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| Mar-13-12 | | jtd200: Predicting a draw, now. Hou had winning chances, but without perfect play, I think Caruana draws. |
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| Mar-13-12 | | twinlark: She chose <36. Qb1>, this is exhausting watching this game. There follows 36... Qxb1 37.Nxb1 Bb5:
click for larger viewthe only real winning move here is 38. Nba3 |
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| Mar-13-12 | | twinlark: This is not time to snatch a pawn with 38. Nxe5. |
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| Mar-13-12 | | twinlark: Awesome. She found 38. Nba3 Ba6, now 39. Nxe5 wins |
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| Mar-13-12 | | twinlark: 39. Nxe5 it is. Hou should win this as long as she doesn't blunder on the last move of the time control....39...Re8 40. d6! She made it! She should be able to wrap this up with GM technique now. |
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| Mar-13-12 | | jtd200: I'm still predicting draw. :) |
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| Mar-13-12 | | twinlark: This has been perfectly played by Hou so far, and she has completely outplayed Caruana. She just needs to steady her nerves, and settle down for a good solid think: Position after 40...Bb7:
click for larger view41. Nd7, 41. Nac4 and 41. Rf3 all win. |
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| Mar-13-12 | | twinlark: jtd200: Hope you're wrong as this can only happen if Hou blunders. The game has been absolutely exemplary by her, and if she can stay on top of her nerves, this should be a straightforward endgame win for her. |
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| Mar-13-12 | | twinlark: She's certainly not rushing into her next move. It seems 41. Nd7 should win a piece:
click for larger view |
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| Mar-13-12 | | DIO: Amazing ... If Hou wins this, she is most likely to win the tournament if I am reading this correctly, as Sokolov-Avrukh has a draw eval at move 44! |
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| Mar-13-12 | | twinlark: That would be awesome to see. Yifan has only to avoid 41. d7 in this position. 41. Nd7 seems to win a piece in all variations. 41. Nac4 seems to also. Still a lot of tactics in this endgame. |
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| Mar-13-12 | | twinlark: A lot of games are finished. I bet many of the players are clustered around this board right now. |
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| Mar-13-12 | | jtd200: There goes the win... Draw on move... I'm going to say 56. |
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| Mar-13-12 | | twinlark: Aagh!!! She blew it with 41. Nxf7? This will be a draw. |
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| Mar-13-12 | | twinlark: What a sad and horrible way to spoil an absolute masterpiece. |
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| Mar-13-12 | | twinlark: Damn. I can't bear to watch this any further. Signing out. |
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Mar-13-12
 | | Penguincw: Yifan-Caruana
41.♘xf7
click for larger viewIf 41...Kxf7 42.Rf3+ Kg8 43.Rxf2 wins back the piece.
click for larger viewA draw would give him good chances of winning the tournament, if not already locked. |
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Mar-13-12
 | | tamar: <jtd200: I'm still predicting draw. :)> What are the odds? You defied them sir! |
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Mar-13-12
| | Penguincw: < twinlark: What a sad and horrible way to spoil an absolute masterpiece. > Looks like that way too. The computer gave analysis of 1.63, then as soon as the knight took, it's down to 0.08. |
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| Mar-13-12 | | jtd200: tamar: That's how I roll! (That, and Fabiano is playing too well lately to bet against him when there's still significant doubt...) |
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Mar-13-12
| | Penguincw: Hou Yifan is up a pawn, but I think it's still going to be drawn. ENDGAME STATS
♔♖♘♙♙♙ vs. ♔♖♗♙♙
Superior (White): 51.4%
Draw: Happens 42.1%
Inferior (Black): 6.8%
Endgame Explorer: RNPPP vs RBPP Won most of the time, but I think it's a draw for Caruana. He loses 1.8 (win is adding 3.2) but it's better than losing 6.8 for the loss. |
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Mar-13-12
| | Penguincw: Draw! Only Sokolov and Avruhk have chances to catch Caruana now. |
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Mar-13-12
| | Penguincw: Speaking of which, they are in a level ending.
Sokolov-Avrukh
0:21:46-0:14:36
49...Ne6+ (0.18)
click for larger viewDiscovered attack on the bishop, with check. With could see 50.Ke4. |
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| Mar-13-12 | | waustad: Does anybody know what happened with the Simon Williams game? The arbiter seems to have messed up placing the kings and I don't know the result. |
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| Mar-13-12 | | waustad: They are on chessbomb, but the video seems to have been terminated. |
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