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lostemperor
Member since Feb-18-03 · Last seen Feb-02-25
♔♕♖
<FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS' CONTEST FORUM>

Predict the final standings of Tata Steel tournament January 12

Format example to post your predictions

1.Caruana
1. Erigaisi
3. Gukesh
4. Abdusattorov
5. Wei Yi
5. Harikrishna
5. Praggnanandhaa
8. Giri
9. Keymer
10. Fedoseev
11.Van Foreest
12. Sarina
12. Warmerdam
12. Mendonca

Good Luck!


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Some years ago I came up with a new but simple system to calculate the final standings of a tournament including all players. This is how it goes:

For each correct standing you'll get a maximum amount of points. Each prediction deviation from the actual player standing in the tournament, will deduct one point from your total (ABSOLUTE RANKER).

In case of a shared player's standing the average standing counts (both actual and in your predictions).

The SQUARE RANKER, squares your predictions' deviations. Here only medals are awarded if the winner s is not the same person s as in the absolute ranker.

Same goes for the The PAIR BETTING RANKER compare all possible pair outcomes of the tournament participants.

The three best predictions will get Real Virtual Gold Silver and Bronze!

Note: only one set of medals is awarded (in the absolute ranker) unless another ranker produces a different winner.

Special thanks to <YouRang> who made a software to calculate these numbers.

Our new contest manager for game results prediction User: Golden Executive during the tournament also ([1-0], [1/2], [0-1])!

or predict the # of moves in User: ohiochessfan organized by <chessmoron>

Enjoy!


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<HALL <OF> FAME>

WannaBe 10♔ 5♕ 4♖

~~~~
♔♔♔♔♔ ♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♖♖♖♖SwitchingQuylthulg

~~~~

♔♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♕♖♖♖YouRang

~~~~~~

♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♖Aurora
♔♔♔♔♕♕♖suenteus po 147
♔♔♔♔♖♖♖Penguincw

~~~~~~

♔♔♔♕♕♕♖♖♖lostemperor
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖♖♖chessmoron
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖rogge
♔♔♔♕♕♖cromat
♔♔♔♕♖Robin01
~~~~

♔♔♕♕♕♕WinKing
♔♔♕♕♕♖percyblakeney
♔♔♕♖♖♖yalie
♔♔♕♖wordfunph
♔♔♕♖Ragh
♔♔♕♖Ezzy
♔♔Golden Executive
♔♔SloVice
♔♔positionalgenius
♔♔amadeus

~~~~

♔♕♕♕♕♖♖OhioChessFan
♔♕♕♖Diademas
♔♕♖nimh
♔♕♖ahmadov
♔♕♖CHESSBOOKIE
♔♕Keysersoze
♔♕Where is my mind
♔♕Appaz
♔♖♖moronovich*
♔♖Golden Executive*
♔♖Montreal1666
♔♖Troewa

~~~~

♔Beholder
♔juan31
♔wtwz
♔Twinlark
♔SoUnwiseTheKnight B4
♔NGambit
♔benjinathan
♔DCP23
♔firebyrd
♔kellmano
♔Stonehenge
♔cu8sfan
♔larrewl
♔babakova
♔djmercury
♔mikejaqua
♔Joshka,
♔SnoopDogg
♔Like a GM

*may be incomplete

♔ Gold
♕ Silver
♖ Bronze


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♙♙

>> Click here to see lostemperor's game collections.

Chessgames.com Full Member

   lostemperor has kibitzed 7714 times to chessgames   [more...]
   Feb-02-25 lostemperor chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: <Keyser Soze>,<0ZeR0>,<Penguincw> won gold each! Congratulations!
 
   Apr-20-24 Golden Executive chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: It is fixed! I had an expert looking at it.
 
   Jan-18-24 OhioChessFan chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: Betcha you. Right damn
 
   Jan-11-24 Tata Steel Masters (2024) (replies)
 
lostemperor: ♔♕♖ Announcement ♔♕♖ Join the annual Tata Teel Chess final standings prediction contest at lostemperor chessforum 1. Ding 2. Nepomniachtchi 3. Firouzja 4, Giri 5. Praggnanandhaa 6. Maghsoodloo 7. Vidit 8.Wei 9. Abdusattorov
 
   Feb-26-23 WR Chess Masters (2023) (replies)
 
lostemperor: The predictions' winners on the final standings of WR Chess on my forum <Penquincw>♔, <Golden Executive>♔, <Chesschronicle22>♕, <OhioChessFan>♕, <Messiah>♖
 
   Jan-30-23 Tata Steel Masters (2023) (replies)
 
lostemperor: Winners of the TATA STEEL CHESS 2023 FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTION'S CONTEST at my forum <Firouzjias>♔♔♖, <tuttifrutty>♔♕♖, <lostemperor>♕♕, <Messiah>♖
 
(replies) indicates a reply to the comment.

FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS

Kibitzer's Corner
< Earlier Kibitzing  · PAGE 279 OF 285 ·  Later Kibitzing>
Feb-10-23  Messiah: <lostemperor: <Messiah> you should put your predictions in the abovementioned format. I cannot guess who is who especially if there are more than one altered names!>

Bill = Ian Nepomniachtchi

Clueless = Jan-Krzysztof Duda

Annoyingface = Vincent Keymer

Feb-13-23
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Dusseldorf predictions

1. Abdusatarrov
2. Giri
3. So
4. Gukesh
5. Nepomniatchi
6. Duda
7. Praggandha
7. Aronian
9. Keymer
10. Esipenko

Feb-14-23  Firouzjias: My Dusseldorf predictions:

1. Abdusatarrov
2. Giri
2. Nepomniatchi
4. So
5. Aronian
5. Praggnanandhaa
7. Duda
7. Gukesh
9. Esipenko
10. Keymer

Feb-14-23
Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: Thanks for hosting!

1. Nepomniachtchi
2. Aronian
3. Duda
3. So
5. Giri
5. Abdusattorov
7. Esipenko
8. Gukesh
9. Pragg
10. Keymer

Feb-15-23  Chesschronicle22: May I join <lostemperor> ?
Feb-15-23  Chesschronicle22: 1. Nepomniatchi 
2. Giri 
3. Aronian
4. So
5. Duda
6. Abdusatorrov
7. Gukesh 
8. Praggandha 
9. Keymer 
10. Esipenko 
Feb-16-23  Golden Executive: Belated thanks <lostemperor> for running the Tata Steel 2023 FSPC and now for hosting the Dusseldorf WRChessMasters 2023. I'll be back on time to post my predictions.
Feb-16-23
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan:  
1. Nepomniatchi
2. So
3. Giri
4. Aronian
5. Abdusatorrov
6. Duda
7. Gukesh
8. Praggandha
9. Esipenko
10. Keymer
Feb-16-23  Golden Executive: Here we go!

1. Giri
1. Nepomniatchi
3. Abdusattorrov
3. So
5. Gukesh
5. Esipenko
5. Aronian
5. Praggnanandha
9. Duda
9. Keymer

Feb-16-23  Firouzjias: Thanks for hosting <lostemperor>.

Please change my previous predictions, here's my final list, thanks.

1. Giri
2. So
2. Nepomniatchi
4. Abdusatarrov
4. Aronian
4. Pragg.
7. Duda
7. Gukesh
9. Esipenko
10. Keymer

Good Luck to all!!

Feb-16-23
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: I literally just looked up Esipenko's records I have completely forgotten! So here renewed Dusseldorf predictions

1.Esipenko
2. Abdusatarrov
3. Giri
4. So
5. Gukesh
6. Nepomniatchi
7. Aronian
8. Duda
9. Praggandhaa
10. Keymer

Feb-16-23  cromat: 1. Nepomniatchi
1. Giri
3. So
4. Aronian
5. Abdusatorrov
5. Duda
7. Keymer
8. Praggandha
8. Gukesh
10. Esipenko
Feb-16-23
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: **Coming Soon! **

Dusseldorf 2023 Moves Prediction Contest. Conducted by the Legendary <chessmoron> and hosted at Graceland, home of Elvis. Click on Elvis for details.

Feb-16-23  Messiah: The tourney started.
Feb-16-23  Chesschronicle22: Is it too late to change????!
1. Nepomniatchi  
2. Giri  
3. Aronian 
4. So 
5. Duda 
6. Esipenko
7. Abdusatorrov
8. Gukesh
9. Pragg
10. Keymer
Feb-16-23  Messiah: <Chesschronicle22: Is it too late to change????! >

Yes. But you can always discuss these matters on <perfy>'s wall.

Feb-16-23  Chesschronicle22: I might just take up on that, thanks <Mes> BTW, just curious, do you speak Germen? Or maybe Japanese?
Feb-17-23
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Thanks, will put the predictions data in the contest manager software asap!
Feb-17-23  Chesschronicle22: Thanks
Feb-18-23  Messiah: <Chesschronicle22: I might just take up on that, thanks <Mes> BTW, just curious, do you speak Germen? Or maybe Japanese?>

Yes, I speak some German, and I can count to 10 in Japanese. Not a huge achievement, tho!

Feb-18-23
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <♔♕♖WR DUSSELDORF CHESS 2023 PREDICTIONS CONTEST♔♕♖

<STANDINGS <AFTER 2 ROUNDS<

1. So
1. Abdusattorov
1. Aronian
1. Gukesh
5. Giri
5. Esipenko
5. Nepomniatchi
8. Keymer
8. Duda
10. Praggnanandhaa>
>
>
>

Feb-18-23
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: ♔♕♖THE PREDICTIONS♔♕♖
<ABSOLUTE RANKER>

Score evaluation method: Absolute value of rank deviation Maximum score: 50

Score,UserID
30,lostemperor
26,Penguincw
25,Golden Executive
~~~~
24,OhioChessFan
22,Messiah
21,Chesschronicle22
21,Firouzjias
20,cromat

<SQUARE RANKER>

Score evaluation method: Least Squares of rank deviation Maximum score: 330

Score,UserID
264,lostemperor
246,OhioChessFan
241,Golden Executive
~~~~
235,Penguincw
222,Chesschronicle22
218,Firouzjias
213,cromat
212,Messiah

Feb-18-23
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <PAIR BETTING RANKER 2>

Earnings,UserID
$22.43,lostemperor
$17.57,Golden Executive
$-0.43,Messiah
~~~~
$-4.90,cromat
$-6.05,Penguincw
$-6.43,OhioChessFan
$-8.43,Firouzjias
$-13.76,Chesschronicle22

<Large Payoff Pair results>:

Payoff,Pair result,Winners

$8.00,Abdusattorov-above-Giri, lostemperor

$8.00,Abdusattorov-above-Nepomniatchi, lostemperor

$8.00,Abdusattorov-equal-Aronian, Firouzjias

$8.00,Abdusattorov-equal-Sow, Golden Executive

$8.00,Aronian-above-Nepomniatchi, Messiah

$8.00,Aronian-equal-Gukesh, Golden Executive

$8.00,Duda-equal-Keymer, Golden Executive

$8.00,Gukesh-above-Nepomniatchi, lostemperor

$8.00,Keymer-above-Praggnanandhaa, cromat

Feb-18-23
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: It seems my kindof upside down predictions go well so far. I feel like <Penguincw> rooting for the underdog :>)

7 rounds to go!

Feb-19-23  Chesschronicle22: Ich verstehe, hallo Mes, wenn du verstehst, antworte "Ja" auf Deutsch
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