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lostemperor
Member since Feb-18-03 · Last seen Feb-02-25
♔♕♖
<FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS' CONTEST FORUM>

Predict the final standings of Tata Steel tournament January 12

Format example to post your predictions

1.Caruana
1. Erigaisi
3. Gukesh
4. Abdusattorov
5. Wei Yi
5. Harikrishna
5. Praggnanandhaa
8. Giri
9. Keymer
10. Fedoseev
11.Van Foreest
12. Sarina
12. Warmerdam
12. Mendonca

Good Luck!


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Some years ago I came up with a new but simple system to calculate the final standings of a tournament including all players. This is how it goes:

For each correct standing you'll get a maximum amount of points. Each prediction deviation from the actual player standing in the tournament, will deduct one point from your total (ABSOLUTE RANKER).

In case of a shared player's standing the average standing counts (both actual and in your predictions).

The SQUARE RANKER, squares your predictions' deviations. Here only medals are awarded if the winner s is not the same person s as in the absolute ranker.

Same goes for the The PAIR BETTING RANKER compare all possible pair outcomes of the tournament participants.

The three best predictions will get Real Virtual Gold Silver and Bronze!

Note: only one set of medals is awarded (in the absolute ranker) unless another ranker produces a different winner.

Special thanks to <YouRang> who made a software to calculate these numbers.

Our new contest manager for game results prediction User: Golden Executive during the tournament also ([1-0], [1/2], [0-1])!

or predict the # of moves in User: ohiochessfan organized by <chessmoron>

Enjoy!


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<HALL <OF> FAME>

WannaBe 10♔ 5♕ 4♖

~~~~
♔♔♔♔♔ ♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♖♖♖♖SwitchingQuylthulg

~~~~

♔♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♕♖♖♖YouRang

~~~~~~

♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♖Aurora
♔♔♔♔♕♕♖suenteus po 147
♔♔♔♔♖♖♖Penguincw

~~~~~~

♔♔♔♕♕♕♖♖♖lostemperor
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖♖♖chessmoron
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖rogge
♔♔♔♕♕♖cromat
♔♔♔♕♖Robin01
~~~~

♔♔♕♕♕♕WinKing
♔♔♕♕♕♖percyblakeney
♔♔♕♖♖♖yalie
♔♔♕♖wordfunph
♔♔♕♖Ragh
♔♔♕♖Ezzy
♔♔Golden Executive
♔♔SloVice
♔♔positionalgenius
♔♔amadeus

~~~~

♔♕♕♕♕♖♖OhioChessFan
♔♕♕♖Diademas
♔♕♖nimh
♔♕♖ahmadov
♔♕♖CHESSBOOKIE
♔♕Keysersoze
♔♕Where is my mind
♔♕Appaz
♔♖♖moronovich*
♔♖Golden Executive*
♔♖Montreal1666
♔♖Troewa

~~~~

♔Beholder
♔juan31
♔wtwz
♔Twinlark
♔SoUnwiseTheKnight B4
♔NGambit
♔benjinathan
♔DCP23
♔firebyrd
♔kellmano
♔Stonehenge
♔cu8sfan
♔larrewl
♔babakova
♔djmercury
♔mikejaqua
♔Joshka,
♔SnoopDogg
♔Like a GM

*may be incomplete

♔ Gold
♕ Silver
♖ Bronze


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♙♙

>> Click here to see lostemperor's game collections.

Chessgames.com Full Member

   lostemperor has kibitzed 7712 times to chessgames   [more...]
   Feb-02-25 lostemperor chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: <Keyser Soze>,<0ZeR0>,<Penguincw> won gold each! Congratulations!
 
   Apr-20-24 Golden Executive chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: It is fixed! I had an expert looking at it.
 
   Jan-18-24 OhioChessFan chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: Betcha you. Right damn
 
   Jan-11-24 Tata Steel Masters (2024) (replies)
 
lostemperor: ♔♕♖ Announcement ♔♕♖ Join the annual Tata Teel Chess final standings prediction contest at lostemperor chessforum 1. Ding 2. Nepomniachtchi 3. Firouzja 4, Giri 5. Praggnanandhaa 6. Maghsoodloo 7. Vidit 8.Wei 9. Abdusattorov
 
   Feb-26-23 WR Chess Masters (2023) (replies)
 
lostemperor: The predictions' winners on the final standings of WR Chess on my forum <Penquincw>♔, <Golden Executive>♔, <Chesschronicle22>♕, <OhioChessFan>♕, <Messiah>♖
 
   Jan-30-23 Tata Steel Masters (2023) (replies)
 
lostemperor: Winners of the TATA STEEL CHESS 2023 FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTION'S CONTEST at my forum <Firouzjias>♔♔♖, <tuttifrutty>♔♕♖, <lostemperor>♕♕, <Messiah>♖
 
(replies) indicates a reply to the comment.

FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS

Kibitzer's Corner
< Earlier Kibitzing  · PAGE 140 OF 285 ·  Later Kibitzing>
May-17-13
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <ROUND 8 UPDATE

<Good games in Norway but this time not from Carlsen and Karjakin but from Wang Hao and Svidler! Four decisive games!

<
Carlsen - Wang Hao 0-1
Topalov - Aronian 1/2
Anand - Hammer 1-0
Nakamura - Radjabov 1-0
Svidler - Karjakin 1-0

<standings:
1. Karjakin
2. Carlsen
2. Anand
4. Aronian
4. Nakamura
4. Svidler
7. Topalov
7. Hao
9. Radjabov
10. Hammer>
>
>
>

May-17-13
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Tomorrow is an early day so Im off to bed and be back for the Finals then!
May-18-13
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <NORWAY FINAL UPDATE!

<Aronian 1/2 Carlsen
WANG 1-0 Anand
Hammer 0-1 NAKAMURA
Radjabov 1/2 Svidler
Karjakin 1/2 Topalov

<standings:
1. Karjakin
2. Carlsen
2. Nakamura
4. Aronian
4. Anand
4. Svidler
7. Hao
8. Topalov
9. Radjabov
10. Hammer>
>
>

May-18-13
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: ♔♕♖ <PREDICTION STANDINGS ♖♕♔

<ABSOLUTE RANKER FINAL>>

Score evaluation method: Absolute value of rank deviation Maximum score: 50

Score,UserID

♔34,Golden Executive
♔34,WinKing
♖32,fgh
~~~~
30,wtwz
29,crazybird
29,Diademas
29,LucB
29,OhioChessFan
29,SwitchingQuylthulg
28,chessmoron
28,MarbleSkull
27,Ezzy
27,isemeria
27,lostemperor
27,twinlark
26,WannaBe
26,YouRang
25,Aurora
24,suenteus po 147
19,King Sacrificer

May-18-13
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <SQUARE RANKER FINAL>

Score evaluation method: Least Squares of rank deviation Maximum score: 330

Score,UserID

285,Golden Executive
278,WinKing
269,Diademas
~~~~
264,fgh
259,OhioChessFan
257,wtwz
255,lostemperor
252,chessmoron
252,crazybird
251,SwitchingQuylthulg
248,LucB
246,twinlark
244,Ezzy
244,MarbleSkull
242,YouRang
241,WannaBe
234,Aurora
234,isemeria
226,suenteus po 147
184,King Sacrificer

May-18-13
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <PAIR BETTING RANKER FINAL>

Earnings,UserID

♔$21.94,twinlark
♕$21.38,WinKing
♖$13.99,SwitchingQuylthulg
~~~~
$4.70,suenteus po 147
$3.29,OhioChessFan
$2.47,Golden Executive
$1.98,Diademas
$1.23,fgh
$-0.20,LucB
$-0.62,crazybird
$-3.31,isemeria
$-3.92,WannaBe
$-4.53,Ezzy
$-4.98,YouRang
$-5.99,chessmoron
$-7.29,wtwz
$-8.54,MarbleSkull
$-9.17,Aurora
$-10.26,King Sacrificer
$-12.18,lostemperor

May-18-13
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Large Payoff Pair results:

Payoff,Pair result,Winners

$20.00,Anand-above-Topalov, twinlark

$20.00,Aronian-equal-Svidler, SwitchingQuylthulg

$20.00,Nakamura-above-Topalov, WinKing

$10.00,Anand-equal-Svidler, Golden Executive + suenteus po 147

$10.00,Nakamura-above-Aronian, SwitchingQuylthulg + twinlark

May-18-13
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: Thanks for hosting
May-18-13
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <Golden Executive> ( 1st absolute and 1st square ranker), <WinKing> (1st absolute ranker, 2nd Square ranker, 2nd Pair betting ranker) and <twinlark> (1st pair betting ranker) are the winners of this exciting tournament! Bronze goes to <fgh> <Diademas>* and <SwitchingQuylthulg> Congratulations!!

*an extra Bronze awarded (but no extra Gold or Silver) for the player who earned it but otherwise would be left out of the prizes according to the rule that if one and the same person(s) earns gold in two rankers only one medal is awarded.

May-18-13  YouRang: Congrats to the medal winners, especially <Golden Executive> and <twinlark>.

Thanks <lostemperor> for running the contest.

May-18-13
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Does anyone knows the agenda of top tournaments for this year? Dortmund does not seem very appropriate for this contest because of to many local players perhaps, although who knows:)
May-18-13
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Other large payoffs

$5.00,Anand-equal-Aronian, crazybird + Ezzy + LucB + WannaBe

$5.00,Karjakin-above-Anand, Diademas + isemeria + OhioChessFan + suenteus po 147

$5.00,Nakamura-above-Anand, fgh + King Sacrificer + WinKing + YouRang

$4.00,Karjakin-above-Nakamura, Diademas + isemeria + OhioChessFan + suenteus po 147 + WannaBe

$2.22,Hao-above-Radjabov, crazybird + fgh + King Sacrificer + LucB + MarbleSkull + suenteus po 147 + twinlark + WinKing + wtwz

May-18-13
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Missed chances:

$0.00,Carlsen-equal-Nakamura, (0 winners)
$0.00,Hao-above-Topalov, (0 winners)
$0.00,Karjakin-above-Aronian, (0 winners)
$0.00,Karjakin-above-Carlsen, (0 winners)
$0.00,Karjakin-above-Topalov, (0 winners)
$0.00,Svidler-above-Topalov, (0 winners)

May-18-13
Premium Chessgames Member
  Diademas: Thank you for hosting <lostemperor>and congrats to the winners. Especially <twinlark> for winning the pair betting ranker without a single "equal" and thereby settle a dispute.
May-18-13  WinKing: Thanks for running & hosting this contest <lostemperor>. Congratulations to all the medal winners here! Special congrats to new HOF'ers <GoldenExecutive> & <twinlark>! :)
May-18-13  WinKing: I have put the updated list for all entrants into the HALL OF FAME in my forum. All three contests are included - <YouRang>, <lostemperor> & <chessmoron>.
May-18-13
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <Diademas> I put a DUMMY who predicted all players equal first. It finished 6th place.

Earnings,UserID
$23.99,twinlark
$23.40,WinKing
$5.13,SwitchingQuylthulg
$4.40,OhioChessFan
$3.03,Diademas
$2.70,DUMMY
$2.39,suenteus po 147

Here the large payoffs from DUMMY

$21.00,Carlsen-equal-Nakamura, DUMMY

$10.50,Aronian-equal-Svidler, DUMMY + SwitchingQuylthulg

$7.00,Anand-equal-Svidler, DUMMY + Golden Executive + suenteus po 147

$4.20,Anand-equal-Aronian, crazybird + DUMMY + Ezzy + LucB + WannaBe

No medal but not bad either :)

May-18-13
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: As a good host I finished below <King Sacrificer> in the Pair Betting. I really need to play more intuitively and daring:)
May-18-13  King Sacrificer: <lostemperor> Thanks for the hospitality! :)

Congrats to medal winners and big thanks to organizers. Next time i will study more before making predictions. This game is no joke. What was i thinking when putting Hammer over Karjakin?

May-18-13
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <King Sacrificer> putting Hammer over Karjakin was was daring alright!;)
May-18-13  LucB: Thanks for organizing this, and for tabulating all the data.. it was fun!..

<lostemperor:>

<Does anyone know the agenda of top tournaments for this year?>

If no one has answered, the site http://www.2700chess.com has the list of the upcoming events (if that's what you mean..). They are below the rating list.

May-18-13
Premium Chessgames Member
  WannaBe: <lostemperor> Thank you for hosting and your time tabulating the results.

Once again, great fun, you doing Dortmund??

May-18-13  twinlark: <lostemperor>

Thanks for you effort in running a very interesting comp.

May-19-13  Golden Executive: Thanks <lostemperor> for hosting and thanks <YouRang> & <WinKing> for your comments.Much appreciated.

Congratulations to all the medal winners !

May-20-13
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: However, I do notice a remarkable feat in the Pair betting this time, that it was possible to put Hammer first and Carlsen last, and predict everone in reverse rating order. So the player with lowest rating on top and the highest rating at the bottom. The reverse order would have won the pair betting ranker:)

Virtual contestant <REVERSE> the reverse rating order

1. hammer
2. hao
3. Radjabov
4. karjakin
5. svidler
6. nakamura
7. anand
8. topalov
9. aronian
10. carlsen

Virtual Pair Betting Ranker

Earnings,UserID

$104.75,REVERSE
$8.13,SwitchingQuylthulg
$7.46,WinKing
~~~~
$5.76,twinlark
$-0.26,suenteus po 147
$-0.46,Golden Executive
$-1.51,OhioChessFan
$-2.88,Diademas
$-3.04,fgh
$-3.65,LucB
$-4.09,crazybird
$-7.81,Ezzy
$-8.02,WannaBe
$-8.28,isemeria
$-9.32,YouRang
$-9.34,chessmoron
$-11.09,wtwz
$-12.40,MarbleSkull
$-12.84,Aurora
$-15.10,King Sacrificer
$-16.00,lostemperor

Large Payoff Pair results:

Payoff,Pair result,Winners

$21.00,Aronian-equal-Svidler, SwitchingQuylthulg

$21.00,Hao-above-Topalov, REVERSE

$21.00,Karjakin-above-Aronian, REVERSE

$21.00,Karjakin-above-Carlsen, REVERSE

$21.00,Karjakin-above-Topalov, REVERSE

$21.00,Svidler-above-Topalov, REVERSE

$10.50,Anand-above-Topalov, REVERSE + twinlark

$10.50,Anand-equal-Svidler, Golden Executive + suenteus po 147

$10.50,Nakamura-above-Topalov, REVERSE + WinKing

Go figure, something to think about :-)

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