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lostemperor
Member since Feb-18-03 · Last seen Feb-02-25
♔♕♖
<FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS' CONTEST FORUM>

Predict the final standings of Tata Steel tournament January 12

Format example to post your predictions

1.Caruana
1. Erigaisi
3. Gukesh
4. Abdusattorov
5. Wei Yi
5. Harikrishna
5. Praggnanandhaa
8. Giri
9. Keymer
10. Fedoseev
11.Van Foreest
12. Sarina
12. Warmerdam
12. Mendonca

Good Luck!


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Some years ago I came up with a new but simple system to calculate the final standings of a tournament including all players. This is how it goes:

For each correct standing you'll get a maximum amount of points. Each prediction deviation from the actual player standing in the tournament, will deduct one point from your total (ABSOLUTE RANKER).

In case of a shared player's standing the average standing counts (both actual and in your predictions).

The SQUARE RANKER, squares your predictions' deviations. Here only medals are awarded if the winner s is not the same person s as in the absolute ranker.

Same goes for the The PAIR BETTING RANKER compare all possible pair outcomes of the tournament participants.

The three best predictions will get Real Virtual Gold Silver and Bronze!

Note: only one set of medals is awarded (in the absolute ranker) unless another ranker produces a different winner.

Special thanks to <YouRang> who made a software to calculate these numbers.

Our new contest manager for game results prediction User: Golden Executive during the tournament also ([1-0], [1/2], [0-1])!

or predict the # of moves in User: ohiochessfan organized by <chessmoron>

Enjoy!


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<HALL <OF> FAME>

WannaBe 10♔ 5♕ 4♖

~~~~
♔♔♔♔♔ ♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♖♖♖♖SwitchingQuylthulg

~~~~

♔♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♕♖♖♖YouRang

~~~~~~

♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♖Aurora
♔♔♔♔♕♕♖suenteus po 147
♔♔♔♔♖♖♖Penguincw

~~~~~~

♔♔♔♕♕♕♖♖♖lostemperor
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖♖♖chessmoron
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖rogge
♔♔♔♕♕♖cromat
♔♔♔♕♖Robin01
~~~~

♔♔♕♕♕♕WinKing
♔♔♕♕♕♖percyblakeney
♔♔♕♖♖♖yalie
♔♔♕♖wordfunph
♔♔♕♖Ragh
♔♔♕♖Ezzy
♔♔Golden Executive
♔♔SloVice
♔♔positionalgenius
♔♔amadeus

~~~~

♔♕♕♕♕♖♖OhioChessFan
♔♕♕♖Diademas
♔♕♖nimh
♔♕♖ahmadov
♔♕♖CHESSBOOKIE
♔♕Keysersoze
♔♕Where is my mind
♔♕Appaz
♔♖♖moronovich*
♔♖Golden Executive*
♔♖Montreal1666
♔♖Troewa

~~~~

♔Beholder
♔juan31
♔wtwz
♔Twinlark
♔SoUnwiseTheKnight B4
♔NGambit
♔benjinathan
♔DCP23
♔firebyrd
♔kellmano
♔Stonehenge
♔cu8sfan
♔larrewl
♔babakova
♔djmercury
♔mikejaqua
♔Joshka,
♔SnoopDogg
♔Like a GM

*may be incomplete

♔ Gold
♕ Silver
♖ Bronze


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♙♙

>> Click here to see lostemperor's game collections.

Chessgames.com Full Member

   lostemperor has kibitzed 7712 times to chessgames   [more...]
   Feb-02-25 lostemperor chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: <Keyser Soze>,<0ZeR0>,<Penguincw> won gold each! Congratulations!
 
   Apr-20-24 Golden Executive chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: It is fixed! I had an expert looking at it.
 
   Jan-18-24 OhioChessFan chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: Betcha you. Right damn
 
   Jan-11-24 Tata Steel Masters (2024) (replies)
 
lostemperor: ♔♕♖ Announcement ♔♕♖ Join the annual Tata Teel Chess final standings prediction contest at lostemperor chessforum 1. Ding 2. Nepomniachtchi 3. Firouzja 4, Giri 5. Praggnanandhaa 6. Maghsoodloo 7. Vidit 8.Wei 9. Abdusattorov
 
   Feb-26-23 WR Chess Masters (2023) (replies)
 
lostemperor: The predictions' winners on the final standings of WR Chess on my forum <Penquincw>♔, <Golden Executive>♔, <Chesschronicle22>♕, <OhioChessFan>♕, <Messiah>♖
 
   Jan-30-23 Tata Steel Masters (2023) (replies)
 
lostemperor: Winners of the TATA STEEL CHESS 2023 FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTION'S CONTEST at my forum <Firouzjias>♔♔♖, <tuttifrutty>♔♕♖, <lostemperor>♕♕, <Messiah>♖
 
(replies) indicates a reply to the comment.

FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS

Kibitzer's Corner
< Earlier Kibitzing  · PAGE 102 OF 285 ·  Later Kibitzing>
Feb-24-11
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Indeed it is <OhioChessFan>. Once you made your predictions here there is little you can do to change things. I usually do a lot worse here than in the game result contest of <YouRang> (;
Feb-24-11
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: The 19th Amber Blindfold and Rapid Farewell Jubilee Edition tournament takes place from March 13 (first round) to March 25 (last round) at the Palais de la Mediterranée, splendidly located on the famous Promenade des Anglais, number 13-15, in Nice.

The twelve participants are:

1. Carlsen
2. Anand
3. Aronian
4. Kramnik
5. Karjakin
6. Topalov
7. Grischuk
8. Ivanchuk
9. Nakamur
10. Gashimov
11. Gelfand
12. Giri

Official website: http://www.amberchess20.com/

Mar-02-11
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Well I hope there will be enough participants for Amber chess tournamennt. Here my predictions

1. Carlsen
2. Anand
3. Kramnik
3. Aronian
5. Topalov
6. Karjakin
6. Grischuk
6. Ivanchuk
6. Nakamura
6. Gashimov
11. Gelfand
12. Giri

I agree this to be very difficult..!

Mar-02-11
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: or at least a totally different kind of tournament:)
Mar-02-11  wordfunph: my predictions..

1. Carlsen
2. Aronian
3. Topalov
4. Kramnik
5. Anand
6. Ivanchuk
7. Nakamura
8. Gelfand
9. Grischuk
10. Giri
11. Karjakin
12. Gashimov

Mar-02-11  YouRang: Well, IMO trying to make predictions about rapid and blindfold tournaments is a bit like trying to nail Jell-O to a wall, but I'll give it a try:

1.Anand
2.Nakamura
2.Carlsen
2.Aronian
5.Grischuk
5.Topalov
5.Ivanchuk
8.Kramnik
8.Karjakin
10.Gelfand
11.Gashimov
11.Giri

Thanks <lostemperor>!

Mar-02-11
Premium Chessgames Member
  SwitchingQuylthulg: 1. Ivanchuk
2. Carlsen
3. Aronian
4. Anand
4. Grischuk
4. Kramnik
4. Karjakin
4. Nakamura
9. Topalov
9. Gelfand
9. Gashimov
12. Giri
Mar-02-11  Ragh: My predictions for Amber Tournament..

1. Anand
2. Carlsen
3. Topalov
4. Nakamura
5. Aronian
6. Kramnik
7. Ivanchuk
8. Giri
9. Grischuk
10. Gelfand
11. Karjakin
12. Gashimov

Mar-07-11
Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: My predictions for the Amber tournament:

1.Anand
1.Carlsen
3.Aronian
3.Kramnik
5.Ivanchuk
5.Nakamura
7.Grischuk
7.Karjakin
7.Topalov
7.Giri
11.Gelfand
11.Gashimov

Mar-08-11  cromat: my amber pred:
1. Carlsen
2. Anand
3. Topalov
4. Aronian
5. Ivanchuk
6. Grischuk
7. Gelfand
8. Kramnik
9. Nakamura
10. Karjakin
11. Gashimov
12. Giri
Mar-09-11
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: 1. Anand
2. Karjakin
3. Nakamura
4. Carlsen
5. Aronian
6. Kramnik
7. Ivanchuk
8. Grischuk
9. Topalov
10. Giri
11. Gelfand
12. Gashimov
Mar-10-11  rogge: This is a tough one :)

1-2: Carlsen-Aronian
3-5: Ivanchuk-Kramnik-Anand
6-8: Karjakin-Nakamura-Gelfand
9-11: Topalov-Gashimov-Grischuk
12: Giri

Mar-10-11  Aurora: Amber final standing prediction:

1) Kramnik
2) Aronian
3-4) Carlsen, Anand
5-7) Nakamura, Ivanchuk, Topalov
8-9) Karjakin, Grischuk
10) Gashimov
11) Giri
12) Gelfand

Mar-11-11
Premium Chessgames Member
  WannaBe: Better get my guesses in before the 13th...

1. Kramnik
2. Anand
3. Aronian
3. Topalov
5. Carlsen
5. Karjakin
5. Nakamura
8. Giri
8. Grischuk
8. Ivanchuk
11. Gashimov
11. Gelfand

Mar-12-11
Premium Chessgames Member
  moronovich: This is difficult,but here we go :

1.Aronian
2.Anand
2.Carlsen
4.Nakamura
4.Ivanchuk
6.Kramnik
6.Karjakin
8.Giri
8.Topalov
10.Gelfand
10.Grischuk
12.Gashimov

Mar-12-11
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: I will have an update at least at the restdays. Enjoy the contest and the tournament all (especially those who joined:))!
Mar-13-11
Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: Ok lostemperor.And I am enjoying the tournament.
Mar-15-11
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Thanks <Penguincw>! You might be curious about the rankings after 4 rounds coming up now:)
Mar-15-11
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <<<ROUND 4 UPDATE>

AMBER BLINDFOLD/RAPID TOURNAMENT 2011!>

1. Aronian 4½
Carlsen 4½
3. Anand 4
Grischuk 4
5. Gashimov 3½
6. Gelfand 3
7. Karjakin 2½
Nakamura 2½
Topalov 2½
10. Kramnik 2
11. Giri 1½
Ivanchuk 1½ >

Mar-15-11
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <ABSOLUTE RANKER>
Score evaluation method: Absolute value of rank deviation Maximum score: 72

Score,UserID
42,lostemperor
41,cromat
41,rogge
39,YouRang
35,SwitchingQuylthulg
34,Aurora
33,wordfunph
32,moronovich
32,Penguincw
25,OhioChessFan
25,Ragh
24,WannaBe

At least surprising to me!:)

Mar-15-11
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <SQUARE RANKER>
Score evaluation method: Least Squares of rank deviation Maximum score: 572

Score,UserID
448,lostemperor
444,cromat
435,YouRang
405,rogge
383,wordfunph
378,SwitchingQuylthulg
373,Penguincw
367,moronovich
362,Aurora
360,Ragh
353,OhioChessFan
321,WannaBe

Mar-15-11
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <PAIR BETTING RANKER>

Earnings$,UserID
$38.88,cromat
5$.77,OhioChessFan
$3.77,rogge
$2.35,YouRang
$1.94,SwitchingQuylthulg
-$0.88,Aurora
-$3.74,WannaBe
-$3.77,lostemperor
-$5.54,wordfunph
-$6.37,Ragh
-$12.80,Penguincw
-$19.62,moronovich

Mar-15-11
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Large Payoff Pair results:
Payoff,Pair result,Winners
$12.00,Anand-equal-Grischuk, SwitchingQuylthulg

$12.00,Gelfand-above-Kramnik, cromat

$12.00,Gelfand-above-Nakamura, cromat

$12.00,Gelfand-above-Topalov, rogge

$12.00,Giri-equal-Ivanchuk, WannaBe

$12.00,Grischuk-above-Nakamura, cromat

$12.00,Karjakin-above-Kramnik, OhioChessFan

$12.00,Karjakin-equal-Topalov, Penguincw

$12.00,Nakamura-equal-Topalov, Aurora

Mar-15-11
Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: Oh darn it!
Mar-16-11
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Yes oops that was the standings after round 3 not 4! Here standings afer 4 rounds (as I will update them daily).
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