chessgames.com
Members · Prefs · Laboratory · Collections · Openings · Endgames · Sacrifices · History · Search Kibitzing · Kibitzer's Café · Chessforums · Tournament Index · Players · Kibitzing
 
Chessgames.com User Profile Chessforum

OhioChessFan
Member since Apr-09-05 · Last seen Nov-11-25
______________ Moves Prediction Contest

<Main Focus>: Predicting how many moves in a game for each pairing.

Chessgames.com tournament page:
http://www.chessgames.com/perl/ches...

Official site: http://

Live games:
http://www.nrk.no/sport/sjakk/

Alternative live games: http://worldchess.com/broadcasts/eu...

***Hall of Fame***
chessmoron chessforum

<Format>:

[player]-[player] [result] [# of MOVES]

==4 Different Scoring Methods==

Standard Moves Ranker (1st place-Over[3pts], 1st place-Under [7pts], Exact [10pts])

Bonus Ranker (3rd place-Over[1pts],2nd place-Over[2pts],3rd place-Under [5pts], 2nd place-Under [6pts]

Standard Moves/Bonus Ranker [Add all to together]

1st place Ranker [how many 1st place you have in Standard Moves Ranker]

For example:

<Note: Participants 3, 4, and 5 are predicated on nobody scoring an exact as Participant 2 did. If someone hits an exact, the closest score under and over will score the points for second place.>

Actual Game: [player]-[player] 0-1 45

Participant 1: [player]-[player] 1/2 45
Participant 2: [player]-[player] 0-1 45
Participant 3: [player]-[player] 0-1 44
Participant 4: [player]-[player] 0-1 43
Participant 5: [player]-[player] 0-1 46

Participant 1: No points even though 45 is correct. Results must be correct. If Result is wrong and moves # is correct...you get no points whatsoever

Participant 2: 10 pts rewarded for correct Result/moves #

Participant 3: 7 pts rewarded for closest under (1st-Under) to 45 moves

Participant 4: 6 pts rewarded for the 2nd closest under (2nd-Under) to 45 moves.

Participant 5: 3 pts rewarded closest OVER(1st-OVER) to 45 moves.

Again, the description of Participant 3, 4, and 5 are based on there being no exact prediction as made by Participant 2.

<IF> there is an exact or an under closest, the highest scoring over participant will be 2nd over. The second closest over will be 3rd over. The <ONLY> time there will be a first over is if there is no exact or under winner.

Things To Look At:
1. Game Collection: 1975 World Junior chess championship
2. Ongoing edits Vladimir Ostrogsky
3. Bio Adolf Zytogorski
4. Complete the Olympiad
5. Bio Lorenz Maximilian Drabke

7. Baden-Baden (1870)

11. Karl Mayet
12. Smbat Lputian

Pi Day
rreusser/computing-with-the-bailey-borwein-plouffe-formula">https://observablehq.com/(at)rreusser/...

Pun Index Game Collection: Game of the Day & Puzzle of the Day Collections

>> Click here to see OhioChessFan's game collections.

Chessgames.com Full Member
   Current net-worth: 792 chessbucks
[what is this?]

   OhioChessFan has kibitzed 49343 times to chessgames   [more...]
   Nov-09-25 Chessgames - Music
 
OhioChessFan: 19 minutes of music so beautiful it will bring you to tears. Bach-Brandenberg Concerto 5 https://youtu.be/D1xaagpUGs4?si=1sQ...
 
   Nov-09-25 Fusilli chessforum (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: I found the source of a previous puzzle: https://youtu.be/3XkA2ZoVFQo?si=fGG...
 
   Nov-08-25 B Hague vs Plaskett, 2004 (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: Morra, Hague Convention, I like it.
 
   Nov-07-25 Chessgames - Politics (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: <BREAKING: British veteran breaks down live on TV over state of the country: "Rows and rows of white tombs for what? A country of today? No, I'm sorry. The sacrifice wasn't worth the result. I fought for freedom, and it's darn-sight worse now than when I fought."> Poor ...
 
   Nov-07-25 C Wells vs J Rush, 1963
 
OhioChessFan: "Fly-By Knight"
 
   Nov-07-25 K Hanache vs P Crocker, 2024
 
OhioChessFan: "Not Two Knights, I Have a Hanache"
 
   Nov-05-25 Niemann vs L Lodici, 2025 (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: White has three Pawns for a poorly placed Knight. I'd rather have the Knight, but as of move 29, I don't see any particular plans for
 
   Nov-04-25 Chessgames - Sports (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: Mike Royko was fantastic. Slats Grobnik was guaranteed to make me laugh myself silly.
 
   Nov-04-25 D Gukesh vs K Nogerbek, 2025
 
OhioChessFan: Those crazy chess players, playing down to bare Kings....
 
   Nov-04-25 B Men vs Ftacnik, 1993
 
OhioChessFan: "Mad Men"
 
(replies) indicates a reply to the comment.

Moves Prediction Contest

Kibitzer's Corner
< Earlier Kibitzing  · PAGE 23 OF 849 ·  Later Kibitzing>
Nov-05-06  twinlark: With respect to an immediate to <yanez>'s immediate 26.Nxd5 (rather than the typo 26.Nxe5), <Noctiferus> provided extensive engine analysis on p46 (3 Nov) on <Random Visitor>'s forum which essential discredits 26...cxd5 27.Raf1...Re4.

Similarly <RookFile> finds that 26.Nxd5 cxd5 27.Raf1 Qe7 is also good for White:

<<RookFile>: Well, I looked at some endgames, and confirmed Dionyseus's judgement that they are winning for white.

A position of interest arises after

23. d4 Nb4 24. Qd2 Nb4 25. Rf3 Nd5 26. Nxd5 cxd5 27. Raf1 Qe7 28. fxg6 fxg7 29. b4 Bg7 30. b5 axb5 31. Qb4 Qe2


click for larger view

Black tries to fight back with his own queenside pawns.

32. Qxd6 Qc4 33. Qd7 and now:

A) 33......b4 34. Rf7 Bxd4+ 35. Bxd4 Qxd4+ 36. Kh1 and now:

A1) 36..... Qe5 37. Rxh7 Rf8 38. Rhf7 Rad8 39. Qb7 Rb8 40. a6! Rxf7 41. Qxf7+ Kh8 42. a7 Ra8 43. Qb7 Qe8 44. Qxb4 Kg7 45. Re1 Qf8 46. Re7+ Kg8 47. Qe1 1-0

A2) 36.....b3 37. Qh3 h5 38. Qg3 Re6 39. Qg5 Qe3 40. Qxd5 Rae8 41. R7f3 Qe5 42. Qxb3 h4 43. Rf6 Qe4 44. h3 Kg7 45. Rf7+ Kg8 46. a6 Qe3 47. Qb2 Qe5 48. Qf2 1-0

B) 33.... Bxd4+ 34. Bxd4! Qxd4+ 35. Kh1 Qe5 36. Qxb5 d4 37. Qc4+ Kh8 38. h3 Rec8 39. Qa2 Rc7 40. Qf2 Qc5 41. Rf6 Rca7 42. Qe2 Random Visitor's computer gives +0.44 which is really good for white under his system>

Nov-05-06  Scarecrow: <twinlark> There are some problems with the diagram you posted. I wish we had that position :) But... Black's a6 and d6 pawns are missing, while White has an extra pawn on e6.
Nov-05-06  twinlark: <scarecrow>

Damn, that's what double vision does for you at 11:55pm. Is there an easier way of copying a FEN than to transcribe the whole position from scratch. I'll try it again:

<Hesam7> posted the following on p46 of <RV>'s forum (4 Nov):

23. d4 Nd3 24. Qd2 Nb4 25. Rf3 Nd5 26. Raf1 Qe7 27. Nxd5 cxd5 28. Qc3


click for larger view

28... Rac8 29. Qd3 Ra8 30. b4 Qe4 31. b5 Qxd3 32. Rxd3 axb5 33. Rb3 Re2 34. Rfb1 Bh6 35. Rxb5 Be3 36. Kh1 Bf4 37. Rxd5 Kg7 38. g3 Bd2 39. f6 Kxf6 40. Rxd6 Kg7 (eval: +0.35 @ depth 21 by Fruit 2.1)

Thanks scarecrow.

Nov-05-06  twinlark: <Ohio> Thanks for the permission...could I impose on you to delete my earlier offending message, the one with the stuffed up FEN?

Nov-05-06
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: <William Wallekers> says: I know, but why would black play Nd5 (the move you refer to) and weaken his pawn structure voluntarily?

Nov-05-06
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: <Rookfile> says: Well, I looked at some endgames, and confirmed Dionyseus's judgement that they are winning for white.

A position of interest arises after

23. d4 Nb4 24. Qd2 Nb4 25. Rf3 Nd5 26. Nxd5 cxd5 27. Raf1 Qe7 28. fxg6 fxg7 29. b4 Bg7 30. b5 axb5 31. Qb4 Qe2

Black tries to fight back with his own queenside pawns.

32. Qxd6 Qc4 33. Qd7 and now:

A) 33......b4 34. Rf7 Bxd4+ 35. Bxd4 Qxd4+ 36. Kh1 and now:

A1) 36..... Qe5 37. Rxh7 Rf8 38. Rhf7 Rad8 39. Qb7 Rb8 40. a6! Rxf7 41. Qxf7+ Kh8 42. a7 Ra8 43. Qb7 Qe8 44. Qxb4 Kg7 45. Re1 Qf8 46. Re7+ Kg8 47. Qe1 1-0

A2) 36.....b3 37. Qh3 h5 38. Qg3 Re6 39. Qg5 Qe3 40. Qxd5 Rae8 41. R7f3 Qe5 42. Qxb3 h4 43. Rf6 Qe4 44. h3 Kg7 45. Rf7+ Kg8 46. a6 Qe3 47. Qb2 Qe5 48. Qf2 1-0

B) 33.... Bxd4+ 34. Bxd4! Qxd4+ 35. Kh1 Qe5 36. Qxb5 d4 37. Qc4+ Kh8 38. h3 Rec8 39. Qa2 Rc7 40. Qf2 Qc5 41. Rf6 Rca7 42. Qe2 Random Visitor's computer gives +0.44 which is really good for white under his system

Nov-05-06
Premium Chessgames Member
  tamar: In the current line under discussion, I haven't seen much analysis of <RandomVisitor's> 27...Re4 line.

It arises after 23...Nd3 24 Qd2 Qb4 25 Rf3 Nd5 26 Nxd5 cxd5 27 Raf1 Re4


click for larger view

Now at first it looks like our bishop is boxed in at b6, but Shredder 8 on deep analysis (16 hours) suggests the following line:

28 fxg6 fxg6 29 Qg5 Qe6 30 Bd8 Bg7 31 Bf6 Rg4 32 Qc1 Rc8 33 Qd2 Rf8 34 h3 Re4 35 Bxg7 1.10/20


click for larger view

Black must exchange rooks, and White looks to have a grip on the position because of the weak pawn on a6.

Nov-05-06  Hesam7: <tamar> I have looked into this line. Black can try:

23... Nd3 24. Qd2 Nb4 25. Rf3 Nd5 26. Nxd5 cxd5 27. Raf1 Re4 28. fxg6 fxg6 29. Qg5 Qe6 30. Bd8 Bg7 31. Bf6 <Re1> 32. Bxg7 Rxf1+ 33. Rxf1 Kxg7:


click for larger view

How significant is our advantage? Black can not go to the pawn endgame. From the diagram Fruit 2.1 gives:

34. Qf4 Qe7 35. h3 Rb8 36. Qf2 Rb5 37. Qd2 Rb7 38. Kh2 Qe8 39. b4 Rf7 40. Rxf7 Qxf7 41. Kg3 Qc7 42. Kf3 Qc4 43. g3 (eval: +0.33 @ depth 17)

34. h3 Rf8 35. Rxf8 Kxf8 36. Kf2 Qf7 37. Kg3 Kg7 38. Qe3 Qc7 39. Kf3 Qf7 40. Ke2 Qb7 41. Qd2 Qb5 42. Kf3 Qf1 43. Kg3 Qb5 44. b4 Qc4 (eval: +0.28 @ depth 17)

Nov-06-06
Premium Chessgames Member
  tamar: Very interesting <Hesam7> I'll investigate with Shredder from 31...Re1.

Hopefully, White can demonstrate some subtle queen moves threatening the a6 pawn or the d5 pawn that keep Black tied down.

As you noted, Black cannot bail out under pressure with exchanges because the endgame is lost.

Nov-06-06  Hesam7: <all> This looks like a draw:

24. Qd2 Nb4 25. Rf3 Nd5 26. Raf1 Qe7 27. Nxd5 cxd5 28. fxg6 fxg6 29. b4 Qe4 30. b5 axb5 31. Qb4 Qe2 32. Qb3 Qc4 33. Rc3 Qxb3 34. Rxb3 Re2.

29... Qe4 is suggested by <RV> as the best for Black and it looks like it draws. Any improvements??

Nov-07-06  twinlark: <Ohio> Read and understood. I'll mention it.
Nov-07-06  RandomVisitor: <Hesam7>24. Qd2 Nb4 25. Rf3 Nd5 26. Raf1 Qe7 27. Nxd5 cxd5 28. fxg6 fxg6 29. b4 Qe4 30. b5 axb5 and now 31.Kh1!
Nov-07-06  RandomVisitor: <Hesam7>After 31.Kh1:

31...Bg7 32.Qb4 Qe2 33.Qxd6 Qc4 34.Rf7 b4 35.Bc5 b3 36.Qf4 Kh8 37.Rb7 Qd3 38.Qf7 ² (0.29) Depth: 18 00:06:32 10810kN

Nov-07-06
Premium Chessgames Member
  tamar: <Hesam7> In the line where we exchange on d5, Shredder is not able to make progress from your suggested improvement 31...Re1, although White retains a symbolic advantage.

24 Qd2 Nb4 25 Rf3 Nd5 26 Nxd5 cxd5 27 Raf1 Re4 28 fxg6 fxg6 29 Qg5 Qe6 30 Bd8 Bg7 31 Bf6 Re1

32 Bxg7 Rxf1+ 33 Rxf1 Kxg7 34 Qf4 Qe7
35 Qf3 (diverging from Fruit's 35 h3)35...Rb8 36 b3 Qe4 37 Qc3 Rf8 38 Re1


click for larger view

This looks very drawish. .44/20 Shredder 8

Nov-08-06  Brent Baccala: <OhioChessFan>, I know you said about a week ago that you thought he'd note 18. Qd2 in a post mortum.

You called it, man... good job!

Nov-08-06
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: Thank you, thank you very much. It's the only thing I've gotten right this game.
Nov-08-06
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: Nov. 6 Pg. 637 of the World Vs. GMAN page:

<As one specific example, 18. Qd2 was absolutely not a computer's first choice. I happened to host the forum, and it was really considered an afterthought. At that stage, <Thorsson> called it a "sleeper" move (or something similar) and <twinlark> assigned me the forum on the lines of "it might be worth a look". A day later, after much human analysis, it became our choice. I am betting GMAN references that move in his notes to the game as one that was good and also surprised him.>

Nov-08-06
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: <Hesam7> <RandomVisitor> and <tamar> bottom line. Do you think Black will play 25....Nd5 and what are our prospects if he does?
Nov-08-06  jepflast: From before our 22nd move, I had this line as a refutation of 25...Nd5. Is it still valid?

25. Rf3 Nd5 26. Nxd5 bxd5 27. Raf1 Re4 28. fxg6 fxg6 29. Qg5 Qe6 30. Rf6 Be7 31. Rxe6 Bxg5 32. Rxd6 Be3+ 33. Kh1 Bxd4 34. Bxd4 Rxd4 35. h3 and this is a won ending for white.

Nov-09-06
Premium Chessgames Member
  tamar: <Do you think Black will play 25....Nd5 and what are our prospects if he does?>

I think it likely. Right now I haven't seen a win redeploying our bishop through 30 d8, but I haven't analysed the alternative 30 Rf6, <jepflast>'s line just above, which if successful would make GM Nickel go into a dreary endgame.

Nov-09-06  Hesam7: <<jepflast>: From before our 22nd move, I had this line as a refutation of 25...Nd5. Is it still valid?

25. Rf3 Nd5 26. Nxd5 bxd5 27. Raf1 Re4 28. fxg6 fxg6 29. Qg5 Qe6 30. Rf6 Be7 31. Rxe6 Bxg5 32. Rxd6 Be3+ 33. Kh1 Bxd4 34. Bxd4 Rxd4 35. h3 and this is a won ending for white.>

I dont know if it is winning, after 35. h3:


click for larger view

35... Rd2 36. b4 Ra7 37. Kh2 Kg7 38. Rff6 Re7 39. Rfe6 Rf7 40. Rxa6 Rff2 41. Kg3 Rxg2 42. Kf4 Kf7 43. Re1 Rd4 44. Ke5 Rxb4 45. Ra7 Kg8 46. Kxd5 Rd2 47. Kc5 Rb8 (eval: +0.51 @ depth 21 by Fruit 2.1)

Nov-09-06  jepflast: <Hesam7><35... Rd2 36. b4 Ra7 37. Kh2 Kg7 38. Rff6 Re7 39. Rfe6 Rf7 40. Rxa6 Rff2 41. Kg3 Rxg2 42. Kf4 Kf7 43. Re1 Rd4 44. Ke5 Rxb4 45. Ra7 Kg8 46. Kxd5 Rd2 47. Kc5 Rb8 (eval: +0.51 @ depth 21 by Fruit 2.1)>

Play instead 37. Rf6, and I think you can see that black has no chance.

Nov-09-06  Hesam7: <jepflast> after:

25. Rf3 Nd5 26. Nxd5 cxd5 27. Raf1 Re4 28. fxg6 fxg6 29. Qg5 Qe6 30. Rf6 Be7 31. Rxe6 Bxg5 32. Rxd6 Be3+ 33. Kh1 Bxd4 34. Bxd4 Rxd4 35. h3 Rd2 36. b4 Ra7 37. R1f6:


click for larger view

It still looks like a draw:

37... Rd4 38. Rxa6 Rxa6 39. Rxa6 Rxb4 40. Ra8 Kg7 41. Kg1 d4 42. Kf2 Rb2 43. Kf3 d3 44. Ra7 Kh6 45. a6 Ra2 46. g3 Kg5 47. Rxh7 Rxa6 48. Rd7 Ra3 49. Ke4 d2 50. Rxd2 Rxg3 (eval: +0.47 @ depth 21 by Fruit 2.1)

Nov-10-06  Brent Baccala: Continuing on a post I made on the main forum, noting that he might want to trade knights on d5 because of the constricting effect on our bishop, has this forum looked at NOT retaking a black knight on d5? Maybe playing 26. Na4 instead?
Nov-10-06  jepflast: <Hesam7> Good find. Looks like I spoke too soon. I've been working on this lots more, and it's going to be a very difficult endgame.

Now I think White's best is 36. Rd7! where 36...Rxb2 will lose in a very long and complicated variation. So Black plays 36...Rc8 and it's hazy. But White still may be able to force a win.

If not, perhaps some finesse such as b2-b4 earlier in the game will win. Man, this is complicated.

Jump to page #   (enter # from 1 to 849)
search thread:   
< Earlier Kibitzing  · PAGE 23 OF 849 ·  Later Kibitzing>

NOTE: Create an account today to post replies and access other powerful features which are available only to registered users. Becoming a member is free, anonymous, and takes less than 1 minute! If you already have a username, then simply login login under your username now to join the discussion.

Please observe our posting guidelines:

  1. No obscene, racist, sexist, or profane language.
  2. No spamming, advertising, duplicate, or gibberish posts.
  3. No vitriolic or systematic personal attacks against other members.
  4. Nothing in violation of United States law.
  5. No cyberstalking or malicious posting of negative or private information (doxing/doxxing) of members.
  6. No trolling.
  7. The use of "sock puppet" accounts to circumvent disciplinary action taken by moderators, create a false impression of consensus or support, or stage conversations, is prohibited.
  8. Do not degrade Chessgames or any of it's staff/volunteers.

Please try to maintain a semblance of civility at all times.

Blow the Whistle

See something that violates our rules? Blow the whistle and inform a moderator.


NOTE: Please keep all discussion on-topic. This forum is for this specific user only. To discuss chess or this site in general, visit the Kibitzer's Café.

Messages posted by Chessgames members do not necessarily represent the views of Chessgames.com, its employees, or sponsors.
All moderator actions taken are ultimately at the sole discretion of the administration.

Participating Grandmasters are Not Allowed Here!

You are not logged in to chessgames.com.
If you need an account, register now;
it's quick, anonymous, and free!
If you already have an account, click here to sign-in.

View another user profile:
   
Home | About | Login | Logout | F.A.Q. | Profile | Preferences | Premium Membership | Kibitzer's Café | Biographer's Bistro | New Kibitzing | Chessforums | Tournament Index | Player Directory | Notable Games | World Chess Championships | Opening Explorer | Guess the Move | Game Collections | ChessBookie Game | Chessgames Challenge | Store | Privacy Notice | Contact Us

Copyright 2001-2025, Chessgames Services LLC