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Magnus Carlsen vs Hans Niemann
"Where There's Moke, There's Fire" (game of the day Sep-07-2022)
Sinquefield Cup (2022), Saint Louis, MO USA, rd 3, Sep-04
Nimzo-Indian Defense: Romanishin Variation (E20)  ·  0-1

ANALYSIS [x]

FEN COPIED

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Kibitzer's Corner
< Earlier Kibitzing  · PAGE 11 OF 12 ·  Later Kibitzing>
Aug-29-23  zaxcvd: Key takeaways from Super GM Nakamura very guarded comments : - "Hans is rated 40 or 45 points lower than what he was after Siq..." "...Lost or struggled against opponents 400 or pts lower than MC..."

My prediction now - Either device or concrete evidence found or Hans would fade to irrelevancy sinking to his "real rating". Nothing more needs to be said...
Thanks for the video!

Aug-29-23  EvanTheTerrible: Hans's highest rating was 8 months after his game with Magnus. A recent dip in results does not mean anything.

He had a bad string of results, but has since won 2 tournaments and finished 0.5 points out of first in 3 others. He was down to 2645, but is now back up to 2665.

Aug-29-23
Premium Chessgames Member
  MissScarlett: Niemann's rating peaked in May:

https://ratings.fide.com/profile/20...

Aug-29-23  zaxcvd: ..,those pesky devices... :)
either way its over for this cheater...Note that I gave 2 outcomes and one does not involve Hans rating dropping but increasing...then...boom...its over...the jig is up.
Aug-29-23
Premium Chessgames Member
  MissScarlett: Hans has now won his last three contests with Magnus.
Aug-29-23  zaxcvd: Bye lips....maybe work on allowing people with vpns to access this site...
Aug-29-23  EvanTheTerrible: Nothing will ever convince some people, so I will not try.
Dec-14-23  Petrosianic: <MissScarlett: Hans has now won his last three contests with Magnus.>

No, three total, but only two in a row. But he did beat Carlsen three times in one year, which not many people can say.

Dec-14-23
Premium Chessgames Member
  MissScarlett: The third one was the court case. Pay attention.
Dec-14-23  Petrosianic: Carlsen was exonerated on all three charges relating to Niemann, and convicted of breaking FIDE rules. Be sure you're paying attention before telling someone else to.
Dec-14-23
Premium Chessgames Member
  keypusher: Carlsen <convicted of breaking FIDE rules>.

When did this happen? What court or tribunal? What was the penalty?

Dec-14-23  EvanTheTerrible: He was not against Niemann in that bout, but rather FIDE. I'd say Niemann won the dispute with Carlsen seeing as Niemann left the Sinquefield Cup banned on Chess.com and with Carlsen unwilling to play him, both of which have been reversed. He also likely got a nice chunk of change to boot.
Dec-14-23  EvanTheTerrible: Keypusher, FIDE released their report on Carlsen yesterday. He was not punished for accusing Niemann, but was fined 10,000 euro for withdrawing from the Sinquefield Cup.

https://ethics.fide.com/wp-content/...

Dec-14-23
Premium Chessgames Member
  MissScarlett: <Carlsen was exonerated on all three charges relating to Niemann, and convicted of breaking FIDE rules. Be sure you're paying attention before telling someone else to.>

<Hans has now won his last three contests with Magnus.> This post was dated August 29th. Work out what happened shortly beforehand, and proceed from there.

Dec-14-23
Premium Chessgames Member
  MissScarlett: FIDE's financial ties to <chess.com>, a key actor in the Carlsen - Niemann affair, represent a clear and obvious conflict of interest, thus rendering any verdict null and void. I believe the American government should now step in and institute their own proceedings.
Dec-14-23
Premium Chessgames Member
  perfidious: The centre of the American chess universe now being in St Louis, any proceeding would eventually wind up in the Eighth Circuit Court; I have no doubt there would be appeals from one side or t'other.
Dec-14-23  Petrosianic: The difference between chess.com and Chessbase can be seen in their respective headlines:

CHESS.COM: Carlsen Not Guilty On 3/4 Counts In Niemann Ruling, Fined €10,000 For Withdrawal

CHESSBASE: FIDE Ethics Commission fines Carlsen 10,000 euros

Chess.com definitely tries to put a more positive spin on it (There are three rules he didn't break and only one he did!)

Now, about those rules he didn't break. One of them was bringing chess and FIDE into disrepute. Remember, that Karjakin was recently suspended for violating this rule.

Chess.com says this: <While the investigatory report concluded that Carlsen's accusations against Niemann brought chess into disrepute, the EDC disagreed and said that the coverage of the matter "made chess a popular topic of discussion around the world.">

Yeah, Carlsen had people talking about chess, but in a <negative> way, with the focus on how it was full of rampant, unchecked, unpunished cheating. I don't really want to defend Karjakin here, but it's a pretty slippery distinction to say that Karjakin brought chess into disrepute and Carlsen didn't. You could just as easily argue that Karjakin brought himself into disrepute but not chess.

Dec-15-23
Premium Chessgames Member
  keypusher: Thanks all, and especially Evan for the link.

Since the panel found that the accusation that Niemann had cheated was not "reckless" or "manifestly unreasonable", it would have been hard for them to conclude that Carlsen was guilty of disparaging chess, FIDE, etc.

Dec-15-23  stone free or die: <kp> yes. Reminds me of Ted Kennedy.

<About a week after Kopechne's death, Ted pleaded guilty to a charge of <"leaving the scene of an accident after causing personal injury without making himself known">. He was given a two month suspended sentence.>

Dec-15-23
Premium Chessgames Member
  keypusher: < stone free or die: <kp> yes. Reminds me of Ted Kennedy. <About a week after Kopechne's death, Ted pleaded guilty to a charge of <"leaving the scene of an accident after causing personal injury without making himself known">. He was given a two month suspended sentence.>>

One week?? It's good to be a Kennedy.

Dec-15-23
Premium Chessgames Member
  perfidious: For a start, Kennedy failed to report the accident until the next morning.

Not a snowball's chance any member of CG could get by with that.

Dec-15-23  stone free or die: It's good to have friends in FIDE places.
Dec-15-23  EvanTheTerrible: We might get the first rematch since the scandal at the upcoming rapid/blitz world championship, which both players will be attending.
Jan-22-24  EvanTheTerrible: The point at which Carlsen lost equality was when he did not capture the knight on c4 and trade into an endgame. It looks lost at first blush, with the connected passers for black on the a and b files, but black cannot make progress after 30.Bxc4 Rxc4 31.gxf5 Ra4 32.Rb8 b5 33.Rb6 Rxa3.

The resulting position reminds me a lot of this classic Botvinnik vs Fischer, 1962.

Mar-15-24  DanLanglois: 29...Nc4 not great? 29...fxg4:

Stockfish 15 -1.90 (depth 43) 29...fxg4 30.Rxe4 f5 31.Re7+ Kf6 32.Rf7+ Kg5 33.Rg7+ Kh4 34.f3 gxf3 35.exf3 b5 36.Kd2 Nc4+ 37.Kd3 Rc8 38.Kd4 Rd8+ 39.Kc5 Nxa3 40.Be6 Rf8 41.Ra7 Nc2 42.Rxa6 Kg5 43.Bd5

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