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lostemperor
Member since Feb-18-03 · Last seen Feb-02-25
♔♕♖
<FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS' CONTEST FORUM>

Predict the final standings of Tata Steel tournament January 12

Format example to post your predictions

1.Caruana
1. Erigaisi
3. Gukesh
4. Abdusattorov
5. Wei Yi
5. Harikrishna
5. Praggnanandhaa
8. Giri
9. Keymer
10. Fedoseev
11.Van Foreest
12. Sarina
12. Warmerdam
12. Mendonca

Good Luck!


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Some years ago I came up with a new but simple system to calculate the final standings of a tournament including all players. This is how it goes:

For each correct standing you'll get a maximum amount of points. Each prediction deviation from the actual player standing in the tournament, will deduct one point from your total (ABSOLUTE RANKER).

In case of a shared player's standing the average standing counts (both actual and in your predictions).

The SQUARE RANKER, squares your predictions' deviations. Here only medals are awarded if the winner s is not the same person s as in the absolute ranker.

Same goes for the The PAIR BETTING RANKER compare all possible pair outcomes of the tournament participants.

The three best predictions will get Real Virtual Gold Silver and Bronze!

Note: only one set of medals is awarded (in the absolute ranker) unless another ranker produces a different winner.

Special thanks to <YouRang> who made a software to calculate these numbers.

Our new contest manager for game results prediction User: Golden Executive during the tournament also ([1-0], [1/2], [0-1])!

or predict the # of moves in User: ohiochessfan organized by <chessmoron>

Enjoy!


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<HALL <OF> FAME>

WannaBe 10♔ 5♕ 4♖

~~~~
♔♔♔♔♔ ♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♖♖♖♖SwitchingQuylthulg

~~~~

♔♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♕♖♖♖YouRang

~~~~~~

♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♖Aurora
♔♔♔♔♕♕♖suenteus po 147
♔♔♔♔♖♖♖Penguincw

~~~~~~

♔♔♔♕♕♕♖♖♖lostemperor
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖♖♖chessmoron
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖rogge
♔♔♔♕♕♖cromat
♔♔♔♕♖Robin01
~~~~

♔♔♕♕♕♕WinKing
♔♔♕♕♕♖percyblakeney
♔♔♕♖♖♖yalie
♔♔♕♖wordfunph
♔♔♕♖Ragh
♔♔♕♖Ezzy
♔♔Golden Executive
♔♔SloVice
♔♔positionalgenius
♔♔amadeus

~~~~

♔♕♕♕♕♖♖OhioChessFan
♔♕♕♖Diademas
♔♕♖nimh
♔♕♖ahmadov
♔♕♖CHESSBOOKIE
♔♕Keysersoze
♔♕Where is my mind
♔♕Appaz
♔♖♖moronovich*
♔♖Golden Executive*
♔♖Montreal1666
♔♖Troewa

~~~~

♔Beholder
♔juan31
♔wtwz
♔Twinlark
♔SoUnwiseTheKnight B4
♔NGambit
♔benjinathan
♔DCP23
♔firebyrd
♔kellmano
♔Stonehenge
♔cu8sfan
♔larrewl
♔babakova
♔djmercury
♔mikejaqua
♔Joshka,
♔SnoopDogg
♔Like a GM

*may be incomplete

♔ Gold
♕ Silver
♖ Bronze


♙♙

♙♙♙

♙♙

>> Click here to see lostemperor's game collections.

Chessgames.com Full Member

   lostemperor has kibitzed 7712 times to chessgames   [more...]
   Feb-02-25 lostemperor chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: <Keyser Soze>,<0ZeR0>,<Penguincw> won gold each! Congratulations!
 
   Apr-20-24 Golden Executive chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: It is fixed! I had an expert looking at it.
 
   Jan-18-24 OhioChessFan chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: Betcha you. Right damn
 
   Jan-11-24 Tata Steel Masters (2024) (replies)
 
lostemperor: ♔♕♖ Announcement ♔♕♖ Join the annual Tata Teel Chess final standings prediction contest at lostemperor chessforum 1. Ding 2. Nepomniachtchi 3. Firouzja 4, Giri 5. Praggnanandhaa 6. Maghsoodloo 7. Vidit 8.Wei 9. Abdusattorov
 
   Feb-26-23 WR Chess Masters (2023) (replies)
 
lostemperor: The predictions' winners on the final standings of WR Chess on my forum <Penquincw>♔, <Golden Executive>♔, <Chesschronicle22>♕, <OhioChessFan>♕, <Messiah>♖
 
   Jan-30-23 Tata Steel Masters (2023) (replies)
 
lostemperor: Winners of the TATA STEEL CHESS 2023 FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTION'S CONTEST at my forum <Firouzjias>♔♔♖, <tuttifrutty>♔♕♖, <lostemperor>♕♕, <Messiah>♖
 
(replies) indicates a reply to the comment.

FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS

Kibitzer's Corner
< Earlier Kibitzing  · PAGE 49 OF 285 ·  Later Kibitzing>
Feb-15-08  bumpmobile: 1 Anand
2 Carlsen
3 Topolov
4 Leko
5 Shirov
6 Radjabov
7 Ivanchuk
8 Aronian

For the record, I had my 3-year-old son pick these. For someone who really can't even pronounce "Radjabov" I'd say he came up with a plausible list.

Feb-15-08  Ezzy: 1 Anand
2 Aronian
3 Carlsen
4 Topalov
5 Radjabov
6 Leko
7 Ivanchuk
8 Shirov
Feb-15-08  acirce: <For the record, I had my 3-year-old son pick these. For someone who really can't even pronounce "Radjabov" I'd say he came up with a plausible list.>

He'd definitely have bragging rights if Aronian does finish last!

Feb-15-08  rogge: 1 Anand
2 Carlsen
3 Aronian
4 Radjabov
5 Topalov
6 Leko
7 Ivanchuk
8 Shirov
Feb-15-08  Red October: here are my predictions

1. Aronian
2. Anand
3. Carlsen
4. Radjabov
5. Topalov
6. Leko
7. Ivanchuk
8. Shirov

Feb-15-08  DCP23: Predictions:

1 Anand
2 Carlsen
3 Shirov
4 Aronian
5 Radjabov
6 Leko
7 Ivanchuk
8 Topalov

Feb-16-08
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: The predictions in this <Linares Morelia 2008> were so much divers this time. Except for Anand who got high precdictions and Shirov who got low, every other participants range from first till last place! So it is inevitable some players will disappoint. I hope you will enjoy it nevertheless!!
Feb-16-08
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <PREDICTION GAME> results after one round

First round Morelia-Linares. EXPERIENCE prevail over YOUTH.

Anand, Topalov and Leko won vs. Shirov, Aronian and Radjabov respectively

Morelia standings

1. Anand, Topalov, Leko
2. Carlsen, Ivanchuk
3. Shirov, Aronian, Radjabov

Maximum score: 68

Rank,Score,UserID
1,63,lostemperor
2,59,ELO
3t,55,amadeus
3t,55,ASKALTAMAN
3t,55,bumpmobile
3t,55,whiteshark
3t,55,yalie
8,54,ELO VIRTUAL
9t,53,acirce
9t,53,WannaBe
11,52,Comandente
12t,51,Aurora
12t,51,cromat
12t,51,iron maiden
12t,51,stefan1967
12t,51,SwitchingQuylthulg
17,50,EXPERIENCE
18t,49,Dim Weasel
18t,49,Ezzy
18t,49,Open Defence
18t,49,percyblakeney
18t,49,TheGladiatres
18t,49,YouRang
24t,47,ahmadov
24t,47,DrawingIsLife
24t,47,just a kid
24t,47,kolobok
24t,47,rgr459
24t,47,rogge
30t,45,DCP23
30t,45,Red October
30t,45,Youjoin
33t,43,firebyrd
33t,43,NakoSonorense
35,42,YOUTH
36,41,chessmoron
37,38,suenteus po 147

Feb-16-08
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Here the average predictions for the players calculated by YouRang's software

AvgRank,Player,HighRank,LowRank

1.92,Anand,1,7
3.76,Carlsen,1,8
3.76,Topalov,1,8
3.97,Aronian,1,8
4.24,Radjabov,1,7
5.46,Leko,2,8
5.84,Ivanchuk,1,8
6.22,Shirov,1,8

Except for Leko, Anand and Radjabov, every player has been predicted first and last at least once!! Incredible!

Feb-16-08
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Correction: Morelia standings should of course be

1. Anand, Topalov, Leko
4. Carlsen, Ivanchuk
6. Shirov, Aronian, Radjabov

Feb-16-08
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Oh, I forgot to put in the Chessgames Bookie betting odds: Morelia-Linares: WINNER

1. Anand 9,065 5:2 3.51 A winning 10 chessbuck ticket pays out 35 chessbucks.

2. Carlsen 6,000 9:2 5.27 A winning 10 chessbuck ticket pays out 52 chessbucks

3. Radjabov 4,305 13:2 7.33 A winning 10 chessbuck ticket pays out 73 chessbucks.

3. Aronian 4,176 13:2 7.55 A winning 10 chessbuck ticket pays out 75 chessbucks.

3. Topalov 4,019 450 7:1 7.84 A winning 10 chessbuck ticket pays out 78 chessbucks

6. Ivanchuk 2,043 70 14:1 15.38 A winning 10 chessbuck ticket pays out 153 chessbucks

6. Leko 1,973 80 15:1 15.93 A winning 10 chessbuck ticket pays out 159 chessbucks

8. Shirov 1,391 22:1 22.57 A winning 10 chessbuck ticket pays out 225 chessbucks.

CHESSBOOKIE is on shared 18th with 49 points

Feb-16-08
Premium Chessgames Member
  Open Defence: <lostemperor> I seem to have entered into this contest twice by mistake both as <Open Defence> AND <Red October>

Sorry about that it was not intentional, just been such a hard work week that when I finally took a vacation starting from this Friday I must have blown a fuse somewhere

Sorry for the inconvenience if you have to update all your records all over again :(

Feb-16-08
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <Open Defence> you're <Red October>?! Wow. I didn't know that since haven't read all text of Red October profile. Doesn't matter. I will erase Red october from existence, just like the USSR. Only problem is, even if I erase your predictions the program may keep publishing your predictions results. Just like the USSR also:)
Feb-16-08
Premium Chessgames Member
  Open Defence: hehehe, well no problem just dont include Red October in the hall of fame when she wins :)

btw I think your quote about the Soviet Union is in the Red October profile ? or was that made by a different user ?

Feb-17-08
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <Open Defence> I Thought Red October was a man. You could have fooled me :)

Do you mean if I have made the quote <"The Soviet Union...has seized to exist">?

I was going to anwer this question with a firm NO, but extensive search on google, wikipedia and finally this site has proven that it was indeed I that has said these words on the Korchnoi pages! I completely forgot about it. <Harvestman> called this quote <"Profound">. I didn't know he was making fun of my poor English. I'm an alien. But look at it this way if I didn't make this mistake it was just another quote:)

Feb-17-08
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Round two at Morelia-Linares; YOUTH and EXPERIENCE in balance. Aronian beat Anand and Ivanchuk beat Leko.

1.Topalov, Ivanchuk 1.5
3.Anand, aronian, carlsen Leko 1
7.Radjabov, Shirov 0,5

Maximum score: 68

Rank,Score,UserID
1,58,lostemperor
2,56,ASKALTAMAN
3,55,ELO VIRTUAL
4t,54,amadeus
4t,54,iron maiden
6,53,Comandente
7t,52,acirce
7t,52,cromat
7t,52,ELO
7t,52,stefan1967
7t,52,TheGladiatres
7t,52,whiteshark
13t,50,CHESSBOOKIE
13t,50,Dim Weasel
13t,50,Ezzy
13t,50,kolobok
13t,50,SwitchingQuylthulg
13t,50,WannaBe
13t,50,yalie
20,49,EXPERIENCE
21t,48,bumpmobile
21t,48,Open Defence
21t,48,Red October
21t,48,rogge
25t,46,ahmadov
25t,46,Aurora
25t,46,chessmoron
25t,46,DrawingIsLife
25t,46,NakoSonorense
25t,46,percyblakeney
25t,46,rgr459
25t,46,Youjoin
33,45,YOUTH
34t,44,just a kid
34t,44,YouRang
36,42,DCP23
37,41,suenteus po 147
38,40,firebyrd

Feb-17-08
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Guess what: <Open Defence> and <Red October> in perfect harmony. It seizes to amaze me!:)

<21t,48,Open Defence
21t,48,Red October>

Feb-17-08
Premium Chessgames Member
  Open Defence: <I didn't know he was making fun of my poor English> actually he wasn't, he was just alluding to how unintentionally the word "seized" added a whole new perspective to the statement

It was as if the Soviet Union had to "seize" to exist :)

profound isn't it ?

Feb-17-08
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Awesome! :)
Feb-17-08
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: It can be confusing though if a non-native English speaking negotiater agrees this with an English speaking opponent:

"We agree to a seize fire!"

Feb-17-08
Premium Chessgames Member
  Open Defence: well it can be applied to other contexts as well... like Julius "Seizer" or even Julius "Seizure"
Feb-17-08
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Very punny:)

Btw. I'm planning to add some new quotes soon.

(got a lot more of where that came from:))

Feb-18-08
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Round three Morelia Linares. A slight win for EXPRIENCE what YOUTH had yesterday. Topalov beat Ivanchuk, Anand beat Carlsen

Here the results of the <FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTION GAME>. The toughest game of all, if I say so myself:) The reason being, that you can't do a thing if you find out certain players are in form or not.

STANDING MORELIA-LINARES after 3 rounds

1.Topalov
2.Anand
3. Aronian, Leko, Ivanchuk
6.Radjabov, Shirov, Carlsen

Maximum score: 68

Rank,Score,UserID
1t,60,ELO
1t,60,lostemperor
3,59,Comandente
4,58,SwitchingQuylthulg
5t,56,amadeus
5t,56,ASKALTAMAN
5t,56,stefan1967
5t,56,whiteshark
9,55,ELO VIRTUAL
10,54,acirce
11t,52,cromat
11t,52,iron maiden
11t,52,rgr459
11t,52,TheGladiatres
15,51,EXPERIENCE
16t,50,Aurora
16t,50,bumpmobile
16t,50,CHESSBOOKIE
16t,50,Ezzy
16t,50,kolobok
16t,50,WannaBe
16t,50,yalie
23t,48,Dim Weasel
23t,48,NakoSonorense
23t,48,Open Defence
23t,48,Red October
23t,48,rogge
23t,48,Youjoin
29t,46,ahmadov
29t,46,DrawingIsLife
29t,46,firebyrd
29t,46,just a kid
29t,46,percyblakeney
29t,46,YouRang
35,45,YOUTH
36t,44,chessmoron
36t,44,DCP23
38,41,suenteus po 147

Feb-18-08
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: The predictions deviations per player:

Deviation,Player
118,Ivanchuk
104,Topalov
103,Carlsen
96,Leko
80,Radjabov
72,Shirov
60,Aronian
34,Anand

Feb-18-08
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: ELO (though not the updated VIRTUAL ratings but the old ones at the FIDE list) has reached the pinnacle of the prediction standings for the first time in three years (with another recent débutante at that spot:).

It's a long way to go.

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