User Profile: lostemperor

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lostemperor
Member since Feb-18-03 · Last seen Feb-02-25

♔♕♖
<FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS' CONTEST FORUM>
Predict the final standings of Tata Steel tournament January 12
Format example to post your predictions
1.Caruana
1. Erigaisi
3. Gukesh
4. Abdusattorov
5. Wei Yi
5. Harikrishna
5. Praggnanandhaa
8. Giri
9. Keymer
10. Fedoseev
11.Van Foreest
12. Sarina
12. Warmerdam
12. Mendonca
Good Luck!
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Some years ago I came up with a new but simple system to calculate the final standings of a tournament including all players. This is how it goes:
For each correct standing you'll get a maximum amount of points. Each prediction deviation from the actual player standing in the tournament, will deduct one point from your total (ABSOLUTE RANKER).
In case of a shared player's standing the average standing counts (both actual and in your predictions).
The SQUARE RANKER, squares your predictions' deviations. Here only medals are awarded if the winner s is not the same person s as in the absolute ranker.
Same goes for the The PAIR BETTING RANKER compare all possible pair outcomes of the tournament participants.
The three best predictions will get Real Virtual Gold Silver and Bronze!
Note: only one set of medals is awarded (in the absolute ranker) unless another ranker produces a different winner.
Special thanks to <YouRang> who made a software to calculate these numbers.
Our new contest manager for game results prediction User: Golden Executive during the tournament also ([1-0], [1/2], [0-1])!
or predict the # of moves in User: ohiochessfan organized by <chessmoron>
Enjoy!
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<HALL <OF> FAME>
WannaBe 10♔ 5♕ 4♖
~~~~
♔♔♔♔♔ ♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♖♖♖♖SwitchingQuylthulg
~~~~
♔♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♕♖♖♖YouRang
~~~~~~
♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♖Aurora
♔♔♔♔♕♕♖suenteus po 147
♔♔♔♔♖♖♖Penguincw
~~~~~~
♔♔♔♕♕♕♖♖♖lostemperor
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖♖♖chessmoron
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖rogge
♔♔♔♕♕♖cromat
♔♔♔♕♖Robin01
~~~~
♔♔♕♕♕♕WinKing
♔♔♕♕♕♖percyblakeney
♔♔♕♖♖♖yalie
♔♔♕♖wordfunph
♔♔♕♖Ragh
♔♔♕♖Ezzy
♔♔Golden Executive
♔♔SloVice
♔♔positionalgenius
♔♔amadeus
~~~~
♔♕♕♕♕♖♖OhioChessFan
♔♕♕♖Diademas
♔♕♖nimh
♔♕♖ahmadov
♔♕♖CHESSBOOKIE
♔♕Keysersoze
♔♕Where is my mind
♔♕Appaz
♔♖♖moronovich*
♔♖Golden Executive*
♔♖Montreal1666
♔♖Troewa
~~~~
♔Beholder
♔juan31
♔wtwz
♔Twinlark
♔SoUnwiseTheKnight B4
♔NGambit
♔benjinathan
♔DCP23
♔firebyrd
♔kellmano
♔Stonehenge
♔cu8sfan
♔larrewl
♔babakova
♔djmercury
♔mikejaqua
♔Joshka,
♔SnoopDogg
♔Like a GM
*may be incomplete
♔ Gold
♕ Silver
♖ Bronze
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>> Click here to see lostemperor's game collections.

   lostemperor has kibitzed 7712 times to chessgames [more...]

   Feb-02-25 lostemperor chessforum

lostemperor: <Keyser Soze>,<0ZeR0>,<Penguincw> won gold each! Congratulations!

   Apr-20-24 Golden Executive chessforum

lostemperor: It is fixed! I had an expert looking at it.

   Jan-18-24 OhioChessFan chessforum

lostemperor: Betcha you. Right damn

   Jan-11-24 Tata Steel Masters (2024)

lostemperor: ♔♕♖ Announcement ♔♕♖ Join the annual Tata Teel Chess final standings prediction contest at lostemperor chessforum 1. Ding 2. Nepomniachtchi 3. Firouzja 4, Giri 5. Praggnanandhaa 6. Maghsoodloo 7. Vidit 8.Wei 9. Abdusattorov

   Feb-26-23 WR Chess Masters (2023)

lostemperor: The predictions' winners on the final standings of WR Chess on my forum <Penquincw>♔, <Golden Executive>♔, <Chesschronicle22>♕, <OhioChessFan>♕, <Messiah>♖

   Jan-30-23 Tata Steel Masters (2023)

lostemperor: Winners of the TATA STEEL CHESS 2023 FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTION'S CONTEST at my forum <Firouzjias>♔♔♖, <tuttifrutty>♔♕♖, <lostemperor>♕♕, <Messiah>♖

indicates a reply to the comment.

FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS

< Earlier Kibitzing · PAGE 115 OF 285 · Later Kibitzing>
Jan-15-12		Penguincw: < Ezzy: <34,Ezzy> This aint looking good :-( > Don't worry. You have company. :)

Jan-16-12		lostemperor: Here the betting order according the <CHESSBOOKIE> game See: Tata Steel: A Group 1. Carlsen 2. Aronian 3. Topalov 4. Nakamura 5. Karjakin 6. Radjabov 7. Ivanchuk 8. Kamsky 9. Gashimov 10. Gelfand 11. Giri 12. Caruana 13. Navara 14. Van Wely

Jan-16-12		OhioChessFan: <LE: <Penguincw> this is just the first round and far too early to be negative. > I always say it's never too early to be negative.

Jan-16-12		lostemperor: <<<ROUND 3 UPDATE> Carlsen beat Aronian to take the lead. Radjabov beat Navara, Karjakin scored his first point against the Local Champion Giri!> Standings after round 3 1. Carlsen, M. 2½ 2. Aronian, L. Caruana, F. Radjabov, T. 2 5. Giri, A. Ivanchuk, V. Kamsky, G. Topalov, V. Van Wely, L. 1½ 10. Gashimov, V. Gelfand, B. Karjakin, S. Nakamura, H. Navara, D. 1 >

Jan-16-12		lostemperor: TATASTEEL PREDICITON GAME STANDINGS ABOLUTE RANKER 3 Score evaluation method: Absolute value of rank deviation Maximum score: 98 Score,UserID 68,SwitchingQuylthulg 62,Ragh 59,SloVice ~~~~ 55,lostemperor 55,moronovich 53,Diademas 53,mark jc. Garado 53,Robin01 53,rogge 53,wordfunph 52,Dim Weasel 51,ooda 50,Ezzy 50,OhioChessFan 48,CHESSBOOKIE 48,Golden Executive 48,WinKing 47,ELORATINGS 47,YouRang 46,WannaBe 44,Penguincw 42,Ibelox 42,siamesedream

Jan-16-12		lostemperor: SQUARE RANKER Score evaluation method: Least Squares of rank deviation Maximum score: 910 Score,UserID 784,SwitchingQuylthulg 754,Ragh 732,SloVice 699,ooda 688,Diademas 675,lostemperor 659,Robin01 653,mark jc. Garado 642,Golden Executive 638,Dim Weasel 638,wordfunph 637,rogge 636,moronovich 632,Penguincw 630,ELORATINGS 618,OhioChessFan 610,CHESSBOOKIE 610,Ezzy 598,WannaBe 592,YouRang 585,Ibelox 584,WinKing 582,siamesedream

Jan-16-12		lostemperor: PAIR BETTING RANKER Earnings in $,UserID 60.36,SloVice 50.23,SwitchingQuylthulg 32.66,Diademas 28.34,lostemperor 21.64,WannaBe 19.21,ELORATINGS 16.89,rogge 15.58,Ragh -0.71,ooda -2.87,mark jc. Garado -3.58,Penguincw -8.08,moronovich -11.14,wordfunph -11.49,YouRang -15.15,Robin01 -18.03,OhioChessFan -18.08,Golden Executive -23.40,Dim Weasel -24.15,Ezzy -25.91,siamesedream -26.75,WinKing -27.60,CHESSBOOKIE -27.97,Ibelox

Jan-16-12		lostemperor: Large Payoff Pair results (would be JACKPOTS!): Payoff,Pair result,Winners $23.00,Caruana-above-Karjakin, SloVice $23.00,Gashimov-equal-Gelfand, Diademas $23.00,Gashimov-equal-Karjakin, ELORATINGS $23.00,Gashimov-equal-Nakamura, ELORATINGS $23.00,Gelfand-below-Van Wely, WannaBe $23.00,Gelfand-equal-Nakamura, lostemperor $23.00,Gelfand-equal-Navara, SwitchingQuylthulg

Jan-16-12		Ragh: <Lostemperor: Even if he is sitting in the same highschool as I did!> Typically, At what age does one finish high school in Holland? Last August, I heard Anish say that he has two years left in school. Actually, a college -Grotius college ?! Is it called High school over there? Being a prodigy, Isn't he supposed to be in an accelerated program or something?

Jan-16-12		Penguincw: < Carlsen beat Aronian to take the lead. > Well, didn't just about everyone predict Carlsen to finish ahead of Aronian?

Jan-16-12		YouRang: <lostemperor> Question: For the final round, do you remove the pseudo contestants (CHESSBOOKIE, ELORATINGS) from the Pair Betting results? Unfortunately, they can easily affect how the money gets divided, and thus distort then rankings.

Jan-16-12		lostemperor: <YouRang> yes I know that they influence the pair betting ranker but once I included pseudo contestants ELO and CHESSBOOKIE in the CONMAN software I cannot get them out again by erasing their "predictions" so I have to keep them in unless you can tell me how to delete them from the CONMAN? Simply erasing their list don't work because the CONMAN keep posting them.

Jan-16-12		lostemperor: <Ragh> they don't call it high school but it is similar though 3 different levels. I don't know if high school have multiple levels also. They don't do full accelerated programs in Holland but sporting talents do get some weeks off and they can catch up later on the subjects. I would advice Giri, last January if I was his parent or coach, for sure to stop school for at least a year and do only chess because he is a very rare talent even for world standards being the youngest GM! I don't also know if Carlsen stopped school early?

Jan-16-12		YouRang: <lostemperor> If I get time, I'll see if I can come up with a software solution that allows you to define pseudo-contestants so they won't affect Pair Betting. Could you email me your current yrc and csv files for this tournament when you get a chance?

Jan-17-12		lostemperor: Will send you an email <YouRang>

Jan-17-12		lostemperor: <<<ROUND 4 UPDATE Aronian beat Kamsky and Karjakin got his second win, now with black, at the expense of Navara> Standings 1. Aronian, L. Carlsen, M. 3 3. Caruana, F. Radjabov, T. 2½ 5. Giri, A. Ivanchuk, V. Karjakin, S. Topalov, V. Van Wely, L. 2 10. Gashimov, V. Gelfand, B. Kamsky, G. Nakamura, H. 1½ 14. Navara, D. 1 >

Jan-17-12		lostemperor: PREDICITON GAME STANDINGS 4 ABSOLUTE RANKER Score evaluation method: Absolute value of rank deviation Maximum score: 98 Score,UserID 70,Ragh 70,SwitchingQuylthulg 65,Diademas ~~~~ 62,rogge 60,moronovich 59,ooda 59,Robin01 58,wordfunph 57,SloVice 56,Golden Executive 56,mark jc. Garado 56,OhioChessFan 55,ELORATINGS 55,Penguincw 55,siamesedream 54,Dim Weasel 54,Ibelox 54,lostemperor 53,CHESSBOOKIE 53,Ezzy 52,WinKing 50,WannaBe 50,YouRang

Jan-17-12		lostemperor: SQUARE RANKER 4 Score evaluation method: Least Squares of rank deviation Maximum score: 910 Score,UserID 813,Ragh 801,SwitchingQuylthulg 789,Diademas ~~~~ 744,ooda 736,Robin01 729,SloVice 722,wordfunph 721,moronovich 710,lostemperor 709,rogge 699,ELORATINGS 692,siamesedream 691,Ibelox 688,Dim Weasel 686,Golden Executive 686,Penguincw 675,YouRang 668,CHESSBOOKIE 668,Ezzy 662,mark jc. Garado 660,OhioChessFan 656,WinKing 623,WannaBe

Jan-17-12		lostemperor: PAIR BETTING RANKER 4 Earnings in $,UserID 63.62,SloVice 42.43,SwitchingQuylthulg 39.28,Diademas ~~~~ 33.02,Ragh 24.35,lostemperor 21.43,ELORATINGS 11.44,rogge 1.99,WannaBe -1.59,YouRang -1.85,ooda -5.80,Penguincw -8.76,Ibelox -12.19,mark jc. Garado -12.78,moronovich -13.01,siamesedream -14.75,Robin01 -19.80,Ezzy -20.46,Golden Executive -21.84,wordfunph -23.38,OhioChessFan -24.72,Dim Weasel -27.64,CHESSBOOKIE -28.98,WinKing

Jan-17-12		lostemperor: Large Payoff Pair results: Payoff,Pair result,Winners $23.00,Caruana-above-Karjakin, SloVice $23.00,Gashimov-equal-Gelfand, Diademas $23.00,Gashimov-equal-Nakamura, ELORATINGS $23.00,Gelfand-below-Van Wely, WannaBe $23.00,Gelfand-equal-Nakamura, lostemperor $23.00,Karjakin-equal-Van Wely, SloVice $11.50,Caruana-above-Topalov, SloVice + YouRang $11.50,Caruana-equal-Radjabov, Ragh + SwitchingQuylthulg $11.50,Giri-equal-Topalov, rogge + SwitchingQuylthulg $11.50,Ivanchuk-equal-Karjakin, ELORATINGS + SwitchingQuylthulg $11.50,Kamsky-equal-Nakamura, mark jc. Garado + SwitchingQuylthulg

Jan-17-12		lostemperor: 9 rounds to go!

Jan-18-12		YouRang: <lostemperor> I just sent you an email with new software and new .yrc file attached. Let me know if you don't see it.

Jan-18-12		Ragh: <lostemperor: <Ragh> they don't call it high school but it is similar though 3 different levels.> Interesting! So, how many years does one have to study in Grotius college in all for completing the 3 levels successfully.

Jan-19-12		lostemperor: <Ragh> I mean there are three levels 4, 5 or 6 years of highschool. Giri has 6 years, so that means he probably should finish school this year July at 18. He being the greatest chess talent since Carlsen, I think, he should now consider being professional. I believe Carlsen also quit school before 16 but am not sure.

Jan-19-12		rogge: Hi. Carlsen finished "highschool" June '09 aged 18. <the greatest chess talent since Carlsen> He certainly seems to be.

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