chessgames.com
Members · Prefs · Laboratory · Collections · Openings · Endgames · Sacrifices · History · Search Kibitzing · Kibitzer's Café · Chessforums · Tournament Index · Players · Kibitzing
 
Chessgames.com User Profile Chessforum

lostemperor
Member since Feb-18-03 · Last seen Feb-02-25
♔♕♖
<FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS' CONTEST FORUM>

Predict the final standings of Tata Steel tournament January 12

Format example to post your predictions

1.Caruana
1. Erigaisi
3. Gukesh
4. Abdusattorov
5. Wei Yi
5. Harikrishna
5. Praggnanandhaa
8. Giri
9. Keymer
10. Fedoseev
11.Van Foreest
12. Sarina
12. Warmerdam
12. Mendonca

Good Luck!


♙♙

♙♙♙

♙♙


Some years ago I came up with a new but simple system to calculate the final standings of a tournament including all players. This is how it goes:

For each correct standing you'll get a maximum amount of points. Each prediction deviation from the actual player standing in the tournament, will deduct one point from your total (ABSOLUTE RANKER).

In case of a shared player's standing the average standing counts (both actual and in your predictions).

The SQUARE RANKER, squares your predictions' deviations. Here only medals are awarded if the winner s is not the same person s as in the absolute ranker.

Same goes for the The PAIR BETTING RANKER compare all possible pair outcomes of the tournament participants.

The three best predictions will get Real Virtual Gold Silver and Bronze!

Note: only one set of medals is awarded (in the absolute ranker) unless another ranker produces a different winner.

Special thanks to <YouRang> who made a software to calculate these numbers.

Our new contest manager for game results prediction User: Golden Executive during the tournament also ([1-0], [1/2], [0-1])!

or predict the # of moves in User: ohiochessfan organized by <chessmoron>

Enjoy!


♙♙

♙♙♙

♙♙


<HALL <OF> FAME>

WannaBe 10♔ 5♕ 4♖

~~~~
♔♔♔♔♔ ♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♖♖♖♖SwitchingQuylthulg

~~~~

♔♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♕♖♖♖YouRang

~~~~~~

♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♖Aurora
♔♔♔♔♕♕♖suenteus po 147
♔♔♔♔♖♖♖Penguincw

~~~~~~

♔♔♔♕♕♕♖♖♖lostemperor
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖♖♖chessmoron
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖rogge
♔♔♔♕♕♖cromat
♔♔♔♕♖Robin01
~~~~

♔♔♕♕♕♕WinKing
♔♔♕♕♕♖percyblakeney
♔♔♕♖♖♖yalie
♔♔♕♖wordfunph
♔♔♕♖Ragh
♔♔♕♖Ezzy
♔♔Golden Executive
♔♔SloVice
♔♔positionalgenius
♔♔amadeus

~~~~

♔♕♕♕♕♖♖OhioChessFan
♔♕♕♖Diademas
♔♕♖nimh
♔♕♖ahmadov
♔♕♖CHESSBOOKIE
♔♕Keysersoze
♔♕Where is my mind
♔♕Appaz
♔♖♖moronovich*
♔♖Golden Executive*
♔♖Montreal1666
♔♖Troewa

~~~~

♔Beholder
♔juan31
♔wtwz
♔Twinlark
♔SoUnwiseTheKnight B4
♔NGambit
♔benjinathan
♔DCP23
♔firebyrd
♔kellmano
♔Stonehenge
♔cu8sfan
♔larrewl
♔babakova
♔djmercury
♔mikejaqua
♔Joshka,
♔SnoopDogg
♔Like a GM

*may be incomplete

♔ Gold
♕ Silver
♖ Bronze


♙♙

♙♙♙

♙♙

>> Click here to see lostemperor's game collections.

Chessgames.com Full Member

   lostemperor has kibitzed 7712 times to chessgames   [more...]
   Feb-02-25 lostemperor chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: <Keyser Soze>,<0ZeR0>,<Penguincw> won gold each! Congratulations!
 
   Apr-20-24 Golden Executive chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: It is fixed! I had an expert looking at it.
 
   Jan-18-24 OhioChessFan chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: Betcha you. Right damn
 
   Jan-11-24 Tata Steel Masters (2024) (replies)
 
lostemperor: ♔♕♖ Announcement ♔♕♖ Join the annual Tata Teel Chess final standings prediction contest at lostemperor chessforum 1. Ding 2. Nepomniachtchi 3. Firouzja 4, Giri 5. Praggnanandhaa 6. Maghsoodloo 7. Vidit 8.Wei 9. Abdusattorov
 
   Feb-26-23 WR Chess Masters (2023) (replies)
 
lostemperor: The predictions' winners on the final standings of WR Chess on my forum <Penquincw>♔, <Golden Executive>♔, <Chesschronicle22>♕, <OhioChessFan>♕, <Messiah>♖
 
   Jan-30-23 Tata Steel Masters (2023) (replies)
 
lostemperor: Winners of the TATA STEEL CHESS 2023 FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTION'S CONTEST at my forum <Firouzjias>♔♔♖, <tuttifrutty>♔♕♖, <lostemperor>♕♕, <Messiah>♖
 
(replies) indicates a reply to the comment.

FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS

Kibitzer's Corner
< Earlier Kibitzing  · PAGE 78 OF 285 ·  Later Kibitzing>
May-12-09
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: 1-Topalov
2-Carlsen
3-Shirov
4-Ivanchuk
5-Dominguez-Perez
6-Wang Yue
May-12-09  Sicilian Dragon: MTel 2009:

1-Carlsen
2-Ivanchuk
3-Topalov
4-Shirov
5-Wang Yue
6-Dominguez-Perez

May-14-09
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: First update. ROUND 1

== Outcomes:
Ivanchuk - Shirov 0-1
Wang Yue - Dominguez 1/2
Carlsen -Topalov 1-0

Standings
1. Carlsen
1. Shirov
3. Wang Yue
3. Dominguez
5. Topalov
5. Ivanchuk

May-14-09
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: M-tel Prediction Game Standings 1

Score evaluation method: Absolute value of rank deviation Maximum score: 18

Score,UserID
8,Aurora
8,cromat
8,Where is my mind
7,rogge
6,OhioChessFan
6,SwitchingQuylthulg
6,TheGladiatres
5,dumbgai
5,ELO
5,firebyrd
5,lostemperor
5,Ragh
5,Sicilian Dragon
5,Topista
5,YouRang
4,Robin01
3,Chnebelgrind
3,suenteus po 147
2,amadeus

May-14-09
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Here the new Pair Betting 1:

Earnings,UserID
17.77,Where is my mind
12.75,SwitchingQuylthulg
6.37,Aurora
3.21,cromat
2.26,YouRang
1.94,rogge
0.36,lostemperor
-1.08,Chnebelgrind
-1.23,OhioChessFan
-1.23,Sicilian Dragon
-1.23,TheGladiatres
-1.23,Topista
-2.81,firebyrd
-3.13,Ragh
-4.39,ELO
-5.66,amadeus
-7.56,dumbgai
-7.56,Robin01
-7.56,suenteus po 147

Large Payoff Pair results:
Payoff,Pair result,Winners
$19.00,Carlsen-equal-Shirov, SwitchingQuylthulg

$19.00,Ivanchuk-below-Wang Yue, Where is my mind

$6.33,Dominguez-above-Ivanchuk, Aurora + Chnebelgrind + cromat

$4.75,Dominguez-equal-Wang Yue, firebyrd + lostemperor + SwitchingQuylthulg + YouRang

$3.17,Carlsen-above-Topalov, Aurora + Ragh + rogge + Sicilian Dragon + TheGladiatres + Topista

$3.17,Ivanchuk-below-Shirov, Aurora + cromat + OhioChessFan + rogge + Where is my mind + YouRang

$1.90,Dominguez-below-Shirov, (10 winners)
$1.27,Carlsen-above-Ivanchuk, (15 winners)
$1.27,Shirov-above-Wang Yue, (15 winners)
$1.12,Carlsen-above-Dominguez, (17 winners)
$1.06,Carlsen-above-Wang Yue, (18 winners)
$0.00,Dominguez-above-Topalov, (0 winners)
$0.00,Ivanchuk-equal-Topalov, (0 winners)
$0.00,Shirov-above-Topalov, (0 winners)
$0.00,Topalov-below-Wang Yue, (0 winners)

May-15-09
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: I got a dream last night that Wang Yue beat Ivanchuk with black. When I looked at the M-tel results this morning, this is what happened yesterday..

ROUND 2update

M-tel standings:

1-3. Carlsen 1.5
1-3. Shirov 1.5
1-3. Wang Yue 1.5
4. Dominguez 1
5. Topalov 0.5
6. Ivanchuk 0

May-15-09
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: I have yet to add the <CHESSBOOKIE> betting odds order M-Tel Masters: Winner

1. Topalov 2.29
2. Carlsen 3.00
3. Ivanchuk 10.21
4. Shirov 12.53
5. Wang Yue 22.61
5. Dominguez 23.06

May-15-09
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Prediction Game Standings <2>:

Absolute Ranker
Score evaluation method: Absolute value of rank deviation Maximum score: 18

Score,UserID
8,Where is my mind
7,cromat
6,Aurora
6,OhioChessFan
6,rogge
6,SwitchingQuylthulg
5,ELO
5,lostemperor
5,TheGladiatres
5,YouRang
4,CHESSBOOKIE
4,dumbgai
4,firebyrd
4,Ragh
4,Robin01
4,Sicilian Dragon
4,Topista
3,suenteus po 147
2,amadeus
2,Chnebelgrind

May-15-09
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: The enjoyable Pair Bettings 2:

Earnings,UserID
39.11,SwitchingQuylthulg
19.96,Where is my mind
4.81,Aurora
1.47,firebyrd
1.47,cromat
-0.04,TheGladiatres
-0.04,Topista
-0.04,rogge
-1.15,Sicilian Dragon
-2.97,Chnebelgrind
-3.38,ELO
-3.38,OhioChessFan
-4.63,YouRang
-5.19,Ragh
-5.74,amadeus
-6.71,CHESSBOOKIE
-6.71,lostemperor
-8.53,dumbgai
-8.53,Robin01
-9.78,suenteus po 147

Large Payoff Pair results:
Payoff,Pair result,Winners
$20.00,Carlsen-equal-Shirov, SwitchingQuylthulg

$20.00,Carlsen-equal-Wang Yue, SwitchingQuylthulg

$20.00,Ivanchuk-below-Wang Yue, Where is my mind

$10.00,Shirov-equal-Wang Yue, firebyrd + SwitchingQuylthulg

$6.67,Dominguez-above-Ivanchuk, Aurora + Chnebelgrind + cromat

$3.33,Carlsen-above-Topalov, Aurora + Ragh + rogge + Sicilian Dragon + TheGladiatres + Topista

$3.33,Dominguez-below-Wang Yue, amadeus + ELO + Sicilian Dragon + TheGladiatres + Topista + Where is my mind

$3.33,Ivanchuk-below-Shirov, Aurora + cromat + OhioChessFan + rogge + Where is my mind + YouRang

$1.82,Dominguez-below-Shirov, (11 winners)
$1.25,Carlsen-above-Ivanchuk, (16 winners)
$1.11,Carlsen-above-Dominguez, (18 winners)
$1.11,Ivanchuk-below-Topalov, (18 winners)
$0.00,Dominguez-above-Topalov, (0 winners)
$0.00,Shirov-above-Topalov, (0 winners)
$0.00,Topalov-below-Wang Yue, (0 winners)

May-16-09
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <ROUND 4> update (after all draws in round 3):

Carlsen - Shirov 1/2
Topalov - YueWang 1-0
Dominguez - Ivanchuk 1/2

MTel standings 4:

1. Carlsen
1. Shirov
3-5. Wang Yue
3-5. Dominguez
3-5. Topalov
6. Ivanchuk

May-16-09
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Prediction Game Standings 4:

Absolute ranker
Maximum score: 18

Score,UserID
10,Where is my mind
9,Aurora
9,cromat
9,rogge
8,OhioChessFan
8,SwitchingQuylthulg
8,TheGladiatres
7,ELO
7,firebyrd
7,lostemperor
7,Ragh
7,Sicilian Dragon
7,Topista
7,YouRang
6,CHESSBOOKIE
6,dumbgai
6,Robin01
5,suenteus po 147
4,amadeus
4,Chnebelgrind

May-16-09
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Square Ranker:

Score evaluation method: Least Squares of rank deviation Maximum score: 70

Here Linares last finisher <rogge> is going strong so far :)

Score,UserID
55,rogge
54,Aurora
54,Where is my mind
52,cromat
51,TheGladiatres
50,OhioChessFan
46,ELO
46,lostemperor
46,Topista
46,YouRang
45,SwitchingQuylthulg
42,Sicilian Dragon
41,CHESSBOOKIE
41,firebyrd
41,Ragh
35,Chnebelgrind
35,suenteus po 147
33,dumbgai
31,Robin01
28,amadeus

May-16-09
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Pair Betting 4:

<Where is my mind> and <SwitchingQuylthulg> keep making switches (;

Earnings,UserID
18.93,Where is my mind
13.11,SwitchingQuylthulg
7.11,Aurora
3.77,cromat
2.26,rogge
1.68,YouRang
-0.41,CHESSBOOKIE
-0.41,lostemperor
-0.67,Chnebelgrind
-1.07,TheGladiatres
-1.07,Topista
-1.07,OhioChessFan
-2.18,Sicilian Dragon
-2.89,Ragh
-3.48,firebyrd
-4.41,ELO
-6.77,amadeus
-7.48,dumbgai
-7.48,Robin01
-7.48,suenteus po 147

Large Payoff Pair results:
Payoff,Pair result,Winners
$20.00,Carlsen-equal-Shirov, SwitchingQuylthulg

$20.00,Ivanchuk-below-Wang Yue, Where is my mind

$6.67,Dominguez-above-Ivanchuk, Aurora + Chnebelgrind + cromat

$4.00,Dominguez-equal-Wang Yue, CHESSBOOKIE + firebyrd + lostemperor + SwitchingQuylthulg + YouRang

$3.33,Carlsen-above-Topalov, Aurora + Ragh + rogge + Sicilian Dragon + TheGladiatres + Topista

$3.33,Ivanchuk-below-Shirov, Aurora + cromat + OhioChessFan + rogge + Where is my mind + YouRang

$1.82,Dominguez-below-Shirov, (11 winners)
$1.25,Carlsen-above-Ivanchuk, (16 winners)
$1.25,Shirov-above-Wang Yue, (16 winners)
$1.11,Carlsen-above-Dominguez, (18 winners)
$1.11,Ivanchuk-below-Topalov, (18 winners)
$1.05,Carlsen-above-Wang Yue, (19 winners)
$0.00,Dominguez-equal-Topalov, (0 winners)
$0.00,Shirov-above-Topalov, (0 winners)
$0.00,Topalov-equal-Wang Yue, (0 winners)

May-16-09  rogge: <Linares last finisher <rogge> is going strong so far :)>

Something had to be done!

Luckily I'm already in <Hall Of Fame> :)

May-17-09
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <rogge> congratulations to you are in order. Norway won the Eurovision songfestival last night! <;)
May-17-09  rogge: Well, thanks :)

Times are good for the Norwegian youngsters: Carlsen (18), Giro stage winner Hagen (22) and ESC winner Rybak (23)...

May-18-09
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: We now know that Norwegians can not only play chess but also violin! :)
May-18-09
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: ROUND 5 UPDATE

Decisive game: Ivanchuk - Topalov 0-1

MTel standings halfway
1-3 Topalov 3
1-3 Carlsen 3
1-3 Shirov 3
4. Dominguez 2.5
4. Wang Yue 2.5
6. Ivanchuk 1

May-18-09
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: M-Tel Predict5ion Game Standings halfway

Absolute RankerScore evaluation method: Absolute value of rank deviation Maximum score: 18

An excellent start for <Where is my mind>(!?)

Score,UserID
13,Where is my mind
12,cromat
12,OhioChessFan
12,rogge
11,Aurora
11,ELO
11,lostemperor
11,TheGladiatres
11,YouRang
10,CHESSBOOKIE
10,firebyrd
10,SwitchingQuylthulg
10,Topista
9,dumbgai
9,Ragh
9,Robin01
9,suenteus po 147
8,amadeus
8,Sicilian Dragon
7,Chnebelgrind

May-18-09
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Square Ranker 5:
Score evaluation method: Least Squares of rank deviation

Maximum score: 70

Score,UserID
65,Where is my mind
63,cromat
62,OhioChessFan
62,rogge
60,Aurora
59,lostemperor
59,YouRang
58,ELO
58,TheGladiatres
57,SwitchingQuylthulg
54,CHESSBOOKIE
54,Topista
51,firebyrd
49,Ragh
48,suenteus po 147
47,Chnebelgrind
46,dumbgai
46,Sicilian Dragon
44,Robin01
38,amadeus

May-18-09
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Pair Betting Ranker:

Earnings,UserID
18.93,Where is my mind
16.52,firebyrd
13.11,SwitchingQuylthulg
3.77,Aurora
3.77,cromat
1.68,YouRang
-0.41,CHESSBOOKIE
-0.41,lostemperor
-0.67,Chnebelgrind
-1.07,OhioChessFan
-1.07,rogge
-4.41,ELO
-4.41,TheGladiatres
-4.41,Topista
-5.52,Sicilian Dragon
-6.23,Ragh
-6.77,amadeus
-7.48,dumbgai
-7.48,Robin01
-7.48,suenteus po 147

Large Payoff Pair results:
Payoff,Pair result,Winners
$20.00,Carlsen-equal-Shirov, SwitchingQuylthulg

$20.00,Carlsen-equal-Topalov, firebyrd

$20.00,Ivanchuk-below-Wang Yue, Where is my mind

$6.67,Dominguez-above-Ivanchuk, Aurora + Chnebelgrind + cromat

$4.00,Dominguez-equal-Wang Yue, CHESSBOOKIE + firebyrd + lostemperor + SwitchingQuylthulg + YouRang

$3.33,Ivanchuk-below-Shirov, Aurora + cromat + OhioChessFan + rogge + Where is my mind + YouRang

$1.82,Dominguez-below-Shirov, (11 winners)
$1.25,Carlsen-above-Ivanchuk, (16 winners)
$1.25,Shirov-above-Wang Yue, (16 winners)
$1.11,Carlsen-above-Dominguez, (18 winners)
$1.11,Ivanchuk-below-Topalov, (18 winners)
$1.05,Carlsen-above-Wang Yue, (19 winners)
$1.00,Dominguez-below-Topalov, (20 winners)
$1.00,Topalov-above-Wang Yue, (20 winners)
$0.00,Shirov-equal-Topalov, (0 winners)

May-18-09
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Deviations per player:
Absolute Deviation,Player, Squared deviation

51,Ivanchuk 149
41,Shirov 102
21,Dominguez 29
19,Wang Yue 22
14,Topalov 13
13,Carlsen 15

May-19-09
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: ROUND 6:

Shirov beat Ivanchuk

Mtel standings 6:
1. Shirov
2-3 Topalov
2-3 Carlsen
4-5 wang Yue
4-5 Domiguez
6. Ivanchuk

May-19-09
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: MTel Prediction standings 6
Maximum score: 18

Score,UserID
11,Where is my mind
10,cromat
10,OhioChessFan
10,rogge
10,YouRang
9,Aurora
9,ELO
9,lostemperor
9,SwitchingQuylthulg
9,TheGladiatres
8,CHESSBOOKIE
8,firebyrd
8,suenteus po 147
8,Topista
7,amadeus
7,dumbgai
7,Ragh
7,Robin01
7,Sicilian Dragon
6,Chnebelgrind

May-19-09
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Pair Betting 6:

A new leader: Lurch!

Earnings,UserID
21.68,YouRang
18.93,Where is my mind
16.52,firebyrd
3.77,Aurora
3.77,cromat
-0.41,CHESSBOOKIE
-0.41,lostemperor
-0.67,Chnebelgrind
-1.07,OhioChessFan
-1.07,rogge
-4.41,ELO
-4.41,TheGladiatres
-4.41,Topista
-5.52,Sicilian Dragon
-6.23,Ragh
-6.77,amadeus
-6.89,SwitchingQuylthulg
-7.48,dumbgai
-7.48,Robin01
-7.48,suenteus po 147

Large Payoff Pair results:
Payoff,Pair result,Winners
$20.00,Carlsen-below-Shirov, YouRang

$20.00,Carlsen-equal-Topalov, firebyrd

$20.00,Ivanchuk-below-Wang Yue, Where is my mind

$6.67,Dominguez-above-Ivanchuk, Aurora + Chnebelgrind + cromat

$4.00,Dominguez-equal-Wang Yue, CHESSBOOKIE + firebyrd + lostemperor + SwitchingQuylthulg + YouRang

$3.33,Ivanchuk-below-Shirov, Aurora + cromat + OhioChessFan + rogge + Where is my mind + YouRang

Jump to page #   (enter # from 1 to 285)
search thread:   
< Earlier Kibitzing  · PAGE 78 OF 285 ·  Later Kibitzing>

NOTE: Create an account today to post replies and access other powerful features which are available only to registered users. Becoming a member is free, anonymous, and takes less than 1 minute! If you already have a username, then simply login login under your username now to join the discussion.

Please observe our posting guidelines:

  1. No obscene, racist, sexist, or profane language.
  2. No spamming, advertising, duplicate, or gibberish posts.
  3. No vitriolic or systematic personal attacks against other members.
  4. Nothing in violation of United States law.
  5. No cyberstalking or malicious posting of negative or private information (doxing/doxxing) of members.
  6. No trolling.
  7. The use of "sock puppet" accounts to circumvent disciplinary action taken by moderators, create a false impression of consensus or support, or stage conversations, is prohibited.
  8. Do not degrade Chessgames or any of it's staff/volunteers.

Please try to maintain a semblance of civility at all times.

Blow the Whistle

See something that violates our rules? Blow the whistle and inform a moderator.


NOTE: Please keep all discussion on-topic. This forum is for this specific user only. To discuss chess or this site in general, visit the Kibitzer's Café.

Messages posted by Chessgames members do not necessarily represent the views of Chessgames.com, its employees, or sponsors.
All moderator actions taken are ultimately at the sole discretion of the administration.

You are not logged in to chessgames.com.
If you need an account, register now;
it's quick, anonymous, and free!
If you already have an account, click here to sign-in.

View another user profile:
   
Home | About | Login | Logout | F.A.Q. | Profile | Preferences | Premium Membership | Kibitzer's Café | Biographer's Bistro | New Kibitzing | Chessforums | Tournament Index | Player Directory | Notable Games | World Chess Championships | Opening Explorer | Guess the Move | Game Collections | ChessBookie Game | Chessgames Challenge | Store | Privacy Notice | Contact Us

Copyright 2001-2025, Chessgames Services LLC