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lostemperor
Member since Feb-18-03 · Last seen Feb-02-25
♔♕♖
<FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS' CONTEST FORUM>

Predict the final standings of Tata Steel tournament January 12

Format example to post your predictions

1.Caruana
1. Erigaisi
3. Gukesh
4. Abdusattorov
5. Wei Yi
5. Harikrishna
5. Praggnanandhaa
8. Giri
9. Keymer
10. Fedoseev
11.Van Foreest
12. Sarina
12. Warmerdam
12. Mendonca

Good Luck!


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Some years ago I came up with a new but simple system to calculate the final standings of a tournament including all players. This is how it goes:

For each correct standing you'll get a maximum amount of points. Each prediction deviation from the actual player standing in the tournament, will deduct one point from your total (ABSOLUTE RANKER).

In case of a shared player's standing the average standing counts (both actual and in your predictions).

The SQUARE RANKER, squares your predictions' deviations. Here only medals are awarded if the winner s is not the same person s as in the absolute ranker.

Same goes for the The PAIR BETTING RANKER compare all possible pair outcomes of the tournament participants.

The three best predictions will get Real Virtual Gold Silver and Bronze!

Note: only one set of medals is awarded (in the absolute ranker) unless another ranker produces a different winner.

Special thanks to <YouRang> who made a software to calculate these numbers.

Our new contest manager for game results prediction User: Golden Executive during the tournament also ([1-0], [1/2], [0-1])!

or predict the # of moves in User: ohiochessfan organized by <chessmoron>

Enjoy!


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<HALL <OF> FAME>

WannaBe 10♔ 5♕ 4♖

~~~~
♔♔♔♔♔ ♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♖♖♖♖SwitchingQuylthulg

~~~~

♔♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♕♖♖♖YouRang

~~~~~~

♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♖Aurora
♔♔♔♔♕♕♖suenteus po 147
♔♔♔♔♖♖♖Penguincw

~~~~~~

♔♔♔♕♕♕♖♖♖lostemperor
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖♖♖chessmoron
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖rogge
♔♔♔♕♕♖cromat
♔♔♔♕♖Robin01
~~~~

♔♔♕♕♕♕WinKing
♔♔♕♕♕♖percyblakeney
♔♔♕♖♖♖yalie
♔♔♕♖wordfunph
♔♔♕♖Ragh
♔♔♕♖Ezzy
♔♔Golden Executive
♔♔SloVice
♔♔positionalgenius
♔♔amadeus

~~~~

♔♕♕♕♕♖♖OhioChessFan
♔♕♕♖Diademas
♔♕♖nimh
♔♕♖ahmadov
♔♕♖CHESSBOOKIE
♔♕Keysersoze
♔♕Where is my mind
♔♕Appaz
♔♖♖moronovich*
♔♖Golden Executive*
♔♖Montreal1666
♔♖Troewa

~~~~

♔Beholder
♔juan31
♔wtwz
♔Twinlark
♔SoUnwiseTheKnight B4
♔NGambit
♔benjinathan
♔DCP23
♔firebyrd
♔kellmano
♔Stonehenge
♔cu8sfan
♔larrewl
♔babakova
♔djmercury
♔mikejaqua
♔Joshka,
♔SnoopDogg
♔Like a GM

*may be incomplete

♔ Gold
♕ Silver
♖ Bronze


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♙♙

>> Click here to see lostemperor's game collections.

Chessgames.com Full Member

   lostemperor has kibitzed 7714 times to chessgames   [more...]
   Feb-02-25 lostemperor chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: <Keyser Soze>,<0ZeR0>,<Penguincw> won gold each! Congratulations!
 
   Apr-20-24 Golden Executive chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: It is fixed! I had an expert looking at it.
 
   Jan-18-24 OhioChessFan chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: Betcha you. Right damn
 
   Jan-11-24 Tata Steel Masters (2024) (replies)
 
lostemperor: ♔♕♖ Announcement ♔♕♖ Join the annual Tata Teel Chess final standings prediction contest at lostemperor chessforum 1. Ding 2. Nepomniachtchi 3. Firouzja 4, Giri 5. Praggnanandhaa 6. Maghsoodloo 7. Vidit 8.Wei 9. Abdusattorov
 
   Feb-26-23 WR Chess Masters (2023) (replies)
 
lostemperor: The predictions' winners on the final standings of WR Chess on my forum <Penquincw>♔, <Golden Executive>♔, <Chesschronicle22>♕, <OhioChessFan>♕, <Messiah>♖
 
   Jan-30-23 Tata Steel Masters (2023) (replies)
 
lostemperor: Winners of the TATA STEEL CHESS 2023 FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTION'S CONTEST at my forum <Firouzjias>♔♔♖, <tuttifrutty>♔♕♖, <lostemperor>♕♕, <Messiah>♖
 
(replies) indicates a reply to the comment.

FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS

Kibitzer's Corner
< Earlier Kibitzing  · PAGE 277 OF 285 ·  Later Kibitzing>
Jan-11-23  Golden Executive: Hi <lostemperor>! Glad to say hello to you.

I'll be back a little bit later to post my predictions.

In my forum, the <Game Prediction Contest for Tata Steel Masters 2023> is open right now and everybody is welcome!

Jan-12-23  ndg2: Hi <lostemperor>, I'll try my luck here:

1. Carlsen
2. Caruana
3. Ding Liren
4. So
5. Giri
6. Rapport
7. Gukesh
8. Aronian
9. Keymer
10. Erigaisi
11. Abdusattorov
12. Praggnanandhaa
13. Maghsoodloo
14. Van Foreest

Jan-12-23  paavoh: Thanks <lostemperor> for organizing this contest again! Good luck to all!

Here goes...

1. Carlsen
2. Ding Liren
3. Caruana
3. Giri
5. Rapport
5. So
5. Gukesh
8. Aronian
9. Maghsoodloo
9. Erigaisi
11. Praggnanandhaa
11. Van Foreest
11. Abdusattorov
11. Keymer

Jan-12-23  blade2012: My predictions:

1. Carlsen
2. Ding Liren
2. Giri
4. So
5. Rapport
5. Caruana
7. Aronian
8. Gukesh
8. Erigaisi
8. Praggnanandhaa
11. Abdusattorov
11. Keymer
13. Maghsoodloo
13. Van Foreest J.

Jan-12-23  Messiah: 1 Maghsoodloo
2 Ding
3 Annoyingface
4 Aronian
5 Justin
6 Dommaraju Gukesh
7 Giri
8 Caruana
9 Praggnanandhaa
10 Erigaisi
11 Abdusattorov
12 Jorden van Foreest
13 So
14 Rapport
Jan-13-23
Premium Chessgames Member
  offramp:
1. Carlsen
1. So
3 Gukesh
3 Giri,
5. Caruana
6. Rapport,
7. Ding Liren
8. Abdusattorov
9. Keymer
10. Aronian
11. Maghsoodloo
12. Van Foreest
13 Erigaisi
14 Praggnanandhaa
Jan-13-23  ultrausurper: 1. Ding Liren,
1. Erigaisi
3. Giri,
4. Carlsen,
4. Gukesh
4. Aronian,
4. So,
8. Praggnanandhaa
8. Abdusattorov
10.Caruana,
11. Maghsoodloo
11. Rapport,
13. Van Foreest
13. Keymer
Jan-13-23
Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: I think I'm putting my real predictions this time - not enough time to do research on whether I should do my real or upside-down ones.

1. Carlsen
2. Caruana
3. Ding Liren
4. Aronian
5. So
6. Rapport
7. Giri
8. van Foreest
9. Maghsoodloo
10. Praggnanandhaa
11. Erigaisi
11. Gukesh
13. Abdusattorov
14. Keymer

So many young players this year!

Jan-13-23
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: 1. Carlsen
2. Caruana
3. So
4. Giri
5. Rapport
5. Ding
7. Aronian
8. Keymer
9. Erigaisi
10. Praggnanandhaa
11. Abdusattorov
11. Gukesh
13. Van Foreest J.
14. Maghsoodloo
Jan-14-23  Firouzjias: My predictions:
1. Carlsen
2. So
2. Ding
4. Giri
5. Caruana
5. Van Foreest J.
7. Rapport
7. Aronian
9. Maghsoodloo
9. Abdusattorov
11. Erigaisi
11. Gukesh
13. Keymer
14. Praggnanandhaa
Jan-14-23  Golden Executive: Here we go!

1. Carlsen
2. Ding Liren
2. Caruana
4. So
4. Giri
4. Aronian
7. Rapport
8. Gukesh
9. Keymer
10. Maghsoodloo
10. Abdusattorov
12. Erigaisi
12. Van Foreest
12. Praggnanandhaa

Jan-14-23
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Tough nuts. So many young strong players many who have beaten Magnus Carlsen once..

1. Carlsen
2. Ding Liren
3. Caruana
4. So
5. Giri
6. Abdusattorov
6. Aronian
8. van Foreest
9. Rapport
10. Erigaisi
11. Maghsoodloo
12. Gukesh
13. Praggnanandhaa
13. Keymer

Jan-14-23  tuttifrutty: 1- So
2- Carlson
3- caruana
4- Giri
Aronian
Ding
Rapport
Gukesh
Abdu
Magsoodlu
Keynes
Pragg
Erigasi
Van forest
Jan-14-23  alfamikewhiskey: 1. Carlsen 

2. Rapport
3. Caruana 

3. Giri
5. Praggnanandhaa
6. Ding Liren

7. Gukesh

8. Keymer 

9. Abdusattorov 

10. Erigaisi

10. Van Foreest 

12. Aronian
13. So
14. Maghsoodloo
Jan-14-23
Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: Just to be clear, the tournament has started. (in fact, Round 1 is already done)
Jan-14-23
Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: Also, <lostemperor>, <lakshashishu> posted some predictions under your advertisement post in Tata Steel Masters 2023.

Tata Steel Masters (2023) (kibitz #3)

Was wondering if you're planning to count those.

Jan-17-23
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: I can include <lakshashishu> predictions. Will have <Yourang> contest manager software running!
Jan-19-23
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: I cannot open the contest program because my old computer broke down. Have to install it on another computer. Hope to fix this asap
Jan-24-23
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: YouRang's contest manager up and running I have but someone can tell me who annoying face is in <Messiah>'s predicitions lol?

<Penguincw> unfortunately <lakshashishu> predicitons is incomplete.

Jan-24-23
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <♔♕♖TATA STEEL CHESS 2023 ROUND 8♔♕♖

<STANDINGS:

1. Abdusattorov
2. Giri
2. So
4. Caruana
4. Carlsen
4. Aronian
4. Praggnanandhaa
8. Ding
9. Rapport
9. Maghsoodloo
11. Erigasi
11. VanForeest
13. Keymer
13. Gukesh>
>
>

Jan-24-23
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: TATA STEEL CHESS
♔♕♖THE PREDICTIONS♔♕♖

ABSOLUTE RANKER

Score evaluation method: Absolute value of rank deviation Maximum score: 98

Score,UserID
58,lostemperor
57,Firouzjias
57,tuttifrutty
~~~~
52,blade2012
50,Penguincw
49,offramp
49,OhioChessFan
49,ultrausurper
46,Golden Executive
46,Keyser Soze
45,paavoh
40,ndg2
37,alfamikewhiskey
26,Messiah

Jan-24-23
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: SQUARE RANKER 8

Score evaluation method: Least Squares of rank deviation Maximum score: 910

Score,UserID
725,lostemperor
725,tuttifrutty
666,blade2012
~~~~
665,Firouzjias
657,OhioChessFan
631,Penguincw
629,Golden Executive
612,offramp
600,ndg2
597,ultrausurper
594,Keyser Soze
575,paavoh
513,alfamikewhiskey
361,Messiah

Jan-24-23
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: PAIR BETTING RANKER 8

Earnings,UserID
$49.83,ultrausurper
$32.77,tuttifrutty
$12.53,alfamikewhiskey
~~~~
$11.53,lostemperor
$2.07,Firouzjias
$-0.48,Penguincw
$-0.78,Golden Executive
$-3.78,offramp
$-5.17,OhioChessFan
$-14.09,Keyser Soze
$-14.17,blade2012
$-18.87,ndg2
$-20.14,Messiah
$-31.23,paavoh

Large Payoff Pair results:
Payoff,Pair result,Winners

$14.00,Abdusattorov-above-Caruana, ultrausurper

$14.00,Aronian-above-Ding, tuttifrutty

$14.00,Aronian-equal-Carlsen, ultrausurper

$14.00,Giri-above-Carlsen, ultrausurper

$14.00,Giri-equal-So, Golden Executive

$14.00,Maghsoodloo-equal-Rapport, ultrausurper

$14.00,Praggnanandhaa-above-Ding, alfamikewhiskey

$14.00,So-above-Carlsen, tuttifrutty

Jan-24-23
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: We have 2 newcomers <tuttifrutty> and <ultrausurper> on top with oldie <lostemperor> with 5 rounds to go!
Jan-24-23  paavoh: So far, my predictions have gone south...
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