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lostemperor
Member since Feb-18-03 · Last seen Feb-02-25
♔♕♖
<FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS' CONTEST FORUM>

Predict the final standings of Tata Steel tournament January 12

Format example to post your predictions

1.Caruana
1. Erigaisi
3. Gukesh
4. Abdusattorov
5. Wei Yi
5. Harikrishna
5. Praggnanandhaa
8. Giri
9. Keymer
10. Fedoseev
11.Van Foreest
12. Sarina
12. Warmerdam
12. Mendonca

Good Luck!


♙♙

♙♙♙

♙♙


Some years ago I came up with a new but simple system to calculate the final standings of a tournament including all players. This is how it goes:

For each correct standing you'll get a maximum amount of points. Each prediction deviation from the actual player standing in the tournament, will deduct one point from your total (ABSOLUTE RANKER).

In case of a shared player's standing the average standing counts (both actual and in your predictions).

The SQUARE RANKER, squares your predictions' deviations. Here only medals are awarded if the winner s is not the same person s as in the absolute ranker.

Same goes for the The PAIR BETTING RANKER compare all possible pair outcomes of the tournament participants.

The three best predictions will get Real Virtual Gold Silver and Bronze!

Note: only one set of medals is awarded (in the absolute ranker) unless another ranker produces a different winner.

Special thanks to <YouRang> who made a software to calculate these numbers.

Our new contest manager for game results prediction User: Golden Executive during the tournament also ([1-0], [1/2], [0-1])!

or predict the # of moves in User: ohiochessfan organized by <chessmoron>

Enjoy!


♙♙

♙♙♙

♙♙


<HALL <OF> FAME>

WannaBe 10♔ 5♕ 4♖

~~~~
♔♔♔♔♔ ♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♖♖♖♖SwitchingQuylthulg

~~~~

♔♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♕♖♖♖YouRang

~~~~~~

♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♖Aurora
♔♔♔♔♕♕♖suenteus po 147
♔♔♔♔♖♖♖Penguincw

~~~~~~

♔♔♔♕♕♕♖♖♖lostemperor
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖♖♖chessmoron
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖rogge
♔♔♔♕♕♖cromat
♔♔♔♕♖Robin01
~~~~

♔♔♕♕♕♕WinKing
♔♔♕♕♕♖percyblakeney
♔♔♕♖♖♖yalie
♔♔♕♖wordfunph
♔♔♕♖Ragh
♔♔♕♖Ezzy
♔♔Golden Executive
♔♔SloVice
♔♔positionalgenius
♔♔amadeus

~~~~

♔♕♕♕♕♖♖OhioChessFan
♔♕♕♖Diademas
♔♕♖nimh
♔♕♖ahmadov
♔♕♖CHESSBOOKIE
♔♕Keysersoze
♔♕Where is my mind
♔♕Appaz
♔♖♖moronovich*
♔♖Golden Executive*
♔♖Montreal1666
♔♖Troewa

~~~~

♔Beholder
♔juan31
♔wtwz
♔Twinlark
♔SoUnwiseTheKnight B4
♔NGambit
♔benjinathan
♔DCP23
♔firebyrd
♔kellmano
♔Stonehenge
♔cu8sfan
♔larrewl
♔babakova
♔djmercury
♔mikejaqua
♔Joshka,
♔SnoopDogg
♔Like a GM

*may be incomplete

♔ Gold
♕ Silver
♖ Bronze


♙♙

♙♙♙

♙♙

>> Click here to see lostemperor's game collections.

Chessgames.com Full Member

   lostemperor has kibitzed 7712 times to chessgames   [more...]
   Feb-02-25 lostemperor chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: <Keyser Soze>,<0ZeR0>,<Penguincw> won gold each! Congratulations!
 
   Apr-20-24 Golden Executive chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: It is fixed! I had an expert looking at it.
 
   Jan-18-24 OhioChessFan chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: Betcha you. Right damn
 
   Jan-11-24 Tata Steel Masters (2024) (replies)
 
lostemperor: ♔♕♖ Announcement ♔♕♖ Join the annual Tata Teel Chess final standings prediction contest at lostemperor chessforum 1. Ding 2. Nepomniachtchi 3. Firouzja 4, Giri 5. Praggnanandhaa 6. Maghsoodloo 7. Vidit 8.Wei 9. Abdusattorov
 
   Feb-26-23 WR Chess Masters (2023) (replies)
 
lostemperor: The predictions' winners on the final standings of WR Chess on my forum <Penquincw>♔, <Golden Executive>♔, <Chesschronicle22>♕, <OhioChessFan>♕, <Messiah>♖
 
   Jan-30-23 Tata Steel Masters (2023) (replies)
 
lostemperor: Winners of the TATA STEEL CHESS 2023 FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTION'S CONTEST at my forum <Firouzjias>♔♔♖, <tuttifrutty>♔♕♖, <lostemperor>♕♕, <Messiah>♖
 
(replies) indicates a reply to the comment.

FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS

Kibitzer's Corner
< Earlier Kibitzing  · PAGE 135 OF 285 ·  Later Kibitzing>
Mar-27-13
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: The top 3 has won in London, making it a sensational final.

Same goes for the predictions standings where three different leaders top the lists. Top Hall of Famer <YouRang> emerges on top for the first time in the absolute ranker, while <OhioChessFan> is back in the lead in the square ranker and hopes for his first gold. Gentle giant of the first several tournaments <WannaBe> shows he is again back and holds the initiative in the most prestigeous pair betting. But with four rounds to go no one is safe yet here or in London!

Mar-29-13
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <CANDIDATES ROUND 11 UPDATE<

A hectic day. Everyone except Carlsen traded place!

Grischuk - Carlsen 1/2
Kramnik - Radjabov 1-0
Svidler - Aronian 1-0
Ivanchuk - Gelfand 1/2<

standings:
1. Carlsen
2. Kramnik
3. Aronian
4. Svidler
5. Gelfand
5. Grischuk
7. Ivanchuk
8. Radjabov>
>
>

Mar-29-13
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: ♔♕♖<PREDICTION STANDINGS <11>>♖♕♔

<ABSOLUTE RANKER 11>

Score evaluation method: Absolute value of rank deviation Maximum score: 32

Score,UserID

24,OhioChessFan
24,WannaBe
23,Diademas
23,YouRang
~~~~
22,MarbleSkull
22,SloVice
21,chessmoron
21,lostemperor
20,Aurora
20,isemeria
20,solskytz
19,blade2012
19,fgh
19,Karposian
19,wtwz
18,crazybird
18,Golden Executive
18,SwitchingQuylthulg
18,WinKing
17,abhishikt
17,jsy
17,KKDEREK
17,moronovich
17,Penguincw
17,perfectimpact
17,Tiggler
17,wordfunph
16,bubuli55
16,Chessmaster9001
15,King Sacrificer
15,Kjeball
12,chancho
7,toktorook
2,Everyone

Mar-29-13
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <SQUARE RANKER 11>

Score evaluation method: Least Squares of rank deviation Maximum score: 168

Score,UserID

155,WannaBe
154,OhioChessFan
151,Diademas
~~~~
150,YouRang
148,chessmoron
148,MarbleSkull
148,SloVice
141,isemeria
136,wordfunph
134,crazybird
134,lostemperor
133,Karposian
133,Penguincw
132,jsy
132,solskytz
130,Aurora
128,wtwz
127,fgh
126,Golden Executive
126,moronovich
125,KKDEREK
123,Tiggler
121,abhishikt
121,blade2012
121,bubuli55
119,perfectimpact
117,SwitchingQuylthulg
114,Kjeball
114,WinKing
103,Chessmaster9001
101,King Sacrificer
91,chancho
46,toktorook
33,Everyone

Mar-29-13
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <PAIR BETTING RANKER 11>

Earnings,UserID

$16.18,WannaBe
$12.86,OhioChessFan
$11.69,Diademas
~~~~
$7.82,chessmoron
$5.51,MarbleSkull
$4.29,crazybird
$3.57,blade2012
$3.46,wtwz
$2.94,Penguincw
$2.04,perfectimpact
$1.77,SloVice
$1.77,Golden Executive
$1.57,jsy
$1.47,abhishikt
$0.80,YouRang
$0.80,fgh
$0.56,wordfunph
$0.42,Kjeball
$0.16,bubuli55
$-0.06,isemeria
$-1.06,solskytz
$-1.13,SwitchingQuylthulg
$-3.10,Tiggler
$-3.45,Chessmaster9001
$-3.58,Karposian
$-4.15,Aurora
$-4.60,lostemperor
$-5.13,KKDEREK
$-6.60,WinKing
$-7.37,King Sacrificer
$-7.41,moronovich
$-8.34,Everyone
$-10.45,chancho
$-13.25,toktorook

Mar-29-13
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Large Payoff Pair results:

Payoff,Pair result,Winners

$8.50,Gelfand-equal-Grischuk, blade2012 + bubuli55 + SwitchingQuylthulg + toktorook

$5.67,Gelfand-above-Radjabov, abhishikt + chessmoron + Everyone + isemeria + jsy + WannaBe

$5.67,Grischuk-above-Radjabov, Diademas + Kjeball + OhioChessFan + perfectimpact + SloVice + WannaBe

$3.78,Svidler-above-Radjabov, chessmoron + crazybird + Diademas + Everyone + Golden Executive + MarbleSkull + Penguincw + WannaBe + wtwz

Mar-29-13
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Major developements in London. Everyone except Carlsen changes place. Kramnik closed the gap with Carlsen to 0.5 points and will continue to harass him untill the last round. That is if my predictions were correct.

In the predictions standings: <WannaBe> and <OhioChessFan> came out on top. The first in three rankers.

Today, new round new chances!

Mar-29-13
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: <In the predictions standings: <WannaBe> and <OhioChessFan> came out on top. The first in three rankers.>

Maybe the Mayans were just off a few months.

Mar-29-13
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <Round 12 update<

Carlsen - Ivanchuk 0-1
Gelfand - Svidler 1/2
Aronian - Kramnik 0-1
Radjabov - Grischuk 1/2<

l standings:
1. Kramnik
2. Carlsen
3. Aronian
4. Svidler
5. Gelfand
5. Grischuk
7. Ivanchuk
8. Radjabov>
>
>

Mar-29-13
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: ♔♕♖<PREDICTION STANDINGS <12>>♖♕♔

<SQUARE RANKER 12>

Score evaluation method: Absolute value of rank deviation Maximum score: 32

Score,UserID

26,WannaBe
22,OhioChessFan
21,Diademas
21,lostemperor
21,YouRang
~~~~
20,MarbleSkull
20,SloVice
19,chessmoron
19,Penguincw
18,Aurora
18,isemeria
18,solskytz
17,blade2012
17,fgh
17,jsy
17,Karposian
17,wordfunph
17,wtwz
16,bubuli55
16,crazybird
16,Golden Executive
16,SwitchingQuylthulg
16,Tiggler
16,WinKing
15,abhishikt
15,Chessmaster9001
15,KKDEREK
15,moronovich
15,perfectimpact
14,King Sacrificer
13,Kjeball
10,chancho
7,toktorook
2,Everyone

Mar-29-13
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <SQUARE RANKER <12>>

Score evaluation method: Least Squares of rank deviation Maximum score: 168

Score,UserID

157,WannaBe
152,OhioChessFan
149,Diademas
~~~~
146,YouRang
145,SloVice
144,chessmoron
143,MarbleSkull
136,isemeria
135,Penguincw
134,jsy
134,lostemperor
134,wordfunph
130,solskytz
129,Karposian
128,Aurora
128,crazybird
125,fgh
121,bubuli55
120,KKDEREK
120,moronovich
119,wtwz
118,blade2012
118,Golden Executive
117,Tiggler
116,abhishikt
115,perfectimpact
112,Kjeball
109,SwitchingQuylthulg
107,WinKing
97,King Sacrificer
94,Chessmaster9001
83,chancho
53,toktorook
35,Everyone

Mar-29-13
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <PAIR BETTING RANKER <12>>

Earnings,UserID

$22.98,WannaBe
$11.60,OhioChessFan
$10.44,Diademas
~~~~
$9.74,Penguincw
$8.37,jsy
$6.56,chessmoron
$4.25,MarbleSkull
$3.03,crazybird
$2.31,blade2012
$2.20,wtwz
$0.78,perfectimpact
$0.51,SloVice
$0.51,Golden Executive
$0.21,abhishikt
$0.16,bubuli55
$-0.46,YouRang
$-0.46,fgh
$-0.70,wordfunph
$-0.84,Kjeball
$-1.32,isemeria
$-1.54,Everyone
$-2.32,solskytz
$-2.39,SwitchingQuylthulg
$-4.36,Tiggler
$-4.60,lostemperor
$-4.71,Chessmaster9001
$-4.84,Karposian
$-5.41,Aurora
$-6.39,KKDEREK
$-6.45,toktorook
$-7.86,WinKing
$-8.63,King Sacrificer
$-8.67,moronovich
$-11.71,chancho

Mar-29-13
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Large Payoff Pair results:

Payoff,Pair result,Winners

$8.50,Gelfand-equal-Grischuk, blade2012 + bubuli55 + SwitchingQuylthulg + toktorook

$6.80,Kramnik-above-Carlsen, Everyone + jsy + Penguincw + toktorook + WannaBe

$5.67,Gelfand-above-Radjabov, abhishikt + chessmoron + Everyone + isemeria + jsy + WannaBe

$5.67,Grischuk-above-Radjabov, Diademas + Kjeball + OhioChessFan + perfectimpact + SloVice + WannaBe

Mar-29-13
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Judgementday in London. Two black wins, Carlsen lost to Ivanchuk and Kramnik beat Aronian. I rest my case.

<WannaBe> on top of all three rankers with two rounds to go.

Mar-29-13
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: <<WannaBe> on top of all three rankers with two rounds to go.>

The end is coming!

Mar-29-13  whiteshark: <<WannaBe> on top of all three rankers with two rounds to go.>

Where on earth is the justice in that, I ask myself!

♙eace :D

Mar-29-13
Premium Chessgames Member
  WannaBe: No justice, no piece! No justice, no piece!!
Mar-30-13
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <OhioChessFan> second in all three rankers. The Mayans were right all along, a time of renewed Consciousness and Awakening has come!
Mar-30-13  Tiggler: Pretty obvious that Aronian and Ivanchuk are fixing this for <WannaBe>.

He's probably got their daughters chained up in his basement.

Mar-30-13
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: I think <lostemperor> should fix this*, for <Wannabe's> sake, of course:

<Wannabe: I actually believe Carlsen and Kramnik will tie, and Kramnik will win on/in tie-break. But I don't know how to post that, or if that is considered as 'final' standing. So...

1. Kramnik
2. Carlsen
3. Gelfand
3. Svidler
5. Aronian
5. Grischuk
7. Radjabov
7. Ivanchuk >

---
* Unless Carlsen <does> happen to tie Kramnik, then the entry is final.

Mar-31-13
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <WannaBe> could have simply put Carlsen in a tie with Kramnik, if he thought that would be the case, by predicting:

1. Kramnik
1. Carlsen
...

like he did with a shared 3rd place for Gelfand and Svidler above.

Apr-01-13
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <CANDIDATES' ROUND 13 UPDATE<

Radjabov - Carlsen 0-1
Grischuk - Aronian 1/2
Kramnik - Gelfand 1/2
Svidler - Ivanchuk 1-0<

standings:
1. Kramnik
1. Carlsen
3. Aronian
3. Svidler
5. Gelfand
5. Grischuk
7. Ivanchuk
8. Radjabov>
>
>

Apr-01-13
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: ♔♕♖<PREDICITONS STANDINGS <13>>♖♕♔

<ABSOLUTE RANKER 13>

Maximum score: 32

Score,UserID

26,WannaBe
22,Diademas
22,MarbleSkull
22,OhioChessFan
~~~~
21,YouRang
20,lostemperor
20,SloVice
19,chessmoron
19,Penguincw
19,wtwz
18,Aurora
18,blade2012
18,fgh
18,isemeria
18,solskytz
17,bubuli55
17,Karposian
17,SwitchingQuylthulg
16,abhishikt
16,crazybird
16,Golden Executive
16,jsy
16,perfectimpact
16,Tiggler
16,WinKing
16,wordfunph
15,Chessmaster9001
15,King Sacrificer
15,KKDEREK
15,moronovich
14,Kjeball
11,chancho
6,toktorook
3,Everyone

Apr-01-13
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <SQUARE RANKER 13>

Maximum score: 168

Score,UserID

159,WannaBe
152,OhioChessFan
151,Diademas
~~~~
148,MarbleSkull
146,YouRang
143,chessmoron
143,SloVice
137,Penguincw
134,isemeria
132,wordfunph
129,crazybird
129,lostemperor
128,jsy
127,Karposian
127,solskytz
126,fgh
126,wtwz
125,Aurora
122,Golden Executive
119,bubuli55
119,KKDEREK
118,blade2012
118,moronovich
116,abhishikt
116,Tiggler
114,perfectimpact
114,SwitchingQuylthulg
112,Kjeball
106,WinKing
98,Chessmaster9001
98,King Sacrificer
85,chancho
45,toktorook
39,Everyone

Apr-01-13
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <PAIR BETTING RANKER 13>

Earnings,UserID

$27.44,Diademas
$16.18,WannaBe
$15.90,bubuli55
~~~~
$14.61,SwitchingQuylthulg
$11.14,lostemperor
$10.35,OhioChessFan
$5.30,chessmoron
$4.25,MarbleSkull
$2.94,Penguincw
$2.20,wtwz
$1.77,crazybird
$1.05,blade2012
$0.31,jsy
$-0.48,perfectimpact
$-0.75,SloVice
$-0.75,Golden Executive
$-1.05,abhishikt
$-1.72,fgh
$-1.72,YouRang
$-1.96,wordfunph
$-2.10,Kjeball
$-2.58,isemeria
$-3.58,solskytz
$-5.62,Tiggler
$-5.97,Chessmaster9001
$-6.10,Karposian
$-6.67,Aurora
$-7.65,KKDEREK
$-8.34,Everyone
$-9.12,WinKing
$-9.89,King Sacrificer
$-9.93,moronovich
$-12.97,chancho
$-14.50,toktorook

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