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lostemperor
Member since Feb-18-03 · Last seen Feb-02-25
♔♕♖
<FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS' CONTEST FORUM>

Predict the final standings of Tata Steel tournament January 12

Format example to post your predictions

1.Caruana
1. Erigaisi
3. Gukesh
4. Abdusattorov
5. Wei Yi
5. Harikrishna
5. Praggnanandhaa
8. Giri
9. Keymer
10. Fedoseev
11.Van Foreest
12. Sarina
12. Warmerdam
12. Mendonca

Good Luck!


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Some years ago I came up with a new but simple system to calculate the final standings of a tournament including all players. This is how it goes:

For each correct standing you'll get a maximum amount of points. Each prediction deviation from the actual player standing in the tournament, will deduct one point from your total (ABSOLUTE RANKER).

In case of a shared player's standing the average standing counts (both actual and in your predictions).

The SQUARE RANKER, squares your predictions' deviations. Here only medals are awarded if the winner s is not the same person s as in the absolute ranker.

Same goes for the The PAIR BETTING RANKER compare all possible pair outcomes of the tournament participants.

The three best predictions will get Real Virtual Gold Silver and Bronze!

Note: only one set of medals is awarded (in the absolute ranker) unless another ranker produces a different winner.

Special thanks to <YouRang> who made a software to calculate these numbers.

Our new contest manager for game results prediction User: Golden Executive during the tournament also ([1-0], [1/2], [0-1])!

or predict the # of moves in User: ohiochessfan organized by <chessmoron>

Enjoy!


♙♙

♙♙♙

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<HALL <OF> FAME>

WannaBe 10♔ 5♕ 4♖

~~~~
♔♔♔♔♔ ♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♖♖♖♖SwitchingQuylthulg

~~~~

♔♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♕♖♖♖YouRang

~~~~~~

♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♖Aurora
♔♔♔♔♕♕♖suenteus po 147
♔♔♔♔♖♖♖Penguincw

~~~~~~

♔♔♔♕♕♕♖♖♖lostemperor
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖♖♖chessmoron
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖rogge
♔♔♔♕♕♖cromat
♔♔♔♕♖Robin01
~~~~

♔♔♕♕♕♕WinKing
♔♔♕♕♕♖percyblakeney
♔♔♕♖♖♖yalie
♔♔♕♖wordfunph
♔♔♕♖Ragh
♔♔♕♖Ezzy
♔♔Golden Executive
♔♔SloVice
♔♔positionalgenius
♔♔amadeus

~~~~

♔♕♕♕♕♖♖OhioChessFan
♔♕♕♖Diademas
♔♕♖nimh
♔♕♖ahmadov
♔♕♖CHESSBOOKIE
♔♕Keysersoze
♔♕Where is my mind
♔♕Appaz
♔♖♖moronovich*
♔♖Golden Executive*
♔♖Montreal1666
♔♖Troewa

~~~~

♔Beholder
♔juan31
♔wtwz
♔Twinlark
♔SoUnwiseTheKnight B4
♔NGambit
♔benjinathan
♔DCP23
♔firebyrd
♔kellmano
♔Stonehenge
♔cu8sfan
♔larrewl
♔babakova
♔djmercury
♔mikejaqua
♔Joshka,
♔SnoopDogg
♔Like a GM

*may be incomplete

♔ Gold
♕ Silver
♖ Bronze


♙♙

♙♙♙

♙♙

>> Click here to see lostemperor's game collections.

Chessgames.com Full Member

   lostemperor has kibitzed 7712 times to chessgames   [more...]
   Feb-02-25 lostemperor chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: <Keyser Soze>,<0ZeR0>,<Penguincw> won gold each! Congratulations!
 
   Apr-20-24 Golden Executive chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: It is fixed! I had an expert looking at it.
 
   Jan-18-24 OhioChessFan chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: Betcha you. Right damn
 
   Jan-11-24 Tata Steel Masters (2024) (replies)
 
lostemperor: ♔♕♖ Announcement ♔♕♖ Join the annual Tata Teel Chess final standings prediction contest at lostemperor chessforum 1. Ding 2. Nepomniachtchi 3. Firouzja 4, Giri 5. Praggnanandhaa 6. Maghsoodloo 7. Vidit 8.Wei 9. Abdusattorov
 
   Feb-26-23 WR Chess Masters (2023) (replies)
 
lostemperor: The predictions' winners on the final standings of WR Chess on my forum <Penquincw>♔, <Golden Executive>♔, <Chesschronicle22>♕, <OhioChessFan>♕, <Messiah>♖
 
   Jan-30-23 Tata Steel Masters (2023) (replies)
 
lostemperor: Winners of the TATA STEEL CHESS 2023 FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTION'S CONTEST at my forum <Firouzjias>♔♔♖, <tuttifrutty>♔♕♖, <lostemperor>♕♕, <Messiah>♖
 
(replies) indicates a reply to the comment.

FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS

Kibitzer's Corner
< Earlier Kibitzing  · PAGE 119 OF 285 ·  Later Kibitzing>
Jan-29-12
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <TATASTEEL PREDICTION GAME 2012 FINAL STANDINGS>

ABSOLUTE RANKER

Score evaluation method: Absolute value of rank deviation Maximum score: 98

Score,UserID
♔66,SwitchingQuylthulg
♕62,YouRang
♖61,ELORATINGS
♖61,rogge
~~~~
58,SloVice
57,CHESSBOOKIE
57,wordfunph
56,moronovich
55,Dim Weasel
55,Golden Executive
55,mark jc. Garado
55,WannaBe
55,WinKing
54,OhioChessFan
54,Ragh
53,ooda
53,Robin01
51,Penguincw
50,Ezzy
47,Diademas
43,Ibelox
43,lostemperor
40,siamesedream

Jan-29-12
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: FINAL SQUARE RANKER

Score evaluation method: Least Squares of rank deviation Maximum score: 910

Score,UserID
787,SwitchingQuylthulg♔
754,YouRang♕
750,wordfunph♖
~~~~
746,ELORATINGS
736,rogge
706,Dim Weasel
703,WinKing
700,CHESSBOOKIE
700,moronovich
695,SloVice
678,mark jc. Garado
677,Golden Executive
677,Ragh
674,ooda
665,Robin01
657,OhioChessFan
655,Penguincw
642,WannaBe
634,Ezzy
632,lostemperor
623,Diademas
596,Ibelox
559,siamesedream

Jan-29-12
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: FINAL PAIR BETTING RANKER

Earnings in $,UserID

♔68.24,SloVice
♕60.06,WannaBe
♖37.74,YouRang
~~~~
26.29,Diademas
20.78,lostemperor
15.65,Ragh
13.54,rogge
10.91,ooda
6.79,mark jc. Garado
1.77,OhioChessFan
1.06,Dim Weasel
-1.18,Penguincw
-2.11,Golden Executive
-3.40,moronovich
-4.14,Ezzy
-6.78,WinKing
-11.04,SwitchingQuylthulg
-11.78,Ibelox
-12.29,Robin01
-14.87,wordfunph
-19.26,siamesedream

Jan-29-12
Premium Chessgames Member
  SwitchingQuylthulg: I beat the great <YouRang>!!! ;-)

Thanks for hosting this contest yet again :)

Jan-29-12
Premium Chessgames Member
  WannaBe: <lostemperor> Thanks for hosting the contest, pleasure, as always!
Jan-29-12
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: After a tournament with some bizar game results <SwitchingQuylthulg> came out winning ♔-Double Crown-♔ in the Absolute and Square ranker!! is one and the same person(s). <SloVice> won the Pair bettings to take a Crown ♔ into the Hall of fame!

Two second and third place for <YouRang>♕♕♖! <WannaBe> better start putting his monitor back in upright position again because after a bad start he finishes with ♕ in the Pair Bettings!

<rogge> and <wordfunph>♖ took Bronze in the Absolute and Square ranker respectively. <ELO> gets an honourary Bronze also in the absolute ranker.

(However even though I value the square ranker as much as any, according to the rules, the medals there will not be included into the Hall of Fame because the winner(s) of gold is (are) the same person(s))

Jan-29-12
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: I noticed that people who already are in the hall of Fame, won again in the different rankers. Also the great <YouRang>, who never won in his own contest, like I never won the standard ranker here (the socalled organizer's curse), and <wannaBe> make up for their reputation ;-)

This is a call of encouragement for all others and new comers to try to beat the Hall of Famers in the next tournament to come!!:)

Jan-29-12
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Here the golden predicitons of

<SwitchingQuylthulg:
1. Carlsen
2. Aronian
3. Karjakin
3. Radjabov
3. Topalov
3. Kamsky
3. Giri
3. Caruana
3. Ivanchuk
3. Nakamura
11. Gashimov
12. Gelfand
12. Navara
12. Van Wely >

and

<SloVice: Guessing games... fun! :)

1. Carlsen
2. Aronian
3. Giri
3. Ivanchuk
5. Nakamura
5. Caruana
7. Kamsky
7. Topalov
7. Gelfand
10. Radjabov
10. Karjakin
10. Van Wely
13. Gashimov
14. Navara>

Congratulations!!

Jan-29-12
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: I forgot the large payoff pair results of the PAIR BETTING RANKER

(JACKPOTS/SEMI JACKOTS!)

Payoff,Pair result,Winners
$23.00,Caruana-above-Karjakin, SloVice

$23.00,Gashimov-equal-Gelfand, Diademas

$23.00,Gashimov-equal-Topalov, rogge

$23.00,Gelfand-below-Van Wely, WannaBe

$23.00,Gelfand-equal-Topalov, SloVice

$23.00,Giri-below-Van Wely, WannaBe

$23.00,Giri-equal-Navara, lostemperor

$11.50,Caruana-above-Giri, WannaBe + YouRang

$11.50,Caruana-above-Topalov, SloVice + YouRang

$11.50,Caruana-equal-Radjabov, Ragh + SwitchingQuylthulg

$11.50,Kamsky-above-Topalov, mark jc. Garado + YouRang

Jan-29-12
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Other large payoff pair results

$7.67,Aronian-above-Carlsen, OhioChessFan + ooda + siamesedream

$7.67,Caruana-above-Nakamura, Diademas + lostemperor + Ragh

$7.67,Kamsky-above-Karjakin, mark jc. Garado + SloVice + WannaBe

Jan-29-12
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Missed chanches:

$0.00,Carlsen-equal-Caruana, (0 winners)
$0.00,Carlsen-equal-Radjabov, (0 winners)
$0.00,Topalov-below-Van Wely, (0 winners)

Jan-29-12
Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: Thanks for hosting! Congratz to the winners. I hope you do this again. :)

P.S. This is my 4444th post. :)

Jan-29-12  Golden Executive:

Thanks for running the contest <lostemperor> and congratulations to the winners.

Jan-29-12  Ezzy: Congrats to the winners

Thanks for your effort and time once again <lostemperor> for providing this fun competition over the last few weeks.

My dismal showing is all the fault of Topalov. I picked him for second place, NOT second to last place. I'm gonna try that upside down monitor trick of <wannabe's>

Jan-29-12  SloVice: Congrats to <SwitchingQuylthulg> and the other medalists! Thank you <lostemperor> for running the show.
Jan-29-12  YouRang: Thanks <lostemperor> for another great contest. It's amazing that I often do well in your contest and yet consistently fall short in my own.

I see in this contest, I underestimated Radjabov pretty badly, and overestimated Karjakin. Otherwise I did pretty decently.

Congratulations <SwitchingQuylthulg> and <SloVice> for the fine gold-winning performances. <SloVice> seems to have a knack for Betting contests. :-)

Jan-29-12  WinKing: Thanks for being such a gracious host <lostemperor>! It was fun watching the races develop in these contests. I'm gonna have to find out <YouRang>'s secret to doing well in this event. He's always in the hunt. Congrats to all the the winners <SwitchingQuylthulg>, <SloVice>, <YouRang>, <WannaBe>, <wordfunph>, <ELORATINGS> & <rogge>. I think that <ELORATINGS> character is a 'ringer'. ;) Great job guys!
Jan-29-12
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: Thanks for running the contest.
Jan-30-12
Premium Chessgames Member
  moronovich: Thanks for hosting <lostemperor> !

And congrats to the winners !

Jan-30-12
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Thanks guys, I enjoyed it! This was a tough contest as always and only a few can prevail but I hope it was fun!
Jan-30-12  rogge: Thanks for hosting, fun as always :)
Jan-30-12
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: As for my reflection on Anish Giri with <Ragh> I translated a clipping from a local newspaper on his page. I think he will do just fine in the future :)
Jan-30-12  Robin01: Nice job running the contest. Thanks.
Jan-30-12  SloVice: FYI <lostemperor> I think <SwitchingQuylthulg> is missing a ♔ from the <HOF>
Jan-30-12
Premium Chessgames Member
  SwitchingQuylthulg: I wouldn't mind an extra ♔ of course, but the reality is that the medals are right (I had one gold before and only one of my new golds counts for HOF) - <lostemperor> simply moved me too high up :)
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