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| May-10-06 | | Ezzy: <lostemperor> Hi man! Hope you are well. I see you're doing rather well in the chessbookie game. Got any tips? :-) My prediction -
1 Anand
2 Ponomariov
3 Topalov
4 Svidler
5 kamsky
6 Bacrot |
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| May-10-06 | | Where is my mind: My predictions:
1.Topalov
2.Anand
3.Svidler
4.Ponomariov
5.Bacrot
6.Kamsky
Thanks<lostemperor> |
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May-10-06
 | | lostemperor: <Ezzy> I have a little of a bad feeling about Topalov this tournament. I think Anand will win the tournament and Topalov may become third. So in this case, you're doing just fine:). But chess is not easy to predict! |
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| May-10-06 | | Assassinater: 1.Anand
2.Svidler
3.Topalov
4.Bacrot
5.Kamsky
6.Ponomariov |
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May-11-06
| | lostemperor: If I counted correctly, there are 13 votes for Topalov and 19 votes for Anand to win Mtel tournament. Topalov is the deserved # 1 of the world but only by a one point margin. Can Topalov do it again or can Anand, who also showed a constant level, overcome the one point rating difference between them. I think for Anand to do that he has to score a +2 in comparison to Topalov, since Topalov has gained points in his match vs Nisipeanu. |
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| May-11-06 | | cromat: 1-2. Topalov, Anand
3-4. Svidler, Ponomariov
5. Bacrot
6. Kamsky |
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May-11-06
| | lostemperor: Thanks all for participating and enjoy the tournament. |
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| May-14-06 | | Bobak Zahmat: I think everyone has unterestimatet Kamsky. After his round 3 win over Anand he is in the lead, who in the world could predict that? |
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May-16-06
| | lostemperor: Halfway standings (surprising):
1. Kamsky, Anand 3.5
3. Topalov, Svidler 2.5
5. Ponomariov, Bacrot 1.5 |
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May-16-06
| | lostemperor: Average predictions standings (YouRang Contest manager)
2006 Mtel Chess Tournament
AvgRnk,Player,LoRank,HiRank
1.43,anand,1,3
1.77,Topalov,1,3
3.50,Svidler,2,5
3.53,ponomariov,2,6
5.23,kamsky,1,6
5.27,Bacrot,4,6
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May-16-06
| | lostemperor: <Bobak Zahmat: I think everyone has unterestimatet Kamsky. After his round 3 win over Anand he is in the lead, who in the world could predict that?> Joshka did:). Here the results of the predictions if these halfway standings were the final standings (which isn't) with the great help of the calculating power of YouRang contest manager (adjusted). Still close together. Rank,Score,UserID
1,31,babakova
2t29,Assassinater
2t,29,bobbyboomer
2t,29,hitman84
2t,29,Joshka
2t,29,lostemperor
2t,29,Montreal1666
2t,29,peabody88
2t,29,WannaBe
11t,28,radu stancu
11t,28,yalie
13t,27,Betsson
13t,27,chessgames bookie odds
13t,27,cromat
13t,27,Dim Weasel
13t,27,dimradil
13t,27,Elo
13t,27,Ezzy
13t,27,larrewl
13t,27,NakoSonorense
13t,27,Tassadar
13t,27,THE pawn
13t,27,TIMER
13t,27,Where is my mind
13t,27,YouRang
23t,26, iron maiden
23,26,VishyFan
25t,25,Bobak Zahmat
25t,25,cu8sfan
25t,25,suenteus po 147
25t,25,zarra
29,24,Annie K.
30,23,Robin01
Last year Mtel, Robin01 was first halfway the tournament. At the end it was almost the other way around (so maybe its the other way around this time :)). I included the chessgames bookie odds (in order of odds). That is significant diferent than the Betsson odds and Elo (at the beginning of the tournament) but the score is the same. Deviations per player:
Deviation,Player
127,kamsky
48,ponomariov
37,Topalov
23,Svidler
14, Bacrot
13,anand |
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May-18-06
| | lostemperor: For the clarity: this is what I took for "predictions" according to Elo on ratingorder (what happened to be Betsson oddsorder too). In case the ratings (or odds) of two players are almost equal I take a shared standings for both. ELO:
1-2 Topalov, Anand
3-4 Svidler, Ponomariov
5. Bacrot
6. Kamsky
Here the Chessgames.com Chessbookie Game order of odds. As you can see there is a difference. Mtel Masters: Winner: 1. Topalov 50,808 5:6 1.83 A winning 10 chessbuck ticket
pays out 18 chessbucks.
2. Anand 32,996 110 7:4 2.76 A winning 10 chessbuck ticket
pays out 27 chessbucks.
3. Svidler 6,717 7 12:1 13.18 A winning 10 chessbuck ticket
pays out 131 chessbucks.
4. Ponomariov 3,887 5 22:1 22.71 A winning 10 chessbuck ticket pays out 227 chessbucks 5. Kamsky 1,895 45:1 46.48 A winning 10 chessbuck ticket
pays out 464 chessbucks.
6. Bacrot 1,345 64:1 65.44 A winning 10 chessbuck ticket
pays out 654 chessbucks |
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| May-22-06 | | percyblakeney: I made my prediction so early (posted March 22nd) that it didn't make the list. But it's the same as the one of <NakoSonorense> so it's easy to calculate the 29 points :-) |
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May-22-06
 | | cu8sfan: Wow! I came in fourth! |
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May-22-06
| | lostemperor: <percyblakeney> I will correct that. Four names were not "read" by the machine iron maiden, firebyrd, TIMER and now it certainly seem you. I understand iron maiden (because of the format) I tried to correct the input so the contest manager read it but some how it didn't work. Could it be that because I didn't put it on chronological order quite (although it did read the others)? Yeah, nice work <cu8sfan>. I repost the results below. |
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May-22-06
| | lostemperor: Here the results of the FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTION CONTEST MTEL 2006! It's been a grueling tournament with the standings ever changing. Still the differences are relative modest (six points between the first and last). I corrected Betsson with a non shared standings for Svidler and Ponomariov. A special thanks to <YouRang>'s software. He did very well in the New, Weighted, Betting, Risk and 1-2-3 rankers on individual games results see User: YouRang. Winners are <babakova>, <Joshka> and <Montreal1666>. Well done!! Maximum 36 points. The top 50% cut at rank 17 (33 participants without counting Chessgames Bookie, Betsson and Elo) or 27 points (1 point for the annual 2006 standings) what happened to be a shared ranking by 8 people. If you think something is incorrect let me know. Points, ID<
31,babakova
31,Joshka
31,Montreal1666
29,Bobak Zahmat
29,cu8sfan
29,iron maiden
29,larrewl
29,NakoSonorense
29,percyblakeney
29,Robin01
29,suenteus po 147
29,TIMER
29,Where is my mind
29,zarra
29,Chessgames Bookie (odds)
28,Annie K.
28,VishyFan
28,yalie
28,Betsson (odds)
27,bobbyboomer
27,cromat
27,Dim Weasel
27,dimradil
27,firebyrd
27,lostemperor
27,peabody88
27,Tassadar
27,ELO (ratings)
26,radu stancu
25,Assassinater
25,Ezzy
25,hitman84
25,THE pawn
25,WannaBe
25,YouRang
>
Cheers |
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May-22-06
| | lostemperor: And here the annual standings for the predictioncontest on final standings 2006. People who finished in the top 50% in one or more of the three tournaments. There will follow one more tournament (Dortmund) and most probably one surprise. 14 <dimradil>
13 <tassadar>
12/2 <LancelotduLac> 12 <percyblakeney> 10/2 <diction> 10 <TIMER> 9/2 <Appaz> 9. <babakova, lostemperor, Betsson> 8/2 <djmercury> 8 <cu8sfan, Ezzy, suenteus po 147, Where is my mind> 7/2 <AdrianP, Bobak Zahmat, EmperorAtahualpa, kolobok, nakosonorense> 7 <Elo, larrewl> 6/1 <larsker, twinlark> 6. <bobbyboomer, iron maiden, Robin01> 5/1 <Catfriend, pim> 5/2 <chessmaster pro, Joshka, nintenchess> 5 <Montreal1666> 4/1 <Keshisian, Swapmeet, Xaurus> 4/2 <chessmaster pro, madsberg, viapori> 4 <Assasinater, firebyrd, hitman84, VishyFan, zarra> 3/1 <Bent Bexley, Chessgames Bookie> 3/2 <yalie> 3 <Annie K., radu stancu> 2/1 <badmove baltez Ibelox offramp, plimko, s4life, Schwartz> 2/2 <mikejaqua, petrovalovski, Troewa> 2. <YouRang> 1/1 <rchamoun, witty, yannis, zarra> 1/2 <cromat, peabody88, TechN9ne> 1 <Dim Weasel>! |
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| May-22-06 | | YouRang: I would like to thank <Assassinater>, <Ezzyr>, <hitman84>, <THE pawn> and <WannaBe> for making the bottom feel less lonely. I thought I was being REALLY clever to pick Ponomariov to finish first. What an idiot. |
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May-22-06
| | lostemperor: Ponomariov was certainly a player, most people lost points on. But most was lost undoubtely on the biggest surprise, Gata Kamsky. Here the deviations per player from the contest manager: Deviation
102,kamsky
50,ponomariov
49,anand
23,Topalov
21,Svidler
14,Bacrot
The least points were lost on Bacrot and Svidler.
These were their average predictions' rankings (YouRang average ranking report): AvgPrediction,Player,HighestPred,LowestPred
1.42,anand,1,3
1.74,Topalov,1,3
3.52,ponomariov,2,6
3.52,Svidler,2,5
5.23,kamsky,1,6
5.26,Bacrot,4,6
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| May-23-06 | | Ezzy: <YouRang - I thought I was being REALLY clever to pick Ponomariov to finish first. What an idiot.> I am just slightly less of an idiot than you. I picked Ponomariov to finish second. Thanks <lostemperor> for a great contest. Another disappointment for me, but who cares, I am buzzing because I have just won my first ever chess tournament. See The kibitzers cafe for my story. :-) :-) :-) :-) Sorry, I am so happy, I can't stop smiling.
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| May-23-06 | | Montreal1666: Thanks <lostemperor> for all the work. Indeed Kamsky was the key. I knew he was going to make some noise!!! It seems he is getting back on track. When is the next contest? |
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May-23-06
| | lostemperor: Am I mistaken here. But YouRang picked Ponomariov to finish second also, not first. We agree then: Ponomariov is the idiot! :-)
And congratulations on your tournament victory Ezzy!
<Montreal1666> I will announce a new interesting predictionevent soon. The surprise I was talking about. Stay tuned! |
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| May-23-06 | | Ezzy: <And congratulations on your tournament victory Ezzy!> Thanks mate. Once again, it is so much appreciated that you give your time for the benefit and pleasure of other people. Cheers!! |
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| May-23-06 | | sean hernandez: i cant win any games today! any one have any suggestions |
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May-23-06
 | | WannaBe: <sean hernandez> practice, study, practice, study, practice, study. |
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