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OhioChessFan
Member since Apr-09-05 · Last seen Nov-11-25
______________ Moves Prediction Contest

<Main Focus>: Predicting how many moves in a game for each pairing.

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***Hall of Fame***
chessmoron chessforum

<Format>:

[player]-[player] [result] [# of MOVES]

==4 Different Scoring Methods==

Standard Moves Ranker (1st place-Over[3pts], 1st place-Under [7pts], Exact [10pts])

Bonus Ranker (3rd place-Over[1pts],2nd place-Over[2pts],3rd place-Under [5pts], 2nd place-Under [6pts]

Standard Moves/Bonus Ranker [Add all to together]

1st place Ranker [how many 1st place you have in Standard Moves Ranker]

For example:

<Note: Participants 3, 4, and 5 are predicated on nobody scoring an exact as Participant 2 did. If someone hits an exact, the closest score under and over will score the points for second place.>

Actual Game: [player]-[player] 0-1 45

Participant 1: [player]-[player] 1/2 45
Participant 2: [player]-[player] 0-1 45
Participant 3: [player]-[player] 0-1 44
Participant 4: [player]-[player] 0-1 43
Participant 5: [player]-[player] 0-1 46

Participant 1: No points even though 45 is correct. Results must be correct. If Result is wrong and moves # is correct...you get no points whatsoever

Participant 2: 10 pts rewarded for correct Result/moves #

Participant 3: 7 pts rewarded for closest under (1st-Under) to 45 moves

Participant 4: 6 pts rewarded for the 2nd closest under (2nd-Under) to 45 moves.

Participant 5: 3 pts rewarded closest OVER(1st-OVER) to 45 moves.

Again, the description of Participant 3, 4, and 5 are based on there being no exact prediction as made by Participant 2.

<IF> there is an exact or an under closest, the highest scoring over participant will be 2nd over. The second closest over will be 3rd over. The <ONLY> time there will be a first over is if there is no exact or under winner.

Things To Look At:
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Pi Day
rreusser/computing-with-the-bailey-borwein-plouffe-formula">https://observablehq.com/(at)rreusser/...

Pun Index Game Collection: Game of the Day & Puzzle of the Day Collections

>> Click here to see OhioChessFan's game collections.

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   Current net-worth: 792 chessbucks
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   OhioChessFan has kibitzed 49343 times to chessgames   [more...]
   Nov-09-25 Chessgames - Music
 
OhioChessFan: 19 minutes of music so beautiful it will bring you to tears. Bach-Brandenberg Concerto 5 https://youtu.be/D1xaagpUGs4?si=1sQ...
 
   Nov-09-25 Fusilli chessforum (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: I found the source of a previous puzzle: https://youtu.be/3XkA2ZoVFQo?si=fGG...
 
   Nov-08-25 B Hague vs Plaskett, 2004 (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: Morra, Hague Convention, I like it.
 
   Nov-07-25 Chessgames - Politics (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: <BREAKING: British veteran breaks down live on TV over state of the country: "Rows and rows of white tombs for what? A country of today? No, I'm sorry. The sacrifice wasn't worth the result. I fought for freedom, and it's darn-sight worse now than when I fought."> Poor ...
 
   Nov-07-25 C Wells vs J Rush, 1963
 
OhioChessFan: "Fly-By Knight"
 
   Nov-07-25 K Hanache vs P Crocker, 2024
 
OhioChessFan: "Not Two Knights, I Have a Hanache"
 
   Nov-05-25 Niemann vs L Lodici, 2025 (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: White has three Pawns for a poorly placed Knight. I'd rather have the Knight, but as of move 29, I don't see any particular plans for
 
   Nov-04-25 Chessgames - Sports (replies)
 
OhioChessFan: Mike Royko was fantastic. Slats Grobnik was guaranteed to make me laugh myself silly.
 
   Nov-04-25 D Gukesh vs K Nogerbek, 2025
 
OhioChessFan: Those crazy chess players, playing down to bare Kings....
 
   Nov-04-25 B Men vs Ftacnik, 1993
 
OhioChessFan: "Mad Men"
 
(replies) indicates a reply to the comment.

Moves Prediction Contest

Kibitzer's Corner
< Earlier Kibitzing  · PAGE 312 OF 849 ·  Later Kibitzing>
Sep-22-12
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: Anyone participating in the Moves Prediction Contest is encouraged to enter the Games Prediction Contest at YouRang chessforum
Sep-22-12
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: I also encourage entries into the Final Standings Contest at User: lostemperor
Sep-23-12
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: My kingdom for some pairings..........

In the past, <chessmoron> has been willing to skip the first round if the pairings aren't publicized timely. He's on the other side of the world of most Chessgames.com users, so he has that to contend with.

Sep-23-12  WinKing: Pairings found here:

http://www.chessbase.com/newsdetail...

Round 1

Anand - Vallejo 1/2 36
Aronian - Karjakin 1/2 36
Caruana- Carlsen 1/2 36

Sep-23-12  wordfunph: Round 1:

Anand - Vallejo 1-0 45
Aronian - Karjakin 1/2 42
Caruana - Carlsen 0-1 45

Sep-24-12  chessmoron: Anand - Vallejo 1-0 35
Aronian - Karjakin 1/2 36
Caruana - Carlsen 1/2 36
Sep-24-12  Golden Executive: Anand - Vallejo 1-0 33
Aronian - Karjakin 1/2 33
Caruana - Carlsen 1/2 33
Sep-24-12
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: Thank you WinKing. I took one last look before heading to bed about 10 PM Eastern Time. To be fair, chessmoron, we should consider what % of participants get their first round picks in on time.

Anand - Vallejo 1-0 43
Aronian - Karjakin 1/2 28
Caruana - Carlsen 1/2 47

Sep-24-12
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: Here's the pairings:

== Round 1: Monday, Sep 24
Anand - Vallejo
Aronian - Karjakin
Caruana - Carlsen

== Round 2: Tuesday, Sep 25
Vallejo - Carlsen
Karjakin - Caruana
Anand - Aronian

== Round 3: Wednesday, Sep 26
Aronian - Vallejo
Caruana - Anand
Carlsen - Karjakin

== Round 4: Friday, Sep 28
Caruana - Vallejo
Carlsen - Aronian
Karjakin - Anand

== Round 5: Saturday, Sep 29
Vallejo - Karjakin
Anand - Carlsen
Aronian - Caruana

Sep-24-12
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: If anyone hasn't entered the Games Predicition Contest at YouRang chessforum I encourage you to do so. One easy way to play both contests is to make your picks here, copy them, paste them on YouRang's forum, and just backspace over the number of moves (I'm sure he'll accept entries with move numbers in them too). A few seconds and you have twice the chance for fame and fortune.
Sep-24-12
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: I also recommend the Final Standings Contest at lostemperor chessforum where you just post your expected final standings for the tournament. A quick and easy contest to enter.
Sep-24-12  Barok Espinosa: Round 1:

Anand - Vallejo 1/2 42
Aronian - Karjakin 1/2 38
Caruana - Carlsen 1/2 47

Sep-24-12
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Round 1
Anand - Vallejo 1-0 41
Aronian - Karjakin 1/2-1/2 40
Caruana - Carlsen 0-1 48

Round 2
Vallejo - Carlsen 1-0 44
Karjakin - Caruana 1/2-1/2 51
Anand - Aronian 1/2 23

Round 3
Aronian - Vallejo 1/2 52
Caruana - Anand 1/2 34
Carlsen - Karjakin 1/2 46

Round 4
Caruana - Vallejo 0-1 44
Carlsen - Aronian 1/2 46
Karjakin - Anand 0-1 54

Round 5
Vallejo - Karjakin 1/2 47
Anand - Carlsen 1/2 20
Aronian - Caruana 1/2 46

Thanks guys and good luck!

Sep-24-12
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: A hour and change until the games start. Anyone who might wander in after the first round, don't worry. It's relatively unimportant if you miss a round in this contest. There are many rounds the eventual winner doesn't score, so don't be afraid to join beginning with the second round.
Sep-24-12  Robin01: Round 1:
Anand - Vallejo 1/2 34
Aronian - Karjakin 1/2 44
Caruana - Carlsen 1/2 56
Round 2:
Vallejo - Carlsen 0-1 36
Karjakin - Caruana 1/2 42
Anand - Aronian 1/2 38
Round 3:
Aronian - Vallejo 1-0 45
Caruana - Anand 1/2 48
Carlsen - Karjakin 0-1 62
Round 4:
Caruana - Vallejo 0-1 43
Carlsen - Aronian 1/2 42
Karjakin - Anand 1-0 35
Round 5:
Vallejo - Karjakin 0-1 38
Anand - Carlsen 0-1 37
Aronian - Caruana 1/2 55
Sep-24-12
Premium Chessgames Member
  Diademas: Round 1:

Anand - Vallejo 1/2 43
Aronian - Karjakin 1/2 54
Caruana - Carlsen 0-1 74

Sep-24-12
Premium Chessgames Member
  SwitchingQuylthulg: Round 1 games have started.
Sep-24-12
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: Thanks Switch. Again, it's not too big a deal to miss a round in this contest, many entrants won't score a point this round, so don't hesitate to join starting in round 2.
Sep-24-12
Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: Round 2:

Vallejo-Carlsen 1/2-1/2 35
Karjakin-Caruana 1/2-1/2 30
Anand-Aronian 1/2-1/2 30

Round 3:
Aronian-Vallejo 1-0 35
Caruana-Anand 1/2-1/2 40
Carlsen-Karjakin 1/2-1/2 30

Sep-24-12  chessmoron: ♔ Bilbao 2012: <Round 1> Results ♔

<Anand-Vallejo, 1/2-1/2 in 59 moves.>

Exact, 10 points: []
Under, 7 points: [['Diademas', '1/2-1/2', '43']]
2nd Under, 6 points: [['Barok Espinosa', '1/2-1/2', '42']]

3rd Under, 5 points: [['WinKing', '1/2-1/2', '36']]
Over, 3 points: []
2nd Over, 2 points: []
3rd Over, 1 point1: []

===

<Aronian-Karjakin, 1-0 in 30 moves.>--No one got it!

===

<Caruana-Carlsen, 1-0 in 91 moves.>--No one got it!

Sep-24-12  chessmoron: Round 1 Summary:

Perfect # moves predictions for this round goes to:

None

Highest score(s) in the Bonus Ranker: 6 points <Barok Espinosa>

Results:

Moves Ranker - Through <Round 1>

Score, UserID, Over, Under, Exact

7, Diademas, 0, 1, 0
0, Barok Espinosa, 0, 0, 0
0, chessmoron, 0, 0, 0
0, Golden Executive, 0, 0, 0
0, lostemperor, 0, 0, 0
0, OhioChessFan, 0, 0, 0
0, WinKing, 0, 0, 0
0, wordfunph, 0, 0, 0

===

Bonus Ranker - Through <Round 1>

Score, UserID, 3-Over, 2-Over, 3-Under, 2-Under

6, Barok Espinosa, 0, 0, 0, 1
5, WinKing, 0, 0, 1, 0
0, chessmoron, 0, 0, 0
0, Diademas, 0, 0, 0, 0
0, Golden Executive, 0, 0, 0
0, lostemperor, 0, 0, 0
0, OhioChessFan, 0, 0, 0
0, wordfunph, 0, 0, 0

===

Moves+Bonus Ranker - Through <Round 1>

Score, UserID

7, Diademas
6, Barok Espinosa
5, WinKing
0, chessmoron, 0, 0, 0
0, Golden Executive, 0, 0, 0
0, lostemperor, 0, 0, 0
0, OhioChessFan, 0, 0, 0
0, wordfunph, 0, 0, 0

===

Moves Ranker (# of 1st place UNDER/OVER) - Through <Round 1>

Score,UserID

1, Diademas
0, Barok Espinosa
0, chessmoron
0, Golden Executive
0, lostemperor
0, OhioChessFan
0, WinKing
0, wordfunph

Sep-24-12  wordfunph: Round 2:

Vallejo-Carlsen 0-1 45
Karjakin-Caruana 1-0 45
Anand-Aronian 1/2 45

Sep-24-12  WinKing: Round 2

Vallejo - Carlsen 1/2 45
Karjakin - Caruana 1/2 35
Anand - Aronian 1/2 35

Sep-24-12  chessmoron: Vallejo - Carlsen 0-1 38
Karjakin - Caruana 1/2 45
Anand - Aronian 1-0 43
Sep-25-12  Golden Executive: Round 2

Vallejo - Carlsen 1/2 40
Karjakin - Caruana 1/2 40
Anand - Aronian 1/2 40

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