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OhioChessFan
Member since Apr-09-05 · Last seen Nov-18-25
______________ Moves Prediction Contest

<Main Focus>: Predicting how many moves in a game for each pairing.

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***Hall of Fame***
chessmoron chessforum

<Format>:

[player]-[player] [result] [# of MOVES]

==4 Different Scoring Methods==

Standard Moves Ranker (1st place-Over[3pts], 1st place-Under [7pts], Exact [10pts])

Bonus Ranker (3rd place-Over[1pts],2nd place-Over[2pts],3rd place-Under [5pts], 2nd place-Under [6pts]

Standard Moves/Bonus Ranker [Add all to together]

1st place Ranker [how many 1st place you have in Standard Moves Ranker]

For example:

<Note: Participants 3, 4, and 5 are predicated on nobody scoring an exact as Participant 2 did. If someone hits an exact, the closest score under and over will score the points for second place.>

Actual Game: [player]-[player] 0-1 45

Participant 1: [player]-[player] 1/2 45
Participant 2: [player]-[player] 0-1 45
Participant 3: [player]-[player] 0-1 44
Participant 4: [player]-[player] 0-1 43
Participant 5: [player]-[player] 0-1 46

Participant 1: No points even though 45 is correct. Results must be correct. If Result is wrong and moves # is correct...you get no points whatsoever

Participant 2: 10 pts rewarded for correct Result/moves #

Participant 3: 7 pts rewarded for closest under (1st-Under) to 45 moves

Participant 4: 6 pts rewarded for the 2nd closest under (2nd-Under) to 45 moves.

Participant 5: 3 pts rewarded closest OVER(1st-OVER) to 45 moves.

Again, the description of Participant 3, 4, and 5 are based on there being no exact prediction as made by Participant 2.

<IF> there is an exact or an under closest, the highest scoring over participant will be 2nd over. The second closest over will be 3rd over. The <ONLY> time there will be a first over is if there is no exact or under winner.

Things To Look At:
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7. Baden-Baden (1870)

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Pi Day
rreusser/computing-with-the-bailey-borwein-plouffe-formula">https://observablehq.com/(at)rreusser/...

Pun Index Game Collection: Game of the Day & Puzzle of the Day Collections

>> Click here to see OhioChessFan's game collections.

Chessgames.com Full Member
   Current net-worth: 792 chessbucks
[what is this?]

   OhioChessFan has kibitzed 49365 times to chessgames   [more...]
   Nov-18-25 Chessgames - Music
 
OhioChessFan: Wow, that is awesome. Here's Alvin Lee in his early days: 10 Years After-Love Like a Man https://youtu.be/K2nsJIjF5E4?si=Iwx...
 
   Nov-18-25 S P Sethuraman vs C Anto, 2025
 
OhioChessFan: <redundant> I never noticed that. I had 5 semesters of college German so I have a basic knowledge of the language. I guess the different languages of "time" in the same sentence render it acceptable. Monty Python just doesn't work for me. I like maybe 10% of their stuff.
 
   Nov-16-25 Chessgames - Politics (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: While I disagree with <al wazir> on much, I acknowledge he's by far the best of the bunch in argumentation.
 
   Nov-14-25 McShane vs I Samunenkov, 2025
 
OhioChessFan: Nice analysis from Mikhail Golubev https://www.chess.com/blog/MikhailG...
 
   Nov-14-25 Mikhail Golubev
 
OhioChessFan: I just played over the Samunenkov game. What do you think of the Petroff in general? Do you need to be booked up on the latest lines or can you just rely on general principles?
 
   Nov-14-25 V Biliy vs V Golovach, 2003
 
OhioChessFan: Wildly entertaining game that lasted a long time with an odd material imbalance. 41...Ke5 was losing, as it gave up the skewer on the two Rooks on the long diagonal. 41...Kd7 would have been fine.
 
   Nov-13-25 D Moody vs D Helf, 1976
 
OhioChessFan: "Dewey, I'm Cut in Helf Pretty Bad"
 
   Nov-12-25 Nakamura vs T Dokka, 2025
 
OhioChessFan: "Dokka Shame"
 
   Nov-12-25 J Bars vs M Hohlbein, 2024 (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: Wow, what an amazing game to review.
 
   Nov-11-25 Morphy vs A Morphy, 1850
 
OhioChessFan: From 7 years ago, I stand corrected. 17...Kb1 18. 0-0 and White is crushing.
 
(replies) indicates a reply to the comment.

Moves Prediction Contest

Kibitzer's Corner
< Earlier Kibitzing  · PAGE 568 OF 849 ·  Later Kibitzing>
Dec-06-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  offramp: Round 1 Friday 9 Dec:

Aronian-Adams 1-0 41
Nakamura-So 1/2 31
Vachier-Lagrave-Giri 1/2 30
Caruana-Anand 1-0 38
Kramnik-Topalov 1-0 45

Dec-06-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  Jonathan Sarfati: <Big Pawn> is just an equal opportunity abuser. He is also a liar, dishonorably putting words in my mouth. I certainly don't need lessons in how to defend the faith from that person. It's also typical of evolutionary compromisers to appease atheopaths and adopt their tactics because they have been shamed by consistent biblical (‘young earth’) creation.
Dec-06-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  Jonathan Sarfati: <Big Pawn> is just an equal opportunity abuser. He is also a liar, dishonorably putting words in my mouth. I certainly don't need lessons in how to defend the faith from that person. It's also typical of evolutionary compromisers to appease atheopaths and adopt their tactics because they have been shamed by consistent biblical (‘young earth’) creation.

And since ‘ad hominem’ = “to the person”, this pawn certainly did resort to this, whether I presented and argument or not.

Dec-06-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: <Jonathan> I have concluded that the more educated the person, particularly at the college level and up, the more likely the Christian is to abandon the truth of the Bible and seek to compromise with the claims of science. Why? Because they fear being labelled ignorant or something while in college and don't defend the faith once revealed. Whereupon the Science side appeals to such people as proof that the more educated/intelligent you are, the more likely you are to reject young earth creation! I think the Christian world in general has done a poor job in educating the younger generation in these matters. I realize that the gospel message is primary, but I also think teaching people how to intellectually defend the gospel must be part of the educational process.

As for me, the Bible says what it says and science needs to compromise with that. There is simply no room for aeons of time in the creation account that stands up to a plain reading of the Scriptures.

In any event, if someone wants to think me undecuated or unintelligent thereby, I am officially losing no sleep over it.

Regarding your last post, while I agree with your thought of "typical" behavior, it's unfair to attribute that individually to <BP>, at least so far as he's stated his position.

Dec-06-16  YouRang: <diceman: <YouRang: Perhaps because I am a former atheist myself, I am able to better see Christianity from an "outsider's" perspective.>

Perhaps you are looking for trouble, because you were an atheist "insider?">

This strikes my as a funny question. Is it your general view that when unbelievers look at Christianity, they are "looking for trouble"? This makes me wonder where you think believers come from.

~~~~~

<Which religion, "won you over?">

Are you sure you don't want to risk making a guess?

Dec-06-16  Big Pawn: <DR LOL: And since ‘ad hominem’ = “to the person”, >

The essence of the term explains a fallacious attempt to win an argument.

That was not the case, Mr. Magniloquent. Just accept it and move on lest you become like <abdel>.

<ohio: OhioChessFan: <Jonathan> I have concluded that the more educated the person, particularly at the college level and up, the more likely the Christian is to abandon the truth of the Bible and seek to compromise with the claims of science. Why? Because they fear being labelled ignorant or something while in college and don't defend the faith once revealed. Whereupon the Science side appeals to such people as proof that the more educated/intelligent you are, the more likely you are to reject young earth creation!>

It is impossible to improve on this summary.

<DR LOL: He is also a liar,>

You should check your anger. I've lied about nothing. I merely expressed myself after reading your unnecessarily harsh remarks on your forum to posters that I am partial to.

Look <DR LOL>, you're becoming a bit unhinged here, going on about me being a liar and all that.

<difference between Insult and Ad Hominem>

Pay attention smarty pants and learn something from your new <uncle pawn>.

There is a difference between an insult and Ad Hominem.

<The term “ad hominem” is Latin, meaning “to the man”. It indicates that your argument is directed at the person making it, rather than at the argument proper.

merely insulting someone does not rise to the level of an ad hominem attack or fallacy. One must make the insult as a PREMISE of the argument, rather than as part of the CONCLUSION>

http://the-orbit.net/lousycanuck/20...

<'Ad hominem' refers to an argument style; it is an attempt to invalidate a claim, statement, or argument because of some personal characteristic of the person making the claim.

An insult is just an insult. An insult doesn't (by itself) aim to invalidate or refute a claim or argument, it just puts someone down.>

https://www.quora.com/What-is-the-d...

<We are usually talking about the "ad hominem fallacy": Claiming something about the person making an argument doesn't make the argument right or wrong, and assuming it does is a fallacy.

It's not a fallacy if you don't make any claims about the argument.>

http://philosophy.stackexchange.com...

<An ad hominem is not the same as just any other insult. I see this happen a few times before on this site and else, an argument occurs, one guy insults the other, and the next person yells out "ad hominem"

Insults and ad hominems are both personal attacks, but an ad hominem is a personal attack disguised as an argument. An ad hominem takes the logic of an argument, and applies it to an insult.>

http://www.debate.org/forums/Debate...

<In a delicious twist of irony, many of these false accusations actually amount to genuine ad hominems themselves. Here's the typical pattern I have in mind: Person A makes an argument sprinkled with insults. Person B objects, "That's an ad hominem!", and refuses to address the substance of A's arguments.

The problem is that people commonly object to any form of insult as ad hominems. But this is mistaken. An ad hominem fallacy is when you reject your opponent's argument because of some characteristic of the advocate that is irrelevant to the content of the argument made.>

http://www.philosophyetc.net/2005/0...

Learn the difference between Ad Hominem and Insult.

Dec-06-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  Jonathan Sarfati: <Big Pawn>, move on yourself, and take your dishonest straw men and abusive ad hominem attacks with you.
Dec-06-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  Jonathan Sarfati: <OhioChessFan:> Yes, I think you are right about that peer pressure plays a big part, and that the church has not done the best job at preparing young people. Too many youth programs focus on entertainment and appeal to emotions rather than training the mind. Compare http://creation.com/church-losing-y... and http://creation.com/emotional-highs...

Defend that pawn if you want, but it should be obvious which one has resorted to abuse and dishonesty. He is also pigheadedly doubling down on it.

Dec-06-16  Big Pawn: <DR Smarty Pants: <Big Pawn>, move on yourself, and take your dishonest straw men and abusive ad hominem attacks with you.>

A straw man is an argument that one sets up in place of the actual argument being put forth by his opponent, particularly, an argument that is easy to refute.

I've not proposed any arguments so I have not pushed a straw man. I have not attempted to refute your argument (you have none, you are just bickering) with ad hominem attacks, so you need to realize you were merely mocked.

How is it possible that you are so sloppy with these elementary philosophical terms?

<Defend that pawn if you want, but it should be obvious which one has resorted to abuse and dishonesty.>

I've resorted to correcting you, for free. Learn the difference between an insult and an ad hominem attack. Then learn what a straw man really is.

If you continue to carry on about these two terms, which you misused, then I will be the one grabbing the definitions from all of the top .edu sites on the internet, and you will be the one saying that me and all the top universities are wrong.

<entertainment and emotions>

It's not just the kids that are having their time wasted with these things. It's the church at large. Most people go to church for years and years and nothing changes in their lives. They are still angry, still resentful, still have messed up families, messed up kids, messed up relationships, unable to forgive certain people for certain things, unable to find peace and joy and so on.

People are not finding their minds renewed at church. They just go and do their time on Sunday. They learn to quote bible verses left and right, but they experience no real change. Pastors and other church leaders just get up and preach every Sunday and do not shepherd the people on a level that matters. It's all feel good stuff aimed at keeping congregations of mostly women coming back each week.

Almost 100% of those attending church ought to be heading for a total change of life and total change of understanding. This is not happening on any level at all.

Sure, Jesus gave sermons but he also engage people on a personal level and helped them gain insight and understanding by asking them question. In a way, Jesus led people in a sort of Socratic way. He employed a bit of the Socratic Method and caused people to <think> and reflect. This is almost entirely absent in church today.

Dec-06-16  Golden Executive: London Chess Classic 2016 Pairings

Round 1 Friday 9 Dec

Aronian-Adams
Nakamura-So
Vachier-Lagrave-Giri
Caruana-Anand
Kramnik-Topalov

Round 2 Saturday 10 Dec

Kramnik-Aronian
Topalov-Caruana
Anand-Vachier-Lagrave
Giri-Nakamura
So-Adams

Round 3 Sunday 11 Dec

Aronian-So
Adams-Giri
Nakamura-Anand
Vachier-Lagrave-Topalov
Caruana-Kramnik

Round 4 Monday 12 Dec

Caruana-Aronian
Kramnik-Vachier-Lagrave
Topalov-Nakamura
Anand-Adams
Giri-So

Round 5 Tuesday 13 Dec

Aronian-Giri
So-Anand
Adams-Topalov
Nakamura-Kramnik
Vachier-Lagrave-Caruana

Rest Day
Wednesday 14 Dec

Round 6 Thursday 15 Dec

Vachier-Lagrave-Aronian
Caruana-Nakamura
Kramnik-Adams
Topalov-So
Anand-Giri

Round 7 Friday 16 Dec

Aronian-Anand
Giri-Topalov
So-Kramnik
Adams-Caruana
Nakamura-Vachier-Lagrave

Round 8 Saturday 17 Dec

Nakamura-Aronian
Vachier-Lagrave-Adams
Caruana-So
Kramnik-Giri
Topalov-Anand

Round 9 Sunday 18 Dec

Aronian-Topalov
Anand-Kramnik
Giri-Caruana
So-Vachier-Lagrave
Adams-Nakamura

Dec-06-16  Golden Executive: Round 1 Friday 9 Dec

Aronian-Adams 1-0 36
Nakamura-So 1/2 40
Vachier-Lagrave-Giri 1/2 40
Caruana-Anand 1/2 36
Kramnik-Topalov 1/2 40

Dec-06-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: I missed last contest (although I would've fared poorly), so don't want to miss it this time around!

Round 1:

Aronian - Adams 1-0 40
Nakamura - So 1/2-1/2 36
Vachier-Lagrave - Giri 1/2-1/2 37
Caruana - Anand 1/2-1/2 33
Kramnik - Topalov 1-0 42

Dec-06-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: I request the current discussion be put on hold as the contest for the London Chess Classic gets into gear.
Dec-06-16  chessmoron: Let the picks BEGIN!

Aronian-Adams 1-0 40
Nakamura-So 1/2 43
Vachier-Lagrave-Giri 1/2 40
Caruana-Anand 1/2 39
Kramnik-Topalov 1/2 30

Dec-06-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  Jonathan Sarfati: <Big Pawn> is too obtuse and logic-challenged even to admit his own failings. Putting words into my mouth was definitely a straw man and very dishonest, e.g. the "icky b-players" rubbish.

I don't need lessons in logic from this person (compare http://creation.com/loving-god-with...). And why would anyone want to "sit in the company of mockers" (cf. Psalm 1:1), especially witless achievement-free ones like the pawn?

Dec-06-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  Jonathan Sarfati: However I agree completely with what <Big Pawn> wrote under "<entertainment and emotions>".
Dec-07-16  Colonel Mortimer: <Jonathan Sarfati: <Big Pawn> is too obtuse and logic-challenged even to admit his own failings. Putting words into my mouth was definitely a straw man and very dishonest, e.g. the "icky b-players" rubbish.>

Don't sweat it, it's his modus operandi - he's at it most of the time on the Rogoff forum and gets similarly slaughtered, only to proclaim some fantasy victory.

Dec-07-16  alfamikewhiskey: LCC, Round 1

Aronian-Adams 1/2 36
Nakamura-So 1/2 33
Vachier-Lagrave-Giri 1/2 32
Caruana-Anand 1-0 38
Kramnik-Topalov 1/2 34

Dec-07-16  diceman: <YouRang: <diceman: <YouRang: Perhaps because I am a former atheist myself, I am able to better see Christianity from an "outsider's" perspective.>

Perhaps you are looking for trouble, because you were an atheist "insider?">

This strikes my as a funny question.>

Yes, I find mirrors tend to do that.

<Is it your general view that when unbelievers look at Christianity, they are "looking for trouble"?>

More safety/ free pass.
Atheism is a type of religious, "safe-zone."

<Are you sure you don't want to risk making a guess?>

I'm sure you don't like to answer questions.

Of course, it could just be this:

<safety/ free pass>

Dec-07-16  wordfunph: Round 1:

Aronian-Adams 1/2 32
Nakamura-So 1/2 32
Vachier-Lagrave-Giri 1/2 32
Caruana-Anand 1/2 32
Kramnik-Topalov 1-0 46

Dec-07-16  sea otter: Round 1:

Aronian-Adams 1/2 44
Nakamura-So 1/2 49
Vachier-Lagrave-Giri 1/2 56
Caruana-Anand 1/2 50
Kramnik-Topalov 1/2 46

Dec-07-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: Aronian-Adams 1-0 33
Nakamura-So 1/2 37
Vachier-Lagrave-Giri 1/2 40
Caruana-Anand 1/2 41
Kramnik-Topalov 1/2 40
Dec-07-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: ** Welcome to Our Contest **

Reach your goals of cyber fame and fortune in the London Chess Classic Moves Prediction Contest! Plot your strategy, study the player games and head to head results, flip a coin, throw darts, use a Ouija board, or whatever else you wish, and make your game and move selections. Be sure to visit User: golden executive for his Games Prediction Contest, where you don't need to guess the number of moves, just the game results. And also check out User: lostemperor for his Final Standings Contest, where you predict the order of finish.

The chess world took a collective breath after our stunning World Chess Championship Moves Prediction Contest, and are ready again to watch our expert predictors chase their dreams. The early betting line from Vegas runs thusly:

<WinKing> 3-1

<SwitchingQuylthulg> 3.14159-1

<alfamikewhiskey> 4-1

<wordfunph> 5-1

<offramp> 6-1

<GoldenExecutive> 6-1

<Penguincw> 7-1

<Karposian> if he shows up 7.001-1

<sea otter> 8-1

<chessmoron> 1000-1

<OhioChessFan> Snowball's Chance-1

The odds will be updated as more contestants join. Stay tuned, we'll be getting started tomorrow.

Dec-08-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Good luck chessmoron and OhioChessFan!

Round 1
Aronian-Adams 1-0 50
Nakamura-So 1/2 44
Vachier-Lagrave-Giri 1/2 42
Caruana-Anand 1-0 44
Kramnik-Topalov 1/2 44

Round 2
Kramnik-Aronian 1/2 37
Topalov-Caruana 1/2 38
Anand-Vachier-Lagrave 1/2 43
Giri-Nakamura 1/2 46
So-Adams 1/2 46

Round 3
Aronian-So 1-0 45
Adams-Giri 1/2 44
Nakamura-Anand 1/2 44
Vachier-Lagrave-Topalov 1/2 46
Caruana-Kramnik 1-0 48

Dec-08-16
Premium Chessgames Member
  SwitchingQuylthulg: Round 1:

Aronian - Adams 1/2 38
Nakamura - So 1/2 40
Vachier-Lagrave - Giri 1/2 41
Caruana - Anand 1/2 42
Kramnik - Topalov 1/2 41

Also, c$1,000 on <WinKing> at 3:1!

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