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lostemperor
Member since Feb-18-03 · Last seen Feb-02-25
♔♕♖
<FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS' CONTEST FORUM>

Predict the final standings of Tata Steel tournament January 12

Format example to post your predictions

1.Caruana
1. Erigaisi
3. Gukesh
4. Abdusattorov
5. Wei Yi
5. Harikrishna
5. Praggnanandhaa
8. Giri
9. Keymer
10. Fedoseev
11.Van Foreest
12. Sarina
12. Warmerdam
12. Mendonca

Good Luck!


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Some years ago I came up with a new but simple system to calculate the final standings of a tournament including all players. This is how it goes:

For each correct standing you'll get a maximum amount of points. Each prediction deviation from the actual player standing in the tournament, will deduct one point from your total (ABSOLUTE RANKER).

In case of a shared player's standing the average standing counts (both actual and in your predictions).

The SQUARE RANKER, squares your predictions' deviations. Here only medals are awarded if the winner s is not the same person s as in the absolute ranker.

Same goes for the The PAIR BETTING RANKER compare all possible pair outcomes of the tournament participants.

The three best predictions will get Real Virtual Gold Silver and Bronze!

Note: only one set of medals is awarded (in the absolute ranker) unless another ranker produces a different winner.

Special thanks to <YouRang> who made a software to calculate these numbers.

Our new contest manager for game results prediction User: Golden Executive during the tournament also ([1-0], [1/2], [0-1])!

or predict the # of moves in User: ohiochessfan organized by <chessmoron>

Enjoy!


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<HALL <OF> FAME>

WannaBe 10♔ 5♕ 4♖

~~~~
♔♔♔♔♔ ♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♖♖♖♖SwitchingQuylthulg

~~~~

♔♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♕♖♖♖YouRang

~~~~~~

♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♖Aurora
♔♔♔♔♕♕♖suenteus po 147
♔♔♔♔♖♖♖Penguincw

~~~~~~

♔♔♔♕♕♕♖♖♖lostemperor
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖♖♖chessmoron
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖rogge
♔♔♔♕♕♖cromat
♔♔♔♕♖Robin01
~~~~

♔♔♕♕♕♕WinKing
♔♔♕♕♕♖percyblakeney
♔♔♕♖♖♖yalie
♔♔♕♖wordfunph
♔♔♕♖Ragh
♔♔♕♖Ezzy
♔♔Golden Executive
♔♔SloVice
♔♔positionalgenius
♔♔amadeus

~~~~

♔♕♕♕♕♖♖OhioChessFan
♔♕♕♖Diademas
♔♕♖nimh
♔♕♖ahmadov
♔♕♖CHESSBOOKIE
♔♕Keysersoze
♔♕Where is my mind
♔♕Appaz
♔♖♖moronovich*
♔♖Golden Executive*
♔♖Montreal1666
♔♖Troewa

~~~~

♔Beholder
♔juan31
♔wtwz
♔Twinlark
♔SoUnwiseTheKnight B4
♔NGambit
♔benjinathan
♔DCP23
♔firebyrd
♔kellmano
♔Stonehenge
♔cu8sfan
♔larrewl
♔babakova
♔djmercury
♔mikejaqua
♔Joshka,
♔SnoopDogg
♔Like a GM

*may be incomplete

♔ Gold
♕ Silver
♖ Bronze


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♙♙♙

♙♙

>> Click here to see lostemperor's game collections.

Chessgames.com Full Member

   lostemperor has kibitzed 7714 times to chessgames   [more...]
   Feb-02-25 lostemperor chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: <Keyser Soze>,<0ZeR0>,<Penguincw> won gold each! Congratulations!
 
   Apr-20-24 Golden Executive chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: It is fixed! I had an expert looking at it.
 
   Jan-18-24 OhioChessFan chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: Betcha you. Right damn
 
   Jan-11-24 Tata Steel Masters (2024) (replies)
 
lostemperor: ♔♕♖ Announcement ♔♕♖ Join the annual Tata Teel Chess final standings prediction contest at lostemperor chessforum 1. Ding 2. Nepomniachtchi 3. Firouzja 4, Giri 5. Praggnanandhaa 6. Maghsoodloo 7. Vidit 8.Wei 9. Abdusattorov
 
   Feb-26-23 WR Chess Masters (2023) (replies)
 
lostemperor: The predictions' winners on the final standings of WR Chess on my forum <Penquincw>♔, <Golden Executive>♔, <Chesschronicle22>♕, <OhioChessFan>♕, <Messiah>♖
 
   Jan-30-23 Tata Steel Masters (2023) (replies)
 
lostemperor: Winners of the TATA STEEL CHESS 2023 FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTION'S CONTEST at my forum <Firouzjias>♔♔♖, <tuttifrutty>♔♕♖, <lostemperor>♕♕, <Messiah>♖
 
(replies) indicates a reply to the comment.

FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS

Kibitzer's Corner
< Earlier Kibitzing  · PAGE 278 OF 285 ·  Later Kibitzing>
Jan-26-23
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <♔♕♖TATA STEEL CHESS 2023 ROUND 10 update ♔♕♖ <STANDINGS:<

1. Abdusattorov
2. Giri
3. So
3. Carlsen
5. Caruana
5. Aronian
7. Praggnanandhaa
7. Rapport
9. Ding
10. Maghsoodloo
10. Gukesh
10. VanForeest
13. Keymer
13. Erigasi>
>
>

Jan-26-23
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: TATA STEEL CHESS
♔♕♖THE PREDICTIONS♔♕♖
<ABSOLUTE RANKER 10>

Score,UserID
63,tuttifrutty
61,lostemperor
59,blade2012
59,Firouzjias
~~~~
57,offramp
55,Golden Executive
54,OhioChessFan
54,Penguincw
50,Keyser Soze
49,paavoh
48,ultrausurper
47,ndg2
41,alfamikewhiskey
23,Messiah

<SQUARE RANKER>

Score,UserID
772,tuttifrutty
748,lostemperor
704,offramp
~~~~
702,blade2012
701,Firouzjias
689,OhioChessFan
687,Golden Executive
656,ndg2
656,Penguincw
640,Keyser Soze
630,paavoh
591,alfamikewhiskey
571,ultrausurper
342,Messiah

<PAIR BETTING RANKER>

Earnings,UserID
$24.15,tuttifrutty
$22.65,alfamikewhiskey
$20.37,offramp
~~~~
$18.18,ultrausurper
$6.02,blade2012
$5.58,lostemperor
$0.78,Firouzjias
$-1.77,Penguincw
$-4.35,OhioChessFan
$-10.71,Keyser Soze
$-13.49,ndg2
$-16.40,Golden Executive
$-25.05,paavoh
$-25.96,Messiah

<Large Payoff Pair results>:

Payoff,Pair result,Winners

$14.00,Abdusattorov-above-Caruana, ultrausurper

$14.00,Aronian-above-Ding, tuttifrutty

$14.00,Giri-above-Carlsen, ultrausurper

$14.00,Maghsoodloo-equal-VanForeest, blade2012

$14.00,Praggnanandhaa-above-Ding, alfamikewhiskey

$7.00,Abdusattorov-above-Aronian, alfamikewhiskey + offramp

$7.00,Abdusattorov-above-Gukesh, Firouzjias + lostemperor

$7.00,Abdusattorov-above-So, alfamikewhiskey + Messiah

$7.00,Carlsen-equal-So, offramp + ultrausurper

$7.00,Rapport-above-Ding, alfamikewhiskey + offramp

Jan-26-23
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: Wow, what a tournament. I can't believe how far off my picks are and I'm still in the middle of the pack.
Jan-26-23  Messiah: <lostemperor: YouRang's contest manager up and running I have but someone can tell me who annoying face is in <Messiah>'s predicitions lol?

<Penguincw> unfortunately <lakshashishu> predicitons is incomplete.>

Annoyingface = Vincent Keymer

Jan-26-23
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: I figured that out <Messiah> but I went through the whole Tata steel masters and and couldn't find someone for quite some time. But it had to there X)
Jan-30-23
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <♔♕♖TATA STEEL CHESS 2023 FINAL update ♔♕♖

<Things unfolding in the final round where Giri took first place thanks to Van Foreest beating first time participant leader Abdusattorov

<STANDINGS:<

1. Giri
2. Abdusattorov
2. Carlsen
4. So
5. Caruana
5. Maghsoodloo
7. Aronian
7. Rapport
9. Praggnanandhaa
9. VanForeest
11. Ding
11. Gukesh
13. Keymer
13. Erigasi>
>
>
>

Jan-30-23  Firouzjias: Thank you <lostemperor> for a great contest.

Think Erigasi is alone in 14th ?? (Keymer 5/13, Erigasi 4/13)

Jan-30-23
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: O wait yes thanks <Firouzjias>
Jan-30-23
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: TATA STEEL CHESS 2023

FINAL STANDINGS:

1. Giri
2. Abdusattorov
2. Carlsen
4. So
5. Caruana
5. Maghsoodloo
7. Aronian
7. Rapport
9. Praggnanandhaa
9. VanForeest
11. Ding
11. Gukesh
13. Keymer
14. Erigasi

Jan-30-23
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: ♔♕♖<FINAL PREDICTION RESULTS>♖♕♔

<ABSOLUTE RANKER> Score evaluation method: Absolute value of rank deviation Maximum score: 98

Score,UserID
♔61,Firouzjias
♕58,lostemperor
♖56,tuttifrutty
~~~~
53,blade2012
53,Penguincw
52,offramp
49,OhioChessFan
48,Golden Executive
48,Keyser Soze
48,paavoh
43,ndg2
35,ultrausurper
34,alfamikewhiskey
23,Messiah

<SQUARE RANKER> Score evaluation method: Least Squares of rank deviation Maximum score: 910

Score,UserID
♔743,tuttifrutty
♕711,lostemperor
♖708,Firouzjias
~~~~
700,offramp
652,Golden Executive
640,Penguincw
630,OhioChessFan
626,blade2012
625,Keyser Soze
616,paavoh
598,ndg2
543,alfamikewhiskey
473,ultrausurper
391,Messiah

Jan-30-23
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <PAIR BETTING RANKER>

Earnings,UserID
$19.64,Firouzjias♔
$19.23,tuttifrutty♕
$17.96,Messiah♖
~~~~
$15.23,alfamikewhiskey
$13.61,offramp
$8.10,lostemperor
$0.75,Penguincw
$-1.26,ultrausurper
$-11.29,Golden Executive
$-11.77,OhioChessFan
$-14.03,Keyser Soze
$-17.40,blade2012
$-19.16,ndg2
$-19.61,paavoh

Large Payoff Pair results:

Payoff,Pair result,Winners

JACKPOTS!!

$14.00,Abdusattorov-above-Caruana, ultrausurper

$14.00,Aronian-above-Ding, tuttifrutty

$14.00,Aronian-equal-Rapport, Firouzjias

$14.00,Giri-above-Carlsen, ultrausurper

$14.00,Maghsoodloo-above-Aronian, Messiah

$14.00,Maghsoodloo-above-Ding, Messiah

$14.00,Maghsoodloo-above-Rapport, Messiah

$14.00,Praggnanandhaa-above-Ding, alfamikewhiskey

Jan-30-23
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Congratulations to <Firouzjias>♔♔♖ winning the Absolute and Pair Betting Ranker and <tuttifrutty>♔♕♖ winning the Square Ranker!! <lostemperor>♕♕ and <Messiah>♖ took the remaining prizes!
Jan-30-23  Firouzjias: Thanks <lostemperor>, can't believe the 2 Golds and a Bronze, that was totally luck. Congrats to the other winners !!

Can't you run the Dusseldorf WR Chess Masters 2023 in Germany (15-26/2/23)? Lots of great names playing there ?

Jan-30-23  paavoh: Thanks <lostemperor> for hosting! Congratulations to the new-name winners and medalists! I am hoping to improve next time from the current disaster. See you then!
Jan-30-23  alfamikewhiskey: Thanks for the contest!
Jan-31-23
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: Thanks <le>
Jan-31-23
Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: Thanks <lostemperor> for running the contest, congrats to the winners.
Feb-02-23  Firouzjias: Hi <lostemperor>, will be great if you can run the Dusseldorf WR Chess Masters 2023 in Germany (15-26/2/23). Great names and Ave Elo 2731 .. will be the next tournament to predict on <Ohio>'s forum.
Feb-05-23  tuttifrutty: I’m feeling blessed.:)
Feb-06-23
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Yes we can do Dusseldorf. It will be a kind of redo of Tata Steel since the same players will participate :)
Feb-06-23
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: I mean a lot of the strong 2700 youngsters!
Feb-06-23  Firouzjias: Dusseldorf WR Chess Masters 2023:

Nepo - 2793
Giri - 2779
So - 2766
Aro - 2736
Abdu - 2733
Duda - 2729
Guk - 2718
Prag - 2689
Key - 2689
Esi - 2675

Ave: 2731

Feb-08-23
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: We can have a go for Dusseldorf prediction contest

1. Nepomniatchi
2. Giri
3. So
4. Aronian
5. Abdusatorrov
6. Duda
7. Gukesh
8. Praggandha
9. Keymer
10. Esipenko

https://wr-chess.com/players/

Feb-08-23  Messiah: My guess:

1 Aronian
2 Giri
3 So
4 Bill
5 Clueless
6 Esipenko
7 Praggnanandhaa
8 Dommaraju Gukesh
9 Abdusattorov
10 Annoyingface

Feb-10-23
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <Messiah> you should put your predictions in the abovementioned format. I cannot guess who is who especially if there are more than one altered names!
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