. If there is enough interest a final standings prediction contest will be held!

Participants:
1. Topalov
2. Carlsen
3. Ivanchuk
4. Wang Yue
5. Dominguez
6. Shirov

May-01-09  Ragh: <lostemperor> Here's my prediction for MTel 2009:

1. Carlsen
2. Topalov
3. Ivanchuk
4. Dominguez
5. Shirov
6. Wang Yue

May-01-09
Premium Chessgames Member
  SwitchingQuylthulg: <lostemperor> Will the updated CONMAN version be used?

If so, then:

1. Topalov
2. Carlsen
2. Ivanchuk
2. Dominguez
2. Shirov
2. Wang Yue

May-02-09
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <Switch..> some weird predictions you have there :>). Yes, I will use <YouRang>'s new software version. I have put some new regulations in my profile.
May-02-09
Premium Chessgames Member
  SwitchingQuylthulg: OK. By the way shouldn't I have 2 queen awards in your medal table (Corus '09 and Baku)? :)
May-03-09  YouRang: MTel 2009 Finish.....

1. Topalov
2. Shirov
3. Carlsen
3. Ivanchuk
5. Wang Yue
5. Dominguez

May-04-09
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <SwitchingQuylthulg> you're absolutely right. You were Baku Silver winner! Sorry about that.
May-05-09
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Mtel predictions:

1. Topalov
2. Carlsen
3. Shirov
3. Ivanchuk
5. Wang Yue
5. Dominguez

Tough choices!

May-05-09
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Counting down: 7 days before Mtel http://www.mtelmasters.com/
May-05-09
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Predictions according to <ELO> the ratings:

1. Topalov 2812
2. Carlsen 2770
3. Ivanchuk 2746
3. Shirov 2745
5. Wang Yue 2738
6. Dominguez 2721

May-05-09
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Statistics from the four predictions so far:

Biggest deviation from the rating expectations <Ragh> 7 deviation points

Biggest deviation from the average predictions <SwitchingQuylthulg> 6 deviation points.

May-05-09  Where is my mind: Mtel predictions:

1. Topalov
2. Carlsen
3. Shirov
4. Wang Yue
5. Ivanchuk
6. Dominguez

May-05-09  dumbgai: Eh, I might as well try to give this a shot.

1. Topalov
2. Carlsen
3. Dominguez
3. Ivanchuk
5. Wang Yue
6. Shirov

May-05-09  rogge: A <patriotic> prediction:

1. Carlsen
2. Topalov
3. Shirov
4. Ivanchuk
5. Dominguez
6. Wang Yue

May-05-09  Robin01: Here are my predictions:

1-Topalov
2-Carlsen
3-Ivanchuk
4-Dominguez-Perez
5-Wang Yue
6-Shirov

May-05-09  Aurora: Mtel predictions:

1. Carlsen
2. Topalov
3. Dominguez
4. Shirov
5. Ivanchuk
6. Wang Yue

May-07-09
Premium Chessgames Member
  Chnebelgrind: Mtel predictions
1 Topalov
2 Dominguez
3 Carlsen
4 Ivanchuk
5 Shirov
6 Wang Yue
May-07-09  TheGladiatres: Mtel 2009

1. Carlsen
2. Topalov
3. Shirov
3. Ivanchuk
5. Wang Yue
6. Dominguez

May-08-09  Topista: Mtel 2009;
1.Carlsen.
2.Topalov.
3.Ivanchuk.
4.Shirov.
5.Wang Yue.
6.Dominguez.
May-11-09  firebyrd: Here goes:

1. Topalov
1. Carlsen
3. Ivanchuk
4. Dominguez
4. Shirov
4. Wang Yue

May-11-09  cromat: mtel 2009:
1. Topalov
2. Carlsen
3. Shirov
3. Dominguez
5. Ivanchuk
6. Wang Yue
May-11-09  suenteus po 147: My prediction for the final standings:

1. Topalov
2. Carlsen
2. Ivanchuk
4. Shirov
4. Dominguez
6. Wang Yue

May-11-09  amadeus: M-Tel 2009:

1. Ivanchuk
2. Topalov
3. Carlsen
4. Shirov
5. Wang Yue
6. Dominguez

May-12-09
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Predictions statistics, one day before M-tel:

Biggest predictions deviation (8 points) from the ELO rating expectations (in squared deviation points tie-breaker order):

Chnebelgrind (20)
Aurora (16)

Biggest predictions deviation (6 points) from the average predictions (in squared deviation points tie-breaker order):

Chnebelgrind (12)
Aurora (10)
SwitchingQuylthulg (10)
Where is my mind (10)
amadeus (8)

Might be needing some tie-breaker this tournament!:)

May-12-09
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Average Prediction Players Ranking

Rank,AverageRank,Player,HighestRank,LowestRank
1. 1.41,Topalov,1.0,2.0
2. 2.03,Carlsen,1.0,4.0
3. 3.53,Ivanchuk,1.0,5.0
4. 4.13,Shirov,2.0,6.0
5. 4.59,Dominguez,2.0,6.0
6. 5.31,Wang Yue,4.0,6.0

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