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OhioChessFan
Member since Apr-09-05 · Last seen May-03-26
______________ Moves Prediction Contest

<Main Focus>: Predicting how many moves in a game for each pairing.

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***Hall of Fame***
chessmoron chessforum

<Format>:

[player]-[player] [result] [# of MOVES]

==4 Different Scoring Methods==

Standard Moves Ranker (1st place-Over[3pts], 1st place-Under [7pts], Exact [10pts])

Bonus Ranker (3rd place-Over[1pts],2nd place-Over[2pts],3rd place-Under [5pts], 2nd place-Under [6pts]

Standard Moves/Bonus Ranker [Add all to together]

1st place Ranker [how many 1st place you have in Standard Moves Ranker]

For example:

<Note: Participants 3, 4, and 5 are predicated on nobody scoring an exact as Participant 2 did. If someone hits an exact, the closest score under and over will score the points for second place.>

Actual Game: [player]-[player] 0-1 45

Participant 1: [player]-[player] 1/2 45
Participant 2: [player]-[player] 0-1 45
Participant 3: [player]-[player] 0-1 44
Participant 4: [player]-[player] 0-1 43
Participant 5: [player]-[player] 0-1 46

Participant 1: No points even though 45 is correct. Results must be correct. If Result is wrong and moves # is correct...you get no points whatsoever

Participant 2: 10 pts rewarded for correct Result/moves #

Participant 3: 7 pts rewarded for closest under (1st-Under) to 45 moves

Participant 4: 6 pts rewarded for the 2nd closest under (2nd-Under) to 45 moves.

Participant 5: 3 pts rewarded closest OVER(1st-OVER) to 45 moves.

Again, the description of Participant 3, 4, and 5 are based on there being no exact prediction as made by Participant 2.

<IF> there is an exact or an under closest, the highest scoring over participant will be 2nd over. The second closest over will be 3rd over. The <ONLY> time there will be a first over is if there is no exact or under winner.

Things To Look At:
1. Game Collection: 1975 World Junior chess championship
2. Ongoing edits Vladimir Ostrogsky
3. Bio Adolf Zytogorski
4. Complete the Olympiad
5. Bio Lorenz Maximilian Drabke

7. Baden-Baden (1870)

11. Carl Mayet
12. Smbat Lputian

13. Brian Flowers

Pun Index Game Collection: Game of the Day & Puzzle of the Day Collections

>> Click here to see OhioChessFan's game collections.

Chessgames.com Full Member
   Current net-worth: 792 chessbucks
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   OhioChessFan has kibitzed 50007 times to chessgames   [more...]
   May-03-26 Chessgames - Music
 
OhioChessFan: Sonny Rollins - St Thomas https://youtu.be/PAZft3DPDq8?si=yVb...
 
   May-02-26 Penguincw chessforum
 
OhioChessFan: A belated Happy World Penguin Day.
 
   May-02-26 Abdusattorov vs A Woodward, 2026 (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: Thanks for the game cg.c
 
   May-01-26 Carlsen vs A Erigaisi, 2026
 
OhioChessFan: The aesthetics of the final position are fantastic.
 
   May-01-26 Kibitzer's Café (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: David Allan Coe - You Never Even Called Me By My Name https://youtu.be/LZbso7sNqv0?si=3gs...
 
   Apr-30-26 Gregory Shahade (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: <Who won Jeopardy yesterday? Greg Shahade Greg Shahade, who ended Jamie Ding’s historic 31-game winning streak just yesterday, is the newest 2-day champion, with a cumulative total of $54,601. > https://parade.com/news/who-won-jeo...
 
   Apr-29-26 Chessgames - Politics (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: <HMM: Indeed, polls don't really mean much with Trump. > Yeah. He should get on board with win the election, lose the country.
 
   Apr-28-26 chessgames.com chessforum (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: Greg Shahade deserves a home page link in Chess News. https://www.northjersey.com/story/e...
 
   Apr-28-26 A P Barnes vs NN, 1874 (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: Decent pun, but I suspect maybe there's better among the thousands submitted by people who have never had one selected.
 
   Apr-26-26 J Carleton vs G Pyrich, 1994 (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: Nice pun. <arek>, you tell us. What <would> be an example of a pyrrhic victory?
 
(replies) indicates a reply to the comment.

Moves Prediction Contest

Kibitzer's Corner
< Earlier Kibitzing  · PAGE 537 OF 849 ·  Later Kibitzing>
Apr-25-16  whiteshark: <Round 6 games have started.> Analogous to <Game of Thrones - Season 6 <>>
Apr-25-16  chessmoron: ♔ Norway 2016: <Round 6> Result ♔

<Chao-Topalov, 1/2-1/2 in 54 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['Karposian', '1/2-1/2', '45']]
2nd Under, 6 points: [['lostemperor', '1/2-1/2', '43']]

3rd Under, 5 points: [['SwitchingQuylthulg', '1/2-1/2', '40'], ['WinKing', '1/2-1/2', '40'], ['Golden Executive', '1/2-1/2', '40'], ['Penguincw', '1/2-1/2', '40']]

Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: []
3rd Over, 1 point1: []

===

<Eljanov-Grandelius, 1-0 in 40 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: [['Karposian', '1-0', '40']]
Under, 7 points: []
2nd Under, 6 points: [['whiteshark', '1-0', '38'], ['OhioChessFan', '1-0', '38']]

3rd Under, 5 points: [['wordfunph', '1-0', '36']]
Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: [['lostemperor', '1-0', '41'], ['juan31', '1-0', '41']]

3rd Over, 1 point1: []

===

<Giri-Harikrishna, 0-1 in 36 moves.>--No one got it!

===

<Kramnik-Aronian, 1/2-1/2 in 37 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['wordfunph', '1/2-1/2', '36'], ['chessmoron', '1/2-1/2', '36']]

2nd Under, 6 points: [['lostemperor', '1/2-1/2', '34']]

3rd Under, 5 points: []
Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: [['OhioChessFan', '1/2-1/2', '40'], ['Golden Executive', '1/2-1/2', '40']]

3rd Over, 1 point1: [['Karposian', '1/2-1/2', '42']]

===

<MVL-Carlsen, 1/2-1/2 in 65 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['Penguincw', '1/2-1/2', '48']]
2nd Under, 6 points: [['OhioChessFan', '1/2-1/2', '46']]

3rd Under, 5 points: [['SwitchingQuylthulg', '1/2-1/2', '41']]

Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: []
3rd Over, 1 point1: []

Apr-25-16  chessmoron: ♔ Norway 2016: <Round 6>

Perfect # moves predictions for this round goes to:

<Karposian>

Moves Ranker - Through <Round 6>

Score, User ID, Over, Under, Exact

57, Karposian, 0, 1, 5
35, wordfunph, 0, 5, 0
31, SwitchingQuylthulg, 0, 3, 1
27, WinKing, 0, 1, 2
20, juan31, 0, 0, 2
20, OhioChessFan, 1, 1, 1
17, Penguincw, 1, 2, 0
14, chessmoron, 0, 2, 0
13, lostemperor, 1, 0, 1
10, Golden Executive, 0, 0, 1
10, whiteshark, 0, 0, 1
6, alfamikewhiskey, 2, 0, 0

===

Bonus Ranker - Through <Round 6>

Score, UserID, 3-Over, 2-Over, 3-Under, 2-Under

55, lostemperor, 3, 2, 0, 8
39, Golden Executive, 1, 5, 2, 3
39, OhioChessFan, 1, 2, 2, 4
37, WinKing, 3, 3, 2, 3
35, chessmoron, 2, 0, 3, 3
35, Penguincw, 0, 5, 5, 0
34, whiteshark, 0, 0, 2, 4
29, wordfunph, 1, 1, 4, 1
28, SwitchingQuylthulg, 4, 2, 4, 0
21, Karposian, 2, 4, 1, 1
11, alfamikewhiskey, 0, 0, 1, 1
7, juan31, 3, 2, 0, 0

===

Moves+Bonus Ranker - Through <Round 6>

Score, UserID

78, Karposian
68, lostemperor
64, WinKing
64, wordfunph
59, OhioChessFan
59, SwitchingQuylthulg
52, Penguincw
49, chessmoron
49, Golden Executive
44, whiteshark
27, juan31
17, alfamikewhiskey

===

Moves Ranker (# of 1st place Under/Over) - Through <Round 6>

Score, UserID

6, Karposian
5, wordfunph
4, SwitchingQuylthulg
3, OhioChessFan
3, Penguincw
3, WinKing
2, alfamikewhiskey
2, chessmoron
2, juan31
2, lostemperor
1, Golden Executive
1, whiteshark

Apr-25-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: ** Round 6 Recap **

<Karposian> had another perfect 10 that round. All of the other competitors are going to sign a petition asking <Penguincw> to quit challenging <Karposian> any more. In any case, <Karposian> has the outright lead in 3 Rankers. <lostemperor> has not been intimidated by <Karposian's> smack talk duing his hot streak and continues to lead the Bonus Ranker.

3 rounds to go, as the competitors are considering banding together to stop <Karposian> ala John Kasich and Ted Cruz. Will the conspiracy work? Will <Karposian> make it a 3rd round in a row with a perfect? Can <Penguincw> summon up some determination and focus to make a late surge? Stay tuned for the end of our scintillating contest. 3 rounds to go.

Apr-25-16  Karposian: <OCF: 3 rounds to go, as the competitors are considering banding together to stop <Karposian> ala John Kasich and Ted Cruz. Will the conspiracy work?>

It won't work. Despite efforts by the MPC Leadership (OCF & cm) to rig this contest, I will secure enough points to win after the first ballot. So there's not gonna be a brokered cee-gee convention. My opponents are all low-energy, especially <"Lyin' Peng">. He dared challenging me, and look what happened!

#MakeThisContestGreatAgain

Apr-25-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  juan31: <Round 7 >

Aronian - Eljanov 1-0. 42
Carlsen - Kramnik 1/2 39
Harikrishna - Vachier-Lagrave 1/2 38
Topalov - Giri 1/2 40
Grandelius - Chao 1/2 39

Apr-26-16  wordfunph: Round 7:

Aronian - Eljanov 1/2 36
Carlsen - Kramnik 1/2 36
Harikrishna - Vachier-Lagrave 1/2 36
Topalov - Giri 1/2 36
Grandelius - Chao 0-1 36

Apr-26-16  chessmoron: Aronian - Eljanov 1-0. 43
Carlsen - Kramnik 1/2 45
Harikrishna - Vachier-Lagrave 1/2 40
Topalov - Giri 1/2 43
Grandelius - Chao 1/2 37
Apr-26-16  lostemperor: Round 7
Aronian - Eljanov 1-0 44
Carlsen - Kramnik 1-0 4
Harikrishna - Vachier-Lagrave 1/2 32
Topalov - Giri 1/2 36
Grandelius - Chao 0-1 44
Apr-26-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: Aronian - Eljanov 1/2 40
Carlsen - Kramnik 1/2 49
Harikrishna - Vachier-Lagrave 1/2 37
Topalov - Giri 0-1 30
Grandelius - Chao 1/2 44
Apr-26-16  whiteshark: <Round 7>

Aronian - Eljanov 1-0 38
Carlsen - Kramnik 1/2 50
Harikrishna - Vachier-Lagrave 1/2 45
Topalov - Giri 1/2 46
Grandelius - Chao 0-1 37

= = = = =

<lostemperor:
<Carlsen - Kramnik 1-0 4 >>

http://i1.kym-cdn.com/entries/icons... ;)

Apr-26-16  alfamikewhiskey: Round 7:

Aronian - Eljanov 1/2 34
Carlsen - Kramnik 1/2 34
Harikrishna - Vachier-Lagrave 0-1 34
Topalov - Giri 1/2 34
Grandelius - Chao 1-0 34

Apr-26-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: <Switch> has made picks with single digits before and he's done himself proud. I had Carlsen losing in 20 moves once, and had a good reason for doing so.
Apr-26-16  Golden Executive: Round 7:

Aronian - Eljanov 1/2 40
Carlsen - Kramnik 1/2 31
Harikrishna - Vachier-Lagrave 1/2 40
Topalov - Giri 1/2 40
Grandelius - Chao 0-1 31

Apr-26-16  Karposian: Round 7:

Aronian - Eljanov 1/2 42
Carlsen - Kramnik 1/2 45
Harikrishna - Vachier-Lagrave 1/2 36
Topalov - Giri 1/2 31
Grandelius - Chao 1/2 38

Apr-26-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: Round 7:

Aronian - Eljanov 1/2-1/2 48
Carlsen - Kramnik 1/2-1/2 48
Harikrishna - Vachier-Lagrave 1/2-1/2 48
Topalov - Giri 1/2-1/2 48
Grandelius - Li Chao 1/2-1/2 48

Apr-26-16  Karposian: Seeing <Penguincw>'s round 7 predictions, I sense a smell of desperation. He's not in a good place right now.
Apr-27-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  SwitchingQuylthulg: Round 7:

Aronian - Eljanov 1/2 43
Carlsen - Kramnik 1/2 37
Harikrishna - Vachier-Lagrave 1/2 41
Topalov - Giri 1/2 37
Grandelius - Li Chao 1/2 40

Apr-27-16  WinKing: Round 7

Aronian - Eljanov 1-0 45
Carlsen - Kramnik 1/2 40
Harikrishna - Vachier-LaGrave 1/2 40
Topalov - Giri 1/2 40
Grandelius - Li Chao 1/2 40

Apr-27-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  SwitchingQuylthulg: Round 7 games have started.
Apr-27-16  chessmoron: ♔ Norway 2016: <Round 6> Result ♔

<Aronian-Eljanov, 1-0 in 45 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: [['WinKing', '1-0', '45']]
Under, 7 points: []
2nd Under, 6 points: [['lostemperor', '1-0', '44']]
3rd Under, 5 points: [['chessmoron', '1-0', '43']]
Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: []
3rd Over, 1 point1: []

===

<Carlsen-Kramnik, 1-0 in 50 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['lostemperor', '1-0', '4']]
2nd Under, 6 points: []
3rd Under, 5 points: []
Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: []
3rd Over, 1 point1: []

===

<Harikrishna-MVL, 1/2-1/2 in 49 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['Penguincw', '1/2-1/2', '48']]
2nd Under, 6 points: [['whiteshark', '1/2-1/2', '45']]

3rd Under, 5 points: [['SwitchingQuylthulg', '1/2-1/2', '41']]

Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: []
3rd Over, 1 point1: []

===

<Topalov-Giri, 1/2-1/2 in 45 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['chessmoron', '1/2-1/2', '43']]
2nd Under, 6 points: [['WinKing', '1/2-1/2', '40'], ['Golden Executive', '1/2-1/2', '40'], ['juan31', '1/2-1/2', '40']]

3rd Under, 5 points: [['SwitchingQuylthulg', '1/2-1/2', '37']]

Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: [['whiteshark', '1/2-1/2', '46']]

3rd Over, 1 point1: [['Penguincw', '1/2-1/2', '48']]

===

<Grandelius-Chao, 1/2-1/2 in 93 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['Penguincw', '1/2-1/2', '48']]
2nd Under, 6 points: [['OhioChessFan', '1/2-1/2', '44']]

3rd Under, 5 points: [['SwitchingQuylthulg', '1/2-1/2', '40'], ['WinKing', '1/2-1/2', '40']]

Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: []
3rd Over, 1 point1: []

Apr-27-16  chessmoron: ♔ Norway 2016: <Round 7>

Perfect # moves predictions for this round goes to:

<WinKing>

Moves Ranker - Through <Round 7>

Score, User ID, Over, Under, Exact

57, Karposian, 0, 1, 5
37, WinKing, 0, 1, 3
35, wordfunph, 0, 5, 0
31, Penguincw, 1, 4, 0
31, SwitchingQuylthulg, 0, 3, 1
21, chessmoron, 0, 3, 0
20, juan31, 0, 0, 2
20, lostemperor, 1, 1, 1
20, OhioChessFan, 1, 1, 1
10, Golden Executive, 0, 0, 1
10, whiteshark, 0, 0, 1
6, alfamikewhiskey, 2, 0, 0

===

Bonus Ranker - Through <Round 7>

Score, UserID, 3-Over, 2-Over, 3-Under, 2-Under

61, lostemperor, 3, 2, 0, 9
48, WinKing, 3, 3, 3, 4
45, OhioChessFan, 1, 2, 2, 5
45, Golden Executive, 1, 5, 2, 4
43, SwitchingQuylthulg, 4, 2, 7, 0
42, whiteshark, 0, 1, 2, 5
40, chessmoron, 2, 0, 4, 3
36, Penguincw, 1, 5, 5, 0
29, wordfunph, 1, 1, 4, 1
21, Karposian, 2, 4, 1, 1
13, juan31, 3, 2, 0, 1
11, alfamikewhiskey, 0, 0, 1, 1

===

Moves+Bonus Ranker - Through <Round 7>

Score, UserID

85, WinKing
81, lostemperor
78, Karposian
74, SwitchingQuylthulg
67, Penguincw
65, OhioChessFan
64, wordfunph
61, chessmoron
55, Golden Executive
52, whiteshark
33, juan31
17, alfamikewhiskey

===

Moves Ranker (# of 1st place Under/Over) - Through <Round 8>

Score, UserID

6, Karposian
5, Penguincw
5, wordfunph
4, SwitchingQuylthulg
4, WinKing
3, chessmoron
3, lostemperor
3, OhioChessFan
2, alfamikewhiskey
2, juan31
1, Golden Executive
1, whiteshark

Apr-27-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: ** Round 7 (Or 6, or 8) Recap **

The excitement is apparently too much for <chessmoron> as he can't decide just what round it is.

<Norway 2016: <Round 6> Result >

<Moves+Bonus Ranker - Through <Round 7>>

<Moves Ranker (# of 1st place Under/Over) - Through <Round 8>>

<WinKing> had a huge 21 point round, including a perfect 10, and has jumped into the Moves+Bonus Ranker lead. <Karposian> got a little overconfident, lost focus, and didn't score a point that round, while his allegedly desperate nemesis <Penguince> scored 14 while sneaking up to second in #1 Ranker. <Karposian> still leads in 2 Rankers. <lostemperor> continued his solid performance and still leads Bonus Ranker.

Can <chessmoron> figure out what round it is? Can <Karposian> overcome his lack of concentration to hold on to the lead in 2 rankers? Will <Penguincw> make more desperate picks that work out? Will someone tell <wordfunph> that Ted Cruz didn't name Carly Simon as his VP candidate? Stay tuned to our exhilirating contest for the answers to these and many other pressing questions. 2 rounds to go.

Apr-27-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: < OCF: ... <lostemperor> has not been intimidated by <Karposian's> smack talk duing his hot streak and continues to lead the Bonus Ranker. >

Who <is> intimidated?

< 3 rounds to go, as the competitors are considering banding together to stop <Karposian> ala John Kasich and Ted Cruz. >

That's a great idea. However, as proven in real life, it might not work out. Might be better just to defeat him the normal way.

< Karposian: Despite efforts by the MPC Leadership (OCF & cm) to rig this contest... >

Still mad about Sinquefield 2014?

< My opponents are all low-energy, especially <"Lyin' Peng">. >

I think low-time might be a better way to describe me. :) However, I am one of the most honest people I know, if you ask me. (thanks for calling me <Peng> though)

But if I'm Cruz (he is Canadian, but if I were American, I'd go democrat), who does that make you?

< #MakeThisContestGreatAgain >

...

< Seeing <Penguincw>'s round 7 predictions, I sense a smell of desperation. >

It seems like your definition of desperation seems to be the following:

1) Making adjustments to your strategy as the tournament goes along.

2) Choosing the same # of moves and result for each game (which happens all the time).

< He's not in a good place right now. >

Are you saying I'm not in heaven?

Wait, is this the Rogoff page?

Apr-27-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  juan31: <Round 8: >

Eljanov - Chao 1/2 38
Giri - Grandelius 1-0 41
Vachier-Lagrave - Topalov 1/2
Kramnik - Harikrishna 1-0. 40
Aronian - Carlsen 1/2. 39

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