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lostemperor
Member since Feb-18-03 · Last seen Feb-02-25
♔♕♖
<FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS' CONTEST FORUM>

Predict the final standings of Tata Steel tournament January 12

Format example to post your predictions

1.Caruana
1. Erigaisi
3. Gukesh
4. Abdusattorov
5. Wei Yi
5. Harikrishna
5. Praggnanandhaa
8. Giri
9. Keymer
10. Fedoseev
11.Van Foreest
12. Sarina
12. Warmerdam
12. Mendonca

Good Luck!


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Some years ago I came up with a new but simple system to calculate the final standings of a tournament including all players. This is how it goes:

For each correct standing you'll get a maximum amount of points. Each prediction deviation from the actual player standing in the tournament, will deduct one point from your total (ABSOLUTE RANKER).

In case of a shared player's standing the average standing counts (both actual and in your predictions).

The SQUARE RANKER, squares your predictions' deviations. Here only medals are awarded if the winner s is not the same person s as in the absolute ranker.

Same goes for the The PAIR BETTING RANKER compare all possible pair outcomes of the tournament participants.

The three best predictions will get Real Virtual Gold Silver and Bronze!

Note: only one set of medals is awarded (in the absolute ranker) unless another ranker produces a different winner.

Special thanks to <YouRang> who made a software to calculate these numbers.

Our new contest manager for game results prediction User: Golden Executive during the tournament also ([1-0], [1/2], [0-1])!

or predict the # of moves in User: ohiochessfan organized by <chessmoron>

Enjoy!


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<HALL <OF> FAME>

WannaBe 10♔ 5♕ 4♖

~~~~
♔♔♔♔♔ ♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♖♖♖♖SwitchingQuylthulg

~~~~

♔♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♕♖♖♖YouRang

~~~~~~

♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♖Aurora
♔♔♔♔♕♕♖suenteus po 147
♔♔♔♔♖♖♖Penguincw

~~~~~~

♔♔♔♕♕♕♖♖♖lostemperor
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖♖♖chessmoron
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖rogge
♔♔♔♕♕♖cromat
♔♔♔♕♖Robin01
~~~~

♔♔♕♕♕♕WinKing
♔♔♕♕♕♖percyblakeney
♔♔♕♖♖♖yalie
♔♔♕♖wordfunph
♔♔♕♖Ragh
♔♔♕♖Ezzy
♔♔Golden Executive
♔♔SloVice
♔♔positionalgenius
♔♔amadeus

~~~~

♔♕♕♕♕♖♖OhioChessFan
♔♕♕♖Diademas
♔♕♖nimh
♔♕♖ahmadov
♔♕♖CHESSBOOKIE
♔♕Keysersoze
♔♕Where is my mind
♔♕Appaz
♔♖♖moronovich*
♔♖Golden Executive*
♔♖Montreal1666
♔♖Troewa

~~~~

♔Beholder
♔juan31
♔wtwz
♔Twinlark
♔SoUnwiseTheKnight B4
♔NGambit
♔benjinathan
♔DCP23
♔firebyrd
♔kellmano
♔Stonehenge
♔cu8sfan
♔larrewl
♔babakova
♔djmercury
♔mikejaqua
♔Joshka,
♔SnoopDogg
♔Like a GM

*may be incomplete

♔ Gold
♕ Silver
♖ Bronze


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♙♙♙

♙♙

>> Click here to see lostemperor's game collections.

Chessgames.com Full Member

   lostemperor has kibitzed 7712 times to chessgames   [more...]
   Feb-02-25 lostemperor chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: <Keyser Soze>,<0ZeR0>,<Penguincw> won gold each! Congratulations!
 
   Apr-20-24 Golden Executive chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: It is fixed! I had an expert looking at it.
 
   Jan-18-24 OhioChessFan chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: Betcha you. Right damn
 
   Jan-11-24 Tata Steel Masters (2024) (replies)
 
lostemperor: ♔♕♖ Announcement ♔♕♖ Join the annual Tata Teel Chess final standings prediction contest at lostemperor chessforum 1. Ding 2. Nepomniachtchi 3. Firouzja 4, Giri 5. Praggnanandhaa 6. Maghsoodloo 7. Vidit 8.Wei 9. Abdusattorov
 
   Feb-26-23 WR Chess Masters (2023) (replies)
 
lostemperor: The predictions' winners on the final standings of WR Chess on my forum <Penquincw>♔, <Golden Executive>♔, <Chesschronicle22>♕, <OhioChessFan>♕, <Messiah>♖
 
   Jan-30-23 Tata Steel Masters (2023) (replies)
 
lostemperor: Winners of the TATA STEEL CHESS 2023 FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTION'S CONTEST at my forum <Firouzjias>♔♔♖, <tuttifrutty>♔♕♖, <lostemperor>♕♕, <Messiah>♖
 
(replies) indicates a reply to the comment.

FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS

Kibitzer's Corner
< Earlier Kibitzing  · PAGE 136 OF 285 ·  Later Kibitzing>
Apr-01-13
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Large Payoff Pair results:

Payoff,Pair result,Winners

$17.00,Aronian-equal-Svidler, Diademas + SwitchingQuylthulg

$17.00,Carlsen-equal-Kramnik, bubuli55 + lostemperor

$8.50,Gelfand-equal-Grischuk, blade2012 + bubuli55 + SwitchingQuylthulg + toktorook

$5.67,Gelfand-above-Radjabov, abhishikt + chessmoron + Everyone + isemeria + jsy + WannaBe

$5.67,Grischuk-above-Radjabov, Diademas + Kjeball + OhioChessFan + perfectimpact + SloVice + WannaBe

Apr-01-13
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: In a thrilling round Carlsen miraculously won with black against Radjabov to move up to first place again together with Kramnik who could not get passed Boris Gelfand. Svidler beat Ivanchuk who beat Carlsen the other day.

In the prediction standings <WannaBe> is holding two top spots but <Diademas> moved up to first place in the betting ranker. One last grand round to go.

Apr-01-13
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <CANDIDATES' FINAL UPDATE<

Round 14
Carlsen - Svidler 0-1
Ivanchuk - Kramnik 1-0
Gelfand - Grischuk 1/2
Aronian - Radjabov 1-0<

Final standings:
1. Kramnik
1. Carlsen
3. Aronian
3. Svidler
5. Gelfand
5. Grischuk
7. Ivanchuk
8. Radjabov>
>
>

After an incredible round Carlsen eand Kramnik lose but remain shared first. Carlsen won on tie-break and becomes the challenger of WC Anand!

Apr-01-13
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: ♔♕♖<FINAL <PREDICTION> STANDINGS>♖♕♔

<ABSOLUTE RANKER FINAL>

Score evaluation method: Absolute value of rank deviation Maximum score: 32

Score,UserID

♔26,WannaBe
♕22,Diademas
♕22,MarbleSkull
♕22,OhioChessFan
~~~~
21,YouRang
20,lostemperor
20,SloVice
19,chessmoron
19,Penguincw
19,wtwz
18,Aurora
18,blade2012
18,fgh
18,isemeria
18,solskytz
17,bubuli55
17,Karposian
17,SwitchingQuylthulg
16,abhishikt
16,crazybird
16,Golden Executive
16,jsy
16,perfectimpact
16,Tiggler
16,WinKing
16,wordfunph
15,Chessmaster9001
15,King Sacrificer
15,KKDEREK
15,moronovich
14,Kjeball
11,chancho
6,toktorook
3,Everyone

Apr-01-13
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <FINAL SQUARE RANKER>

Score evaluation method: Least Squares of rank deviation Maximum score: 168

Score,UserID

159,WannaBe
152,OhioChessFan
151,Diademas
~~~~
148,MarbleSkull
146,YouRang
143,chessmoron
143,SloVice
137,Penguincw
134,isemeria
132,wordfunph
129,crazybird
129,lostemperor
128,jsy
127,Karposian
127,solskytz
126,fgh
126,wtwz
125,Aurora
122,Golden Executive
119,bubuli55
119,KKDEREK
118,blade2012
118,moronovich
116,abhishikt
116,Tiggler
114,perfectimpact
114,SwitchingQuylthulg
112,Kjeball
106,WinKing
98,Chessmaster9001
98,King Sacrificer
85,chancho
45,toktorook
39,Everyone

Apr-01-13
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <FINAL PAIR BETTING RANKER>

Earnings,UserID

♔$27.44,Diademas
♕$16.18,WannaBe
♖$15.90,bubuli55
~~~~
$14.61,SwitchingQuylthulg
$11.14,lostemperor
$10.35,OhioChessFan
$5.30,chessmoron
$4.25,MarbleSkull
$2.94,Penguincw
$2.20,wtwz
$1.77,crazybird
$1.05,blade2012
$0.31,jsy
$-0.48,perfectimpact
$-0.75,SloVice
$-0.75,Golden Executive
$-1.05,abhishikt
$-1.72,fgh
$-1.72,YouRang
$-1.96,wordfunph
$-2.10,Kjeball
$-2.58,isemeria
$-3.58,solskytz
$-5.62,Tiggler
$-5.97,Chessmaster9001
$-6.10,Karposian
$-6.67,Aurora
$-7.65,KKDEREK
$-8.34,Everyone
$-9.12,WinKing
$-9.89,King Sacrificer
$-9.93,moronovich
$-12.97,chancho
$-14.50,toktorook

Apr-01-13
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Large Payoff Pair results:

Payoff,Pair result,Winners

$17.00,Aronian-equal-Svidler, Diademas + SwitchingQuylthulg

$17.00,Carlsen-equal-Kramnik, bubuli55 + lostemperor

$8.50,Gelfand-equal-Grischuk, blade2012 + bubuli55 + SwitchingQuylthulg + toktorook

$5.67,Gelfand-above-Radjabov, abhishikt + chessmoron + Everyone + isemeria + jsy + WannaBe

$5.67,Grischuk-above-Radjabov, Diademas + Kjeball + OhioChessFan + perfectimpact + SloVice + WannaBe

Apr-01-13
Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: I got close, but not close enough. Thanks for hosting <lostemperor>. :)
Apr-01-13
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Congratulations to the winners!!

<WannaBe> ♔♕
<Diademas> ♔♕

for winning first (Gold) and second prizes (Silver)

<OhioChessFan>
<MarbleSkull>

for winning Silver of the second prizes

<bubuli55>
with the Bronze (thanks to a correct prediction of a tie of Carlsen and Kramnik).

Apr-01-13  WinKing: Thanks for hosting this well run contest <lostemperor>! Looking forward to the next one.

Congratulations to all those winning medals!

Apr-01-13
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Thanks Everyone for joining. According to research at <YouRang> forum, the next big tournament will be

About the Norway Chess 2013 tournament:

http://norwaychess.com/en/

May 7 - May 18, 2013 -- 10 player single round robin (9 rounds).

Players:

1. Carlsen
2. Kramnik
3. Aronian
4. Radjabov
5. Karjakin
6. Anand
7. Topalov
8. Nakamura
9. Hao
10. Hammer

This forum is open for this tournament predictions so Hammer away! :)

Apr-01-13
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: The Wascally Wabbit hung on. Second in 2 categories is easily my best effort here. Congrats to <Wannabe> and thanks to <lostemperor>.
Apr-01-13
Premium Chessgames Member
  WannaBe: <lostemperor> Thanks a bunch for hosting, and thanks a bunch for letting me win. (check's in the mail)

I don't have to turn my monitor upside-down this time!

Apr-01-13
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: It has been an exciting two weeks tournament and even more so with our predictions!:)
Apr-01-13  YouRang: Ah, missed the medals by a scoosh. But congratulations to the medal winners, especially <Diademas> and the wabbit, <WannaBe>.

Thanks <lostemperor> for hosting -- great job as usual.

Apr-01-13
Premium Chessgames Member
  Diademas: Thanks for hosting. I realy thought I were toasted by todays result, but somehow the ranking stayed the same. Congratulations to the wabbit, myself and the other winners.
Apr-01-13
Premium Chessgames Member
  WannaBe: You have moi listed twice in your HoF, my check must have arrived!! =))
Apr-02-13  MarbleSkull: Thanks for hosting, <lostemperor>. This was fun. :)

Congrats to the other medal winners.

Apr-02-13
Premium Chessgames Member
  moronovich: Thanks for hosting <lostemperor> !

And congratulations to all the winners.

Apr-02-13  Aurora: Hi <lostemperor>! Many thanks for running the <Candidates Tournament 2013 final prediction contest> with daily updates and all write stuff. It is most appreciated!

bæbæ

Apr-05-13  King Sacrificer: Thanks for the exciting event <lostemperor>! Looking forward to Norway Chess 2013.
May-02-13
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: It is already May and the strong tournament in Norway is approaching. Don't forget to post your predictions.

Kramnik is replaced by Svidler so the participants are:

1. Carlsen
2. Aronian
3. Radjabov
4. Karjakin
6. Anand
6. Topalov
7. Nakamura
8. Svidler
9. Hao
10. Hammer

http://norwaychess.com/en/supertour...

May-02-13  WinKing: Norway Tournament 2013

1. Carlsen
2. Aronian
2. Nakamura
4. Anand
4. Topalov
6. Karjakin
7. Svidler
7. Hao
9. Radjabov
10. Hammer

May-02-13
Premium Chessgames Member
  WannaBe: 1. Topalov
1. Carlsen
3. Anand
3. Karjakin
3. Aronian
5. Radjabov
5. Nakamura
5. Svidler
9. Hao
9. Hammer
May-02-13  suenteus po 147: 1. Topalov
2. Carlsen
2. Aronian
4. Karjakin
4. Hao
6. Anand
6. Svidler
6. Nakamura
9. Hammer
10. Radjabov
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